Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Sarpsborg FK v Tromso

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-19 15:00 UTC

Score final : Sarpsborg FK 0–1 Tromso

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

54 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Sarpsborg FK (Local)

Prévision 29.72%3.37cote équitable
EV -1.04%
Avantage -0.313%
Kelly -0.447%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.33

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.15%29.65%29.85%31.11%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.803.113.113.3335.71%32.15%32.15%30.03%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Tromso (Visiteur)

Prévision 43.29%2.31cote équitable
EV -2.59%
Avantage -1.15%
Kelly -2.07%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
42.08%43.38%43.17%45.31%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.962.112.122.2551.02%47.36%47.17%44.44%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 26.99%3.71cote équitable
EV -0.143%
Avantage -0.039%
Kelly -0.053%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.94%26.97%26.98%28.57%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.003.363.303.7033.33%29.76%30.30%27.03%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Sarpsborg FK (Local) : 29.72% ; Tromso (Visiteur) : 43.29% ; Match nul : 26.99%. Pour Match nul, cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.71. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 3.70, pour une espérance de -0.143% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (54 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
GTbets🎯3.33I 30.03%NM 28.46%EV -1.04%E -0.313%K -0.447%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.08%EV -6.92%E -3.22%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.47%EV -6.89%E -2.00%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-19 04:00
Coolbet🎯3.32I 30.12%NM 29.24%EV -1.34%E -0.403%K -0.577%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%EV -5.62%E -2.58%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.23%EV -0.143%E -0.039%K -0.053%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-19 14:09
BetMGM🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -1.93%E -0.586%K -0.841%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -11.25%E -5.49%K -10.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -5.54%E -1.58%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-19 07:25
Pinnacle🎯3.22I 31.06%NM 30.05%EV -4.31%E -1.34%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.00%EV -2.59%E -1.15%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.95%EV -3.11%E -0.867%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-19 14:50
LowVig.ag🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV -4.91%E -1.53%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.12%EV -5.18%E -2.37%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -6.89%E -2.00%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-19 14:35
BetOnline.ag🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV -4.91%E -1.53%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.12%EV -5.18%E -2.37%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -6.89%E -2.00%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-19 14:35
BetAnything🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV -4.91%E -1.53%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.12%EV -5.18%E -2.37%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -6.89%E -2.00%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-19 14:35
FanDuel🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -4.91%E -1.53%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -6.92%E -3.22%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -8.24%E -2.42%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-19 14:54
Tipico (DE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -4.91%E -1.53%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -9.08%E -4.32%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -8.24%E -2.42%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-19 13:35
1xBet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.15%EV -6.39%E -2.03%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.40%EV -3.02%E -1.35%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.45%EV -6.62%E -1.91%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 14:50
DraftKings🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.13%EV -6.39%E -2.03%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.14%EV -4.75%E -2.16%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.73%EV -4.19%E -1.18%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-19 14:30
Betsson🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.01%EV -6.39%E -2.03%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.59%EV -3.89%E -1.75%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.40%EV -6.89%E -2.00%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-19 14:55
NordicBet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.01%EV -6.39%E -2.03%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.59%EV -3.89%E -1.75%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.40%EV -6.89%E -2.00%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-19 14:55
Unibet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.07%EV -6.39%E -2.03%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.19%EV -8.22%E -3.88%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%EV -10.94%E -3.31%K -4.76%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-19 14:20
Grosvenor🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.07%EV -6.39%E -2.03%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.19%EV -8.22%E -3.88%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%EV -10.94%E -3.31%K -4.76%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-19 14:20
BetRivers🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.07%EV -6.39%E -2.03%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.19%EV -8.22%E -3.88%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%EV -10.94%E -3.31%K -4.76%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-19 14:20
Unibet (SE)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.07%EV -6.39%E -2.03%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.19%EV -8.22%E -3.88%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%EV -10.94%E -3.31%K -4.76%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-19 14:20
Casumo🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.07%EV -6.39%E -2.03%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.19%EV -8.22%E -3.88%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%EV -10.94%E -3.31%K -4.76%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-19 14:20
Unibet (NL)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.07%EV -6.39%E -2.03%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.19%EV -8.22%E -3.88%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%EV -10.94%E -3.31%K -4.76%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-19 14:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.07%EV -6.39%E -2.03%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.19%EV -8.22%E -3.88%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%EV -10.94%E -3.31%K -4.76%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-19 14:20
TABtouch🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.07%EV -6.39%E -2.03%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.19%EV -8.22%E -3.88%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%EV -10.94%E -3.31%K -4.76%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-19 14:20
Svenska Spel🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.07%EV -6.39%E -2.03%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.19%EV -8.22%E -3.88%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%EV -10.94%E -3.31%K -4.76%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-19 14:20
betPARX🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.07%EV -6.39%E -2.03%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.19%EV -8.22%E -3.88%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%EV -10.94%E -3.31%K -4.76%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-19 14:20
ATG (SE)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.07%EV -6.39%E -2.03%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.19%EV -8.22%E -3.88%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%EV -10.94%E -3.31%K -4.76%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-19 14:20
LiveScore Bet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.95%EV -6.39%E -2.03%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.42%EV -9.08%E -4.32%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -10.94%E -3.31%K -4.76%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-19 14:20
