The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Vålerenga v Tromso

Kickoff: 2026-11-01 18:15 UTC

Final: Vålerenga 4–0 Tromso

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

55 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Vålerenga (Local)

Prediction 40.87%2.45fair odd
EV -3.56%
Edge -1.51%
Kelly -2.62%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.36

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.28%40.78%40.80%42.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.272.282.3650.00%44.11%43.86%42.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Tromso (Visit)

Prediction 34.36%2.91fair odd
EV -1.03%
Edge -0.357%
Kelly -0.548%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.88

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.99%34.41%34.45%36.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.662.652.8841.67%37.55%37.74%34.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 24.77%4.04fair odd
EV -2.65%
Edge -0.675%
Kelly -0.906%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.93

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.77%24.82%24.76%26.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.453.673.653.9328.99%27.26%27.40%25.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Vålerenga (Local): 40.87%; Tromso (Visit): 34.36%; Draw: 24.77%. For Tromso (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.91. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.88, with an expected value of -1.03%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (55 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 41.10%EV -3.56%E -1.51%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.03%EV -2.06%E -0.723%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.87%EV -3.40%E -0.871%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.1%2026-11-01 18:00
GTbets🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 39.95%EV -3.56%E -1.51%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.92%EV -7.22%E -2.67%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -7.11%E -1.90%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.1%2026-11-01 17:40
Betsson🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.65%EV -3.97%E -1.69%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.17%EV -1.03%E -0.357%K -0.548%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.17%EV -9.59%E -2.63%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.7%2026-11-01 18:10
1xBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.62%EV -3.97%E -1.69%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.46%EV -4.81%E -1.74%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 24.92%EV -5.13%E -1.34%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.8%2026-11-01 17:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.52%EV -3.97%E -1.69%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.04%EV -8.93%E -3.37%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.44%EV -9.59%E -2.63%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.7%2026-11-01 17:45
Unibet (NL)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.52%EV -3.97%E -1.69%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.04%EV -8.93%E -3.37%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.44%EV -9.59%E -2.63%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.7%2026-11-01 17:45
BetRivers🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.52%EV -3.97%E -1.69%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.04%EV -8.93%E -3.37%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.44%EV -9.59%E -2.63%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.7%2026-11-01 17:45
Grosvenor🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.52%EV -3.97%E -1.69%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.04%EV -8.93%E -3.37%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.44%EV -9.59%E -2.63%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.7%2026-11-01 17:45
Unibet (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.52%EV -3.97%E -1.69%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.04%EV -8.93%E -3.37%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.44%EV -9.59%E -2.63%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.7%2026-11-01 17:45
Casumo🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.52%EV -3.97%E -1.69%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.04%EV -8.93%E -3.37%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.44%EV -9.59%E -2.63%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.7%2026-11-01 17:45
Unibet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.52%EV -3.97%E -1.69%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.04%EV -8.93%E -3.37%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.44%EV -9.59%E -2.63%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.7%2026-11-01 17:45
ATG (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.52%EV -3.97%E -1.69%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.04%EV -8.93%E -3.37%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.44%EV -9.59%E -2.63%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.7%2026-11-01 17:45
betPARX🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.52%EV -3.97%E -1.69%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.04%EV -8.93%E -3.37%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.44%EV -9.59%E -2.63%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.7%2026-11-01 17:45
Svenska Spel🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.52%EV -3.97%E -1.69%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.04%EV -8.93%E -3.37%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.44%EV -9.59%E -2.63%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.7%2026-11-01 17:45
Pinnacle🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 41.48%EV -4.38%E -1.87%K -3.27%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 33.82%EV -1.37%E -0.478%K -0.734%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 24.70%EV -2.65%E -0.675%K -0.906%G +0.000%3.0%2026-11-01 18:00
