L’École des cotes

SK Brann v KFUM

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-16 12:02 UTC

Score final : SK Brann 2–1 KFUM

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

48 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

SK Brann (Local)

Prévision 59.41%1.68cote équitable
EV -3.76%
Avantage -2.32%
Kelly -6.06%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.62

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
57.41%59.43%59.39%63.20%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.401.531.541.6271.43%65.41%65.15%61.73%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

KFUM (Visiteur)

Prévision 18.53%5.40cote équitable
EV +6.55%
Avantage +1.14%
Kelly +1.38%
Croissance +0.090%

avec la cote maximale 5.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
16.16%18.50%18.59%19.90%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.335.085.005.7523.09%19.70%20.00%17.39%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 22.06%4.53cote équitable
EV -0.725%
Avantage -0.161%
Kelly -0.207%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.64%22.07%22.02%23.27%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.804.204.204.5026.32%23.81%23.81%22.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (48 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet (NL)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.04%EV -12.08%E -8.16%K -25.16%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV +6.55%E +1.14%K +1.38%G +0.090%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -0.725%E -0.161%K -0.207%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-16 12:00
Casumo1.48I 67.57%NM 63.04%EV -12.08%E -8.16%K -25.16%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV +6.55%E +1.14%K +1.38%G +0.090%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -0.725%E -0.161%K -0.207%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-16 12:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.04%EV -12.08%E -8.16%K -25.16%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV +6.55%E +1.14%K +1.38%G +0.090%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -0.725%E -0.161%K -0.207%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-16 12:00
Unibet (SE)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.04%EV -12.08%E -8.16%K -25.16%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV +6.55%E +1.14%K +1.38%G +0.090%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -0.725%E -0.161%K -0.207%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-16 12:00
Unibet1.47I 68.03%NM 63.20%EV -12.67%E -8.62%K -26.96%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.16%EV +6.55%E +1.14%K +1.38%G +0.090%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.64%EV -0.725%E -0.161%K -0.207%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-16 12:00
Grosvenor1.47I 68.03%NM 63.20%EV -12.67%E -8.62%K -26.96%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.16%EV +6.55%E +1.14%K +1.38%G +0.090%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.64%EV -0.725%E -0.161%K -0.207%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-16 12:00
TABtouch1.45I 68.97%NM 62.95%EV -13.86%E -9.56%K -30.80%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.30%EV +3.77%E +0.674%K +0.821%G +0.031%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.75%EV -2.93%E -0.666%K -0.862%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-16 12:00
LiveScore Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 62.95%EV -13.86%E -9.56%K -30.80%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.30%EV +3.77%E +0.674%K +0.821%G +0.031%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.75%EV -2.93%E -0.666%K -0.862%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-16 12:00
Virgin Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 62.95%EV -13.86%E -9.56%K -30.80%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.30%EV +3.77%E +0.674%K +0.821%G +0.031%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.75%EV -2.93%E -0.666%K -0.862%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-16 12:00
LeoVegas1.43I 69.93%NM 62.94%EV -15.05%E -10.52%K -34.99%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.37%EV +1.92%E +0.349%K +0.427%G +0.008%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.69%EV -4.03%E -0.927%K -1.20%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-16 12:00
PMU (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 62.95%EV -16.83%E -12.02%K -42.07%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.32%EV +0.068%E +0.013%K +0.016%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.74%EV -6.24%E -1.47%K -1.92%G +0.000%13.5%2026-05-16 12:00
Betsson1.58I 63.29%NM 59.83%EV -6.14%E -3.88%K -10.58%G +0.000%5.35I 18.69%NM 17.67%EV -0.858%E -0.160%K -0.197%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.34%E -1.75%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-16 12:00
Coolbet1.62I 61.73%NM 59.89%EV -3.76%E -2.32%K -6.06%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.31%EV -1.78%E -0.337%K -0.415%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.80%EV -1.83%E -0.411%K -0.530%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-16 11:59
