L’École des cotes

Tromso v Fredrikstad FK

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-15 18:15 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

54 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Tromso (Local)

Prévision 56.20%1.78cote équitable
EV -1.09%
Avantage -0.621%
Kelly -1.44%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.76

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
53.42%56.11%56.33%57.49%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.481.661.651.7667.57%60.18%60.42%56.82%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Fredrikstad FK (Visiteur)

Prévision 17.96%5.57cote équitable
EV +2.91%
Avantage +0.508%
Kelly +0.615%
Croissance +0.018%

avec la cote maximale 5.73

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
16.63%18.10%17.77%19.77%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.504.984.935.7322.22%20.08%20.30%17.45%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 25.84%3.87cote équitable
EV +0.788%
Avantage +0.202%
Kelly +0.272%
Croissance +0.002%

avec la cote maximale 3.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.69%25.79%25.90%27.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.523.503.9032.26%28.42%28.57%25.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (54 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.68I 59.52%NM 57.43%EV -5.59%E -3.33%K -8.22%G +0.000%5.73I 17.45%NM 16.84%EV +2.91%E +0.508%K +0.615%G +0.018%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.73%EV -3.09%E -0.824%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-15 18:10
FanDuel1.62I 61.73%NM 57.49%EV -8.96%E -5.53%K -14.45%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.63%EV +0.576%E +0.103%K +0.125%G +0.001%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -6.96%E -1.93%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-15 18:05
BetOnline.ag1.71I 58.48%NM 56.40%EV -3.90%E -2.28%K -5.50%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV -1.22%E -0.222%K -0.271%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.07%EV -4.38%E -1.18%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-15 18:00
LowVig.ag1.71I 58.48%NM 56.40%EV -3.90%E -2.28%K -5.50%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV -1.22%E -0.222%K -0.271%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.07%EV -4.38%E -1.18%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-15 18:00
DraftKings1.67I 59.88%NM 56.98%EV -6.15%E -3.68%K -9.18%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.30%EV -1.22%E -0.222%K -0.271%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.72%EV -4.38%E -1.18%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-15 18:10
NordicBet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -5.59%E -3.33%K -8.22%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.70%EV -3.91%E -0.732%K -0.900%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.94%EV -5.67%E -1.55%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-15 18:00
Betsson1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -5.59%E -3.33%K -8.22%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.70%EV -3.91%E -0.732%K -0.900%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.94%EV -5.67%E -1.55%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-15 18:00
Marathon Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 57.22%EV -8.40%E -5.15%K -13.33%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.43%EV -3.91%E -0.732%K -0.900%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.35%EV -4.90%E -1.33%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-15 18:10
1xBet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.56%EV -5.59%E -3.33%K -8.22%G +0.000%5.29I 18.90%NM 17.96%EV -4.99%E -0.944%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.48%EV -3.61%E -0.966%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-15 18:00
GTbets1.69I 59.17%NM 55.94%EV -5.03%E -2.97%K -7.29%G +0.000%5.27I 18.98%NM 17.94%EV -5.35%E -1.02%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.12%EV -6.45%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-15 17:25
BetMGM1.67I 59.88%NM 56.12%EV -6.15%E -3.68%K -9.18%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.85%EV -5.71%E -1.09%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -6.96%E -1.93%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-15 17:24
Fanatics1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -7.28%E -4.41%K -11.19%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.60%EV -5.71%E -1.09%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -9.55%E -2.73%K -3.82%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-15 18:00
Betway1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -7.28%E -4.41%K -11.19%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.60%EV -5.71%E -1.09%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -9.55%E -2.73%K -3.82%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-15 18:00
Bet Victor1.61I 62.11%NM 56.60%EV -9.52%E -5.92%K -15.61%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.36%EV -5.71%E -1.09%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -9.55%E -2.73%K -3.82%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-15 17:59
Everygame1.60I 62.50%NM 56.54%EV -10.09%E -6.30%K -16.81%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.23%EV -5.71%E -1.09%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.22%EV -10.84%E -3.14%K -4.42%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-15 17:59
Tipico (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.77%EV -8.96%E -5.53%K -14.45%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.69%EV -6.61%E -1.27%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -6.96%E -1.93%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-15 17:45
