The School of Odds
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Vålerenga v SK Brann

Kickoff: 2026-10-18 15:00 UTC

Final: Vålerenga 3–1 SK Brann

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

55 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Vålerenga (Local)

Prediction 39.63%2.52fair odd
EV -2.91%
Edge -1.19%
Kelly -2.01%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.93%39.65%39.62%41.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.302.302.4548.78%43.43%43.48%40.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

SK Brann (Visit)

Prediction 36.49%2.74fair odd
EV -1.49%
Edge -0.551%
Kelly -0.876%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.66%36.50%36.43%38.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.552.552.7043.48%39.23%39.22%37.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 23.89%4.19fair odd
EV -1.59%
Edge -0.386%
Kelly -0.510%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.12

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.64%23.85%23.95%25.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.833.854.1228.57%26.13%25.97%24.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Vålerenga (Local): 39.63%; SK Brann (Visit): 36.49%; Draw: 23.89%. For SK Brann (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.74. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.70, with an expected value of -1.49%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (55 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.59%EV -2.91%E -1.19%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.46%EV -2.95%E -1.11%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.95%EV -3.26%E -0.805%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.1%2026-10-18 13:59
Betsson🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.17%EV -2.91%E -1.19%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.22%EV -3.31%E -1.25%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.61%EV -6.84%E -1.76%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-18 14:40
LowVig.ag🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 38.90%EV -3.31%E -1.36%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.07%EV -6.60%E -2.58%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.03%EV -5.65%E -1.43%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-18 14:45
BetOnline.ag🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 38.90%EV -3.31%E -1.36%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.07%EV -6.60%E -2.58%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.03%EV -5.65%E -1.43%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-18 14:44
BetUS🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 38.90%EV -3.31%E -1.36%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.07%EV -6.60%E -2.58%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.03%EV -5.65%E -1.43%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-18 14:44
BetAnything🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 38.90%EV -3.31%E -1.36%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.07%EV -6.60%E -2.58%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.03%EV -5.65%E -1.43%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-18 14:45
Pinnacle🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.84%EV -3.70%E -1.52%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.67%EV -3.68%E -1.39%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.12I 24.27%NM 23.50%EV -1.59%E -0.386%K -0.510%G +0.000%3.3%2026-10-18 14:55
NordicBet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.27%EV -4.89%E -2.04%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.25%EV -5.14%E -1.98%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.48%EV -8.04%E -2.09%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-18 14:39
DraftKings🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.23%EV -4.89%E -2.04%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.93%EV -6.96%E -2.73%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.84%EV -5.65%E -1.43%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-18 14:34
Bovada🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.12%EV -4.89%E -2.04%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.81%EV -6.96%E -2.73%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -6.84%E -1.76%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-18 14:44
Tipico (DE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.93%EV -4.89%E -2.04%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.73%EV -14.26%E -6.07%K -10.56%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.34%EV -6.84%E -1.76%K -2.36%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-18 14:34
1xBet🎯2.39I 41.84%NM 39.92%EV -5.29%E -2.21%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.87%EV -2.95%E -1.11%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 24.21%EV -5.89%E -1.49%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-18 13:50
BetMGM🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.03%EV -5.68%E -2.39%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.15%EV -8.79%E -3.51%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.82%EV -6.84%E -1.76%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-18 14:44
Unibet (UK)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -6.87%E -2.92%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.06%EV -5.14%E -1.98%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.04%EV -6.84%E -1.76%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-18 13:49
FanDuel🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -6.87%E -2.92%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.06%EV -5.14%E -1.98%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.04%EV -6.84%E -1.76%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-18 14:48
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.56%EV -6.87%E -2.92%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -8.79%E -3.51%K -5.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -4.46%E -1.11%K -1.49%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-18 14:49
