L’École des cotes

Tromso v Vålerenga

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-11 16:00 UTC

Score final : Tromso 4–0 Vålerenga

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

55 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Tromso (Local)

Prévision 54.71%1.83cote équitable
EV -3.70%
Avantage -2.10%
Kelly -4.87%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.76

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
53.11%54.66%54.79%56.24%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.571.681.681.7663.69%59.38%59.52%56.82%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Vålerenga (Visiteur)

Prévision 20.60%4.85cote équitable
EV +0.940%
Avantage +0.192%
Kelly +0.241%
Croissance +0.002%

avec la cote maximale 4.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.33%20.62%20.69%21.98%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.004.484.504.9025.00%22.34%22.22%20.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 24.69%4.05cote équitable
EV -1.26%
Avantage -0.314%
Kelly -0.419%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.22%24.72%24.52%26.06%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.503.713.754.0028.57%26.93%26.67%25.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (55 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.75I 57.14%NM 55.20%EV -4.25%E -2.43%K -5.67%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.71%EV +0.940%E +0.192%K +0.241%G +0.002%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.09%EV -4.96%E -1.29%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-11 15:55
FanDuel1.65I 60.61%NM 56.24%EV -9.72%E -5.89%K -14.96%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -1.12%E -0.233%K -0.295%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.42%EV -6.19%E -1.63%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-11 15:50
Coolbet1.76I 56.82%NM 55.11%EV -3.70%E -2.10%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.64%EV -3.18%E -0.677%K -0.859%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.25%EV -1.26%E -0.314%K -0.419%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-11 06:35
BetUS1.74I 57.47%NM 54.52%EV -4.80%E -2.76%K -6.48%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.18%EV -3.18%E -0.677%K -0.859%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -7.43%E -1.98%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-11 15:34
BetOnline.ag1.73I 57.80%NM 54.66%EV -5.34%E -3.09%K -7.32%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.12%EV -3.18%E -0.677%K -0.859%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -7.43%E -1.98%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-11 15:35
LowVig.ag1.73I 57.80%NM 54.66%EV -5.34%E -3.09%K -7.32%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.12%EV -3.18%E -0.677%K -0.859%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -7.43%E -1.98%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-11 15:34
BetAnything1.73I 57.80%NM 54.66%EV -5.34%E -3.09%K -7.32%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.12%EV -3.18%E -0.677%K -0.859%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -7.43%E -1.98%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-11 15:35
Marathon Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 55.20%EV -7.53%E -4.46%K -10.92%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV -3.18%E -0.677%K -0.859%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 24.95%EV -7.67%E -2.05%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-11 15:35
Tipico (DE)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.65%EV -9.72%E -5.89%K -14.96%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.54%EV -3.18%E -0.677%K -0.859%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -8.66%E -2.34%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-11 15:05
NordicBet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.07%EV -4.25%E -2.43%K -5.67%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.35%EV -4.21%E -0.905%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.58%EV -8.66%E -2.34%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-11 15:34
Betsson1.75I 57.14%NM 54.07%EV -4.25%E -2.43%K -5.67%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.35%EV -4.21%E -0.905%K -1.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.58%EV -8.66%E -2.34%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-11 15:35
DraftKings1.71I 58.48%NM 55.24%EV -6.44%E -3.77%K -9.07%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.54%EV -5.24%E -1.14%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.22%EV -3.72%E -0.955%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-11 15:24
BetRivers1.68I 59.52%NM 55.33%EV -8.08%E -4.81%K -11.88%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -5.24%E -1.14%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -6.19%E -1.63%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-10 20:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 55.33%EV -8.08%E -4.81%K -11.88%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -5.24%E -1.14%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -6.19%E -1.63%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-10 20:10
Unibet (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 55.33%EV -8.08%E -4.81%K -11.88%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -5.24%E -1.14%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -6.19%E -1.63%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-10 20:10
Grosvenor1.68I 59.52%NM 55.33%EV -8.08%E -4.81%K -11.88%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -5.24%E -1.14%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -6.19%E -1.63%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-10 20:10
