La escuela de los momios

Viking FK v Bodø/Glimt

Inicio: 2026-04-11 16:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

52 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Viking FK (Local)

Predicción 32.04%3.12momio equitativo
EV +2.52%
Ventaja +0.788%
Kelly +1.15%
Crecimiento +0.029%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.20

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.99%31.88%32.11%33.04%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.652.952.943.2037.74%33.84%34.07%31.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Bodø/Glimt (Visitante)

Predicción 44.80%2.23momio equitativo
EV -2.78%
Ventaja -1.28%
Kelly -2.37%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.17

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
43.73%44.93%44.76%47.96%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.852.022.002.1754.05%49.61%50.00%46.08%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 23.16%4.32momio equitativo
EV -2.73%
Ventaja -0.651%
Kelly -0.855%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.20

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.33%23.19%23.13%25.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.303.964.004.2030.30%25.24%25.00%23.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Unibet (NL)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.37%EV +2.52%E +0.788%K +1.15%G +0.029%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.71%EV -11.74%E -5.96%K -12.10%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -5.05%E -1.23%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-11 15:40
Unibet (SE)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.37%EV +2.52%E +0.788%K +1.15%G +0.029%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.71%EV -11.74%E -5.96%K -12.10%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -5.05%E -1.23%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-11 15:40
Casumo3.20I 31.25%NM 29.37%EV +2.52%E +0.788%K +1.15%G +0.029%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.71%EV -11.74%E -5.96%K -12.10%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -5.05%E -1.23%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-11 15:40
betPARX3.20I 31.25%NM 29.37%EV +2.52%E +0.788%K +1.15%G +0.029%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.71%EV -11.74%E -5.96%K -12.10%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -5.05%E -1.23%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-11 15:40
Svenska Spel3.20I 31.25%NM 29.37%EV +2.52%E +0.788%K +1.15%G +0.029%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.71%EV -11.74%E -5.96%K -12.10%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -5.05%E -1.23%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-11 15:40
ATG (SE)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.37%EV +2.52%E +0.788%K +1.15%G +0.029%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.71%EV -11.74%E -5.96%K -12.10%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -5.05%E -1.23%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-11 15:40
BetRivers3.20I 31.25%NM 29.23%EV +2.52%E +0.788%K +1.15%G +0.029%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.96%EV -12.63%E -6.48%K -13.30%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -5.05%E -1.23%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-11 15:40
LeoVegas (SE)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.23%EV +2.52%E +0.788%K +1.15%G +0.029%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.96%EV -12.63%E -6.48%K -13.30%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -5.05%E -1.23%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-11 15:40
Unibet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV +2.52%E +0.788%K +1.15%G +0.029%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.69%EV -12.63%E -6.48%K -13.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -7.37%E -1.84%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-11 15:40
Grosvenor3.20I 31.25%NM 28.99%EV +2.52%E +0.788%K +1.15%G +0.029%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.82%EV -13.08%E -6.74%K -13.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -7.37%E -1.84%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-11 15:40
Coolbet3.15I 31.75%NM 30.82%EV +0.920%E +0.292%K +0.428%G +0.004%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.79%EV -5.02%E -2.37%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.39%EV -3.89%E -0.938%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-11 15:54
TABtouch3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV +0.920%E +0.292%K +0.428%G +0.004%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.73%EV -13.53%E -7.01%K -14.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -7.37%E -1.84%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-11 15:39
Virgin Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -0.682%E -0.220%K -0.325%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.63%EV -14.43%E -7.55%K -15.85%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.03%EV -8.52%E -2.16%K -2.89%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-11 15:40
LiveScore Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -0.682%E -0.220%K -0.325%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.63%EV -14.43%E -7.55%K -15.85%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.03%EV -8.52%E -2.16%K -2.89%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-11 15:40
LeoVegas3.10I 32.26%NM 29.04%EV -0.682%E -0.220%K -0.325%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 47.88%EV -15.77%E -8.39%K -17.92%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.08%EV -9.68%E -2.48%K -3.34%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-11 15:40
