La escuela de los momios

Sandefjord v Sarpsborg FK

Inicio: 2026-03-22 16:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

54 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Sandefjord (Local)

Predicción 45.14%2.22momio equitativo
EV -2.94%
Ventaja -1.37%
Kelly -2.56%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.15

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.25%45.15%45.14%46.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.852.032.042.1554.05%49.29%49.02%46.51%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Sarpsborg FK (Visitante)

Predicción 30.66%3.26momio equitativo
EV -3.10%
Ventaja -0.982%
Kelly -1.44%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.16

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.34%30.60%30.64%31.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.703.013.003.1637.04%33.17%33.33%31.65%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 24.19%4.13momio equitativo
EV -0.811%
Ventaja -0.198%
Kelly -0.262%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.10

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.28%24.25%24.22%26.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.203.793.804.1031.25%26.41%26.32%24.39%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (54 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Coolbet2.15I 46.51%NM 45.13%EV -2.94%E -1.37%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.11I 32.15%NM 31.20%EV -4.64%E -1.49%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.67%EV -0.811%E -0.198%K -0.262%G +0.000%3.1%2026-03-22 15:29
Pinnacle2.15I 46.51%NM 45.03%EV -2.94%E -1.37%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.64%EV -3.10%E -0.982%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 24.33%EV -3.71%E -0.933%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-22 15:55
Betsson2.12I 47.17%NM 44.52%EV -4.29%E -2.03%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.97%EV -3.41%E -1.08%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.51%EV -10.49%E -2.83%K -3.88%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-22 15:45
NordicBet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.52%EV -4.29%E -2.03%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.97%EV -3.41%E -1.08%K -1.59%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.51%EV -10.49%E -2.83%K -3.88%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-22 15:45
1xBet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.27%EV -5.20%E -2.47%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.67%EV -4.94%E -1.59%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.07%EV -4.44%E -1.12%K -1.50%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-22 15:55
DraftKings2.10I 47.62%NM 45.13%EV -5.20%E -2.47%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.57%EV -4.94%E -1.59%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.30%EV -5.65%E -1.45%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-22 15:40
FanDuel2.10I 47.62%NM 44.67%EV -5.20%E -2.47%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -8.01%E -2.67%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -5.65%E -1.45%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-22 15:29
BetOnline.ag2.09I 47.85%NM 45.79%EV -5.65%E -2.70%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.29%EV -3.10%E -0.982%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.93%EV -3.23%E -0.807%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-22 15:19
LowVig.ag2.09I 47.85%NM 45.79%EV -5.65%E -2.70%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.29%EV -3.10%E -0.982%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.93%EV -3.23%E -0.807%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-22 15:20
Unibet (UK)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.14%EV -6.10%E -2.93%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.78%EV -6.48%E -2.12%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -5.65%E -1.45%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-22 04:04
Marathon Bet2.07I 48.31%NM 45.03%EV -6.55%E -3.16%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.56%EV -6.48%E -2.12%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.40%EV -7.58%E -1.99%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-22 15:45
GTbets2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.45%E -3.64%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.16%EV -4.02%E -1.29%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.97I 25.19%NM 23.78%EV -3.96%E -0.996%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-18 07:50
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 45.29%EV -7.45%E -3.64%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.95%EV -4.94%E -1.59%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.76%EV -9.28%E -2.47%K -3.37%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-22 15:40
PointsBet (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.27%EV -7.45%E -3.64%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.93%EV -8.01%E -2.67%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -5.65%E -1.45%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-21 09:20
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 45.14%EV -7.45%E -3.64%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.85%EV -4.94%E -1.59%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -10.49%E -2.83%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-22 15:34
