L’École des cotes

Viking FK v Bodø/Glimt

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-11 16:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

52 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Viking FK (Local)

Prévision 32.04%3.12cote équitable
EV +2.52%
Avantage +0.788%
Kelly +1.15%
Croissance +0.029%

avec la cote maximale 3.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.99%31.88%32.11%33.04%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.652.952.943.2037.74%33.84%34.07%31.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Bodø/Glimt (Visiteur)

Prévision 44.80%2.23cote équitable
EV -2.78%
Avantage -1.28%
Kelly -2.37%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.17

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
43.73%44.93%44.76%47.96%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.852.022.002.1754.05%49.61%50.00%46.08%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 23.16%4.32cote équitable
EV -2.73%
Avantage -0.651%
Kelly -0.855%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.33%23.19%23.13%25.46%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.303.964.004.2030.30%25.24%25.00%23.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet (NL)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.37%EV +2.52%E +0.788%K +1.15%G +0.029%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.71%EV -11.74%E -5.96%K -12.10%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -5.05%E -1.23%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-11 15:40
Unibet (SE)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.37%EV +2.52%E +0.788%K +1.15%G +0.029%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.71%EV -11.74%E -5.96%K -12.10%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -5.05%E -1.23%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-11 15:40
Casumo3.20I 31.25%NM 29.37%EV +2.52%E +0.788%K +1.15%G +0.029%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.71%EV -11.74%E -5.96%K -12.10%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -5.05%E -1.23%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-11 15:40
betPARX3.20I 31.25%NM 29.37%EV +2.52%E +0.788%K +1.15%G +0.029%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.71%EV -11.74%E -5.96%K -12.10%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -5.05%E -1.23%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-11 15:40
Svenska Spel3.20I 31.25%NM 29.37%EV +2.52%E +0.788%K +1.15%G +0.029%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.71%EV -11.74%E -5.96%K -12.10%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -5.05%E -1.23%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-11 15:40
ATG (SE)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.37%EV +2.52%E +0.788%K +1.15%G +0.029%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.71%EV -11.74%E -5.96%K -12.10%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -5.05%E -1.23%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-11 15:40
BetRivers3.20I 31.25%NM 29.23%EV +2.52%E +0.788%K +1.15%G +0.029%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.96%EV -12.63%E -6.48%K -13.30%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -5.05%E -1.23%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-11 15:40
LeoVegas (SE)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.23%EV +2.52%E +0.788%K +1.15%G +0.029%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.96%EV -12.63%E -6.48%K -13.30%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -5.05%E -1.23%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-11 15:40
Unibet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV +2.52%E +0.788%K +1.15%G +0.029%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.69%EV -12.63%E -6.48%K -13.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -7.37%E -1.84%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-11 15:40
Grosvenor3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV +2.52%E +0.788%K +1.15%G +0.029%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.82%EV -13.08%E -6.74%K -13.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -7.37%E -1.84%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-11 15:40
Coolbet3.15I 31.75%NM 30.82%EV +0.920%E +0.292%K +0.428%G +0.004%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.79%EV -5.02%E -2.37%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.39%EV -3.89%E -0.938%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-11 15:54
TABtouch3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV +0.920%E +0.292%K +0.428%G +0.004%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.73%EV -13.53%E -7.01%K -14.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -7.37%E -1.84%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 15:39
Virgin Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -0.682%E -0.220%K -0.325%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.63%EV -14.43%E -7.55%K -15.85%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.03%EV -8.52%E -2.16%K -2.89%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-11 15:40
LiveScore Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -0.682%E -0.220%K -0.325%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.63%EV -14.43%E -7.55%K -15.85%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.03%EV -8.52%E -2.16%K -2.89%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-11 15:40
LeoVegas3.10I 32.26%NM 29.04%EV -0.682%E -0.220%K -0.325%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 47.88%EV -15.77%E -8.39%K -17.92%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.08%EV -9.68%E -2.48%K -3.34%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-11 15:40