Casumo1.68I 59.52%NM 55.33%EV -8.08%E -4.81%K -11.88%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -5.24%E -1.14%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -6.19%E -1.63%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-10 20:10
Unibet (NL)1.68I 59.52%NM 55.33%EV -8.08%E -4.81%K -11.88%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -5.24%E -1.14%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -6.19%E -1.63%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-10 20:10
betPARX1.68I 59.52%NM 55.33%EV -8.08%E -4.81%K -11.88%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -5.24%E -1.14%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -6.19%E -1.63%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-10 20:10
Svenska Spel1.68I 59.52%NM 55.33%EV -8.08%E -4.81%K -11.88%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -5.24%E -1.14%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -6.19%E -1.63%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-10 20:10
ATG (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 55.33%EV -8.08%E -4.81%K -11.88%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -5.24%E -1.14%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -6.19%E -1.63%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-10 20:10
Unibet1.68I 59.52%NM 55.33%EV -8.08%E -4.81%K -11.88%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -5.24%E -1.14%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -6.19%E -1.63%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-10 20:10
SportsBet1.66I 60.24%NM 55.26%EV -9.17%E -5.53%K -13.90%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -5.24%E -1.14%K -1.46%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.79%EV -8.66%E -2.34%K -3.21%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-11 15:44
1xBet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.72%EV -4.80%E -2.76%K -6.48%G +0.000%4.59I 21.79%NM 20.74%EV -5.45%E -1.19%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.54%EV -4.22%E -1.09%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-11 15:54
GTbets1.75I 57.14%NM 53.91%EV -4.25%E -2.43%K -5.67%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.73%EV -6.27%E -1.38%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.36%EV -8.17%E -2.20%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-05 03:40
Unibet (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.18%EV -5.34%E -3.09%K -7.32%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -7.30%E -1.62%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.99%EV -7.43%E -1.98%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-11 11:34
BetMGM1.71I 58.48%NM 54.47%EV -6.44%E -3.77%K -9.07%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -7.30%E -1.62%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -7.43%E -1.98%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-11 13:30
TABtouch1.66I 60.24%NM 55.20%EV -9.17%E -5.53%K -13.90%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -7.30%E -1.62%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.44%EV -7.43%E -1.98%K -2.70%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-10 20:10
Fanatics1.69I 59.17%NM 54.20%EV -7.53%E -4.46%K -10.92%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -7.30%E -1.62%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.44%EV -11.13%E -3.09%K -4.28%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-11 15:24
William Hill1.70I 58.82%NM 53.66%EV -6.99%E -4.11%K -9.98%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.27%EV -7.30%E -1.62%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -13.60%E -3.89%K -5.44%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-11 15:34
Virgin Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 55.50%EV -10.27%E -6.26%K -16.05%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.23%EV -7.30%E -1.62%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -7.43%E -1.98%K -2.70%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-10 20:10
LiveScore Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 55.50%EV -10.27%E -6.26%K -16.05%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.23%EV -7.30%E -1.62%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -7.43%E -1.98%K -2.70%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-10 20:10
Everygame1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%EV -8.63%E -5.17%K -12.88%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.22%EV -7.30%E -1.62%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -11.13%E -3.09%K -4.28%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-11 15:35
Paddy Power1.65I 60.61%NM 54.79%EV -9.72%E -5.89%K -14.96%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%EV -7.30%E -1.62%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.11%EV -11.13%E -3.09%K -4.28%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-11 14:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 54.79%EV -9.72%E -5.89%K -14.96%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%EV -7.30%E -1.62%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.11%EV -11.13%E -3.09%K -4.28%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-11 15:50
Bovada1.68I 59.52%NM 54.65%EV -8.08%E -4.81%K -11.88%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -9.36%E -2.13%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%EV -7.43%E -1.98%K -2.70%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-11 15:24
Bet Victor1.67I 59.88%NM 54.80%EV -8.63%E -5.17%K -12.88%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.80%EV -9.36%E -2.13%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -7.43%E -1.98%K -2.70%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-11 14:58
PlayUp1.68I 59.52%NM 53.91%EV -8.08%E -4.81%K -11.88%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.58%EV -9.36%E -2.13%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.51%EV -12.36%E -3.48%K -4.85%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-11 15:35