Fanatics2.05I 48.78%NM 44.99%EV -7.45%E -3.64%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -8.01%E -2.67%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -8.07%E -2.12%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-22 04:20
Bet Right2.05I 48.78%NM 44.99%EV -7.45%E -3.64%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -8.01%E -2.67%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -8.07%E -2.12%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.4%2026-03-22 15:55
Bovada2.05I 48.78%NM 44.84%EV -7.45%E -3.64%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -8.01%E -2.67%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -9.28%E -2.47%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-22 15:49
BetUS2.05I 48.78%NM 44.84%EV -7.45%E -3.64%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -8.01%E -2.67%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -9.28%E -2.47%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-22 15:48
BetAnything2.05I 48.78%NM 44.84%EV -7.45%E -3.64%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -8.01%E -2.67%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -9.28%E -2.47%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-22 15:49
Tipico (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.75%EV -7.45%E -3.64%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -9.54%E -3.24%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.14%EV -8.07%E -2.12%K -2.88%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-22 15:20
William Hill2.05I 48.78%NM 44.69%EV -7.45%E -3.64%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.54%EV -8.01%E -2.67%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -10.49%E -2.83%K -3.88%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-22 15:34
Bet Victor2.05I 48.78%NM 44.69%EV -7.45%E -3.64%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.54%EV -8.01%E -2.67%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -10.49%E -2.83%K -3.88%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-22 15:49
Everygame2.05I 48.78%NM 44.61%EV -7.45%E -3.64%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.00%EV -9.54%E -3.24%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.39%EV -9.28%E -2.47%K -3.37%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-22 15:35
BetRivers2.04I 49.02%NM 45.99%EV -7.91%E -3.88%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.26%EV -4.94%E -1.59%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -4.44%E -1.12%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-22 09:00
Svenska Spel2.04I 49.02%NM 45.99%EV -7.91%E -3.88%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.26%EV -4.94%E -1.59%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -4.44%E -1.12%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-22 08:59
betPARX2.04I 49.02%NM 45.99%EV -7.91%E -3.88%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.26%EV -4.94%E -1.59%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -4.44%E -1.12%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-22 09:00
Unibet (SE)2.04I 49.02%NM 45.99%EV -7.91%E -3.88%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.26%EV -4.94%E -1.59%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -4.44%E -1.12%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-22 09:00
Unibet (NL)2.04I 49.02%NM 45.99%EV -7.91%E -3.88%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.26%EV -4.94%E -1.59%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -4.44%E -1.12%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-22 08:59
Casumo2.04I 49.02%NM 45.99%EV -7.91%E -3.88%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.26%EV -4.94%E -1.59%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -4.44%E -1.12%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-22 09:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.04I 49.02%NM 45.99%EV -7.91%E -3.88%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.26%EV -4.94%E -1.59%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -4.44%E -1.12%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-22 09:00
ATG (SE)2.04I 49.02%NM 45.99%EV -7.91%E -3.88%K -7.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.26%EV -4.94%E -1.59%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.75%EV -4.44%E -1.12%K -1.50%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-22 09:00
Unibet2.02I 49.50%NM 45.87%EV -8.81%E -4.36%K -8.64%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.38%EV -6.48%E -2.12%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.76%EV -5.65%E -1.45%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-22 09:00
Grosvenor2.02I 49.50%NM 45.87%EV -8.81%E -4.36%K -8.64%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.38%EV -6.48%E -2.12%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.76%EV -5.65%E -1.45%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-22 09:00
Codere (IT)2.02I 49.50%NM 44.98%EV -8.81%E -4.36%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.80%EV -9.54%E -3.24%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.23%EV -9.28%E -2.47%K -3.37%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-22 04:09
PlayUp2.02I 49.50%NM 44.75%EV -8.81%E -4.36%K -8.64%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -8.01%E -2.67%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.11%EV -12.91%E -3.59%K -4.96%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-22 15:55
TABtouch2.00I 50.00%NM 45.97%EV -9.71%E -4.86%K -9.71%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.15%EV -6.48%E -2.12%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.88%EV -6.86%E -1.78%K -2.41%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-22 08:59
