L’École des cotesodds.school
Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)
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Viking FK v Kristiansund BK

2026-09-13 12:30 UTC — Eliteserien - Norway

Résultat du match

36 opérateurs (11 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Viking FK (Local)

Prévision 76.26%1.31cote équitable
EV -5.43%
Avantage -4.38%
Kelly -22.63%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.24

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
73.59%76.33%76.54%79.07%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.141.201.211.2487.72%83.28%82.99%80.65%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Kristiansund BK (Visiteur)

Prévision 9.58%10.44cote équitable
EV +14.97%
Avantage +1.25%
Kelly +1.36%
Croissance +0.204%

avec la cote maximale 12.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
7.62%9.57%9.31%11.90%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
7.259.8210.0012.0013.79%10.18%10.00%8.33%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 14.15%7.06cote équitable
EV +2.06%
Avantage +0.285%
Kelly +0.331%
Croissance +0.007%

avec la cote maximale 7.21

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
13.17%14.10%14.15%15.37%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
5.606.396.507.2117.86%15.66%15.38%13.87%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Viking FK (Local) : 76.26% ; Kristiansund BK (Visiteur) : 9.58% ; Match nul : 14.15%. Pour Kristiansund BK (Visiteur), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 10.44. 16 opérateurs proposent une cote supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure cote disponible est 12.00, pour une espérance positive de +14.97%.

