La escuela de los momios

Sarpsborg FK v Tromso

Inicio: 2026-04-19 15:00 UTC

Final: Sarpsborg FK 0–1 Tromso

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

54 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Sarpsborg FK (Local)

Predicción 29.72%3.37momio equitativo
EV -1.04%
Ventaja -0.313%
Kelly -0.447%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.33

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.15%29.65%29.85%31.11%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.803.113.113.3335.71%32.15%32.15%30.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Tromso (Visitante)

Predicción 43.29%2.31momio equitativo
EV -2.59%
Ventaja -1.15%
Kelly -2.07%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.25

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.08%43.38%43.17%45.31%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.962.112.122.2551.02%47.36%47.17%44.44%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 26.99%3.71momio equitativo
EV -0.143%
Ventaja -0.039%
Kelly -0.053%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.70

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.94%26.97%26.98%28.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.363.303.7033.33%29.76%30.30%27.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (54 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
GTbets3.33I 30.03%NM 28.46%EV -1.04%E -0.313%K -0.447%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.08%EV -6.92%E -3.22%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.47%EV -6.89%E -2.00%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-19 04:00
Coolbet3.32I 30.12%NM 29.24%EV -1.34%E -0.403%K -0.577%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%EV -5.62%E -2.58%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.23%EV -0.143%E -0.039%K -0.053%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-19 14:09
BetMGM3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -1.93%E -0.586%K -0.841%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -11.25%E -5.49%K -10.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -5.54%E -1.58%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-19 07:25
Pinnacle3.22I 31.06%NM 30.05%EV -4.31%E -1.34%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.00%EV -2.59%E -1.15%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.95%EV -3.11%E -0.867%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-19 14:50
LowVig.ag3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV -4.91%E -1.53%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.12%EV -5.18%E -2.37%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -6.89%E -2.00%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-19 14:35
BetOnline.ag3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV -4.91%E -1.53%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.12%EV -5.18%E -2.37%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -6.89%E -2.00%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-19 14:35
BetAnything3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV -4.91%E -1.53%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.12%EV -5.18%E -2.37%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -6.89%E -2.00%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-19 14:35
FanDuel3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -4.91%E -1.53%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -6.92%E -3.22%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -8.24%E -2.42%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-19 14:54
Tipico (DE)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -4.91%E -1.53%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -9.08%E -4.32%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -8.24%E -2.42%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-19 13:35
1xBet3.15I 31.75%NM 30.15%EV -6.39%E -2.03%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.40%EV -3.02%E -1.35%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.45%EV -6.62%E -1.91%K -2.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-19 14:50
DraftKings3.15I 31.75%NM 30.13%EV -6.39%E -2.03%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.14%EV -4.75%E -2.16%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.73%EV -4.19%E -1.18%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-19 14:30
Betsson3.15I 31.75%NM 30.01%EV -6.39%E -2.03%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.59%EV -3.89%E -1.75%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.40%EV -6.89%E -2.00%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-19 14:55
NordicBet3.15I 31.75%NM 30.01%EV -6.39%E -2.03%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.59%EV -3.89%E -1.75%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.40%EV -6.89%E -2.00%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-19 14:55
Unibet3.15I 31.75%NM 29.07%EV -6.39%E -2.03%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.19%EV -8.22%E -3.88%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%EV -10.94%E -3.31%K -4.76%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-19 14:20
Grosvenor3.15I 31.75%NM 29.07%EV -6.39%E -2.03%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.19%EV -8.22%E -3.88%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%EV -10.94%E -3.31%K -4.76%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-19 14:20
BetRivers3.15I 31.75%NM 29.07%EV -6.39%E -2.03%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.19%EV -8.22%E -3.88%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%EV -10.94%E -3.31%K -4.76%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-19 14:20
Unibet (SE)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.07%EV -6.39%E -2.03%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.19%EV -8.22%E -3.88%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%EV -10.94%E -3.31%K -4.76%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-19 14:20
Casumo3.15I 31.75%NM 29.07%EV -6.39%E -2.03%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.19%EV -8.22%E -3.88%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%EV -10.94%E -3.31%K -4.76%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-19 14:20
Unibet (NL)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.07%EV -6.39%E -2.03%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.19%EV -8.22%E -3.88%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%EV -10.94%E -3.31%K -4.76%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-19 14:20
LeoVegas (SE)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.07%EV -6.39%E -2.03%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.19%EV -8.22%E -3.88%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%EV -10.94%E -3.31%K -4.76%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-19 14:20
TABtouch3.15I 31.75%NM 29.07%EV -6.39%E -2.03%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.19%EV -8.22%E -3.88%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%EV -10.94%E -3.31%K -4.76%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-19 14:20
Svenska Spel3.15I 31.75%NM 29.07%EV -6.39%E -2.03%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.19%EV -8.22%E -3.88%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%EV -10.94%E -3.31%K -4.76%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-19 14:20
betPARX3.15I 31.75%NM 29.07%EV -6.39%E -2.03%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.19%EV -8.22%E -3.88%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%EV -10.94%E -3.31%K -4.76%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-19 14:20
ATG (SE)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.07%EV -6.39%E -2.03%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.19%EV -8.22%E -3.88%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.75%EV -10.94%E -3.31%K -4.76%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-19 14:20
LiveScore Bet3.15I 31.75%NM 28.95%EV -6.39%E -2.03%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.42%EV -9.08%E -4.32%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -10.94%E -3.31%K -4.76%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-19 14:20
Virgin Bet3.15I 31.75%NM 28.95%EV -6.39%E -2.03%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.42%EV -9.08%E -4.32%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -10.94%E -3.31%K -4.76%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-19 14:20
