Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tromso v Rosenborg

Kickoff: 2026-04-06 17:15 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

54 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tromso (Local)

Prediction 59.44%1.68fair odd
EV -3.12%
Edge -1.91%
Kelly -4.95%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.63

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.51%59.40%59.49%60.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.461.561.551.6368.49%64.22%64.52%61.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Rosenborg (Visit)

Prediction 16.77%5.96fair odd
EV +0.593%
Edge +0.099%
Kelly +0.119%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 6.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.10%16.84%16.74%18.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.805.405.406.0020.83%18.53%18.52%16.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 23.80%4.20fair odd
EV -2.43%
Edge -0.592%
Kelly -0.782%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.82%23.76%23.77%26.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.873.904.1030.30%25.84%25.64%24.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tromso (Local): 59.44%; Rosenborg (Visit): 16.77%; Draw: 23.80%. For Rosenborg (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.96. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.593%.

Sportsbook Odds (54 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
LowVig.ag🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.20%EV -4.31%E -2.68%K -7.06%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.15%EV +0.593%E +0.099%K +0.119%G +0.001%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.64%EV -2.43%E -0.592%K -0.782%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-06 16:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.20%EV -4.31%E -2.68%K -7.06%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.15%EV +0.593%E +0.099%K +0.119%G +0.001%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.64%EV -2.43%E -0.592%K -0.782%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-06 16:40
Coolbet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.57%EV -3.12%E -1.91%K -4.95%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.46%EV -1.08%E -0.184%K -0.221%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.97%EV -3.62%E -0.893%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-06 17:00
Pinnacle🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.57%EV -3.71%E -2.29%K -5.99%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.36%EV -1.08%E -0.184%K -0.221%G +0.000%4.01I 24.94%NM 24.07%EV -4.57%E -1.14%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-06 16:50
DraftKings🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.74%EV -5.50%E -3.46%K -9.32%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.52%EV -3.60%E -0.626%K -0.758%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.75%EV -4.81%E -1.20%K -1.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-06 16:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.99%EV -7.87%E -5.08%K -14.32%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.17%EV -3.60%E -0.626%K -0.758%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.84%EV -7.19%E -1.84%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-06 16:35
BetMGM🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.14%EV -8.47%E -5.50%K -15.68%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.11%EV -3.60%E -0.626%K -0.758%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.75%EV -7.19%E -1.84%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-06 16:35
FanDuel🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.29%EV -5.50%E -3.46%K -9.32%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.54%EV -4.44%E -0.778%K -0.944%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.17%EV -7.19%E -1.84%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-06 17:00
Tipico (DE)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.37%EV -9.66%E -6.35%K -18.57%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.10%EV -4.44%E -0.778%K -0.944%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -7.19%E -1.84%K -2.48%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-06 16:30
BetRivers🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.43%EV -7.87%E -5.08%K -14.32%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.73%EV -6.11%E -1.09%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.85%EV -2.43%E -0.592%K -0.782%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-06 13:15
1xBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.72%EV -3.71%E -2.29%K -5.99%G +0.000%5.55I 18.02%NM 17.14%EV -6.95%E -1.25%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 24.14%EV -6.23%E -1.58%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-06 17:00
GTbets🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.16%EV -4.90%E -3.06%K -8.17%G +0.000%5.53I 18.08%NM 17.12%EV -7.29%E -1.32%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.99I 25.06%NM 23.72%EV -5.04%E -1.26%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-06 16:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.44%EV -6.09%E -3.86%K -10.50%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.08%EV -7.79%E -1.42%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.48%EV -4.81%E -1.20%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-06 16:35
Casumo🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.60%EV -6.69%E -4.26%K -11.73%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.01%EV -7.79%E -1.42%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -4.81%E -1.20%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-06 17:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.60%EV -6.69%E -4.26%K -11.73%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.01%EV -7.79%E -1.42%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -4.81%E -1.20%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-06 17:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.60%EV -6.69%E -4.26%K -11.73%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.01%EV -7.79%E -1.42%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -4.81%E -1.20%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-06 17:00
betPARX🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.60%EV -6.69%E -4.26%K -11.73%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.01%EV -7.79%E -1.42%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -4.81%E -1.20%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-06 17:01
ATG (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.60%EV -6.69%E -4.26%K -11.73%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.01%EV -7.79%E -1.42%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -4.81%E -1.20%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-06 17:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.60%EV -6.69%E -4.26%K -11.73%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.01%EV -7.79%E -1.42%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -4.81%E -1.20%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-06 17:00
Fanatics🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.56%EV -5.50%E -3.46%K -9.32%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.93%EV -7.79%E -1.42%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.50%EV -9.57%E -2.52%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-06 16:50
Betway🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.87%EV -6.69%E -4.26%K -11.73%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.81%EV -7.79%E -1.42%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -9.57%E -2.52%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-06 16:35
Bet Right🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.52%EV -8.47%E -5.50%K -15.68%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.67%EV -7.79%E -1.42%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.81%EV -8.38%E -2.18%K -2.94%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-06 16:35
Bet Victor🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.99%EV -7.87%E -5.08%K -14.32%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -7.79%E -1.42%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.38%EV -10.76%E -2.87%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-06 16:59
Everygame🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 58.60%EV -7.87%E -5.08%K -14.32%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.51%EV -7.79%E -1.42%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.89%EV -13.14%E -3.60%K -4.96%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-06 17:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.00%EV -6.09%E -3.86%K -10.50%G +0.000%5.45I 18.35%NM 17.10%EV -8.63%E -1.58%K -1.94%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.90%EV -7.19%E -1.84%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-06 16:59
Betsson🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.48%EV -3.71%E -2.29%K -5.99%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.54%EV -9.47%E -1.75%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.98%EV -6.00%E -1.52%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-06 16:50
NordicBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.48%EV -3.71%E -2.29%K -5.99%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.54%EV -9.47%E -1.75%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.98%EV -6.00%E -1.52%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-06 16:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.56%EV -7.28%E -4.67%K -13.00%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.21%EV -9.47%E -1.75%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -4.81%E -1.20%K -1.60%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-06 17:00
Grosvenor🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.56%EV -7.28%E -4.67%K -13.00%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.21%EV -9.47%E -1.75%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -4.81%E -1.20%K -1.60%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-06 17:00
Unibet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.56%EV -7.28%E -4.67%K -13.00%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.21%EV -9.47%E -1.75%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -4.81%E -1.20%K -1.60%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-06 17:00
TABtouch🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.54%EV -7.87%E -5.08%K -14.32%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.09%EV -9.47%E -1.75%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.37%EV -6.00%E -1.52%K -2.03%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-06 17:00
Bovada🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.18%EV -7.87%E -5.08%K -14.32%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.99%EV -9.47%E -1.75%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.83%EV -8.38%E -2.18%K -2.94%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-06 16:48
BetUS🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.18%EV -7.87%E -5.08%K -14.32%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.99%EV -9.47%E -1.75%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.83%EV -8.38%E -2.18%K -2.94%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-06 16:45
BetAnything🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.18%EV -7.87%E -5.08%K -14.32%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.99%EV -9.47%E -1.75%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.83%EV -8.38%E -2.18%K -2.94%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-06 16:45
Virgin Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.49%EV -9.06%E -5.92%K -17.10%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.17%EV -11.14%E -2.10%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.34%EV -7.19%E -1.84%K -2.48%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-06 17:00
LiveScore Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.49%EV -9.06%E -5.92%K -17.10%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.17%EV -11.14%E -2.10%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.34%EV -7.19%E -1.84%K -2.48%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-06 17:00
LeoVegas🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 59.53%EV -10.25%E -6.79%K -20.10%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.12%EV -11.98%E -2.28%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.35%EV -8.38%E -2.18%K -2.94%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-06 17:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.65%EV -9.06%E -5.92%K -17.10%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.09%EV -11.98%E -2.28%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.25%EV -11.95%E -3.23%K -4.42%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-06 16:20
Coral🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.65%EV -9.06%E -5.92%K -17.10%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.09%EV -11.98%E -2.28%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.25%EV -11.95%E -3.23%K -4.42%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-06 16:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.65%EV -9.06%E -5.92%K -17.10%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.09%EV -11.98%E -2.28%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.25%EV -11.95%E -3.23%K -4.42%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-06 16:20
Neds🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.65%EV -9.06%E -5.92%K -17.10%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.09%EV -11.98%E -2.28%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.25%EV -11.95%E -3.23%K -4.42%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-06 16:20
Codere (IT)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 58.96%EV -8.47%E -5.50%K -15.68%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.46%EV -12.82%E -2.47%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.58%EV -8.38%E -2.18%K -2.94%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-06 16:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.28%EV -8.47%E -5.50%K -15.68%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.90%EV -14.50%E -2.84%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.82%EV -4.81%E -1.20%K -1.60%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-06 16:40
PMU (FR)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 59.35%EV -12.03%E -8.13%K -25.07%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.22%EV -14.50%E -2.84%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.42%EV -10.76%E -2.87%K -3.91%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-06 17:00
Unibet (FR)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 59.35%EV -12.03%E -8.13%K -25.07%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.22%EV -14.50%E -2.84%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.42%EV -10.76%E -2.87%K -3.91%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-06 16:45
Betclic (FR)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 59.86%EV -13.22%E -9.06%K -28.75%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.14%EV -14.50%E -2.84%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.00%EV -9.57%E -2.52%K -3.42%G +0.000%14.4%2026-04-06 16:46
PlayUp🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.37%EV -6.09%E -3.86%K -10.50%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.13%EV -16.17%E -3.23%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.50%EV -11.95%E -3.23%K -4.42%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-06 16:50
SportsBet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.71%EV -6.69%E -4.26%K -11.73%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -16.17%E -3.23%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -10.76%E -2.87%K -3.91%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-06 17:00
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.53%EV -6.69%E -4.26%K -11.73%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.06%EV -16.17%E -3.23%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.41%EV -11.95%E -3.23%K -4.42%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-06 16:50
BoyleSports🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.53%EV -9.06%E -5.92%K -17.10%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -16.17%E -3.23%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.56%EV -9.57%E -2.52%K -3.42%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-06 17:00
Sky Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.45%EV -7.87%E -5.08%K -14.32%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -16.17%E -3.23%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -14.32%E -3.98%K -5.51%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-06 17:00
Paddy Power🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 58.16%EV -9.06%E -5.92%K -17.10%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.80%EV -16.17%E -3.23%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.05%EV -11.95%E -3.23%K -4.42%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-06 17:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 56.51%EV -9.06%E -5.92%K -17.10%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.29%EV -16.17%E -3.23%K -4.04%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.20%EV -21.46%E -6.50%K -9.33%G +0.000%15.7%2026-04-06 17:00
Winamax (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 58.57%EV -10.85%E -7.23%K -21.69%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.30%EV -19.53%E -4.07%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.12%EV -9.57%E -2.52%K -3.42%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-06 16:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 59.32%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.51%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.16%0.9%2026-04-06 17:01
Matchbook1.65I 60.61%NM 59.93%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.95%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.12%1.1%2026-04-06 16:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 59.61%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.39%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.99%1.7%2026-04-06 16:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.65I 60.61%NM 59.61%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.39%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.99%1.7%2026-04-06 16:50
Smarkets1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.30%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.44%2.3%2026-04-06 17:00