La escuela de los momiosEspañol
SK Brann v KFUM
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
SK Brann (Local)
Predicción 59.41%1.68momio equitativo
EV -3.76%
Ventaja -2.32%
Kelly -6.06%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.62
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
57.41%59.43%59.39%63.20%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.401.531.541.6271.43%65.41%65.15%61.73%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
KFUM (Visitante)
Predicción 18.53%5.40momio equitativo
EV +6.55%
Ventaja +1.14%
Kelly +1.38%
Crecimiento +0.090%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.75
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
16.16%18.50%18.59%19.90%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.335.085.005.7523.09%19.70%20.00%17.39%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 22.06%4.53momio equitativo
EV -0.725%
Ventaja -0.161%
Kelly -0.207%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.64%22.07%22.02%23.27%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.804.204.204.5026.32%23.81%23.81%22.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (NL) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.04%EV -12.08%E -8.16%K -25.16%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV +6.55%E +1.14%K +1.38%G +0.090% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -0.725%E -0.161%K -0.207%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-16 12:00 |
| Casumo | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.04%EV -12.08%E -8.16%K -25.16%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV +6.55%E +1.14%K +1.38%G +0.090% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -0.725%E -0.161%K -0.207%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-16 12:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.04%EV -12.08%E -8.16%K -25.16%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV +6.55%E +1.14%K +1.38%G +0.090% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -0.725%E -0.161%K -0.207%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-16 12:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.04%EV -12.08%E -8.16%K -25.16%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV +6.55%E +1.14%K +1.38%G +0.090% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -0.725%E -0.161%K -0.207%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-16 12:00 |
| Unibet | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.20%EV -12.67%E -8.62%K -26.96%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.16%EV +6.55%E +1.14%K +1.38%G +0.090% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.64%EV -0.725%E -0.161%K -0.207%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-16 12:00 |
| Grosvenor | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.20%EV -12.67%E -8.62%K -26.96%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.16%EV +6.55%E +1.14%K +1.38%G +0.090% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.64%EV -0.725%E -0.161%K -0.207%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-16 12:00 |
| TABtouch | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.95%EV -13.86%E -9.56%K -30.80%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.30%EV +3.77%E +0.674%K +0.821%G +0.031% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.75%EV -2.93%E -0.666%K -0.862%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-16 12:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.95%EV -13.86%E -9.56%K -30.80%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.30%EV +3.77%E +0.674%K +0.821%G +0.031% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.75%EV -2.93%E -0.666%K -0.862%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-16 12:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.45I 68.97%NM 62.95%EV -13.86%E -9.56%K -30.80%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.30%EV +3.77%E +0.674%K +0.821%G +0.031% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.75%EV -2.93%E -0.666%K -0.862%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-16 12:00 |
| LeoVegas | 1.43I 69.93%NM 62.94%EV -15.05%E -10.52%K -34.99%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.37%EV +1.92%E +0.349%K +0.427%G +0.008% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.69%EV -4.03%E -0.927%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-16 12:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 62.95%EV -16.83%E -12.02%K -42.07%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.32%EV +0.068%E +0.013%K +0.016%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 20.74%EV -6.24%E -1.47%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-05-16 12:00 |
| Betsson | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.83%EV -6.14%E -3.88%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 5.35I 18.69%NM 17.67%EV -0.858%E -0.160%K -0.197%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.34%E -1.75%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-16 12:00 |
| Coolbet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.89%EV -3.76%E -2.32%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.31%EV -1.78%E -0.337%K -0.415%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.80%EV -1.83%E -0.411%K -0.530%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-16 11:59 |
| FanDuel | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.11%EV -9.11%E -5.95%K -17.18%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.64%EV -1.78%E -0.337%K -0.415%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -2.93%E -0.666%K -0.862%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-16 12:00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.24%EV -7.92%E -5.11%K -14.40%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.79%EV -2.71%E -0.516%K -0.638%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.97%EV -6.24%E -1.47%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-16 11:59 |
| Bovada | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.45%EV -6.73%E -4.29%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.78%EV -2.71%E -0.516%K -0.638%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -9.55%E -2.33%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-16 12:00 |
| Pinnacle | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.89%EV -4.35%E -2.70%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.54%EV -3.64%E -0.700%K -0.866%G +0.000% | 4.47I 22.37%NM 21.57%EV -1.39%E -0.310%K -0.400%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-16 11:59 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.45%EV -9.70%E -6.38%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.67%EV -3.64%E -0.700%K -0.866%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.88%EV -7.34%E -1.75%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-16 12:00 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.77%EV -7.32%E -4.69%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.28%EV -5.49%E -1.08%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.94%EV -6.24%E -1.47%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-16 11:59 |
| GTbets | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.17%EV -8.51%E -5.53%K -15.76%G +0.000% | 5.03I 19.88%NM 18.42%EV -6.79%E -1.35%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -4.48%E -1.03%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-16 11:59 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.95%EV -4.95%E -3.09%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.86%EV -7.34%E -1.47%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.19%EV -6.24%E -1.47%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-16 12:00 |
| DraftKings | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.71%EV -7.32%E -4.69%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.63%EV -7.34%E -1.47%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.66%EV -5.14%E -1.19%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-16 12:00 |
| Betway | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.25%EV -6.73%E -4.29%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -7.34%E -1.47%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.15%EV -7.34%E -1.75%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-16 12:00 |
