Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tromso v SK Brann

Kickoff: 2026-04-29 17:00 UTC

Final: Tromso 0–5 SK Brann

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

21 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tromso (Local)

Prediction 47.12%2.12fair odd
EV -2.94%
Edge -1.43%
Kelly -2.77%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.06

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.66%47.12%47.12%47.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.841.931.952.0654.35%51.69%51.28%48.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

SK Brann (Visit)

Prediction 26.63%3.75fair odd
EV -7.85%
Edge -2.27%
Kelly -3.19%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.46

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.63%26.63%26.63%28.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.953.363.453.4633.90%29.73%28.99%28.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.25%3.81fair odd
EV -3.66%
Edge -0.997%
Kelly -1.37%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.67

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.61%26.25%26.25%26.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.463.503.6730.77%28.87%28.57%27.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tromso (Local): 47.12%; SK Brann (Visit): 26.63%; Draw: 26.25%. For Tromso (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.12. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.06, with an expected value of -2.94%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (21 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 46.37%EV -2.94%E -1.43%K -2.77%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.61%EV -7.85%E -2.27%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 26.03%EV -3.66%E -0.997%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-22 17:14
GTbets🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 46.45%EV -4.35%E -2.14%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.57%EV -8.92%E -2.61%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 25.98%EV -4.71%E -1.30%K -1.79%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 00:15
Unibet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.99%EV -7.65%E -3.90%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -8.12%E -2.35%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -8.12%E -2.32%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-22 17:05
Grosvenor🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.12%EV -8.12%E -4.16%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -8.12%E -2.35%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -8.12%E -2.32%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-22 17:04
BetRivers🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.12%EV -8.12%E -4.16%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -8.12%E -2.35%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -8.12%E -2.32%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-22 17:04
TABtouch🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.12%EV -8.12%E -4.16%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -8.12%E -2.35%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -8.12%E -2.32%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-22 17:04
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.12%EV -8.12%E -4.16%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -8.12%E -2.35%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -8.12%E -2.32%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-22 17:04
Unibet (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.12%EV -8.12%E -4.16%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -8.12%E -2.35%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -8.12%E -2.32%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-22 17:04
Unibet (NL)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.12%EV -8.12%E -4.16%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -8.12%E -2.35%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -8.12%E -2.32%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-22 17:05
Casumo🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.12%EV -8.12%E -4.16%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -8.12%E -2.35%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -8.12%E -2.32%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-22 17:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.12%EV -8.12%E -4.16%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -8.12%E -2.35%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -8.12%E -2.32%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-22 17:05
betPARX🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.12%EV -8.12%E -4.16%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -8.12%E -2.35%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -8.12%E -2.32%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-22 17:05
Svenska Spel🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.12%EV -8.12%E -4.16%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -8.12%E -2.35%K -3.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -8.12%E -2.32%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-22 17:04
LiveScore Bet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 46.88%EV -8.59%E -4.43%K -9.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -9.45%E -2.78%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.36%EV -9.43%E -2.73%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-22 17:04
Virgin Bet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 46.88%EV -8.59%E -4.43%K -9.14%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -9.45%E -2.78%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.36%EV -9.43%E -2.73%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-22 17:04
LeoVegas🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 46.96%EV -9.53%E -4.97%K -10.36%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.91%EV -10.78%E -3.22%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.13%EV -9.43%E -2.73%K -3.85%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-22 17:05
Winamax (DE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 46.31%EV -11.42%E -6.07%K -12.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.08%EV -17.44%E -5.63%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.61%EV -10.75%E -3.16%K -4.48%G +0.000%14.9%2026-04-22 17:14
PMU (FR)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 47.06%EV -11.89%E -6.36%K -13.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -12.12%E -3.67%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.27%EV -12.06%E -3.60%K -5.13%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-22 17:05
Betclic (FR)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 46.56%EV -12.83%E -6.94%K -15.10%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.34%EV -16.11%E -5.11%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.10%EV -13.37%E -4.05%K -5.81%G +0.000%16.1%2026-04-22 17:03
Unibet (FR)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 46.69%EV -13.30%E -7.23%K -15.84%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.27%EV -16.11%E -5.11%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.03%EV -13.37%E -4.05%K -5.81%G +0.000%16.4%2026-04-23 17:04
Winamax (FR)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 45.66%EV -13.30%E -7.23%K -15.84%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 28.48%EV -21.44%E -7.27%K -10.99%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 25.85%EV -14.68%E -4.52%K -6.53%G +0.000%19.0%2026-04-22 17:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.