Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Rosenborg v Viking FK

Início: 2026-08-14 17:00 UTC

Final: Rosenborg 2–1 Viking FK

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

54 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Rosenborg (Local)

Previsão 44.31%2.26odd justa
EV +5.46%
Vantagem +2.29%
Kelly +3.95%
Crescimento +0.216%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.38

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
40.87%44.25%44.41%45.21%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.912.102.102.3852.36%47.58%47.62%42.02%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Viking FK (Visitante)

Previsão 30.44%3.29odd justa
EV -0.475%
Vantagem -0.145%
Kelly -0.209%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.27

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
29.59%30.55%30.40%34.13%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.752.982.983.2736.36%33.61%33.61%30.58%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 25.26%3.96odd justa
EV +1.02%
Vantagem +0.255%
Kelly +0.341%
Crescimento +0.003%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
23.84%25.21%25.19%26.32%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.403.653.704.0029.41%27.41%27.03%25.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Rosenborg (Local): 44.31%; Viking FK (Visitante): 30.44%; Empate: 25.26%. Para Rosenborg (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.26. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 2.38, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +5.46%.

Odds das casas de apostas (54 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
BetAnything🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.87%EV +5.46%E +2.29%K +3.95%G +0.216%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.13%EV -13.26%E -4.65%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.89I 25.71%NM 25.00%EV -1.76%E -0.452%K -0.608%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-14 15:54
GTbets🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 43.41%EV -1.63%E -0.736%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.29%EV -6.26%E -2.03%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.81I 26.25%NM 25.30%EV -3.78%E -0.991%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-14 16:44
1xBet🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 43.02%EV -2.08%E -0.940%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.69%EV -8.69%E -2.90%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 25.29%EV -5.04%E -1.34%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-14 16:54
Coolbet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 44.48%EV -3.41%E -1.56%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.28%EV -5.65%E -1.82%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.24%EV +1.02%E +0.255%K +0.341%G +0.003%3.1%2026-08-14 16:45
LowVig.ag🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.55%EV -4.29%E -1.99%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.07%EV -2.61%E -0.814%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 25.39%EV -4.28%E -1.13%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-14 16:50
BetOnline.ag🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.55%EV -4.29%E -1.99%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.07%EV -2.61%E -0.814%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 25.39%EV -4.28%E -1.13%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-14 16:49
BetUS🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.69%EV -4.74%E -2.20%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.03%EV -2.61%E -0.814%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.28%EV -4.03%E -1.06%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-14 16:49
Unibet (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.96%EV -4.74%E -2.20%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.65%E -1.82%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -6.55%E -1.77%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-14 16:49
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.34%EV -4.74%E -2.20%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -11.74%E -4.05%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.52%EV -4.03%E -1.06%K -1.44%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-14 16:44
BetMGM🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -4.74%E -2.20%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -8.69%E -2.90%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -9.08%E -2.52%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-14 16:39
Pinnacle🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 45.21%EV -5.18%E -2.42%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.59%EV -0.475%E -0.145%K -0.209%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 25.20%EV -3.02%E -0.786%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-14 16:55
Betsson🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.52%EV -6.07%E -2.86%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.97%EV -4.13%E -1.31%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.51%EV -6.55%E -1.77%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-14 16:39
NordicBet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.52%EV -6.07%E -2.86%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.97%EV -4.13%E -1.31%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.51%EV -6.55%E -1.77%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-14 16:39
Unibet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.40%EV -6.07%E -2.86%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.73%EV -11.74%E -4.05%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -6.55%E -1.77%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-14 16:49
BetRivers🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.40%EV -6.07%E -2.86%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.73%EV -11.74%E -4.05%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -6.55%E -1.77%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-14 16:45
Casumo🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.40%EV -6.07%E -2.86%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.73%EV -11.74%E -4.05%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -6.55%E -1.77%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-14 16:45
Unibet (NL)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.40%EV -6.07%E -2.86%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.73%EV -11.74%E -4.05%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -6.55%E -1.77%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-14 16:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.40%EV -6.07%E -2.86%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.73%EV -11.74%E -4.05%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -6.55%E -1.77%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-14 16:49
Grosvenor🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.40%EV -6.07%E -2.86%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.73%EV -11.74%E -4.05%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -6.55%E -1.77%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-14 16:50
Unibet (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.40%EV -6.07%E -2.86%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.73%EV -11.74%E -4.05%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -6.55%E -1.77%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-14 16:50
betPARX🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.40%EV -6.07%E -2.86%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.73%EV -11.74%E -4.05%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -6.55%E -1.77%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-14 16:45
Svenska Spel🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.40%EV -6.07%E -2.86%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.73%EV -11.74%E -4.05%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -6.55%E -1.77%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-14 16:50
ATG (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.40%EV -6.07%E -2.86%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.73%EV -11.74%E -4.05%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -6.55%E -1.77%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-14 16:45
DraftKings🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.91%EV -6.95%E -3.31%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -4.13%E -1.31%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -5.29%E -1.41%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-14 16:50
Betway🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.69%EV -6.95%E -3.31%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -5.65%E -1.82%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -5.29%E -1.41%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-14 16:49
FanDuel🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.54%EV -6.95%E -3.31%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -5.65%E -1.82%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -6.55%E -1.77%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-14 16:49