Fanatics🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.09%EV -6.87%E -2.92%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.74%EV -8.79%E -3.51%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -9.23%E -2.43%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-18 14:34
GTbets🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.33%EV -7.67%E -3.29%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.07%EV -2.22%E -0.828%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.60%EV -8.76%E -2.29%K -3.10%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-18 08:35
Marathon Bet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.90%EV -7.67%E -3.29%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 35.89%EV -5.50%E -2.12%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.21%EV -8.28%E -2.16%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-18 13:44
BetRivers🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.70%EV -8.85%E -3.85%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.67%EV -1.49%E -0.551%K -0.876%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.63%EV -9.23%E -2.43%K -3.30%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-18 09:29
betfred_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.08%EV -8.85%E -3.85%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.87%EV -8.79%E -3.51%K -5.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -4.46%E -1.11%K -1.49%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-18 14:00
Betway🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.08%EV -8.85%E -3.85%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.87%EV -8.79%E -3.51%K -5.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -4.46%E -1.11%K -1.49%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-18 14:34
LeoVegas🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.01%EV -8.85%E -3.85%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.09%EV -6.96%E -2.73%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -8.04%E -2.09%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-18 14:55
SportsBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.88%EV -8.85%E -3.85%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.97%EV -6.96%E -2.73%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.14%EV -9.23%E -2.43%K -3.30%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-18 14:49
betano_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.60%EV -8.85%E -3.85%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.43%EV -8.79%E -3.51%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -9.23%E -2.43%K -3.30%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-18 14:53
Bet Victor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.60%EV -8.85%E -3.85%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.43%EV -8.79%E -3.51%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -9.23%E -2.43%K -3.30%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-18 14:54
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -8.85%E -3.85%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.32%EV -8.79%E -3.51%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -10.43%E -2.78%K -3.79%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-18 14:49
PlayUp🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.34%EV -8.85%E -3.85%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.20%EV -8.79%E -3.51%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.46%EV -11.62%E -3.14%K -4.30%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-18 14:49
Neds🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.76%EV -8.85%E -3.85%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.15%EV -12.43%E -5.18%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.09%EV -11.62%E -3.14%K -4.30%G +0.000%12.2%2026-10-18 14:44
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.76%EV -8.85%E -3.85%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.15%EV -12.43%E -5.18%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.09%EV -11.62%E -3.14%K -4.30%G +0.000%12.2%2026-10-18 14:44
Coral🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.76%EV -8.85%E -3.85%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.15%EV -12.43%E -5.18%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.09%EV -11.62%E -3.14%K -4.30%G +0.000%12.2%2026-10-18 14:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.76%EV -8.85%E -3.85%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.15%EV -12.43%E -5.18%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.09%EV -11.62%E -3.14%K -4.30%G +0.000%12.2%2026-10-18 14:44
Unibet (NL)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.04%EV -9.65%E -4.23%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.66%EV -1.49%E -0.551%K -0.876%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.30%EV -8.04%E -2.09%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-18 14:50
Unibet (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.04%EV -9.65%E -4.23%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.66%EV -1.49%E -0.551%K -0.876%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.30%EV -8.04%E -2.09%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-18 14:50
Casumo🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.04%EV -9.65%E -4.23%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.66%EV -1.49%E -0.551%K -0.876%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.30%EV -8.04%E -2.09%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-18 14:50
betPARX🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.04%EV -9.65%E -4.23%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.66%EV -1.49%E -0.551%K -0.876%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.30%EV -8.04%E -2.09%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-18 14:49
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.04%EV -9.65%E -4.23%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.66%EV -1.49%E -0.551%K -0.876%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.30%EV -8.04%E -2.09%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-18 14:50