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.40%EV -9.71%E -4.86%K -9.71%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.31%EV -11.08%E -3.82%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -5.65%E -1.45%K -1.95%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-22 04:04
SportsBet2.00I 50.00%NM 45.13%EV -9.71%E -4.86%K -9.71%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.12%EV -11.08%E -3.82%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.75%EV -8.07%E -2.12%K -2.88%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-22 15:30
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 44.89%EV -9.71%E -4.86%K -9.71%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.17%EV -11.69%E -4.06%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.94%EV -9.28%E -2.47%K -3.37%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-22 15:45
Neds2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -9.71%E -4.86%K -9.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -8.01%E -2.67%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -15.33%E -4.38%K -6.13%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-22 15:35
Ladbrokes (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -9.71%E -4.86%K -9.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -8.01%E -2.67%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -15.33%E -4.38%K -6.13%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-22 15:35
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -9.71%E -4.86%K -9.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -8.01%E -2.67%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -15.33%E -4.38%K -6.13%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-22 15:34
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -9.71%E -4.86%K -9.71%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -8.01%E -2.67%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -15.33%E -4.38%K -6.13%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-22 15:34
Sky Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 44.44%EV -9.71%E -4.86%K -9.71%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.86%EV -11.69%E -4.06%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.69%EV -12.91%E -3.59%K -4.96%G +0.000%12.5%2026-03-22 15:29
Virgin Bet1.97I 50.76%NM 46.12%EV -11.07%E -5.62%K -11.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.28%EV -8.01%E -2.67%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.60%EV -6.86%E -1.78%K -2.41%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-22 08:59
LiveScore Bet1.97I 50.76%NM 46.12%EV -11.07%E -5.62%K -11.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.28%EV -8.01%E -2.67%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.60%EV -6.86%E -1.78%K -2.41%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-22 09:00
Winamax (FR)1.96I 51.02%NM 44.85%EV -11.52%E -5.88%K -12.00%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.39%EV -14.14%E -5.05%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.76%EV -10.49%E -2.83%K -3.88%G +0.000%13.8%2026-03-22 04:04
BoyleSports1.95I 51.28%NM 44.43%EV -11.97%E -6.14%K -12.60%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.50%EV -15.68%E -5.70%K -8.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.07%EV -12.91%E -3.59%K -4.96%G +0.000%15.4%2026-03-22 15:35
LeoVegas1.94I 51.55%NM 46.12%EV -12.42%E -6.40%K -13.21%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.33%EV -9.54%E -3.24%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.55%EV -8.07%E -2.12%K -2.88%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-22 08:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 44.25%EV -13.77%E -7.21%K -15.14%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.34%EV -11.69%E -4.06%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.41%EV -22.58%E -7.06%K -10.27%G +0.000%18.3%2026-03-22 15:45
Betclic (FR)1.89I 52.91%NM 46.33%EV -14.68%E -7.77%K -16.49%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 29.88%EV -10.16%E -3.47%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 23.79%EV -10.97%E -2.98%K -4.09%G +0.000%14.2%2026-03-22 15:32
Parions Sport (FR)1.89I 52.91%NM 46.09%EV -14.68%E -7.77%K -16.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.04%EV -11.08%E -3.82%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.87%EV -11.70%E -3.20%K -4.41%G +0.000%14.8%2026-03-22 15:35
PMU (FR)1.85I 54.05%NM 45.02%EV -16.48%E -8.91%K -19.39%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 30.84%EV -17.21%E -6.37%K -10.12%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 24.14%EV -16.54%E -4.79%K -6.75%G +0.000%20.1%2026-03-22 15:45
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.19%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.78%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.03%1.5%2026-03-22 15:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.19%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.78%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.03%1.5%2026-03-22 15:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.19%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.78%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.03%1.5%2026-03-22 15:20
Matchbook2.18I 45.87%NM 45.19%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.78%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.03%1.5%2026-03-22 15:55
Smarkets2.16I 46.30%NM 44.93%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.81%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.26%3.0%2026-03-22 15:45