LeoVegas1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -6.99%E -4.11%K -9.98%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.12%EV -10.39%E -2.39%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -8.66%E -2.34%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-11 15:35
Betclic (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 54.86%EV -10.27%E -6.26%K -16.05%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.68%EV -10.39%E -2.39%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 24.45%EV -9.16%E -2.49%K -3.42%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-11 15:34
PMU (FR)1.57I 63.69%NM 55.65%EV -14.10%E -8.98%K -24.74%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.08%EV -10.39%E -2.39%K -3.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.27%EV -11.13%E -3.09%K -4.28%G +0.000%14.5%2026-07-10 20:10
Betway1.70I 58.82%NM 54.35%EV -6.99%E -4.11%K -9.98%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.34%EV -10.80%E -2.49%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.31%EV -6.19%E -1.63%K -2.21%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-11 13:30
Sky Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 54.44%EV -11.36%E -7.01%K -18.33%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.37%EV -10.80%E -2.49%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.20%EV -13.60%E -3.89%K -5.44%G +0.000%13.4%2026-07-11 15:45
Codere (IT)1.69I 59.17%NM 53.69%EV -7.53%E -4.46%K -10.92%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.10%EV -11.42%E -2.66%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.21%EV -11.13%E -3.09%K -4.28%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-11 11:34
PointsBet (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 53.84%EV -5.89%E -3.43%K -8.18%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.79%EV -12.45%E -2.93%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.37%EV -6.19%E -1.63%K -2.21%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-11 00:44
betfred_uk1.70I 58.82%NM 53.82%EV -6.99%E -4.11%K -9.98%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -13.48%E -3.21%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.40%EV -7.43%E -1.98%K -2.70%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-11 00:44
Winamax (DE)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.11%EV -8.08%E -4.81%K -11.88%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.65%EV -13.48%E -3.21%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -7.43%E -1.98%K -2.70%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-11 11:34
Ladbrokes (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 53.72%EV -8.63%E -5.17%K -12.88%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -13.48%E -3.21%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -11.13%E -3.09%K -4.28%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-11 13:30
Neds1.67I 59.88%NM 53.72%EV -8.63%E -5.17%K -12.88%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -13.48%E -3.21%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -11.13%E -3.09%K -4.28%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-11 13:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 53.72%EV -8.63%E -5.17%K -12.88%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -13.48%E -3.21%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -11.13%E -3.09%K -4.28%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-11 13:29
Coral1.67I 59.88%NM 53.72%EV -8.63%E -5.17%K -12.88%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -13.48%E -3.21%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -11.13%E -3.09%K -4.28%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-11 13:29
Unibet (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 53.81%EV -10.82%E -6.64%K -17.17%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.13%EV -14.51%E -3.50%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.06%EV -13.60%E -3.89%K -5.44%G +0.000%14.0%2026-07-11 15:34
Bet Right1.68I 59.52%NM 53.11%EV -8.08%E -4.81%K -11.88%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.76%EV -15.54%E -3.79%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.13%EV -12.36%E -3.48%K -4.85%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-11 13:04
Winamax (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 53.60%EV -10.27%E -6.26%K -16.05%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.98%EV -17.60%E -4.40%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.42%EV -11.13%E -3.09%K -4.28%G +0.000%13.8%2026-07-11 11:34
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 53.91%EV -11.36%E -7.01%K -18.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.83%EV -17.60%E -4.40%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.26%EV -11.13%E -3.09%K -4.28%G +0.000%14.5%2026-07-11 07:03
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets1.76I 56.82%NM 56.36%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.45%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.19%0.8%2026-07-11 15:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.36%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.45%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.19%0.8%2026-07-11 15:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.36%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.45%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.19%0.8%2026-07-11 15:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.36%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.45%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.19%0.8%2026-07-11 15:39
Matchbook1.76I 56.82%NM 56.36%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.45%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.19%0.8%2026-07-11 15:40