Bovada1.62I 61.73%NM 56.57%EV -8.96%E -5.53%K -14.45%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.62%EV -6.61%E -1.27%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81%EV -8.26%E -2.33%K -3.24%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-15 18:10
Unibet (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.62%EV -6.15%E -3.68%K -9.18%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -10.20%E -2.04%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -6.96%E -1.93%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-15 17:25
PointsBet (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.62%EV -6.15%E -3.68%K -9.18%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -10.20%E -2.04%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -6.96%E -1.93%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-15 18:00
BetUS1.64I 60.98%NM 55.87%EV -7.84%E -4.78%K -12.25%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -10.20%E -2.04%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81%EV -8.26%E -2.33%K -3.24%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-15 18:00
BetAnything1.64I 60.98%NM 55.87%EV -7.84%E -4.78%K -12.25%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -10.20%E -2.04%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81%EV -8.26%E -2.33%K -3.24%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-15 18:00
William Hill1.65I 60.61%NM 55.51%EV -7.28%E -4.41%K -11.19%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -10.20%E -2.04%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -9.55%E -2.73%K -3.82%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-15 18:00
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 55.96%EV -8.96%E -5.53%K -14.45%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.13%EV -10.20%E -2.04%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -9.55%E -2.73%K -3.82%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-15 17:30
SportsBet1.61I 62.11%NM 56.12%EV -9.52%E -5.92%K -15.61%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.07%EV -10.20%E -2.04%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -9.55%E -2.73%K -3.82%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-15 17:30
PlayUp1.60I 62.50%NM 56.27%EV -10.09%E -6.30%K -16.81%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.01%EV -10.20%E -2.04%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -9.55%E -2.73%K -3.82%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-15 18:00
Sky Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 55.85%EV -10.09%E -6.30%K -16.81%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.87%EV -10.20%E -2.04%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -12.13%E -3.57%K -5.06%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-15 18:00
Coolbet1.75I 57.14%NM 55.49%EV -1.66%E -0.946%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.62%EV -11.10%E -2.24%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.90%EV +0.788%E +0.202%K +0.272%G +0.002%3.0%2026-03-15 06:25
Bet Right1.66I 60.24%NM 55.36%EV -6.71%E -4.04%K -10.17%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.75%EV -12.00%E -2.45%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.89%EV -8.26%E -2.33%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-15 18:00
Codere (IT)1.64I 60.98%NM 55.45%EV -7.84%E -4.78%K -12.25%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.56%EV -12.00%E -2.45%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.98%EV -9.55%E -2.73%K -3.82%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-15 17:25
betPARX1.76I 56.82%NM 53.49%EV -1.09%E -0.621%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.61%EV -13.79%E -2.87%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -9.55%E -2.73%K -3.82%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-15 17:20
Casumo1.76I 56.82%NM 53.49%EV -1.09%E -0.621%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.61%EV -13.79%E -2.87%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -9.55%E -2.73%K -3.82%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-15 17:20
Unibet (NL)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.49%EV -1.09%E -0.621%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.61%EV -13.79%E -2.87%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -9.55%E -2.73%K -3.82%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-15 17:20
Unibet (SE)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.49%EV -1.09%E -0.621%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.61%EV -13.79%E -2.87%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -9.55%E -2.73%K -3.82%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-15 17:20
ATG (SE)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.49%EV -1.09%E -0.621%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.61%EV -13.79%E -2.87%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -9.55%E -2.73%K -3.82%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-15 17:20
Svenska Spel1.76I 56.82%NM 53.49%EV -1.09%E -0.621%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.61%EV -13.79%E -2.87%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -9.55%E -2.73%K -3.82%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-15 17:20
BetRivers1.75I 57.14%NM 53.63%EV -1.66%E -0.946%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV -13.79%E -2.87%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -9.55%E -2.73%K -3.82%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-15 17:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.63%EV -1.66%E -0.946%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV -13.79%E -2.87%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -9.55%E -2.73%K -3.82%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-15 17:20
