Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.25
assuming max odds 3.27
assuming max odds 3.65
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Sandefjord (Local): 43.28%; IK Start (Visit): 30.07%; Draw: 26.66%. For IK Start (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.33. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.27, with an expected value of -1.68%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.11%EV -2.63%E -1.17%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.31%EV -3.79%E -1.18%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.58%EV -2.70%E -0.739%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-20 14:19 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.63%EV -2.63%E -1.17%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.97%EV -3.79%E -1.18%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.40%EV -6.69%E -1.91%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-20 14:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.21%EV -3.06%E -1.37%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 29.60%EV -1.68%E -0.515%K -0.742%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 27.19%EV -5.10%E -1.43%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-09-20 14:49 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.39%EV -3.06%E -1.37%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.68%EV -3.79%E -1.18%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.93%EV -9.36%E -2.75%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-20 14:53 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.39%EV -3.06%E -1.37%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.68%EV -3.79%E -1.18%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.93%EV -9.36%E -2.75%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-20 14:54 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.39%EV -3.06%E -1.37%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.68%EV -3.79%E -1.18%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.93%EV -9.36%E -2.75%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-20 14:54 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.39%EV -3.06%E -1.37%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.68%EV -3.79%E -1.18%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.93%EV -9.36%E -2.75%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-20 14:54 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.01%EV -4.36%E -1.97%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.66%EV -6.80%E -2.19%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.61I 27.70%NM 26.33%EV -3.76%E -1.04%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-20 14:58 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.18%EV -4.79%E -2.18%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.68%EV -3.79%E -1.18%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -6.69%E -1.91%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-20 14:53 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.09%EV -4.79%E -2.18%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.58%EV -6.80%E -2.19%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.33%EV -4.03%E -1.12%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-20 14:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.81%EV -4.79%E -2.18%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.90%EV -5.29%E -1.68%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -8.03%E -2.33%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-20 14:04 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.60%EV -4.79%E -2.18%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.23%EV -6.80%E -2.19%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -8.03%E -2.33%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-20 14:53 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -4.79%E -2.18%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -6.80%E -2.19%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -9.36%E -2.75%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-20 14:58 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -4.79%E -2.18%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -9.80%E -3.27%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -6.69%E -1.91%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-20 14:49 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -6.96%E -3.24%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -9.80%E -3.27%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -4.03%E -1.12%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-20 14:09 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -6.96%E -3.24%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -6.80%E -2.19%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -10.69%E -3.19%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-20 14:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.74%EV -6.96%E -3.24%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -9.80%E -3.27%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -8.03%E -2.33%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-20 14:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -6.96%E -3.24%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -6.80%E -2.19%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -12.03%E -3.64%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-09-20 14:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.70%EV -6.96%E -3.24%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -13.41%E -4.66%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.17%EV -12.03%E -3.64%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-20 14:53 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.70%EV -6.96%E -3.24%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.13%EV -13.41%E -4.66%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.17%EV -12.03%E -3.64%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-20 14:53 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -6.96%E -3.24%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.21%EV -13.71%E -4.78%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.14%EV -12.03%E -3.64%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-20 14:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -6.96%E -3.24%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.21%EV -13.71%E -4.78%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.14%EV -12.03%E -3.64%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-20 14:49 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.63%EV -7.39%E -3.45%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 29.46%EV -4.69%E -1.48%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 26.91%EV -7.49%E -2.16%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-20 14:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.44%EV -7.39%E -3.45%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -3.79%E -1.18%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.51%EV -9.89%E -2.93%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-20 14:53 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.86%EV -8.26%E -3.89%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.80%EV -11.31%E -3.83%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%EV -8.03%E -2.33%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-20 14:04 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.74%EV -8.26%E -3.89%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.21%EV -9.80%E -3.27%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.05%EV -10.69%E -3.19%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-20 14:34 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -9.12%E -4.34%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -6.80%E -2.19%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -9.36%E -2.75%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-20 14:44 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -9.12%E -4.34%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -9.80%E -3.27%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -6.69%E -1.91%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-20 14:54 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.18%EV -9.12%E -4.34%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.27%EV -12.81%E -4.42%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.55%EV -5.36%E -1.51%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-09-20 14:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -9.12%E -4.34%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -9.80%E -3.27%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -12.03%E -3.64%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-09-20 14:39 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.54%EV -9.12%E -4.34%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.80%EV -12.81%E -4.42%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.66%EV -10.69%E -3.19%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-20 14:59 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -9.12%E -4.34%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -9.80%E -3.27%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -14.69%E -4.59%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-09-20 14:59 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.04%EV -10.42%E -5.03%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.69%EV -2.29%E -0.703%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -5.36%E -1.51%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-20 14:39 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.04%EV -10.42%E -5.03%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.69%EV -2.29%E -0.703%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -5.36%E -1.51%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-20 14:39 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.04%EV -10.42%E -5.03%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.69%EV -2.29%E -0.703%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -5.36%E -1.51%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-20 14:39 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.04%EV -10.42%E -5.03%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.69%EV -2.29%E -0.703%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -5.36%E -1.51%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-20 14:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.04%EV -10.42%E -5.03%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.69%EV -2.29%E -0.703%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -5.36%E -1.51%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-20 14:39 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.04%EV -10.42%E -5.03%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.69%EV -2.29%E -0.703%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -5.36%E -1.51%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-20 14:39 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.04%EV -10.42%E -5.03%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.69%EV -2.29%E -0.703%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -5.36%E -1.51%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-20 14:39 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.04%EV -10.42%E -5.03%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.69%EV -2.29%E -0.703%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -5.36%E -1.51%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-09-20 14:39 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -11.29%E -5.51%K -10.75%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -3.79%E -1.18%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -6.69%E -1.91%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-20 14:49 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.38%EV -11.29%E -5.51%K -10.75%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.21%EV -14.31%E -5.02%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.41%EV -6.69%E -1.91%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-09-20 14:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.70%EV -12.58%E -6.23%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -6.80%E -2.19%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.17%EV -8.03%E -2.33%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-20 14:39 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.70%EV -12.58%E -6.23%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -6.80%E -2.19%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.17%EV -8.03%E -2.33%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-09-20 14:39 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.18%EV -12.58%E -6.23%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 29.95%EV -10.40%E -3.49%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.87%EV -8.03%E -2.33%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-20 14:34 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -13.45%E -6.72%K -13.45%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -6.80%E -2.19%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -9.36%E -2.75%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-20 14:39 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.90%EV -13.45%E -6.72%K -13.45%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.28%EV -12.81%E -4.42%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.82%EV -9.36%E -2.75%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-09-20 14:34 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.81%EV -13.45%E -6.72%K -13.45%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.42%EV -13.41%E -4.66%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.77%EV -9.36%E -2.75%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-09-20 14:58 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 44.94%EV -14.75%E -7.49%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.03%EV -8.30%E -2.72%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -9.36%E -2.75%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-20 14:39 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 44.94%EV -14.75%E -7.49%K -15.20%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.03%EV -8.30%E -2.72%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -9.36%E -2.75%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-20 14:39 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 45.06%EV -15.18%E -7.75%K -15.81%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.96%EV -8.30%E -2.72%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.98%EV -9.36%E -2.75%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-09-20 14:39 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.76% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73% | 1.1% | 2026-09-20 14:49 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.76% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73% | 1.1% | 2026-09-20 14:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.76% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73% | 1.1% | 2026-09-20 14:54 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.76% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73% | 1.1% | 2026-09-20 14:54 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.65% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.19% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.16% | 2.3% | 2026-09-20 14:59 |