Bovada🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -6.95%E -3.31%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -7.17%E -2.35%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -6.55%E -1.77%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-14 16:48
Tipico (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -6.95%E -3.31%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -8.69%E -2.90%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -9.08%E -2.52%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-14 16:49
betfred_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.68%EV -6.95%E -3.31%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.85%EV -12.35%E -4.29%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.46%EV -5.29%E -1.41%K -1.92%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-14 16:45
LeoVegas🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -6.95%E -3.31%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -8.69%E -2.90%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -11.61%E -3.32%K -4.64%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-14 16:49
Fanatics🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -6.95%E -3.31%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -8.69%E -2.90%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -11.61%E -3.32%K -4.64%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-14 16:44
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -6.95%E -3.31%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -8.69%E -2.90%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -11.61%E -3.32%K -4.64%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-14 16:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -6.95%E -3.31%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -12.35%E -4.29%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -14.13%E -4.16%K -5.89%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-14 16:39
Neds🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -6.95%E -3.31%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -12.35%E -4.29%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -14.13%E -4.16%K -5.89%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-14 16:40
Coral🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.56%EV -6.95%E -3.31%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.15%EV -12.65%E -4.41%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -14.13%E -4.16%K -5.89%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-14 16:39
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.56%EV -6.95%E -3.31%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.15%EV -12.65%E -4.41%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -14.13%E -4.16%K -5.89%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-14 16:40
Marathon Bet🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 44.59%EV -7.39%E -3.54%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.87%EV -5.04%E -1.62%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.53%EV -7.82%E -2.14%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-14 16:50
SportsBet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.25%EV -7.84%E -3.77%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.18%EV -7.17%E -2.35%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.57%EV -9.08%E -2.52%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-14 16:49
Codere (IT)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 43.65%EV -7.84%E -3.77%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.78%EV -10.21%E -3.46%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.57%EV -10.34%E -2.91%K -4.06%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-14 16:49
PlayUp🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 43.42%EV -7.84%E -3.77%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.14%EV -11.74%E -4.05%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.44%EV -10.34%E -2.91%K -4.06%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-14 16:55
betano_uk🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.69%EV -9.17%E -4.47%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.54%EV -8.69%E -2.90%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -6.55%E -1.77%K -2.43%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-14 16:44
Bet Victor🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.69%EV -9.17%E -4.47%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.54%EV -8.69%E -2.90%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -6.55%E -1.77%K -2.43%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-14 16:45
Winamax (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.46%EV -9.17%E -4.47%K -8.73%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.90%EV -10.21%E -3.46%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.64%EV -6.55%E -1.77%K -2.43%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-14 16:49
Paddy Power🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -9.17%E -4.47%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -8.69%E -2.90%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -11.61%E -3.32%K -4.64%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-14 16:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -9.17%E -4.47%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -8.69%E -2.90%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -11.61%E -3.32%K -4.64%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-14 16:50
TABtouch🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.45%EV -9.17%E -4.47%K -8.73%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.81%EV -14.78%E -5.28%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -9.08%E -2.52%K -3.49%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-14 16:49
Sky Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.29%EV -9.17%E -4.47%K -8.73%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -11.74%E -4.05%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.10%EV -14.13%E -4.16%K -5.89%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-14 16:50
PMU (FR)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 43.42%EV -9.61%E -4.71%K -9.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.63%EV -14.78%E -5.28%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.95%EV -10.34%E -2.91%K -4.06%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-14 16:45
LiveScore Bet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 43.42%EV -9.61%E -4.71%K -9.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.63%EV -14.78%E -5.28%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.95%EV -10.34%E -2.91%K -4.06%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-14 16:49
Virgin Bet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 43.42%EV -9.61%E -4.71%K -9.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.63%EV -14.78%E -5.28%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.95%EV -10.34%E -2.91%K -4.06%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-14 16:50
Betclic (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.09%EV -11.38%E -5.69%K -11.38%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 29.86%EV -8.08%E -2.68%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.05%EV -9.08%E -2.52%K -3.49%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-14 16:49
Unibet (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.84%EV -11.38%E -5.69%K -11.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -8.69%E -2.90%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.26%EV -10.34%E -2.91%K -4.06%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-14 16:50
Winamax (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.30%EV -11.38%E -5.69%K -11.38%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.09%EV -13.26%E -4.65%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.61%EV -9.08%E -2.52%K -3.49%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-14 16:49
BoyleSports🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 44.94%EV -15.37%E -8.05%K -16.89%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.21%EV -16.30%E -5.93%K -9.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.84%EV -9.08%E -2.52%K -3.49%G +0.000%16.5%2026-08-14 16:49
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Smarkets◎2.52I 39.68%NM 41.30%3.25I 30.77%NM 32.02%3.90I 25.64%NM 26.68%-3.9%2026-08-14 16:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.22I 45.05%NM 44.75%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.10%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.15%0.7%2026-08-14 16:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.22I 45.05%NM 44.75%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.10%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.15%0.7%2026-08-14 16:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.22I 45.05%NM 44.75%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.10%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.15%0.7%2026-08-14 16:50
Matchbook◎2.22I 45.05%NM 44.75%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.10%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.15%0.7%2026-08-14 16:55