DraftKings🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.09%EV -6.01%E -2.61%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.36%EV -5.50%E -2.00%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.55%EV -4.64%E -1.20%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.8%2026-11-01 17:45
NordicBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.88%EV -6.01%E -2.61%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.99%EV -2.06%E -0.723%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -10.83%E -3.01%K -4.16%G +0.000%6.3%2026-11-01 18:10
Bovada🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.82%EV -6.01%E -2.61%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.14%EV -5.50%E -2.00%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -7.11%E -1.90%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.5%2026-11-01 18:09
BetUS🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.82%EV -6.01%E -2.61%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.14%EV -5.50%E -2.00%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -7.11%E -1.90%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.5%2026-11-01 18:00
Unibet (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.70%EV -6.01%E -2.61%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.67%EV -7.22%E -2.67%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.63%EV -5.87%E -1.55%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.8%2026-11-01 17:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -6.01%E -2.61%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.75%EV -10.65%E -4.10%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -3.40%E -0.871%K -1.17%G +0.000%7.6%2026-11-01 17:45
Fanatics🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.89%EV -6.01%E -2.61%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.62%EV -8.93%E -3.37%K -5.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -10.83%E -3.01%K -4.16%G +0.000%9.0%2026-11-01 17:14
Tipico (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.60%EV -6.01%E -2.61%K -4.62%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.43%EV -14.09%E -5.64%K -9.39%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -5.87%E -1.55%K -2.10%G +0.000%9.8%2026-11-01 17:10
Marathon Bet🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 40.64%EV -6.42%E -2.80%K -4.98%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -7.22%E -2.67%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 24.89%EV -7.36%E -1.97%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.4%2026-11-01 17:40
LowVig.ag🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.58%EV -6.83%E -2.99%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.14%EV -1.72%E -0.600%K -0.923%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.28%EV -7.11%E -1.90%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.5%2026-11-01 18:05
BetOnline.ag🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.58%EV -6.83%E -2.99%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.14%EV -1.72%E -0.600%K -0.923%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.28%EV -7.11%E -1.90%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.5%2026-11-01 18:05
BetAnything🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.58%EV -6.83%E -2.99%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.14%EV -1.72%E -0.600%K -0.923%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.28%EV -7.11%E -1.90%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.5%2026-11-01 18:05
TABtouch🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.28%EV -6.83%E -2.99%K -5.33%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.12%EV -12.37%E -4.85%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.59%EV -13.31%E -3.80%K -5.32%G +0.000%11.6%2026-11-01 17:40
Codere (IT)🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 40.19%EV -7.64%E -3.38%K -6.07%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.93%EV -10.65%E -4.10%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.88%EV -9.59%E -2.63%K -3.62%G +0.000%10.1%2026-11-01 17:40
Betway🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.49%EV -8.05%E -3.58%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.95%EV -5.50%E -2.00%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.57%EV -5.87%E -1.55%K -2.10%G +0.000%7.1%2026-11-01 18:05
FanDuel🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -8.05%E -3.58%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -3.78%E -1.35%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -8.35%E -2.26%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.2%2026-11-01 18:10
BetMGM🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.05%E -3.58%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.25%EV -7.22%E -2.67%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.66%EV -7.11%E -1.90%K -2.59%G +0.000%8.1%2026-11-01 17:55
Winamax (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -8.05%E -3.58%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.21%EV -10.65%E -4.10%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.09%EV -5.87%E -1.55%K -2.10%G +0.000%9.2%2026-11-01 17:40
Bet Victor🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.67%EV -8.05%E -3.58%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.93%EV -9.96%E -3.80%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -7.11%E -1.90%K -2.59%G +0.000%9.3%2026-11-01 17:58
betano_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.67%EV -8.05%E -3.58%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.93%EV -9.96%E -3.80%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -7.11%E -1.90%K -2.59%G +0.000%9.3%2026-11-01 17:59
LeoVegas🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -8.05%E -3.58%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.10%EV -10.65%E -4.10%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.34%EV -7.11%E -1.90%K -2.59%G +0.000%9.6%2026-11-01 18:10