| Fanatics | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.93%EV -6.73%E -4.29%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -7.34%E -1.47%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.57%EV -9.55%E -2.33%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-16 12:00 |
| betfred_uk | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.87%EV -9.11%E -5.95%K -17.18%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.32%EV -7.34%E -1.47%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -7.34%E -1.75%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-16 11:59 |
| Bet Victor | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.91%EV -7.92%E -5.11%K -14.40%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -7.34%E -1.47%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -11.76%E -2.94%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-16 11:59 |
| SportsBet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -10.89%E -7.26%K -21.78%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -7.34%E -1.47%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -7.34%E -1.75%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-16 12:00 |
| Paddy Power | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.34%EV -10.89%E -7.26%K -21.78%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -7.34%E -1.47%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.55%EV -7.34%E -1.75%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-16 12:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.38%EV -9.70%E -6.38%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.05%EV -7.34%E -1.47%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.57%EV -11.76%E -2.94%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-16 12:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.87%EV -4.95%E -3.09%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.22%EV -9.20%E -1.88%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.91%EV -5.14%E -1.19%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-16 12:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.87%EV -4.95%E -3.09%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.22%EV -9.20%E -1.88%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.91%EV -5.14%E -1.19%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-16 12:00 |
| BetAnything | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.87%EV -4.95%E -3.09%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.22%EV -9.20%E -1.88%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.91%EV -5.14%E -1.19%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-16 11:59 |
| BetUS | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.33%EV -7.92%E -5.11%K -14.40%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.77%EV -9.20%E -1.88%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -7.34%E -1.75%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-16 11:59 |
| Bet Right | 1.51I 66.23%NM 59.16%EV -10.29%E -6.82%K -20.18%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.23%EV -9.20%E -1.88%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.61%EV -12.86%E -3.26%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-16 11:59 |
| PlayUp | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.58%EV -7.92%E -5.11%K -14.40%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 18.72%EV -10.12%E -2.09%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%EV -11.76%E -2.94%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-16 12:00 |
| BetMGM | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.18%EV -4.35%E -2.70%K -7.14%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.52%EV -11.05%E -2.30%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -7.34%E -1.75%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-16 11:59 |
| William Hill | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.82%EV -6.73%E -4.29%K -11.81%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.91%EV -11.05%E -2.30%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.27%EV -13.96%E -3.58%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-16 12:00 |
| Sky Bet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.26%EV -10.89%E -7.26%K -21.78%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.52%EV -11.05%E -2.30%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.22%EV -11.76%E -2.94%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-05-16 12:00 |
| Everygame | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.30%EV -9.11%E -5.95%K -17.18%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.10%EV -11.98%E -2.52%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.60%EV -7.34%E -1.75%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-16 11:59 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.40%EV -7.32%E -4.69%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.38%EV -12.90%E -2.75%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.22%EV -9.55%E -2.33%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-16 12:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 58.69%EV -10.89%E -7.26%K -21.78%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.73%EV -12.90%E -2.75%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.57%EV -13.96%E -3.58%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-05-16 12:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 59.23%EV -12.08%E -8.16%K -25.16%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 18.85%EV -13.83%E -2.97%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.92%EV -11.76%E -2.94%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-05-16 11:50 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 58.50%EV -10.89%E -7.26%K -21.78%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 19.29%EV -15.68%E -3.45%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.21%EV -12.86%E -3.26%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-05-16 12:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.41%EV -7.92%E -5.11%K -14.40%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -16.61%E -3.69%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.82%EV -13.96%E -3.58%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-16 11:59 |
| Neds | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.41%EV -7.92%E -5.11%K -14.40%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -16.61%E -3.69%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.82%EV -13.96%E -3.58%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-16 11:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.41%EV -7.92%E -5.11%K -14.40%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -16.61%E -3.69%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.82%EV -13.96%E -3.58%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-16 12:00 |
| Coral | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.41%EV -7.92%E -5.11%K -14.40%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -16.61%E -3.69%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.82%EV -13.96%E -3.58%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-16 12:00 |
| BoyleSports | 1.50I 66.67%NM 57.43%EV -10.89%E -7.26%K -21.78%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 19.90%EV -19.76%E -4.56%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.67%EV -16.17%E -4.25%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 16.1% | 2026-05-16 12:00 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.85% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.10% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.04% | 0.8% | 2026-05-16 12:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.85% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.10% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.04% | 0.8% | 2026-05-16 12:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.85% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.10% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.04% | 0.8% | 2026-05-16 12:00 |
| Matchbook | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.00% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 17.04% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.96% | 1.2% | 2026-05-16 12:00 |
| Smarkets | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.97% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.22% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.81% | 1.9% | 2026-05-16 12:00 |