La escuela de los momios

Tromso v Fredrikstad FK

Inicio: 2026-03-15 18:15 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

54 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Tromso (Local)

Predicción 56.20%1.78momio equitativo
EV -1.09%
Ventaja -0.621%
Kelly -1.44%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.76

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
53.42%56.11%56.33%57.49%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.481.661.651.7667.57%60.18%60.42%56.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Fredrikstad FK (Visitante)

Predicción 17.96%5.57momio equitativo
EV +2.91%
Ventaja +0.508%
Kelly +0.615%
Crecimiento +0.018%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.73

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
16.63%18.10%17.77%19.77%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.504.984.935.7322.22%20.08%20.30%17.45%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 25.84%3.87momio equitativo
EV +0.788%
Ventaja +0.202%
Kelly +0.272%
Crecimiento +0.002%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.90

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.69%25.79%25.90%27.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.523.503.9032.26%28.42%28.57%25.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (54 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle1.68I 59.52%NM 57.43%EV -5.59%E -3.33%K -8.22%G +0.000%5.73I 17.45%NM 16.84%EV +2.91%E +0.508%K +0.615%G +0.018%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.73%EV -3.09%E -0.824%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-15 18:10
FanDuel1.62I 61.73%NM 57.49%EV -8.96%E -5.53%K -14.45%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.63%EV +0.576%E +0.103%K +0.125%G +0.001%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -6.96%E -1.93%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-15 18:05
BetOnline.ag1.71I 58.48%NM 56.40%EV -3.90%E -2.28%K -5.50%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV -1.22%E -0.222%K -0.271%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.07%EV -4.38%E -1.18%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-15 18:00
LowVig.ag1.71I 58.48%NM 56.40%EV -3.90%E -2.28%K -5.50%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV -1.22%E -0.222%K -0.271%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.07%EV -4.38%E -1.18%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-15 18:00
DraftKings1.67I 59.88%NM 56.98%EV -6.15%E -3.68%K -9.18%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.30%EV -1.22%E -0.222%K -0.271%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.72%EV -4.38%E -1.18%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-15 18:10
NordicBet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -5.59%E -3.33%K -8.22%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.70%EV -3.91%E -0.732%K -0.900%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.94%EV -5.67%E -1.55%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-15 18:00
Betsson1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -5.59%E -3.33%K -8.22%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.70%EV -3.91%E -0.732%K -0.900%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.94%EV -5.67%E -1.55%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-15 18:00
Marathon Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 57.22%EV -8.40%E -5.15%K -13.33%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.43%EV -3.91%E -0.732%K -0.900%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.35%EV -4.90%E -1.33%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-15 18:10
1xBet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.56%EV -5.59%E -3.33%K -8.22%G +0.000%5.29I 18.90%NM 17.96%EV -4.99%E -0.944%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.48%EV -3.61%E -0.966%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-15 18:00
GTbets1.69I 59.17%NM 55.94%EV -5.03%E -2.97%K -7.29%G +0.000%5.27I 18.98%NM 17.94%EV -5.35%E -1.02%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.12%EV -6.45%E -1.78%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-15 17:25
BetMGM1.67I 59.88%NM 56.12%EV -6.15%E -3.68%K -9.18%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.85%EV -5.71%E -1.09%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -6.96%E -1.93%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-15 17:24
Fanatics1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -7.28%E -4.41%K -11.19%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.60%EV -5.71%E -1.09%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -9.55%E -2.73%K -3.82%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-15 18:00
Betway1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -7.28%E -4.41%K -11.19%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.60%EV -5.71%E -1.09%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.40%EV -9.55%E -2.73%K -3.82%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-15 18:00
Bet Victor1.61I 62.11%NM 56.60%EV -9.52%E -5.92%K -15.61%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.36%EV -5.71%E -1.09%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -9.55%E -2.73%K -3.82%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-15 17:59
Everygame1.60I 62.50%NM 56.54%EV -10.09%E -6.30%K -16.81%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.23%EV -5.71%E -1.09%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.22%EV -10.84%E -3.14%K -4.42%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-15 17:59
Tipico (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.77%EV -8.96%E -5.53%K -14.45%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.69%EV -6.61%E -1.27%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -6.96%E -1.93%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-15 17:45