Neds1.62I 61.73%NM 55.13%EV -8.96%E -5.53%K -14.45%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.61%EV -13.79%E -2.87%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -12.13%E -3.57%K -5.06%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-15 17:25
Ladbrokes (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 55.13%EV -8.96%E -5.53%K -14.45%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.61%EV -13.79%E -2.87%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -12.13%E -3.57%K -5.06%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-15 17:25
Coral1.61I 62.11%NM 55.28%EV -9.52%E -5.92%K -15.61%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.54%EV -13.79%E -2.87%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.18%EV -12.13%E -3.57%K -5.06%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-15 17:25
Ladbrokes (UK)1.61I 62.11%NM 55.28%EV -9.52%E -5.92%K -15.61%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.54%EV -13.79%E -2.87%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.18%EV -12.13%E -3.57%K -5.06%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-15 17:25
Betclic (FR)1.55I 64.52%NM 56.43%EV -12.89%E -8.32%K -23.45%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.22%EV -13.79%E -2.87%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.35%EV -10.84%E -3.14%K -4.42%G +0.000%14.3%2026-03-15 17:49
PMU (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 56.47%EV -16.83%E -11.37%K -35.06%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 17.41%EV -13.79%E -2.87%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.12%EV -17.30%E -5.41%K -7.86%G +0.000%19.7%2026-03-15 18:00
Unibet1.74I 57.47%NM 53.46%EV -2.22%E -1.27%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.58%EV -14.69%E -3.09%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.96%EV -10.84%E -3.14%K -4.42%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-15 17:20
Grosvenor1.74I 57.47%NM 53.46%EV -2.22%E -1.27%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.58%EV -14.69%E -3.09%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.96%EV -10.84%E -3.14%K -4.42%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-15 17:20
TABtouch1.72I 58.14%NM 53.42%EV -3.34%E -1.94%K -4.64%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.55%EV -15.59%E -3.32%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -12.13%E -3.57%K -5.06%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-15 17:20
Winamax (DE)1.64I 60.98%NM 55.61%EV -7.84%E -4.78%K -12.25%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.40%EV -15.59%E -3.32%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.99%EV -5.67%E -1.55%K -2.14%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-15 17:25
Parions Sport (FR)1.57I 63.69%NM 55.36%EV -11.77%E -7.50%K -20.65%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 18.69%EV -16.49%E -3.55%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.95%EV -13.43%E -4.01%K -5.71%G +0.000%15.1%2026-03-15 17:50
Virgin Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 53.49%EV -4.47%E -2.63%K -6.38%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.77%EV -17.38%E -3.78%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.74%EV -12.13%E -3.57%K -5.06%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-15 17:20
LiveScore Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 53.49%EV -4.47%E -2.63%K -6.38%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.77%EV -17.38%E -3.78%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.74%EV -12.13%E -3.57%K -5.06%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-15 17:20
LeoVegas1.68I 59.52%NM 53.57%EV -5.59%E -3.33%K -8.22%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.56%EV -17.38%E -3.78%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.87%EV -13.43%E -4.01%K -5.71%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-15 17:20
BoyleSports1.60I 62.50%NM 55.56%EV -10.09%E -6.30%K -16.81%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.75%EV -19.18%E -4.26%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.69%EV -6.96%E -1.93%K -2.68%G +0.000%12.5%2026-03-15 17:24
Winamax (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 54.97%EV -10.09%E -6.30%K -16.81%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.54%EV -19.18%E -4.26%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.49%EV -10.84%E -3.14%K -4.42%G +0.000%13.7%2026-03-15 17:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 53.90%EV -11.77%E -7.50%K -20.65%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 18.80%EV -19.18%E -4.26%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.30%EV -19.89%E -6.41%K -9.47%G +0.000%18.2%2026-03-15 17:55
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.55%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.59%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.86%0.4%2026-03-15 18:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.55%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.59%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.86%0.4%2026-03-15 18:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.55%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.59%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.86%0.4%2026-03-15 18:00
Matchbook1.73I 57.80%NM 57.55%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.59%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.86%0.4%2026-03-15 18:00
Smarkets1.72I 58.14%NM 57.33%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.71%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.95%1.4%2026-03-15 18:00