Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Viking FK v Kristiansund BK

Inicio: 2026-09-13 12:30 UTC

Final: Viking FK 8–1 Kristiansund BK

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

55 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Viking FK (Local)

Predicción 78.17%1.28momio equitativo
EV -2.28%
Ventaja -1.83%
Kelly -9.13%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.25

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
73.70%78.00%78.28%80.24%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.141.201.201.2587.72%83.51%83.33%80.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Kristiansund BK (Visitante)

Predicción 8.53%11.72momio equitativo
EV +23.72%
Ventaja +1.64%
Kelly +1.76%
Crecimiento +0.417%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 14.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
6.47%8.54%8.49%10.67%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
8.5010.2310.0014.5011.76%9.78%10.00%6.90%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Predicción 13.29%7.52momio equitativo
EV +4.36%
Ventaja +0.555%
Kelly +0.636%
Crecimiento +0.028%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 7.85

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
12.20%13.46%13.22%16.61%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
5.506.586.507.8518.18%15.21%15.38%12.74%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Viking FK (Local): 78.17%; Kristiansund BK (Visitante): 8.53%; Empate: 13.29%. Para Kristiansund BK (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 11.72. 11 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 14.50, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +23.72%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (55 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Betsson🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.92%EV -4.63%E -3.79%K -21.04%G +0.000%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.47%EV +23.72%E +1.64%K +1.76%G +0.417%5.65I 17.70%NM 16.61%EV -24.89%E -4.41%K -5.35%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-13 12:10
NordicBet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.92%EV -4.63%E -3.79%K -21.04%G +0.000%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.47%EV +23.72%E +1.64%K +1.76%G +0.417%5.65I 17.70%NM 16.61%EV -24.89%E -4.41%K -5.35%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-13 12:10
1xBet🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.24%EV -6.97%E -5.86%K -36.70%G +0.000%12.70I 7.87%NM 7.52%EV +8.36%E +0.658%K +0.715%G +0.060%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.24%EV +3.69%E +0.473%K +0.543%G +0.020%4.7%2026-09-13 12:21
Marathon Bet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 79.90%EV -8.54%E -7.30%K -50.22%G +0.000%12.25I 8.16%NM 7.63%EV +4.52%E +0.369%K +0.402%G +0.018%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV -0.295%E -0.039%K -0.045%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-13 12:25
DraftKings🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 79.50%EV -6.97%E -5.86%K -36.70%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.88%EV +2.39%E +0.199%K +0.217%G +0.005%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.61%EV -0.295%E -0.039%K -0.045%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-13 12:24
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 78.40%EV -6.97%E -5.86%K -36.70%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.77%EV +2.39%E +0.199%K +0.217%G +0.005%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.82%EV -10.27%E -1.52%K -1.79%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-13 12:26
Tipico (DE)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 79.22%EV -9.32%E -8.03%K -58.24%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.66%EV +2.39%E +0.199%K +0.217%G +0.005%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.13%EV -6.94%E -0.992%K -1.16%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-13 12:05
betano_uk🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 78.28%EV -8.54%E -7.30%K -50.22%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.63%EV +2.39%E +0.199%K +0.217%G +0.005%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.09%EV -13.59%E -2.09%K -2.47%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-13 12:25
PlayUp🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 75.86%EV -6.19%E -5.16%K -30.96%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.59%EV +2.39%E +0.199%K +0.217%G +0.005%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -26.88%E -4.89%K -5.97%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-13 11:35
Pinnacle🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.78%EV -6.19%E -5.16%K -30.96%G +0.000%11.93I 8.38%NM 8.02%EV +1.79%E +0.150%K +0.164%G +0.003%7.85I 12.74%NM 12.20%EV +4.36%E +0.555%K +0.636%G +0.028%4.5%2026-09-13 12:16
Coolbet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 78.96%EV -3.85%E -3.13%K -16.72%G +0.000%11.75I 8.51%NM 8.27%EV +0.255%E +0.022%K +0.024%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.78%EV +1.03%E +0.136%K +0.157%G +0.002%3.0%2026-09-13 11:25
Bet Victor🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 78.02%EV -8.54%E -7.30%K -50.22%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 7.94%EV -1.88%E -0.163%K -0.179%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.04%EV -13.59%E -2.09%K -2.47%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-13 12:11
Unibet (UK)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.09%EV -6.19%E -5.16%K -30.96%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.52%EV -6.14%E -0.559%K -0.614%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.39%EV -6.94%E -0.992%K -1.16%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-13 12:10
Betway🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.08%EV -7.75%E -6.57%K -43.08%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.48%EV -6.14%E -0.559%K -0.614%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.44%EV -0.295%E -0.039%K -0.045%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-13 12:26
Fanatics🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 78.38%EV -7.75%E -6.57%K -43.08%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV -6.14%E -0.559%K -0.614%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.21%EV -6.94%E -0.992%K -1.16%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-13 12:06