PMU (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 29.32%EV -3.89%E -1.30%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 47.54%EV -17.11%E -9.25%K -20.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.14%EV -12.00%E -3.16%K -4.29%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-11 15:40
Pinnacle2.99I 33.44%NM 32.36%EV -4.21%E -1.41%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.59%EV -2.78%E -1.28%K -2.37%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.04%EV -2.73%E -0.651%K -0.855%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-11 15:45
GTbets2.96I 33.78%NM 31.69%EV -5.17%E -1.75%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.98%EV -8.60%E -4.22%K -8.27%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -2.73%E -0.651%K -0.855%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-11 15:50
Betsson2.95I 33.90%NM 32.14%EV -5.49%E -1.86%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.73%EV -5.02%E -2.37%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.13%EV -5.05%E -1.23%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-11 15:55
NordicBet2.95I 33.90%NM 32.14%EV -5.49%E -1.86%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.73%EV -5.02%E -2.37%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.13%EV -5.05%E -1.23%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-11 15:55
FanDuel2.95I 33.90%NM 32.01%EV -5.49%E -1.86%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.96%EV -5.91%E -2.82%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.03%EV -5.05%E -1.23%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-11 15:45
Marathon Bet2.95I 33.90%NM 31.64%EV -5.49%E -1.86%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.31%EV -7.70%E -3.74%K -7.27%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.05%EV -6.21%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-11 15:55
PointsBet (AU)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.48%EV -5.49%E -1.86%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.30%EV -8.15%E -3.98%K -7.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -7.37%E -1.84%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-11 15:54
Tipico (DE)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.13%EV -5.49%E -1.86%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.91%EV -10.39%E -5.20%K -10.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -7.37%E -1.84%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 15:40
BetUS2.95I 33.90%NM 31.13%EV -5.49%E -1.86%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.91%EV -10.39%E -5.20%K -10.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -7.37%E -1.84%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 15:22
Bet Right2.95I 33.90%NM 31.04%EV -5.49%E -1.86%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.78%EV -10.39%E -5.20%K -10.39%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.18%EV -8.52%E -2.16%K -2.89%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-11 15:55
1xBet2.92I 34.25%NM 32.57%EV -6.45%E -2.21%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.83%EV -2.78%E -1.28%K -2.37%G +0.000%4.03I 24.81%NM 23.60%EV -6.67%E -1.66%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-11 15:55
DraftKings2.90I 34.48%NM 32.72%EV -7.09%E -2.44%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.14%EV -3.67%E -1.71%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.14%EV -5.05%E -1.23%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-11 15:50
Unibet (UK)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.20%EV -7.09%E -2.44%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.46%EV -5.91%E -2.82%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -7.37%E -1.84%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-11 15:55
Fanatics2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -7.09%E -2.44%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.06%EV -8.15%E -3.98%K -7.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.09%EV -7.37%E -1.84%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-11 15:35
BetMGM2.88I 34.72%NM 32.35%EV -7.73%E -2.68%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.36%EV -5.91%E -2.82%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -7.37%E -1.84%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-11 15:55
BetOnline.ag2.88I 34.72%NM 32.19%EV -7.73%E -2.68%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.73%EV -5.02%E -2.37%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.08%EV -10.84%E -2.82%K -3.80%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-11 15:50
LowVig.ag2.88I 34.72%NM 32.19%EV -7.73%E -2.68%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.73%EV -5.02%E -2.37%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.08%EV -10.84%E -2.82%K -3.80%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-11 15:50
Bet Victor2.88I 34.72%NM 31.81%EV -7.73%E -2.68%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.69%EV -8.15%E -3.98%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.49%EV -9.68%E -2.48%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-11 15:53
William Hill2.88I 34.72%NM 31.62%EV -7.73%E -2.68%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.42%EV -8.15%E -3.98%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.96%EV -12.00%E -3.16%K -4.29%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-11 15:44
SportsBet2.87I 34.84%NM 31.72%EV -8.05%E -2.81%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.52%EV -10.39%E -5.20%K -10.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -7.37%E -1.84%K -2.46%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-11 15:45
