The School of Odds
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Sarpsborg FK v Kristiansund BK

Kickoff: 2026-11-01 16:00 UTC

Final: Sarpsborg FK 2–4 Kristiansund BK

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

55 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Sarpsborg FK (Local)

Prediction 64.02%1.56fair odd
EV -3.33%
Edge -2.21%
Kelly -6.53%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.51

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.84%64.01%64.23%66.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.331.441.441.5175.19%69.66%69.44%66.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Kristiansund BK (Visit)

Prediction 16.17%6.18fair odd
EV +16.43%
Edge +2.28%
Kelly +2.65%
Growth +0.435%

assuming max odds 7.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
13.48%16.15%16.01%18.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.705.715.757.2021.28%17.52%17.39%13.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 19.81%5.05fair odd
EV -0.947%
Edge -0.189%
Kelly -0.237%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.64%19.84%19.76%21.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.204.584.505.0023.81%21.81%22.22%20.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Sarpsborg FK (Local): 64.02%; Kristiansund BK (Visit): 16.17%; Draw: 19.81%. For Kristiansund BK (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.18. 10 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.20, corresponding to a positive expected value of +16.43%.

Sportsbook Odds (55 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 66.50%EV -6.53%E -4.47%K -14.20%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.48%EV +16.43%E +2.28%K +2.65%G +0.435%4.85I 20.62%NM 20.02%EV -3.92%E -0.808%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.0%2026-11-01 14:25
Pinnacle🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.53%EV -3.97%E -2.65%K -7.94%G +0.000%6.51I 15.36%NM 14.87%EV +5.27%E +0.809%K +0.956%G +0.050%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.60%EV -6.89%E -1.47%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.3%2026-11-01 15:45
Casumo🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.23%EV -8.45%E -5.91%K -19.66%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.92%EV +1.06%E +0.170%K +0.203%G +0.002%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV -6.89%E -1.47%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.2%2026-11-01 14:25
Unibet (NL)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.23%EV -8.45%E -5.91%K -19.66%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.92%EV +1.06%E +0.170%K +0.203%G +0.002%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV -6.89%E -1.47%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.2%2026-11-01 14:25
Unibet (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.23%EV -8.45%E -5.91%K -19.66%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.92%EV +1.06%E +0.170%K +0.203%G +0.002%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV -6.89%E -1.47%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.2%2026-11-01 14:25
betPARX🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.23%EV -8.45%E -5.91%K -19.66%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.92%EV +1.06%E +0.170%K +0.203%G +0.002%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV -6.89%E -1.47%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.2%2026-11-01 14:25
ATG (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.23%EV -8.45%E -5.91%K -19.66%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.92%EV +1.06%E +0.170%K +0.203%G +0.002%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV -6.89%E -1.47%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.2%2026-11-01 14:25
Svenska Spel🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.23%EV -8.45%E -5.91%K -19.66%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.92%EV +1.06%E +0.170%K +0.203%G +0.002%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV -6.89%E -1.47%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.2%2026-11-01 14:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.52%EV -9.09%E -6.40%K -21.65%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.89%EV +1.06%E +0.170%K +0.203%G +0.002%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.59%EV -5.90%E -1.24%K -1.57%G +0.000%7.5%2026-11-01 14:55
1xBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.44%EV -5.25%E -3.55%K -10.94%G +0.000%6.21I 16.10%NM 15.36%EV +0.417%E +0.067%K +0.080%G +0.000%4.72I 21.19%NM 20.21%EV -6.49%E -1.38%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.9%2026-11-01 15:34
GTbets🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.80%EV -7.17%E -4.95%K -15.94%G +0.000%6.16I 16.23%NM 15.25%EV -0.392%E -0.064%K -0.076%G +0.000%4.71I 21.23%NM 19.95%EV -6.69%E -1.42%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.4%2026-11-01 15:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.47%EV -7.81%E -5.43%K -17.76%G +0.000%6.05I 16.53%NM 15.35%EV -2.17%E -0.359%K -0.430%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.18%EV -8.87%E -1.93%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.7%2026-11-01 15:35
Betsson🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.57%EV -5.25%E -3.55%K -10.94%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.93%EV -2.98%E -0.497%K -0.596%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.50%EV -2.93%E -0.598%K -0.751%G +0.000%4.6%2026-11-01 15:25
DraftKings🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.04%EV -5.25%E -3.55%K -10.94%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.80%EV -2.98%E -0.497%K -0.596%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.17%EV -6.89%E -1.47%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.5%2026-11-01 15:48
FanDuel🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.66%EV -8.45%E -5.91%K -19.66%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.67%EV -4.60%E -0.779%K -0.938%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.67%EV -6.89%E -1.47%K -1.86%G +0.000%8.2%2026-11-01 15:50