William Hill🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 78.38%EV -7.75%E -6.57%K -43.08%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV -6.14%E -0.559%K -0.614%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.21%EV -6.94%E -0.992%K -1.16%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-13 12:01
SportsBet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 78.52%EV -8.54%E -7.30%K -50.22%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.35%EV -6.14%E -0.559%K -0.614%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -6.94%E -0.992%K -1.16%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-13 11:30
betfred_uk🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 77.59%EV -7.75%E -6.57%K -43.08%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.32%EV -6.14%E -0.559%K -0.614%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.09%EV -13.59%E -2.09%K -2.47%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-13 12:26
FanDuel🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 78.21%EV -8.54%E -7.30%K -50.22%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.72%EV -10.41%E -0.991%K -1.10%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.07%EV -6.94%E -0.992%K -1.16%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-13 11:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 77.73%EV -10.10%E -8.78%K -67.33%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.51%EV -10.41%E -0.991%K -1.10%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.75%EV -13.59%E -2.09%K -2.47%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-13 12:16
GTbets🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.13%EV -3.06%E -2.47%K -12.77%G +0.000%10.18I 9.82%NM 9.40%EV -13.14%E -1.29%K -1.43%G +0.000%7.10I 14.08%NM 13.47%EV -5.61%E -0.791%K -0.920%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-13 11:51
BetMGM🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.76%EV -4.63%E -3.79%K -21.04%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.36%EV -14.68%E -1.47%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.87%EV -10.27%E -1.52%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-13 11:40
Bovada🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 77.29%EV -5.41%E -4.47%K -25.76%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.35%EV -14.68%E -1.47%K -1.63%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV -6.94%E -0.992%K -1.16%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-13 12:23
BetUS🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 77.29%EV -5.41%E -4.47%K -25.76%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.35%EV -14.68%E -1.47%K -1.63%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV -6.94%E -0.992%K -1.16%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-13 12:25
BetOnline.ag🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 78.40%EV -6.97%E -5.86%K -36.70%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.33%EV -14.68%E -1.47%K -1.63%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.28%EV +1.03%E +0.136%K +0.157%G +0.002%7.2%2026-09-13 12:26
LowVig.ag🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 78.40%EV -6.97%E -5.86%K -36.70%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.33%EV -14.68%E -1.47%K -1.63%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.28%EV +1.03%E +0.136%K +0.157%G +0.002%7.2%2026-09-13 12:26
BetAnything🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 78.40%EV -6.97%E -5.86%K -36.70%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.33%EV -14.68%E -1.47%K -1.63%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.28%EV +1.03%E +0.136%K +0.157%G +0.002%7.2%2026-09-13 12:25
Betclic (FR)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 77.80%EV -10.10%E -8.78%K -67.33%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.95%EV -14.68%E -1.47%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.25%EV -10.27%E -1.52%K -1.79%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-13 12:10
Bet Right🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 76.22%EV -8.54%E -7.30%K -50.22%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.92%EV -14.68%E -1.47%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.86%EV -20.24%E -3.37%K -4.05%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-13 12:26
Unibet (FR)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 77.72%EV -10.88%E -9.55%K -77.73%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.86%EV -14.68%E -1.47%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 13.42%EV -12.26%E -1.86%K -2.19%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-13 12:10
Paddy Power🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 77.56%EV -10.88%E -9.55%K -77.73%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 8.84%EV -14.68%E -1.47%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.60%EV -13.59%E -2.09%K -2.47%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-13 11:30
Codere (IT)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 76.97%EV -7.75%E -6.57%K -43.08%G +0.000%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.27%EV -16.38%E -1.67%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 13.76%EV -12.26%E -1.86%K -2.19%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-13 12:10
Casumo🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.10%EV -2.28%E -1.83%K -9.13%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV -18.94%E -1.99%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.02%EV -16.91%E -2.71%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-13 11:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.10%EV -2.28%E -1.83%K -9.13%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV -18.94%E -1.99%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.02%EV -16.91%E -2.71%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-13 11:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.10%EV -2.28%E -1.83%K -9.13%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV -18.94%E -1.99%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.02%EV -16.91%E -2.71%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-13 11:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.10%EV -2.28%E -1.83%K -9.13%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV -18.94%E -1.99%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.02%EV -16.91%E -2.71%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-13 11:30
betPARX🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.10%EV -2.28%E -1.83%K -9.13%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV -18.94%E -1.99%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.02%EV -16.91%E -2.71%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-13 11:31
