The School of Odds
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Vålerenga v Molde

2026-08-29 14:00 UTC — Eliteserien - Norway

Head to Head

15 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Vålerenga (Local)

Prediction 39.15%2.55fair odd
EV -4.88%
Edge -2.01%
Kelly -3.41%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.43

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.66%39.22%39.15%40.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.182.292.302.4345.87%43.60%43.48%41.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Molde (Visit)

Prediction 36.96%2.71fair odd
EV -5.02%
Edge -1.95%
Kelly -3.20%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.57

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.79%36.87%36.96%37.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.352.462.452.5742.55%40.64%40.82%38.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 23.90%4.18fair odd
EV -3.46%
Edge -0.856%
Kelly -1.14%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.04

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.05%23.91%23.90%24.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.533.783.754.0428.33%26.45%26.67%24.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Vålerenga (Local): 39.15%; Molde (Visit): 36.96%; Draw: 23.90%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.18. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 4.04, with an expected value of -3.46%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (15 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.26%EV -4.88%E -2.01%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.12%EV -5.02%E -1.95%K -3.20%G +0.000%4.04I 24.75%NM 23.62%EV -3.46%E -0.856%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-18 21:15
Marathon Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.20%EV -6.83%E -2.87%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 37.17%EV -7.24%E -2.88%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.62%EV -5.61%E -1.42%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-18 21:05
William Hill🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -6.83%E -2.87%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.80%EV -7.61%E -3.04%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.54%EV -10.39%E -2.77%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-18 21:50
FanDuel🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.56%EV -8.01%E -3.41%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -7.61%E -3.04%K -5.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -4.41%E -1.10%K -1.47%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-18 20:53
Fanatics🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.09%EV -8.01%E -3.41%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.74%EV -7.61%E -3.04%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -9.19%E -2.42%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-18 21:09
Codere (IT)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.04%EV -8.79%E -3.77%K -6.61%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.38%EV -7.61%E -3.04%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.58%EV -11.58%E -3.13%K -4.29%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-18 20:35
SportsBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.08%EV -9.97%E -4.33%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.87%EV -7.61%E -3.04%K -5.07%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -4.41%E -1.10%K -1.47%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-18 20:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -9.97%E -4.33%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.13%EV -9.45%E -3.86%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.32%EV -6.80%E -1.74%K -2.35%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-18 20:55
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.31%EV -9.97%E -4.33%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.90%EV -9.45%E -3.86%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.79%EV -9.19%E -2.42%K -3.28%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-18 20:55
LeoVegas🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.18%EV -9.97%E -4.33%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.78%EV -9.45%E -3.86%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.03%EV -10.39%E -2.77%K -3.78%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-18 20:40
Unibet (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 39.86%EV -13.88%E -6.31%K -11.57%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.79%EV -9.45%E -3.86%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.36%EV -13.97%E -3.88%K -5.37%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-18 20:35
Winamax (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 39.82%EV -13.88%E -6.31%K -11.57%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.50%EV -11.30%E -4.71%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.68%EV -11.58%E -3.13%K -4.29%G +0.000%14.1%2026-08-18 20:35
Sky Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 39.44%EV -13.88%E -6.31%K -11.57%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 36.46%EV -12.04%E -5.06%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.10%EV -13.97%E -3.88%K -5.37%G +0.000%15.2%2026-08-18 20:55
Winamax (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 39.26%EV -13.88%E -6.31%K -11.57%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 36.75%EV -13.15%E -5.60%K -9.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.99%EV -13.97%E -3.88%K -5.37%G +0.000%15.8%2026-08-18 20:35
Betclic (FR)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 39.59%EV -14.66%E -6.73%K -12.43%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.96%EV -11.30%E -4.71%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 24.45%EV -15.64%E -4.43%K -6.18%G +0.000%15.9%2026-08-18 20:39
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

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