FanDuel1.53I 65.36%NM 61.11%EV -9.11%E -5.95%K -17.18%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.64%EV -1.78%E -0.337%K -0.415%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -2.93%E -0.666%K -0.862%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-16 12:00
PointsBet (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.24%EV -7.92%E -5.11%K -14.40%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.79%EV -2.71%E -0.516%K -0.638%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.97%EV -6.24%E -1.47%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-16 11:59
Bovada1.57I 63.69%NM 59.45%EV -6.73%E -4.29%K -11.81%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.78%EV -2.71%E -0.516%K -0.638%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -9.55%E -2.33%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-16 12:00
Pinnacle1.61I 62.11%NM 59.89%EV -4.35%E -2.70%K -7.14%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.54%EV -3.64%E -0.700%K -0.866%G +0.000%4.47I 22.37%NM 21.57%EV -1.39%E -0.310%K -0.400%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-16 11:59
Tipico (DE)1.52I 65.79%NM 60.45%EV -9.70%E -6.38%K -18.65%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.67%EV -3.64%E -0.700%K -0.866%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.88%EV -7.34%E -1.75%K -2.29%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-16 12:00
Marathon Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 59.77%EV -7.32%E -4.69%K -13.08%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.28%EV -5.49%E -1.08%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.94%EV -6.24%E -1.47%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-16 11:59
GTbets1.54I 64.94%NM 60.17%EV -8.51%E -5.53%K -15.76%G +0.000%5.03I 19.88%NM 18.42%EV -6.79%E -1.35%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -4.48%E -1.03%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-16 11:59
Unibet (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.95%EV -4.95%E -3.09%K -8.25%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.86%EV -7.34%E -1.47%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.19%EV -6.24%E -1.47%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-16 12:00
DraftKings1.56I 64.10%NM 59.71%EV -7.32%E -4.69%K -13.08%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.63%EV -7.34%E -1.47%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.66%EV -5.14%E -1.19%K -1.56%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-16 12:00
Betway1.57I 63.69%NM 59.25%EV -6.73%E -4.29%K -11.81%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -7.34%E -1.47%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -7.34%E -1.75%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-16 12:00
Fanatics1.57I 63.69%NM 58.93%EV -6.73%E -4.29%K -11.81%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -7.34%E -1.47%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.57%EV -9.55%E -2.33%K -3.08%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-16 12:00
betfred_uk1.53I 65.36%NM 59.87%EV -9.11%E -5.95%K -17.18%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -7.34%E -1.47%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -7.34%E -1.75%K -2.29%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-16 11:59
Bet Victor1.55I 64.52%NM 58.91%EV -7.92%E -5.11%K -14.40%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -7.34%E -1.47%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -11.76%E -2.94%K -3.92%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-16 11:59
SportsBet1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -10.89%E -7.26%K -21.78%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -7.34%E -1.47%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -7.34%E -1.75%K -2.29%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-16 12:00
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -10.89%E -7.26%K -21.78%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -7.34%E -1.47%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -7.34%E -1.75%K -2.29%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-16 12:00
Winamax (DE)1.52I 65.79%NM 59.38%EV -9.70%E -6.38%K -18.65%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.05%EV -7.34%E -1.47%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.57%EV -11.76%E -2.94%K -3.92%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-16 12:00
BetOnline.ag1.60I 62.50%NM 58.87%EV -4.95%E -3.09%K -8.25%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.22%EV -9.20%E -1.88%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.91%EV -5.14%E -1.19%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-16 12:00
LowVig.ag1.60I 62.50%NM 58.87%EV -4.95%E -3.09%K -8.25%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.22%EV -9.20%E -1.88%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.91%EV -5.14%E -1.19%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-16 12:00
BetAnything1.60I 62.50%NM 58.87%EV -4.95%E -3.09%K -8.25%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.22%EV -9.20%E -1.88%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.91%EV -5.14%E -1.19%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-16 11:59
BetUS1.55I 64.52%NM 59.33%EV -7.92%E -5.11%K -14.40%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.77%EV -9.20%E -1.88%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -7.34%E -1.75%K -2.29%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-16 11:59