ATG (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.10%EV -2.28%E -1.83%K -9.13%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV -18.94%E -1.99%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.02%EV -16.91%E -2.71%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-13 11:30
LeoVegas🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 76.83%EV -6.97%E -5.86%K -36.70%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.62%EV -18.94%E -1.99%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.55%EV -10.27%E -1.52%K -1.79%G +0.000%9.4%2026-09-13 11:40
BoyleSports🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 76.58%EV -7.75%E -6.57%K -43.08%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.51%EV -18.94%E -1.99%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.90%EV -13.59%E -2.09%K -2.47%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-13 12:25
Sky Bet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 76.32%EV -8.54%E -7.30%K -50.22%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.40%EV -18.94%E -1.99%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.29%EV -16.91%E -2.71%K -3.22%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-13 11:30
Winamax (DE)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 77.29%EV -7.75%E -6.57%K -43.08%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.13%EV -23.21%E -2.58%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.58%EV -3.62%E -0.499%K -0.579%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-13 12:05
BetRivers🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 74.14%EV -3.85%E -3.13%K -16.72%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.13%EV -23.21%E -2.58%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.72%EV -22.90%E -3.95%K -4.77%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-13 11:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 74.14%EV -3.85%E -3.13%K -16.72%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.13%EV -23.21%E -2.58%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.72%EV -22.90%E -3.95%K -4.77%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-13 11:30
Winamax (FR)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 76.88%EV -9.32%E -8.03%K -58.24%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.91%EV -23.21%E -2.58%K -2.90%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.21%EV -10.27%E -1.52%K -1.79%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-13 12:06
Unibet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 73.70%EV -3.85%E -3.13%K -16.72%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.67%EV -27.48%E -3.23%K -3.66%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.63%EV -22.90%E -3.95%K -4.77%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-13 11:31
Grosvenor🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 73.70%EV -3.85%E -3.13%K -16.72%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.67%EV -27.48%E -3.23%K -3.66%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.63%EV -22.90%E -3.95%K -4.77%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-13 11:30
TABtouch🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 74.02%EV -5.41%E -4.47%K -25.76%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.54%EV -27.48%E -3.23%K -3.66%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.44%EV -22.90%E -3.95%K -4.77%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-13 11:30
Coral🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 74.56%EV -6.19%E -5.16%K -30.96%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.53%EV -27.48%E -3.23%K -3.66%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.91%EV -20.24%E -3.37%K -4.05%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-13 11:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 74.56%EV -6.19%E -5.16%K -30.96%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.53%EV -27.48%E -3.23%K -3.66%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.91%EV -20.24%E -3.37%K -4.05%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-13 11:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 74.56%EV -6.19%E -5.16%K -30.96%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.53%EV -27.48%E -3.23%K -3.66%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.91%EV -20.24%E -3.37%K -4.05%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-13 11:35
Neds🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 74.56%EV -6.19%E -5.16%K -30.96%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.53%EV -27.48%E -3.23%K -3.66%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.91%EV -20.24%E -3.37%K -4.05%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-13 11:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 74.08%EV -6.19%E -5.16%K -30.96%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.46%EV -27.48%E -3.23%K -3.66%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.46%EV -23.56%E -4.10%K -4.96%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-13 11:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 74.08%EV -6.19%E -5.16%K -30.96%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.46%EV -27.48%E -3.23%K -3.66%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.46%EV -23.56%E -4.10%K -4.96%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-13 11:30
PMU (FR)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 74.08%EV -6.19%E -5.16%K -30.96%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.46%EV -27.48%E -3.23%K -3.66%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.46%EV -23.56%E -4.10%K -4.96%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-13 11:30
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook◎1.22I 81.97%NM 81.34%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.84%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.81%0.8%2026-09-13 12:26
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.23I 81.30%NM 80.57%13.50I 7.41%NM 7.34%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.09%0.9%2026-09-13 12:26
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.23I 81.30%NM 80.57%13.50I 7.41%NM 7.34%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.09%0.9%2026-09-13 12:26
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.23I 81.30%NM 80.57%13.50I 7.41%NM 7.34%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.09%0.9%2026-09-13 12:26
Smarkets◎1.22I 81.97%NM 80.93%13.50I 7.41%NM 7.31%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.75%1.3%2026-09-13 12:26