Marathon Bet3.12I 32.05%NM 29.86%EV -7.28%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.13%EV -6.48%E -3.00%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -6.89%E -2.00%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-19 14:45
PointsBet (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -7.88%E -2.54%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -6.92%E -3.22%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -5.54%E -1.58%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-19 10:15
Betway3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -7.88%E -2.54%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -4.75%E -2.16%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -10.94%E -3.31%K -4.76%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-19 14:45
Fanatics3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -7.88%E -2.54%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -6.92%E -3.22%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -8.24%E -2.42%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-19 14:45
Bovada3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -7.88%E -2.54%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -9.08%E -4.32%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -8.24%E -2.42%K -3.43%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-19 14:45
BetUS3.10I 32.26%NM 29.40%EV -7.88%E -2.54%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40%EV -9.08%E -4.32%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.20%EV -9.59%E -2.86%K -4.08%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-19 14:55
Codere (IT)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -7.88%E -2.54%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 43.51%EV -9.51%E -4.55%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.15%EV -9.59%E -2.86%K -4.08%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-19 14:20
SportsBet3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -7.88%E -2.54%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -9.08%E -4.32%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -10.94%E -3.31%K -4.76%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-19 14:55
LeoVegas3.10I 32.26%NM 29.03%EV -7.88%E -2.54%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 43.27%EV -9.95%E -4.78%K -9.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.69%EV -12.29%E -3.78%K -5.46%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-19 14:20
Ladbrokes (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -7.88%E -2.54%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -13.41%E -6.71%K -13.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -10.94%E -3.31%K -4.76%G +0.000%12.6%2026-04-19 07:25
Neds3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -7.88%E -2.54%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -13.41%E -6.71%K -13.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -10.94%E -3.31%K -4.76%G +0.000%12.6%2026-04-19 07:25
Coral3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -7.88%E -2.54%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -13.41%E -6.71%K -13.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -10.94%E -3.31%K -4.76%G +0.000%12.6%2026-04-19 07:25
Ladbrokes (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -7.88%E -2.54%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.42%EV -13.41%E -6.71%K -13.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -10.94%E -3.31%K -4.76%G +0.000%12.6%2026-04-19 07:25
Bet Right3.05I 32.79%NM 29.97%EV -9.36%E -3.07%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.53%EV -9.08%E -4.32%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.50%EV -6.89%E -2.00%K -2.81%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-19 10:15
Winamax (DE)3.05I 32.79%NM 29.77%EV -9.36%E -3.07%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.29%EV -11.25%E -5.49%K -10.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -5.54%E -1.58%K -2.22%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-19 14:20
PMU (FR)3.05I 32.79%NM 28.87%EV -9.36%E -3.07%K -4.57%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 43.17%EV -11.68%E -5.72%K -11.23%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.96%EV -14.99%E -4.76%K -6.97%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-19 14:20
Betclic (FR)3.05I 32.79%NM 28.78%EV -9.36%E -3.07%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 44.78%EV -15.14%E -7.73%K -15.77%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 26.44%EV -10.40%E -3.13%K -4.48%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-19 14:34
Bet Victor3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -10.85%E -3.62%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -6.92%E -3.22%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.24%E -2.42%K -3.43%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-19 14:40
betfred_uk3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -10.85%E -3.62%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -9.08%E -4.32%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -5.54%E -1.58%K -2.22%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-19 10:12
PlayUp3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -10.85%E -3.62%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -6.92%E -3.22%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.94%E -3.31%K -4.76%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-19 14:55
William Hill3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -10.85%E -3.62%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -6.92%E -3.22%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.94%E -3.31%K -4.76%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-19 14:30
Everygame3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -10.85%E -3.62%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -9.08%E -4.32%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -8.24%E -2.42%K -3.43%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-19 14:20
Paddy Power3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -10.85%E -3.62%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -9.08%E -4.32%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -10.94%E -3.31%K -4.76%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-19 14:55
Sky Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -10.85%E -3.62%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -9.08%E -4.32%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -13.64%E -4.26%K -6.20%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-19 14:55
Unibet (FR)3.00I 33.33%NM 29.27%EV -10.85%E -3.62%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 44.12%EV -13.84%E -6.96%K -13.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.61%EV -10.94%E -3.31%K -4.76%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-19 14:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 28.57%EV -10.85%E -3.62%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 42.86%EV -13.41%E -6.71%K -13.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.57%EV -19.04%E -6.35%K -9.52%G +0.000%16.7%2026-04-19 14:30
Winamax (FR)2.90I 34.48%NM 30.16%EV -13.82%E -4.77%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.73%EV -13.41%E -6.71%K -13.41%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.11%EV -9.59%E -2.86%K -4.08%G +0.000%14.3%2026-04-19 14:20
BoyleSports2.80I 35.71%NM 31.11%EV -16.79%E -6.00%K -9.33%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 42.49%EV -11.25%E -5.49%K -10.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.40%EV -10.94%E -3.31%K -4.76%G +0.000%14.8%2026-04-19 14:45
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.35I 29.85%NM 29.41%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.22%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.37%1.5%2026-04-19 14:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.35I 29.85%NM 29.41%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.22%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.37%1.5%2026-04-19 14:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.35I 29.85%NM 29.41%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.22%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.37%1.5%2026-04-19 14:55
Matchbook3.35I 29.85%NM 29.41%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.22%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.37%1.5%2026-04-19 14:55
Smarkets3.35I 29.85%NM 29.30%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.43%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.27%1.9%2026-04-19 14:55