The School of Odds
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Vålerenga v HamKam

Kickoff: 2026-05-31 17:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Vålerenga (Local)

Prediction 53.93%1.85fair odd
EV -7.24%
Edge -4.21%
Kelly -10.06%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.72

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.85%53.93%53.93%54.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.601.691.721.7262.50%59.07%58.14%58.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

HamKam (Visit)

Prediction 22.24%4.50fair odd
EV -5.48%
Edge -1.29%
Kelly -1.69%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.71%22.24%22.24%22.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.804.174.254.2526.32%23.98%23.53%23.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 23.83%4.20fair odd
EV -8.25%
Edge -2.14%
Kelly -2.90%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.33%23.83%23.83%24.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.653.813.853.8527.40%26.24%25.97%25.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Vålerenga (Local): 53.93%; HamKam (Visit): 22.24%; Draw: 23.83%. For HamKam (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.50. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.25, with an expected value of -5.48%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.01%EV -7.24%E -4.21%K -10.06%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.86%EV -5.48%E -1.29%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.13%EV -8.25%E -2.14%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-26 23:49
ATG (SE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.01%EV -7.24%E -4.21%K -10.06%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.86%EV -5.48%E -1.29%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.13%EV -8.25%E -2.14%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-26 23:50
BetRivers🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.01%EV -7.24%E -4.21%K -10.06%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.86%EV -5.48%E -1.29%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.13%EV -8.25%E -2.14%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-27 00:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.01%EV -7.24%E -4.21%K -10.06%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.86%EV -5.48%E -1.29%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.13%EV -8.25%E -2.14%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-27 00:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.01%EV -7.24%E -4.21%K -10.06%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.86%EV -5.48%E -1.29%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.13%EV -8.25%E -2.14%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-27 00:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.01%EV -7.24%E -4.21%K -10.06%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.86%EV -5.48%E -1.29%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.13%EV -8.25%E -2.14%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-27 00:00
Casumo🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.01%EV -7.24%E -4.21%K -10.06%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.86%EV -5.48%E -1.29%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.13%EV -8.25%E -2.14%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-27 00:00
Grosvenor🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.01%EV -7.24%E -4.21%K -10.06%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.86%EV -5.48%E -1.29%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.13%EV -8.25%E -2.14%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-27 00:00
betPARX🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.01%EV -7.24%E -4.21%K -10.06%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.86%EV -5.48%E -1.29%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.13%EV -8.25%E -2.14%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-26 23:59
Svenska Spel🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.01%EV -7.24%E -4.21%K -10.06%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.86%EV -5.48%E -1.29%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.13%EV -8.25%E -2.14%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-27 00:00
TABtouch🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.16%EV -8.32%E -4.89%K -11.89%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.92%EV -6.59%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.92%EV -8.25%E -2.14%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-27 00:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.29%EV -9.40%E -5.59%K -13.82%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -6.59%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -9.44%E -2.49%K -3.37%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-26 23:59
Virgin Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.29%EV -9.40%E -5.59%K -13.82%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -6.59%E -1.57%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -9.44%E -2.49%K -3.37%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-26 23:59
LeoVegas🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 54.13%EV -10.48%E -6.31%K -15.87%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.91%EV -8.82%E -2.15%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.96%EV -10.64%E -2.84%K -3.87%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-26 23:50
PMU (FR)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 53.94%EV -12.10%E -7.42%K -19.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.98%EV -11.04%E -2.76%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.09%EV -13.02%E -3.57%K -4.91%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-26 23:59
Betclic (FR)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 53.85%EV -12.10%E -7.42%K -19.20%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 22.62%EV -13.71%E -3.53%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 23.53%EV -11.11%E -2.98%K -4.07%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-26 23:59
Unibet (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 53.95%EV -13.71%E -8.57%K -22.85%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.72%EV -15.49%E -4.08%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.33%EV -11.83%E -3.20%K -4.38%G +0.000%15.8%2026-05-27 00:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.