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SK Brann v Sarpsborg FK
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
SK Brann (Local)
Prediction 57.53%1.74fair odd
EV -3.35%
Edge -1.99%
Kelly -4.92%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.68
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.48%57.53%57.18%59.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.441.641.681.6869.44%60.94%59.52%59.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Sarpsborg FK (Visit)
Prediction 20.57%4.86fair odd
EV -1.27%
Edge -0.264%
Kelly -0.334%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.96%20.57%21.05%22.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.264.304.8025.00%23.45%23.26%20.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 21.90%4.57fair odd
EV -4.52%
Edge -1.04%
Kelly -1.35%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.36
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.77%21.90%21.77%23.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.054.104.3626.67%24.67%24.39%22.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: SK Brann (Local): 57.53%; Sarpsborg FK (Visit): 20.57%; Draw: 21.90%. For Sarpsborg FK (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.86. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.80, with an expected value of -1.27%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.54%EV -3.35%E -1.99%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -11.55%E -2.69%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -10.22%E -2.49%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-29 17:29 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.54%EV -3.35%E -1.99%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -11.55%E -2.69%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -10.22%E -2.49%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-29 17:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.54%EV -3.35%E -1.99%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -11.55%E -2.69%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -10.22%E -2.49%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-29 17:28 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.54%EV -3.35%E -1.99%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -11.55%E -2.69%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -10.22%E -2.49%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-29 17:29 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.54%EV -3.35%E -1.99%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -11.55%E -2.69%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -10.22%E -2.49%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-29 17:29 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.54%EV -3.35%E -1.99%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -11.55%E -2.69%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -10.22%E -2.49%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-29 17:29 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.54%EV -3.35%E -1.99%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -11.55%E -2.69%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -10.22%E -2.49%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-29 17:29 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.54%EV -3.35%E -1.99%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -11.55%E -2.69%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -10.22%E -2.49%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-29 17:28 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.95%EV -3.35%E -1.99%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -13.61%E -3.24%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -12.41%E -3.10%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-29 17:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.95%EV -3.35%E -1.99%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.98%EV -13.61%E -3.24%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -12.41%E -3.10%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-29 17:29 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.79%EV -3.35%E -1.99%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.91%EV -13.61%E -3.24%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -13.50%E -3.42%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-29 17:29 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.48%EV -3.92%E -2.35%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -15.67%E -3.82%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.33%EV -14.60%E -3.74%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-29 17:29 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.48%EV -3.92%E -2.35%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.19%EV -15.67%E -3.82%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.33%EV -14.60%E -3.74%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-29 17:29 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.18%EV -4.50%E -2.71%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 4.51I 22.17%NM 21.05%EV -7.23%E -1.60%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 4.36I 22.94%NM 21.77%EV -4.52%E -1.04%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-29 18:19 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 54.61%EV -5.07%E -3.07%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.98%EV -15.67%E -3.82%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.41%EV -15.69%E -4.08%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-29 17:29 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 54.59%EV -7.37%E -4.58%K -12.09%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.97%EV -17.72%E -4.43%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.44%EV -17.88%E -4.77%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-05-29 17:29 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.87%EV -12.55%E -8.26%K -24.14%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.96%EV -1.27%E -0.264%K -0.334%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.17%EV -5.84%E -1.36%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-24 17:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 58.94%EV -14.85%E -10.03%K -30.94%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.29%EV -11.55%E -2.69%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.77%EV -8.03%E -1.91%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-05-24 18:49 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 58.44%EV -17.15%E -11.91%K -38.98%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 20.52%EV -15.67%E -3.82%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.04%EV -12.41%E -3.10%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 18.8% | 2026-05-24 18:49 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.