Bet Right1.51I 66.23%NM 59.16%EV -10.29%E -6.82%K -20.18%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.23%EV -9.20%E -1.88%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.61%EV -12.86%E -3.26%K -4.36%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-16 11:59
PlayUp1.55I 64.52%NM 58.58%EV -7.92%E -5.11%K -14.40%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 18.72%EV -10.12%E -2.09%K -2.63%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -11.76%E -2.94%K -3.92%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-16 12:00
BetMGM1.61I 62.11%NM 58.18%EV -4.35%E -2.70%K -7.14%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.52%EV -11.05%E -2.30%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -7.34%E -1.75%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-16 11:59
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 57.82%EV -6.73%E -4.29%K -11.81%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.91%EV -11.05%E -2.30%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.27%EV -13.96%E -3.58%K -4.81%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-16 12:00
Sky Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 59.26%EV -10.89%E -7.26%K -21.78%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -11.05%E -2.30%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -11.76%E -2.94%K -3.92%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-16 12:00
Everygame1.53I 65.36%NM 59.30%EV -9.11%E -5.95%K -17.18%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.10%EV -11.98%E -2.52%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.60%EV -7.34%E -1.75%K -2.29%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-16 11:59
Codere (IT)1.56I 64.10%NM 58.40%EV -7.32%E -4.69%K -13.08%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.38%EV -12.90%E -2.75%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.22%EV -9.55%E -2.33%K -3.08%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-16 12:00
Winamax (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 58.69%EV -10.89%E -7.26%K -21.78%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.73%EV -12.90%E -2.75%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.57%EV -13.96%E -3.58%K -4.81%G +0.000%13.6%2026-05-16 12:00
Betclic (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 59.23%EV -12.08%E -8.16%K -25.16%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 18.85%EV -13.83%E -2.97%K -3.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.92%EV -11.76%E -2.94%K -3.92%G +0.000%14.1%2026-05-16 11:50
Unibet (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 58.50%EV -10.89%E -7.26%K -21.78%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 19.29%EV -15.68%E -3.45%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.21%EV -12.86%E -3.26%K -4.36%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-16 12:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 57.41%EV -7.92%E -5.11%K -14.40%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -16.61%E -3.69%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.82%EV -13.96%E -3.58%K -4.81%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-16 11:59
Neds1.55I 64.52%NM 57.41%EV -7.92%E -5.11%K -14.40%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -16.61%E -3.69%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.82%EV -13.96%E -3.58%K -4.81%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-16 11:59
Ladbrokes (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 57.41%EV -7.92%E -5.11%K -14.40%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -16.61%E -3.69%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.82%EV -13.96%E -3.58%K -4.81%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-16 12:00
Coral1.55I 64.52%NM 57.41%EV -7.92%E -5.11%K -14.40%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -16.61%E -3.69%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.82%EV -13.96%E -3.58%K -4.81%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-16 12:00
BoyleSports1.50I 66.67%NM 57.43%EV -10.89%E -7.26%K -21.78%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 19.90%EV -19.76%E -4.56%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.67%EV -16.17%E -4.25%K -5.77%G +0.000%16.1%2026-05-16 12:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.63I 61.35%NM 60.85%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.10%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.04%0.8%2026-05-16 12:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.63I 61.35%NM 60.85%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.10%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.04%0.8%2026-05-16 12:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.63I 61.35%NM 60.85%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.10%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.04%0.8%2026-05-16 12:00
Matchbook1.62I 61.73%NM 61.00%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.04%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.96%1.2%2026-05-16 12:00
Smarkets1.61I 62.11%NM 60.97%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.22%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.81%1.9%2026-05-16 12:00