Bovada1.62I 61.73%NM 56.57%EV -8.96%E -5.53%K -14.45%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.62%EV -6.61%E -1.27%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81%EV -8.26%E -2.33%K -3.24%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-15 18:10
Unibet (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.62%EV -6.15%E -3.68%K -9.18%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -10.20%E -2.04%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -6.96%E -1.93%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-15 17:25
PointsBet (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.62%EV -6.15%E -3.68%K -9.18%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -10.20%E -2.04%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -6.96%E -1.93%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-15 18:00
BetUS1.64I 60.98%NM 55.87%EV -7.84%E -4.78%K -12.25%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -10.20%E -2.04%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81%EV -8.26%E -2.33%K -3.24%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-15 18:00
BetAnything1.64I 60.98%NM 55.87%EV -7.84%E -4.78%K -12.25%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -10.20%E -2.04%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81%EV -8.26%E -2.33%K -3.24%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-15 18:00
William Hill1.65I 60.61%NM 55.51%EV -7.28%E -4.41%K -11.19%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -10.20%E -2.04%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -9.55%E -2.73%K -3.82%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-15 18:00
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 55.96%EV -8.96%E -5.53%K -14.45%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.13%EV -10.20%E -2.04%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.90%EV -9.55%E -2.73%K -3.82%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-15 17:30
SportsBet1.61I 62.11%NM 56.12%EV -9.52%E -5.92%K -15.61%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.07%EV -10.20%E -2.04%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -9.55%E -2.73%K -3.82%G +0.000%10.7%2026-03-15 17:30
PlayUp1.60I 62.50%NM 56.27%EV -10.09%E -6.30%K -16.81%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.01%EV -10.20%E -2.04%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.72%EV -9.55%E -2.73%K -3.82%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-15 18:00
Sky Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 55.85%EV -10.09%E -6.30%K -16.81%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.87%EV -10.20%E -2.04%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -12.13%E -3.57%K -5.06%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-15 18:00
Coolbet1.75I 57.14%NM 55.49%EV -1.66%E -0.946%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.62%EV -11.10%E -2.24%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.90%EV +0.788%E +0.202%K +0.272%G +0.002%3.0%2026-03-15 06:25
Bet Right1.66I 60.24%NM 55.36%EV -6.71%E -4.04%K -10.17%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.75%EV -12.00%E -2.45%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.89%EV -8.26%E -2.33%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-15 18:00
Codere (IT)1.64I 60.98%NM 55.45%EV -7.84%E -4.78%K -12.25%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.56%EV -12.00%E -2.45%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.98%EV -9.55%E -2.73%K -3.82%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-15 17:25
betPARX1.76I 56.82%NM 53.49%EV -1.09%E -0.621%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.61%EV -13.79%E -2.87%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -9.55%E -2.73%K -3.82%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-15 17:20
Casumo1.76I 56.82%NM 53.49%EV -1.09%E -0.621%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.61%EV -13.79%E -2.87%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -9.55%E -2.73%K -3.82%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-15 17:20
Unibet (NL)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.49%EV -1.09%E -0.621%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.61%EV -13.79%E -2.87%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -9.55%E -2.73%K -3.82%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-15 17:20
Unibet (SE)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.49%EV -1.09%E -0.621%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.61%EV -13.79%E -2.87%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -9.55%E -2.73%K -3.82%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-15 17:20
ATG (SE)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.49%EV -1.09%E -0.621%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.61%EV -13.79%E -2.87%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -9.55%E -2.73%K -3.82%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-15 17:20
Svenska Spel1.76I 56.82%NM 53.49%EV -1.09%E -0.621%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.61%EV -13.79%E -2.87%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.90%EV -9.55%E -2.73%K -3.82%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-15 17:20
BetRivers1.75I 57.14%NM 53.63%EV -1.66%E -0.946%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV -13.79%E -2.87%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -9.55%E -2.73%K -3.82%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-15 17:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.63%EV -1.66%E -0.946%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV -13.79%E -2.87%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -9.55%E -2.73%K -3.82%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-15 17:20