NordicBet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.23%EV -6.53%E -4.47%K -14.20%G +0.000%5.85I 17.09%NM 16.03%EV -5.40%E -0.924%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV -5.90%E -1.24%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.6%2026-11-01 15:25
BetOnline.ag🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.66%EV -3.33%E -2.21%K -6.53%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -6.21%E -1.07%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.03%EV -10.85%E -2.41%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.7%2026-11-01 15:50
LowVig.ag🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.66%EV -3.33%E -2.21%K -6.53%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -6.21%E -1.07%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.03%EV -10.85%E -2.41%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.7%2026-11-01 15:50
BetUS🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.66%EV -3.33%E -2.21%K -6.53%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -6.21%E -1.07%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.03%EV -10.85%E -2.41%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.7%2026-11-01 15:50
BetAnything🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.66%EV -3.33%E -2.21%K -6.53%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -6.21%E -1.07%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.03%EV -10.85%E -2.41%K -3.10%G +0.000%5.7%2026-11-01 15:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 64.25%EV -9.73%E -6.90%K -23.74%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.62%EV -6.21%E -1.07%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.13%EV -10.85%E -2.41%K -3.10%G +0.000%10.4%2026-11-01 14:25
BetRivers🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 64.25%EV -9.73%E -6.90%K -23.74%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.62%EV -6.21%E -1.07%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.13%EV -10.85%E -2.41%K -3.10%G +0.000%10.4%2026-11-01 14:25
Unibet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.41%EV -10.37%E -7.41%K -25.93%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.55%EV -6.21%E -1.07%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.04%EV -10.85%E -2.41%K -3.10%G +0.000%10.9%2026-11-01 14:30
Grosvenor🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.41%EV -10.37%E -7.41%K -25.93%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.55%EV -6.21%E -1.07%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.04%EV -10.85%E -2.41%K -3.10%G +0.000%10.9%2026-11-01 14:25
TABtouch🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 64.74%EV -11.65%E -8.44%K -30.67%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.40%EV -6.21%E -1.07%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.85%EV -10.85%E -2.41%K -3.10%G +0.000%11.9%2026-11-01 14:25
Betway🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.04%EV -5.25%E -3.55%K -10.94%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -7.02%E -1.22%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.73%EV -10.85%E -2.41%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.2%2026-11-01 15:35
Bet Victor🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.61%EV -10.37%E -7.41%K -25.93%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.73%EV -7.02%E -1.22%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.66%EV -8.87%E -1.93%K -2.46%G +0.000%10.6%2026-11-01 15:29
betano_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.61%EV -10.37%E -7.41%K -25.93%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.73%EV -7.02%E -1.22%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.66%EV -8.87%E -1.93%K -2.46%G +0.000%10.6%2026-11-01 15:25
Bet Right🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.61%EV -10.37%E -7.41%K -25.93%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.73%EV -7.02%E -1.22%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.66%EV -8.87%E -1.93%K -2.46%G +0.000%10.6%2026-11-01 15:15
LiveScore Bet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 64.53%EV -12.29%E -8.97%K -33.23%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.38%EV -7.02%E -1.22%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.09%EV -12.83%E -2.92%K -3.77%G +0.000%13.1%2026-11-01 14:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 64.53%EV -12.29%E -8.97%K -33.23%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.38%EV -7.02%E -1.22%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.09%EV -12.83%E -2.92%K -3.77%G +0.000%13.1%2026-11-01 14:25
PMU (FR)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 64.70%EV -12.93%E -9.51%K -35.93%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.30%EV -7.02%E -1.22%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.00%EV -12.83%E -2.92%K -3.77%G +0.000%13.6%2026-11-01 14:25
Tipico (DE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.05%EV -10.37%E -7.41%K -25.93%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 15.98%EV -7.83%E -1.37%K -1.67%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.97%EV -4.91%E -1.02%K -1.29%G +0.000%9.8%2026-11-01 15:45
Bovada🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.89%EV -4.61%E -3.09%K -9.41%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.73%EV -9.45%E -1.69%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV -8.87%E -1.93%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.7%2026-11-01 15:35
SportsBet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.25%EV -7.17%E -4.95%K -15.94%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.38%EV -9.45%E -1.69%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -10.85%E -2.41%K -3.10%G +0.000%9.0%2026-11-01 15:45
Unibet (UK)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.89%EV -5.25%E -3.55%K -10.94%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.19%EV -11.06%E -2.01%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.91%EV -0.947%E -0.189%K -0.237%G +0.000%5.7%2026-11-01 15:50
BetMGM🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.26%EV -5.25%E -3.55%K -10.94%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.02%EV -11.06%E -2.01%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.71%EV -5.90%E -1.24%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.8%2026-11-01 15:05