Svenska Spel🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.04%EV -9.65%E -4.23%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.66%EV -1.49%E -0.551%K -0.876%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.30%EV -8.04%E -2.09%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-18 14:50
ATG (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.04%EV -9.65%E -4.23%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.66%EV -1.49%E -0.551%K -0.876%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.30%EV -8.04%E -2.09%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-18 14:49
Codere (IT)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.68%EV -9.65%E -4.23%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.19%EV -8.79%E -3.51%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.13%EV -10.43%E -2.78%K -3.79%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-18 13:49
Winamax (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.37%EV -10.84%E -4.82%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.34%EV -8.79%E -3.51%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.29%EV -6.84%E -1.76%K -2.36%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-18 13:49
Paddy Power🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.13%EV -10.84%E -4.82%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -8.79%E -3.51%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.76%EV -9.23%E -2.43%K -3.30%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-18 14:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.13%EV -10.84%E -4.82%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -8.79%E -3.51%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.76%EV -9.23%E -2.43%K -3.30%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-18 14:50
Bet Right🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.53%EV -10.84%E -4.82%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.06%EV -12.43%E -5.18%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.41%EV -9.23%E -2.43%K -3.30%G +0.000%12.4%2026-10-18 14:49
Sky Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.33%EV -10.84%E -4.82%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.39%EV -8.79%E -3.51%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.28%EV -16.40%E -4.69%K -6.56%G +0.000%13.0%2026-10-18 14:29
Unibet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 40.64%EV -11.63%E -5.21%K -9.45%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.86%EV -5.14%E -1.98%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.50%EV -11.62%E -3.14%K -4.30%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-18 09:30
Grosvenor🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 40.64%EV -11.63%E -5.21%K -9.45%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.86%EV -5.14%E -1.98%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.50%EV -11.62%E -3.14%K -4.30%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-18 09:29
TABtouch🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.69%EV -12.82%E -5.83%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.11%EV -6.96%E -2.73%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.20%EV -11.62%E -3.14%K -4.30%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-18 14:49
Winamax (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.50%EV -12.82%E -5.83%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.36%EV -10.61%E -4.33%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.14%EV -8.04%E -2.09%K -2.82%G +0.000%12.2%2026-10-18 13:49
LiveScore Bet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 40.78%EV -13.61%E -6.24%K -11.53%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.86%EV -6.96%E -2.73%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.36%EV -12.82%E -3.51%K -4.84%G +0.000%12.5%2026-10-18 14:49
Virgin Bet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 40.78%EV -13.61%E -6.24%K -11.53%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.86%EV -6.96%E -2.73%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.36%EV -12.82%E -3.51%K -4.84%G +0.000%12.5%2026-10-18 14:49
PMU (FR)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 40.78%EV -13.61%E -6.24%K -11.53%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.86%EV -6.96%E -2.73%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.36%EV -12.82%E -3.51%K -4.84%G +0.000%12.5%2026-10-18 14:49
Betclic (FR)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 41.12%EV -14.01%E -6.45%K -11.97%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 35.27%EV -7.69%E -3.04%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 23.61%EV -9.71%E -2.57%K -3.49%G +0.000%12.1%2026-10-18 14:33
BoyleSports🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 40.44%EV -16.78%E -7.99%K -15.25%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 36.92%EV -16.08%E -6.99%K -12.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.64%EV -10.43%E -2.78%K -3.79%G +0.000%17.8%2026-10-18 13:55
Unibet (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 41.83%EV -18.76%E -9.15%K -17.87%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.00%EV -10.61%E -4.33%K -7.32%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.17%EV -11.62%E -3.14%K -4.30%G +0.000%16.6%2026-10-18 14:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.48I 40.32%NM 40.07%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.27%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.66%0.6%2026-10-18 14:54
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.48I 40.32%NM 40.07%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.27%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.66%0.6%2026-10-18 14:49
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.48I 40.32%NM 40.07%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.27%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.66%0.6%2026-10-18 14:55
Matchbook◎2.48I 40.32%NM 40.07%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.27%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.66%0.6%2026-10-18 14:50
Smarkets◎2.48I 40.32%NM 39.84%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.06%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.10%1.2%2026-10-18 14:50