Cotes des opérateurs (36 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
FanDuel🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 78.93%EV -10.01%E -8.48%K -55.60%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.76%EV +14.97%E +1.25%K +1.36%G +0.204%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.31%EV -0.917%E -0.131%K -0.153%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-06 17:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.07%EV -10.77%E -9.21%K -63.36%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.71%EV +14.97%E +1.25%K +1.36%G +0.204%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.22%EV -0.917%E -0.131%K -0.153%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-06 18:20
SportsBet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 78.83%EV -11.53%E -9.94%K -72.08%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.62%EV +14.97%E +1.25%K +1.36%G +0.204%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.55%EV -4.46%E -0.660%K -0.775%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-06 17:35
Paddy Power🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 78.18%EV -13.06%E -11.45%K -93.28%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.10%EV +5.39%E +0.490%K +0.539%G +0.029%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.71%EV -7.99%E -1.23%K -1.45%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-06 17:35
1xBet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.53%EV -6.19%E -5.04%K -26.93%G +0.000%10.90I 9.17%NM 8.75%EV +4.43%E +0.407%K +0.448%G +0.020%6.95I 14.39%NM 13.72%EV -1.62%E -0.234%K -0.273%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-06 19:54
Betsson🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.55%EV -6.19%E -5.04%K -26.93%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.97%EV +0.600%E +0.057%K +0.063%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.49%EV -7.99%E -1.23%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-06 19:50
NordicBet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.55%EV -6.19%E -5.04%K -26.93%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.97%EV +0.600%E +0.057%K +0.063%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.49%EV -7.99%E -1.23%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-06 19:50
Casumo🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.69%EV -6.96%E -5.70%K -31.63%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.91%EV +0.600%E +0.057%K +0.063%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.39%EV -7.99%E -1.23%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-06 19:55
BetRivers🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.69%EV -6.96%E -5.70%K -31.63%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.91%EV +0.600%E +0.057%K +0.063%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.39%EV -7.99%E -1.23%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-06 19:54
Unibet (NL)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.69%EV -6.96%E -5.70%K -31.63%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.91%EV +0.600%E +0.057%K +0.063%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.39%EV -7.99%E -1.23%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-06 19:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.69%EV -6.96%E -5.70%K -31.63%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.91%EV +0.600%E +0.057%K +0.063%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.39%EV -7.99%E -1.23%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-06 19:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.69%EV -6.96%E -5.70%K -31.63%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.91%EV +0.600%E +0.057%K +0.063%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.39%EV -7.99%E -1.23%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-06 19:54
Svenska Spel🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.69%EV -6.96%E -5.70%K -31.63%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.91%EV +0.600%E +0.057%K +0.063%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.39%EV -7.99%E -1.23%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-06 19:54
betPARX🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.69%EV -6.96%E -5.70%K -31.63%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.91%EV +0.600%E +0.057%K +0.063%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.39%EV -7.99%E -1.23%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-06 19:54
ATG (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.69%EV -6.96%E -5.70%K -31.63%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.91%EV +0.600%E +0.057%K +0.063%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.39%EV -7.99%E -1.23%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-06 19:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 77.09%EV -7.72%E -6.38%K -36.76%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.88%EV +0.600%E +0.057%K +0.063%G +0.000%6.65I 15.04%NM 14.03%EV -5.87%E -0.883%K -1.04%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-06 19:50
Unibet (UK)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.35%EV -6.96%E -5.70%K -31.63%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.32%EV -4.19%E -0.419%K -0.466%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV -7.99%E -1.23%K -1.45%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-06 17:30
betfred_uk🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.65%EV -8.48%E -7.07%K -42.41%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.20%EV -4.19%E -0.419%K -0.466%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.15%EV -7.99%E -1.23%K -1.45%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-06 18:35
Fanatics🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.65%EV -8.48%E -7.07%K -42.41%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.20%EV -4.19%E -0.419%K -0.466%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.15%EV -7.99%E -1.23%K -1.45%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-06 18:00
William Hill🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.09%EV -6.96%E -5.70%K -31.63%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.64%EV -8.98%E -0.945%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -15.07%E -2.51%K -3.01%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-06 20:04
Unibet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 75.58%EV -8.48%E -7.07%K -42.41%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.55%EV -8.98%E -0.945%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.87%EV -13.66%E -2.24%K -2.68%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-06 19:55
Grosvenor🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 75.58%EV -8.48%E -7.07%K -42.41%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.55%EV -8.98%E -0.945%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.87%EV -13.66%E -2.24%K -2.68%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-06 19:55
TABtouch🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 75.55%EV -9.25%E -7.77%K -48.66%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.46%EV -8.98%E -0.945%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.98%EV -15.07%E -2.51%K -3.01%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-06 20:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 75.71%EV -10.01%E -8.48%K -55.60%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.40%EV -8.98%E -0.945%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -15.07%E -2.51%K -3.01%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-06 19:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 75.71%EV -10.01%E -8.48%K -55.60%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.40%EV -8.98%E -0.945%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -15.07%E -2.51%K -3.01%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-06 19:55
PMU (FR)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 75.71%EV -10.01%E -8.48%K -55.60%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.40%EV -8.98%E -0.945%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -15.07%E -2.51%K -3.01%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-06 19:54
Pinnacle🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.56%EV -5.43%E -4.38%K -22.63%G +0.000%9.24I 10.82%NM 10.27%EV -11.47%E -1.24%K -1.39%G +0.000%7.21I 13.87%NM 13.17%EV +2.06%E +0.285%K +0.331%G +0.007%5.3%2026-09-06 20:00
Betway🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 75.88%EV -8.48%E -7.07%K -42.41%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.12%EV -13.77%E -1.53%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.01%EV -7.99%E -1.23%K -1.45%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-06 18:30
Codere (IT)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 75.04%EV -7.72%E -6.38%K -36.76%G +0.000%8.80I 11.36%NM 10.32%EV -15.69%E -1.78%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.64%EV -12.24%E -1.97%K -2.35%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-06 19:54
Tipico (DE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.44%EV -6.96%E -5.70%K -31.63%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.83%EV -18.56%E -2.18%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 13.74%EV -5.16%E -0.771%K -0.906%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-06 19:20
LeoVegas🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 74.85%EV -7.72%E -6.38%K -36.76%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.66%EV -18.56%E -2.18%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.49%EV -11.53%E -1.85%K -2.20%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-06 19:55
Sky Bet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 74.56%EV -10.77%E -9.21%K -63.36%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.26%EV -18.56%E -2.18%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.17%EV -18.61%E -3.24%K -3.92%G +0.000%14.6%2026-09-06 17:35
Betclic (FR)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 74.46%EV -10.01%E -8.48%K -55.60%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 10.65%EV -20.96%E -2.54%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 14.89%EV -16.49%E -2.79%K -3.36%G +0.000%13.8%2026-09-06 19:54
Unibet (FR)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 73.59%EV -10.77%E -9.21%K -63.36%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.04%EV -25.27%E -3.24%K -3.72%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.37%EV -20.73%E -3.70%K -4.51%G +0.000%16.1%2026-09-06 19:54
Winamax (DE)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 74.57%EV -10.01%E -8.48%K -55.60%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.35%EV -25.75%E -3.32%K -3.81%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.08%EV -11.53%E -1.85%K -2.20%G +0.000%13.6%2026-09-06 19:54
Winamax (FR)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 73.73%EV -10.77%E -9.21%K -63.36%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 11.90%EV -30.54%E -4.21%K -4.89%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.38%EV -15.07%E -2.51%K -3.01%G +0.000%15.9%2026-09-06 19:54
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets◎1.17I 85.47%NM 73.17%7.60I 13.16%NM 11.26%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.57%16.8%2026-09-06 19:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.04I 96.15%NM 35.20%1.13I 88.50%NM 32.40%1.13I 88.50%NM 32.40%173.1%2026-09-06 19:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.04I 96.15%NM 35.20%1.13I 88.50%NM 32.40%1.13I 88.50%NM 32.40%173.1%2026-09-06 19:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.04I 96.15%NM 35.20%1.13I 88.50%NM 32.40%1.13I 88.50%NM 32.40%173.1%2026-09-06 19:35