Virgin Bet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.95%EV -6.39%E -2.03%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.42%EV -9.08%E -4.32%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -10.94%E -3.31%K -4.76%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-19 14:20
Marathon Bet🎯3.12I 32.05%NM 29.86%EV -7.28%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.13%EV -6.48%E -3.00%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -6.89%E -2.00%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-19 14:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -7.88%E -2.54%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -6.92%E -3.22%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -5.54%E -1.58%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-19 10:15
Betway🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -7.88%E -2.54%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -4.75%E -2.16%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -10.94%E -3.31%K -4.76%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-19 14:45
Fanatics🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -7.88%E -2.54%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -6.92%E -3.22%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -8.24%E -2.42%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-19 14:45
Bovada🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -7.88%E -2.54%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -9.08%E -4.32%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -8.24%E -2.42%K -3.43%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-19 14:45
BetUS🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.40%EV -7.88%E -2.54%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40%EV -9.08%E -4.32%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.20%EV -9.59%E -2.86%K -4.08%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-19 14:55
Codere (IT)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -7.88%E -2.54%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 43.51%EV -9.51%E -4.55%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.15%EV -9.59%E -2.86%K -4.08%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-19 14:20
SportsBet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -7.88%E -2.54%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -9.08%E -4.32%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -10.94%E -3.31%K -4.76%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-19 14:55
LeoVegas🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -7.88%E -2.54%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 43.27%EV -9.95%E -4.78%K -9.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.69%EV -12.29%E -3.78%K -5.46%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-19 14:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -7.88%E -2.54%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -13.41%E -6.71%K -13.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -10.94%E -3.31%K -4.76%G +0.000%12.6%2026-04-19 07:25
Neds🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -7.88%E -2.54%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -13.41%E -6.71%K -13.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -10.94%E -3.31%K -4.76%G +0.000%12.6%2026-04-19 07:25
Coral🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -7.88%E -2.54%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -13.41%E -6.71%K -13.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -10.94%E -3.31%K -4.76%G +0.000%12.6%2026-04-19 07:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -7.88%E -2.54%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -13.41%E -6.71%K -13.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -10.94%E -3.31%K -4.76%G +0.000%12.6%2026-04-19 07:25
Bet Right🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.97%EV -9.36%E -3.07%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.53%EV -9.08%E -4.32%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.50%EV -6.89%E -2.00%K -2.81%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-19 10:15
Winamax (DE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.77%EV -9.36%E -3.07%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.29%EV -11.25%E -5.49%K -10.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -5.54%E -1.58%K -2.22%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-19 14:20
PMU (FR)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 28.87%EV -9.36%E -3.07%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 43.17%EV -11.68%E -5.72%K -11.23%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.96%EV -14.99%E -4.76%K -6.97%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-19 14:20
Betclic (FR)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 28.78%EV -9.36%E -3.07%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 44.78%EV -15.14%E -7.73%K -15.77%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 26.44%EV -10.40%E -3.13%K -4.48%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-19 14:34
Bet Victor🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -10.85%E -3.62%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -6.92%E -3.22%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.24%E -2.42%K -3.43%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-19 14:40
betfred_uk🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -10.85%E -3.62%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -9.08%E -4.32%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -5.54%E -1.58%K -2.22%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-19 10:12
PlayUp🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -10.85%E -3.62%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -6.92%E -3.22%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.94%E -3.31%K -4.76%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-19 14:55
William Hill🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -10.85%E -3.62%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -6.92%E -3.22%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.94%E -3.31%K -4.76%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-19 14:30
Everygame🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -10.85%E -3.62%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -9.08%E -4.32%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -8.24%E -2.42%K -3.43%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-19 14:20
Paddy Power🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -10.85%E -3.62%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -9.08%E -4.32%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -10.94%E -3.31%K -4.76%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-19 14:55
Sky Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -10.85%E -3.62%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -9.08%E -4.32%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -13.64%E -4.26%K -6.20%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-19 14:55
Unibet (FR)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.27%EV -10.85%E -3.62%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 44.12%EV -13.84%E -6.96%K -13.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.61%EV -10.94%E -3.31%K -4.76%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-19 14:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 28.57%EV -10.85%E -3.62%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 42.86%EV -13.41%E -6.71%K -13.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.57%EV -19.04%E -6.35%K -9.52%G +0.000%16.7%2026-04-19 14:30
Winamax (FR)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.16%EV -13.82%E -4.77%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.73%EV -13.41%E -6.71%K -13.41%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.11%EV -9.59%E -2.86%K -4.08%G +0.000%14.3%2026-04-19 14:20
BoyleSports🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.11%EV -16.79%E -6.00%K -9.33%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 42.49%EV -11.25%E -5.49%K -10.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.40%EV -10.94%E -3.31%K -4.76%G +0.000%14.8%2026-04-19 14:45
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.35I 29.85%NM 29.41%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.22%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.37%1.5%2026-04-19 14:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.35I 29.85%NM 29.41%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.22%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.37%1.5%2026-04-19 14:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.35I 29.85%NM 29.41%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.22%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.37%1.5%2026-04-19 14:55
Matchbook3.35I 29.85%NM 29.41%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.22%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.37%1.5%2026-04-19 14:55
Smarkets3.35I 29.85%NM 29.30%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.43%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.27%1.9%2026-04-19 14:55