Ladbrokes (UK)2.87I 34.84%NM 31.18%EV -8.05%E -2.81%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.88%EV -12.63%E -6.48%K -13.30%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.94%EV -9.68%E -2.48%K -3.34%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-11 15:20
Coral2.87I 34.84%NM 31.18%EV -8.05%E -2.81%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.88%EV -12.63%E -6.48%K -13.30%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.94%EV -9.68%E -2.48%K -3.34%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-11 15:20
BetAnything2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -8.69%E -3.05%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.81%EV -8.15%E -3.98%K -7.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -7.37%E -1.84%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 15:50
Betway2.80I 35.71%NM 32.97%EV -10.29%E -3.68%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.96%EV -5.91%E -2.82%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -7.37%E -1.84%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-11 15:39
Winamax (DE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -10.29%E -3.68%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.55%EV -8.15%E -3.98%K -7.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -7.37%E -1.84%K -2.46%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-11 15:55
Everygame2.80I 35.71%NM 32.43%EV -10.29%E -3.68%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.29%EV -8.15%E -3.98%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -9.68%E -2.48%K -3.34%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-11 15:54
Codere (IT)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.40%EV -10.29%E -3.68%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.04%EV -7.70%E -3.74%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.56%EV -10.84%E -2.82%K -3.80%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-11 15:54
PlayUp2.80I 35.71%NM 32.33%EV -10.29%E -3.68%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.16%EV -8.15%E -3.98%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.51%EV -10.84%E -2.82%K -3.80%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-11 15:55
Paddy Power2.80I 35.71%NM 31.88%EV -10.29%E -3.68%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.63%EV -10.39%E -5.20%K -10.39%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -12.00%E -3.16%K -4.29%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-11 15:45
Sky Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 31.78%EV -10.29%E -3.68%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.49%EV -10.39%E -5.20%K -10.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -13.16%E -3.51%K -4.78%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-11 15:45
Betclic (FR)2.78I 35.97%NM 31.58%EV -10.93%E -3.93%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 45.49%EV -13.53%E -7.01%K -14.55%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 22.92%EV -11.30%E -2.95%K -3.99%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-11 15:51
Ladbrokes (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.27%EV -11.90%E -4.33%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.37%EV -10.39%E -5.20%K -10.39%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.35%EV -12.00%E -3.16%K -4.29%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-11 15:55
Neds2.75I 36.36%NM 32.27%EV -11.90%E -4.33%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.37%EV -10.39%E -5.20%K -10.39%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.35%EV -12.00%E -3.16%K -4.29%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-11 15:55
Unibet (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 31.88%EV -11.90%E -4.33%K -6.80%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 44.73%EV -12.19%E -6.22%K -12.69%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.38%EV -13.16%E -3.51%K -4.78%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-11 15:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 30.55%EV -11.90%E -4.33%K -6.80%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 43.99%EV -14.43%E -7.55%K -15.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.46%EV -23.58%E -7.14%K -10.25%G +0.000%19.0%2026-04-11 15:45
Winamax (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 33.04%EV -15.10%E -5.70%K -9.15%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 44.22%EV -11.29%E -5.70%K -11.52%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.74%EV -10.84%E -2.82%K -3.80%G +0.000%14.2%2026-04-11 15:55
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook3.15I 31.75%NM 31.60%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.25%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.15%0.5%2026-04-11 15:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 31.82%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.24%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.94%1.4%2026-04-11 15:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.10I 32.26%NM 31.82%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.24%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.94%1.4%2026-04-11 15:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 31.82%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.24%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.94%1.4%2026-04-11 15:40
Smarkets3.10I 32.26%NM 31.51%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.23%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.26%2.4%2026-04-11 15:55