PMU (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 29.32%EV -3.89%E -1.30%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 47.54%EV -17.11%E -9.25%K -20.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.14%EV -12.00%E -3.16%K -4.29%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-11 15:40
Pinnacle2.99I 33.44%NM 32.36%EV -4.21%E -1.41%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.59%EV -2.78%E -1.28%K -2.37%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.04%EV -2.73%E -0.651%K -0.855%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-11 15:45
GTbets2.96I 33.78%NM 31.69%EV -5.17%E -1.75%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.98%EV -8.60%E -4.22%K -8.27%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -2.73%E -0.651%K -0.855%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-11 15:50
Betsson2.95I 33.90%NM 32.14%EV -5.49%E -1.86%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.73%EV -5.02%E -2.37%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.13%EV -5.05%E -1.23%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-11 15:55
NordicBet2.95I 33.90%NM 32.14%EV -5.49%E -1.86%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.73%EV -5.02%E -2.37%K -4.48%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.13%EV -5.05%E -1.23%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-11 15:55
FanDuel2.95I 33.90%NM 32.01%EV -5.49%E -1.86%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.96%EV -5.91%E -2.82%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.03%EV -5.05%E -1.23%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-11 15:45
Marathon Bet2.95I 33.90%NM 31.64%EV -5.49%E -1.86%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.31%EV -7.70%E -3.74%K -7.27%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.05%EV -6.21%E -1.53%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-11 15:55
PointsBet (AU)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.48%EV -5.49%E -1.86%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.30%EV -8.15%E -3.98%K -7.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -7.37%E -1.84%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-11 15:54
Tipico (DE)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.13%EV -5.49%E -1.86%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.91%EV -10.39%E -5.20%K -10.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -7.37%E -1.84%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 15:40
BetUS2.95I 33.90%NM 31.13%EV -5.49%E -1.86%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.91%EV -10.39%E -5.20%K -10.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -7.37%E -1.84%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 15:22
Bet Right2.95I 33.90%NM 31.04%EV -5.49%E -1.86%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.78%EV -10.39%E -5.20%K -10.39%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.18%EV -8.52%E -2.16%K -2.89%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-11 15:55
1xBet2.92I 34.25%NM 32.57%EV -6.45%E -2.21%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.83%EV -2.78%E -1.28%K -2.37%G +0.000%4.03I 24.81%NM 23.60%EV -6.67%E -1.66%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-11 15:55
DraftKings2.90I 34.48%NM 32.72%EV -7.09%E -2.44%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.14%EV -3.67%E -1.71%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.14%EV -5.05%E -1.23%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-11 15:50
Unibet (UK)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.20%EV -7.09%E -2.44%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.46%EV -5.91%E -2.82%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -7.37%E -1.84%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-11 15:55
Fanatics2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -7.09%E -2.44%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.06%EV -8.15%E -3.98%K -7.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.09%EV -7.37%E -1.84%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-11 15:35
BetMGM2.88I 34.72%NM 32.35%EV -7.73%E -2.68%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.36%EV -5.91%E -2.82%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -7.37%E -1.84%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-11 15:55
BetOnline.ag2.88I 34.72%NM 32.19%EV -7.73%E -2.68%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.73%EV -5.02%E -2.37%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.08%EV -10.84%E -2.82%K -3.80%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-11 15:50
LowVig.ag2.88I 34.72%NM 32.19%EV -7.73%E -2.68%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.73%EV -5.02%E -2.37%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.08%EV -10.84%E -2.82%K -3.80%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-11 15:50
Bet Victor2.88I 34.72%NM 31.81%EV -7.73%E -2.68%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.69%EV -8.15%E -3.98%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.49%EV -9.68%E -2.48%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-11 15:53
William Hill2.88I 34.72%NM 31.62%EV -7.73%E -2.68%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.42%EV -8.15%E -3.98%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.96%EV -12.00%E -3.16%K -4.29%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-11 15:44
SportsBet2.87I 34.84%NM 31.72%EV -8.05%E -2.81%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.52%EV -10.39%E -5.20%K -10.39%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.76%EV -7.37%E -1.84%K -2.46%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-11 15:45
