Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.78
assuming max odds 2.43
assuming max odds 4.10
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Vålerenga (Local): 35.49%; Molde (Visit): 40.44%; Draw: 24.08%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.15. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.10, with an expected value of -1.29%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.81%EV -1.35%E -0.486%K -0.759%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.00%EV -4.56%E -1.93%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.19%EV -3.70%E -0.924%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-29 02:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.60%EV -1.35%E -0.486%K -0.759%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.08%EV -2.95%E -1.23%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.31%EV -8.51%E -2.24%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-24 18:29 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.39%EV -3.48%E -1.28%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.32%EV -6.18%E -2.66%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -10.92%E -2.95%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-28 10:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.39%EV -3.48%E -1.28%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.32%EV -6.18%E -2.66%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -10.92%E -2.95%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-28 10:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.90%EV -4.19%E -1.55%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.62%EV -6.18%E -2.66%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.48%EV -7.31%E -1.90%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-28 05:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.90%EV -4.19%E -1.55%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.62%EV -6.18%E -2.66%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.48%EV -7.31%E -1.90%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-28 05:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -4.19%E -1.55%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.74%EV -9.01%E -4.01%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -3.70%E -0.924%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-26 14:04 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.92%EV -5.61%E -2.11%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.97%E -2.11%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 4.08I 24.51%NM 23.42%EV -1.77%E -0.434%K -0.575%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-22 14:29 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.42%EV -5.96%E -2.25%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -6.99%E -3.04%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.76%EV -4.90%E -1.24%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-28 10:36 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.42%EV -5.96%E -2.25%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -6.99%E -3.04%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.76%EV -4.90%E -1.24%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-28 10:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.31%EV -5.96%E -2.25%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.69%EV -6.99%E -3.04%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -6.10%E -1.57%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-28 06:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.09%EV -5.96%E -2.25%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.43%EV -6.99%E -3.04%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.47%EV -8.51%E -2.24%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-26 14:04 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.78%EV -5.96%E -2.25%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.96%EV -9.01%E -4.01%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.26%EV -8.51%E -2.24%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-27 11:15 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.01%EV -7.03%E -2.68%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.98%EV -4.56%E -1.93%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 3.93I 25.45%NM 24.01%EV -5.38%E -1.37%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-26 08:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.35%EV -7.03%E -2.68%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.27%EV -6.99%E -3.04%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.38%EV -8.51%E -2.24%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-28 06:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.58%EV -7.03%E -2.68%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.26%EV -9.01%E -4.01%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -13.33%E -3.70%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-28 12:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.17%EV -7.74%E -2.98%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.89%EV -6.99%E -3.04%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.94%EV -1.29%E -0.315%K -0.416%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-28 02:14 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.97%EV -7.74%E -2.98%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.66%EV -6.99%E -3.04%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -3.70%E -0.924%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-28 05:20 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.97%EV -7.74%E -2.98%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.66%EV -6.99%E -3.04%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -3.70%E -0.924%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-29 02:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.86%EV -7.74%E -2.98%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 40.71%EV -7.39%E -3.23%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.98I 25.13%NM 23.43%EV -4.18%E -1.05%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-22 14:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.87%EV -7.74%E -2.98%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.29%EV -9.01%E -4.01%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.84%EV -12.12%E -3.32%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-28 06:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.57I 38.91%NM 35.09%EV -8.80%E -3.43%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.08%EV -9.01%E -4.01%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 24.84%EV -12.61%E -3.47%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-27 14:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.41%EV -9.51%E -3.73%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.37%EV -6.99%E -3.04%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -3.70%E -0.924%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-28 02:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.97%EV -9.51%E -3.73%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.88%EV -6.99%E -3.04%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.14%EV -8.51%E -2.24%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-27 14:05 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.88%EV -9.51%E -3.73%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.66%EV -9.01%E -4.01%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.46%EV -6.10%E -1.57%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-26 17:03 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.88%EV -9.51%E -3.73%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.66%EV -9.01%E -4.01%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.46%EV -6.10%E -1.57%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-26 17:08 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.22%EV -9.51%E -3.73%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.83%EV -11.03%E -5.02%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.95%EV -9.72%E -2.59%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-08-27 14:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.57%EV -11.29%E -4.51%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.65%EV -1.73%E -0.713%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.78%EV -4.90%E -1.24%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-26 16:34 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.57%EV -11.29%E -4.51%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.65%EV -1.73%E -0.713%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.78%EV -4.90%E -1.24%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-26 16:34 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.57%EV -11.29%E -4.51%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.65%EV -1.73%E -0.713%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.78%EV -4.90%E -1.24%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-26 16:34 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.57%EV -11.29%E -4.51%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.65%EV -1.73%E -0.713%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.78%EV -4.90%E -1.24%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-26 16:34 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.57%EV -11.29%E -4.51%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.65%EV -1.73%E -0.713%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.78%EV -4.90%E -1.24%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-26 16:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.57%EV -11.29%E -4.51%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.65%EV -1.73%E -0.713%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.78%EV -4.90%E -1.24%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-26 16:34 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.57%EV -11.29%E -4.51%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.65%EV -1.73%E -0.713%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.78%EV -4.90%E -1.24%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-26 16:34 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.57%EV -11.29%E -4.51%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.65%EV -1.73%E -0.713%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.78%EV -4.90%E -1.24%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-26 16:34 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.57%EV -11.29%E -4.51%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.65%EV -1.73%E -0.713%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.78%EV -4.90%E -1.24%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-26 16:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.57%EV -11.29%E -4.51%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.65%EV -1.73%E -0.713%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.78%EV -4.90%E -1.24%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-26 16:34 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -11.29%E -4.51%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.61%EV -9.01%E -4.01%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -3.70%E -0.924%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-28 02:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -11.29%E -4.51%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.61%EV -9.01%E -4.01%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -3.70%E -0.924%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-28 02:10 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -11.29%E -4.51%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.61%EV -9.01%E -4.01%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -3.70%E -0.924%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-25 09:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.43%EV -11.29%E -4.51%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.60%EV -6.99%E -3.04%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -8.51%E -2.24%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-21 07:44 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -11.29%E -4.51%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 39.24%EV -6.59%E -2.85%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.50%EV -10.92%E -2.95%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-24 14:14 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.56%EV -11.29%E -4.51%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.41%EV -11.03%E -5.02%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.03%EV -10.92%E -2.95%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-28 06:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.56%EV -11.29%E -4.51%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.41%EV -11.03%E -5.02%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.03%EV -10.92%E -2.95%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-28 06:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.56%EV -11.29%E -4.51%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.41%EV -11.03%E -5.02%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.03%EV -10.92%E -2.95%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-28 06:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.56%EV -11.29%E -4.51%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.41%EV -11.03%E -5.02%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.03%EV -10.92%E -2.95%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-28 06:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.47%EV -13.06%E -5.33%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.71%EV -9.01%E -4.01%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.82%EV -9.72%E -2.59%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-08-24 18:15 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.14%EV -13.06%E -5.33%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.25%EV -11.03%E -5.02%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.61%EV -9.72%E -2.59%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-28 03:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.58%EV -14.83%E -6.18%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.38%EV -4.97%E -2.11%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.05%EV -9.72%E -2.59%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-26 12:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.50%EV -14.83%E -6.18%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.82%EV -11.03%E -5.02%K -9.20%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.68%EV -10.92%E -2.95%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-08-24 18:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 35.24%EV -14.83%E -6.18%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 41.26%EV -17.10%E -8.34%K -16.29%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.50%EV -13.33%E -3.70%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 18.2% | 2026-08-28 07:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.47%EV -15.54%E -6.53%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 38.43%EV -6.18%E -2.66%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.10%EV -10.92%E -2.95%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-26 16:34 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.47%EV -15.54%E -6.53%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 38.43%EV -6.18%E -2.66%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.10%EV -10.92%E -2.95%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-26 16:34 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.47%EV -15.54%E -6.53%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 38.43%EV -6.18%E -2.66%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.10%EV -10.92%E -2.95%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-26 16:34 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.31% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 40.50% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.19% | 13.3% | 2026-08-28 09:10 |