Fanatics🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.58%EV -5.25%E -3.55%K -10.94%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.84%EV -11.06%E -2.01%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.58%EV -10.85%E -2.41%K -3.10%G +0.000%8.0%2026-11-01 15:05
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.93%EV -7.81%E -5.43%K -17.76%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.48%EV -11.06%E -2.01%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -12.83%E -2.92%K -3.77%G +0.000%10.4%2026-11-01 15:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.93%EV -7.81%E -5.43%K -17.76%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.48%EV -11.06%E -2.01%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -12.83%E -2.92%K -3.77%G +0.000%10.4%2026-11-01 15:45
William Hill🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 62.93%EV -7.81%E -5.43%K -17.76%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.48%EV -11.06%E -2.01%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -12.83%E -2.92%K -3.77%G +0.000%10.4%2026-11-01 15:35
PlayUp🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 63.54%EV -9.09%E -6.40%K -21.65%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.41%EV -11.06%E -2.01%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.05%EV -10.85%E -2.41%K -3.10%G +0.000%10.8%2026-11-01 15:50
betfred_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.87%EV -10.37%E -7.41%K -25.93%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.26%EV -11.06%E -2.01%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.87%EV -10.85%E -2.41%K -3.10%G +0.000%11.8%2026-11-01 15:15
Codere (IT)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 63.46%EV -8.45%E -5.91%K -19.66%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.81%EV -12.68%E -2.35%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.73%EV -8.87%E -1.93%K -2.46%G +0.000%10.2%2026-11-01 15:45
LeoVegas🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.52%EV -7.81%E -5.43%K -17.76%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.42%EV -15.11%E -2.88%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.06%EV -4.91%E -1.02%K -1.29%G +0.000%9.3%2026-11-01 15:50
Betclic (FR)🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 64.08%EV -11.01%E -7.92%K -28.24%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.97%EV -15.11%E -2.88%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.95%EV -6.89%E -1.47%K -1.86%G +0.000%12.3%2026-11-01 15:49
Sky Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.84%EV -7.81%E -5.43%K -17.76%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.96%EV -15.11%E -2.88%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.20%EV -16.80%E -4.00%K -5.25%G +0.000%12.3%2026-11-01 15:49
Winamax (DE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.44%EV -7.81%E -5.43%K -17.76%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.91%EV -17.53%E -3.44%K -4.28%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.64%EV -2.93%E -0.598%K -0.751%G +0.000%9.5%2026-11-01 15:50
Coral🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.91%EV -7.81%E -5.43%K -17.76%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.83%EV -19.15%E -3.83%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.26%EV -12.83%E -2.92%K -3.77%G +0.000%12.2%2026-11-01 15:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.91%EV -7.81%E -5.43%K -17.76%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.83%EV -19.15%E -3.83%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.26%EV -12.83%E -2.92%K -3.77%G +0.000%12.2%2026-11-01 15:45
Neds🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.91%EV -7.81%E -5.43%K -17.76%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.83%EV -19.15%E -3.83%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.26%EV -12.83%E -2.92%K -3.77%G +0.000%12.2%2026-11-01 15:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 61.91%EV -7.81%E -5.43%K -17.76%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.83%EV -19.15%E -3.83%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.26%EV -12.83%E -2.92%K -3.77%G +0.000%12.2%2026-11-01 15:45
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 62.85%EV -10.37%E -7.41%K -25.93%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.60%EV -19.15%E -3.83%K -4.79%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.55%EV -10.85%E -2.41%K -3.10%G +0.000%13.7%2026-11-01 14:40
Unibet (FR)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 63.66%EV -14.85%E -11.17%K -45.01%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 17.10%EV -19.96%E -4.03%K -5.05%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.24%EV -12.83%E -2.92%K -3.77%G +0.000%18.1%2026-11-01 15:50
Winamax (FR)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 62.15%EV -10.37%E -7.41%K -25.93%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.51%EV -24.00%E -5.11%K -6.49%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.34%EV -10.85%E -2.41%K -3.10%G +0.000%14.9%2026-11-01 15:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.54I 64.94%NM 64.57%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.54%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.89%0.6%2026-11-01 15:50
Matchbook◎1.54I 64.94%NM 64.57%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.54%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.89%0.6%2026-11-01 15:50
Smarkets◎1.54I 64.94%NM 64.31%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.48%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.21%1.0%2026-11-01 15:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.54I 64.94%NM 64.25%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.96%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.79%1.1%2026-11-01 15:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.54I 64.94%NM 64.25%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.96%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.79%1.1%2026-11-01 15:50

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