Ladbrokes (UK)2.87I 34.84%NM 31.18%EV -8.05%E -2.81%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.88%EV -12.63%E -6.48%K -13.30%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.94%EV -9.68%E -2.48%K -3.34%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-11 15:20
Coral2.87I 34.84%NM 31.18%EV -8.05%E -2.81%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.88%EV -12.63%E -6.48%K -13.30%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.94%EV -9.68%E -2.48%K -3.34%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-11 15:20
BetAnything2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -8.69%E -3.05%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.81%EV -8.15%E -3.98%K -7.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -7.37%E -1.84%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-11 15:50
Betway2.80I 35.71%NM 32.97%EV -10.29%E -3.68%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.96%EV -5.91%E -2.82%K -5.38%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -7.37%E -1.84%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-11 15:39
Winamax (DE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -10.29%E -3.68%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.55%EV -8.15%E -3.98%K -7.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -7.37%E -1.84%K -2.46%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-11 15:55
Everygame2.80I 35.71%NM 32.43%EV -10.29%E -3.68%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.29%EV -8.15%E -3.98%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -9.68%E -2.48%K -3.34%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-11 15:54
Codere (IT)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.40%EV -10.29%E -3.68%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.04%EV -7.70%E -3.74%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.56%EV -10.84%E -2.82%K -3.80%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-11 15:54
PlayUp2.80I 35.71%NM 32.33%EV -10.29%E -3.68%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.16%EV -8.15%E -3.98%K -7.76%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.51%EV -10.84%E -2.82%K -3.80%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-11 15:55
Paddy Power2.80I 35.71%NM 31.88%EV -10.29%E -3.68%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.63%EV -10.39%E -5.20%K -10.39%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -12.00%E -3.16%K -4.29%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-11 15:45
Sky Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 31.78%EV -10.29%E -3.68%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.49%EV -10.39%E -5.20%K -10.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -13.16%E -3.51%K -4.78%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-11 15:45
Betclic (FR)2.78I 35.97%NM 31.58%EV -10.93%E -3.93%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 45.49%EV -13.53%E -7.01%K -14.55%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 22.92%EV -11.30%E -2.95%K -3.99%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-11 15:51
Ladbrokes (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 32.27%EV -11.90%E -4.33%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.37%EV -10.39%E -5.20%K -10.39%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.35%EV -12.00%E -3.16%K -4.29%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-11 15:55
Neds2.75I 36.36%NM 32.27%EV -11.90%E -4.33%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.37%EV -10.39%E -5.20%K -10.39%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.35%EV -12.00%E -3.16%K -4.29%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-11 15:55
Unibet (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 31.88%EV -11.90%E -4.33%K -6.80%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 44.73%EV -12.19%E -6.22%K -12.69%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.38%EV -13.16%E -3.51%K -4.78%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-11 15:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.75I 36.36%NM 30.55%EV -11.90%E -4.33%K -6.80%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 43.99%EV -14.43%E -7.55%K -15.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.46%EV -23.58%E -7.14%K -10.25%G +0.000%19.0%2026-04-11 15:45
Winamax (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 33.04%EV -15.10%E -5.70%K -9.15%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 44.22%EV -11.29%E -5.70%K -11.52%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.74%EV -10.84%E -2.82%K -3.80%G +0.000%14.2%2026-04-11 15:55
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook3.15I 31.75%NM 31.60%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.25%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.15%0.5%2026-04-11 15:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 31.82%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.24%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.94%1.4%2026-04-11 15:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.10I 32.26%NM 31.82%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.24%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.94%1.4%2026-04-11 15:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 31.82%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.24%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.94%1.4%2026-04-11 15:40
Smarkets3.10I 32.26%NM 31.51%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.23%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.26%2.4%2026-04-11 15:55