William Hill🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.26%EV -8.05%E -3.58%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.58%EV -9.96%E -3.80%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -10.83%E -3.01%K -4.16%G +0.000%10.4%2026-11-01 17:45
Bet Right🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -8.05%E -3.58%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.00%EV -14.09%E -5.64%K -9.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.00%EV -7.11%E -1.90%K -2.59%G +0.000%11.1%2026-11-01 17:45
betfred_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.60%EV -8.05%E -3.58%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.64%EV -14.09%E -5.64%K -9.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -10.83%E -3.01%K -4.16%G +0.000%12.2%2026-11-01 17:15
Virgin Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.46%EV -8.05%E -3.58%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.81%EV -12.37%E -4.85%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.73%EV -14.54%E -4.22%K -5.94%G +0.000%12.6%2026-11-01 17:45
PMU (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.46%EV -8.05%E -3.58%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.81%EV -12.37%E -4.85%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.73%EV -14.54%E -4.22%K -5.94%G +0.000%12.6%2026-11-01 17:45
LiveScore Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.46%EV -8.05%E -3.58%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.81%EV -12.37%E -4.85%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.73%EV -14.54%E -4.22%K -5.94%G +0.000%12.6%2026-11-01 17:45
SportsBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.47%EV -10.10%E -4.59%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.18%EV -5.50%E -2.00%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.35%EV -10.83%E -3.01%K -4.16%G +0.000%9.6%2026-11-01 18:10
Paddy Power🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.22%EV -10.10%E -4.59%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.59%EV -7.22%E -2.67%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -10.83%E -3.01%K -4.16%G +0.000%10.3%2026-11-01 17:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.22%EV -10.10%E -4.59%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.59%EV -7.22%E -2.67%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -10.83%E -3.01%K -4.16%G +0.000%10.3%2026-11-01 18:05
PlayUp🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.08%EV -10.10%E -4.59%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.47%EV -7.22%E -2.67%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.46%EV -12.07%E -3.40%K -4.73%G +0.000%10.7%2026-11-01 18:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.57%EV -10.10%E -4.59%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.93%EV -9.62%E -3.66%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -13.31%E -3.80%K -5.32%G +0.000%12.0%2026-11-01 18:00
Neds🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.57%EV -10.10%E -4.59%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.93%EV -9.62%E -3.66%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -13.31%E -3.80%K -5.32%G +0.000%12.0%2026-11-01 18:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -10.10%E -4.59%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.02%EV -9.96%E -3.80%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -13.31%E -3.80%K -5.32%G +0.000%12.2%2026-11-01 18:00
Coral🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -10.10%E -4.59%K -8.41%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.02%EV -9.96%E -3.80%K -6.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -13.31%E -3.80%K -5.32%G +0.000%12.2%2026-11-01 18:00
Betclic (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.64%EV -12.14%E -5.65%K -10.56%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.04%EV -9.62%E -3.66%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 24.33%EV -8.85%E -2.40%K -3.30%G +0.000%11.7%2026-11-01 17:59
Sky Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.12%EV -12.14%E -5.65%K -10.56%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.62%EV -9.62%E -3.66%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.26%EV -13.31%E -3.80%K -5.32%G +0.000%13.1%2026-11-01 18:00
Winamax (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 40.41%EV -12.14%E -5.65%K -10.56%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.46%EV -15.81%E -6.45%K -10.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.13%EV -10.83%E -3.01%K -4.16%G +0.000%15.1%2026-11-01 17:40
BoyleSports🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 41.65%EV -16.23%E -7.92%K -15.45%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.58%EV -17.52%E -7.30%K -12.52%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.77%EV -7.11%E -1.90%K -2.59%G +0.000%17.1%2026-11-01 18:00
Unibet (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 42.17%EV -18.27%E -9.13%K -18.27%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 33.73%EV -14.09%E -5.64%K -9.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.10%EV -13.31%E -3.80%K -5.32%G +0.000%18.6%2026-11-01 18:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook◎2.40I 41.67%NM 41.48%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.63%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.89%0.5%2026-11-01 18:10
Smarkets◎2.40I 41.67%NM 41.35%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.53%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.12%0.8%2026-11-01 18:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.40I 41.67%NM 41.35%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.53%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.12%0.8%2026-11-01 18:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.40I 41.67%NM 41.35%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.53%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.12%0.8%2026-11-01 18:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.40I 41.67%NM 41.35%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.53%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.12%0.8%2026-11-01 18:05

Discuss this game on odds.forum

No published comments yet.