Neds1.62I 61.73%NM 55.13%EV -8.96%E -5.53%K -14.45%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.61%EV -13.79%E -2.87%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -12.13%E -3.57%K -5.06%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-15 17:25
Ladbrokes (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 55.13%EV -8.96%E -5.53%K -14.45%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.61%EV -13.79%E -2.87%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -12.13%E -3.57%K -5.06%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-15 17:25
Coral1.61I 62.11%NM 55.28%EV -9.52%E -5.92%K -15.61%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.54%EV -13.79%E -2.87%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.18%EV -12.13%E -3.57%K -5.06%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-15 17:25
Ladbrokes (UK)1.61I 62.11%NM 55.28%EV -9.52%E -5.92%K -15.61%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.54%EV -13.79%E -2.87%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.18%EV -12.13%E -3.57%K -5.06%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-15 17:25
Betclic (FR)1.55I 64.52%NM 56.43%EV -12.89%E -8.32%K -23.45%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.22%EV -13.79%E -2.87%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.35%EV -10.84%E -3.14%K -4.42%G +0.000%14.3%2026-03-15 17:49
PMU (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 56.47%EV -16.83%E -11.37%K -35.06%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 17.41%EV -13.79%E -2.87%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.12%EV -17.30%E -5.41%K -7.86%G +0.000%19.7%2026-03-15 18:00
Unibet1.74I 57.47%NM 53.46%EV -2.22%E -1.27%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.58%EV -14.69%E -3.09%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.96%EV -10.84%E -3.14%K -4.42%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-15 17:20
Grosvenor1.74I 57.47%NM 53.46%EV -2.22%E -1.27%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.58%EV -14.69%E -3.09%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.96%EV -10.84%E -3.14%K -4.42%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-15 17:20
TABtouch1.72I 58.14%NM 53.42%EV -3.34%E -1.94%K -4.64%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.55%EV -15.59%E -3.32%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -12.13%E -3.57%K -5.06%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-15 17:20
Winamax (DE)1.64I 60.98%NM 55.61%EV -7.84%E -4.78%K -12.25%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.40%EV -15.59%E -3.32%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.99%EV -5.67%E -1.55%K -2.14%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-15 17:25
Parions Sport (FR)1.57I 63.69%NM 55.36%EV -11.77%E -7.50%K -20.65%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 18.69%EV -16.49%E -3.55%K -4.52%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.95%EV -13.43%E -4.01%K -5.71%G +0.000%15.1%2026-03-15 17:50
Virgin Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 53.49%EV -4.47%E -2.63%K -6.38%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.77%EV -17.38%E -3.78%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.74%EV -12.13%E -3.57%K -5.06%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-15 17:20
LiveScore Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 53.49%EV -4.47%E -2.63%K -6.38%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.77%EV -17.38%E -3.78%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.74%EV -12.13%E -3.57%K -5.06%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-15 17:20
LeoVegas1.68I 59.52%NM 53.57%EV -5.59%E -3.33%K -8.22%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.56%EV -17.38%E -3.78%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.87%EV -13.43%E -4.01%K -5.71%G +0.000%11.1%2026-03-15 17:20
BoyleSports1.60I 62.50%NM 55.56%EV -10.09%E -6.30%K -16.81%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.75%EV -19.18%E -4.26%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.69%EV -6.96%E -1.93%K -2.68%G +0.000%12.5%2026-03-15 17:24
Winamax (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 54.97%EV -10.09%E -6.30%K -16.81%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.54%EV -19.18%E -4.26%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.49%EV -10.84%E -3.14%K -4.42%G +0.000%13.7%2026-03-15 17:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 53.90%EV -11.77%E -7.50%K -20.65%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 18.80%EV -19.18%E -4.26%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.30%EV -19.89%E -6.41%K -9.47%G +0.000%18.2%2026-03-15 17:55
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.55%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.59%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.86%0.4%2026-03-15 18:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.55%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.59%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.86%0.4%2026-03-15 18:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 57.55%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.59%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.86%0.4%2026-03-15 18:00
Matchbook1.73I 57.80%NM 57.55%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.59%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.86%0.4%2026-03-15 18:00
Smarkets1.72I 58.14%NM 57.33%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.71%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.95%1.4%2026-03-15 18:00