Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Rosenborg v Viking FK

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-14 17:00 UTC

Score final : Rosenborg 2–1 Viking FK

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

54 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Rosenborg (Local)

Prévision 44.31%2.26cote équitable
EV +5.46%
Avantage +2.29%
Kelly +3.95%
Croissance +0.216%

avec la cote maximale 2.38

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
40.87%44.25%44.41%45.21%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.912.102.102.3852.36%47.58%47.62%42.02%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Viking FK (Visiteur)

Prévision 30.44%3.29cote équitable
EV -0.475%
Avantage -0.145%
Kelly -0.209%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.27

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.59%30.55%30.40%34.13%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.752.982.983.2736.36%33.61%33.61%30.58%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 25.26%3.96cote équitable
EV +1.02%
Avantage +0.255%
Kelly +0.341%
Croissance +0.003%

avec la cote maximale 4.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.84%25.21%25.19%26.32%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.403.653.704.0029.41%27.41%27.03%25.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Rosenborg (Local) : 44.31% ; Viking FK (Visiteur) : 30.44% ; Match nul : 25.26%. Pour Rosenborg (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.26. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 2.38, soit une espérance positive de +5.46%.

Cotes des opérateurs (54 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
BetAnything🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.87%EV +5.46%E +2.29%K +3.95%G +0.216%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.13%EV -13.26%E -4.65%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.89I 25.71%NM 25.00%EV -1.76%E -0.452%K -0.608%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-14 15:54
GTbets🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 43.41%EV -1.63%E -0.736%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.29%EV -6.26%E -2.03%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.81I 26.25%NM 25.30%EV -3.78%E -0.991%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-14 16:44
1xBet🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 43.02%EV -2.08%E -0.940%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.69%EV -8.69%E -2.90%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 25.29%EV -5.04%E -1.34%K -1.83%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-14 16:54
Coolbet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 44.48%EV -3.41%E -1.56%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.28%EV -5.65%E -1.82%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.24%EV +1.02%E +0.255%K +0.341%G +0.003%3.1%2026-08-14 16:45
LowVig.ag🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.55%EV -4.29%E -1.99%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.07%EV -2.61%E -0.814%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 25.39%EV -4.28%E -1.13%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-14 16:50
BetOnline.ag🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.55%EV -4.29%E -1.99%K -3.70%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.07%EV -2.61%E -0.814%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 25.39%EV -4.28%E -1.13%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-14 16:49
BetUS🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.69%EV -4.74%E -2.20%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.03%EV -2.61%E -0.814%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.28%EV -4.03%E -1.06%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-14 16:49
Unibet (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.96%EV -4.74%E -2.20%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -5.65%E -1.82%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -6.55%E -1.77%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-14 16:49
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.34%EV -4.74%E -2.20%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -11.74%E -4.05%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.52%EV -4.03%E -1.06%K -1.44%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-14 16:44
BetMGM🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -4.74%E -2.20%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -8.69%E -2.90%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -9.08%E -2.52%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-14 16:39
Pinnacle🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 45.21%EV -5.18%E -2.42%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.59%EV -0.475%E -0.145%K -0.209%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 25.20%EV -3.02%E -0.786%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-14 16:55
Betsson🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.52%EV -6.07%E -2.86%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.97%EV -4.13%E -1.31%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.51%EV -6.55%E -1.77%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-14 16:39
NordicBet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.52%EV -6.07%E -2.86%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.97%EV -4.13%E -1.31%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.51%EV -6.55%E -1.77%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-14 16:39
Unibet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.40%EV -6.07%E -2.86%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.73%EV -11.74%E -4.05%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -6.55%E -1.77%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-14 16:49
BetRivers🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.40%EV -6.07%E -2.86%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.73%EV -11.74%E -4.05%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -6.55%E -1.77%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-14 16:45
Casumo🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.40%EV -6.07%E -2.86%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.73%EV -11.74%E -4.05%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -6.55%E -1.77%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-14 16:45
Unibet (NL)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.40%EV -6.07%E -2.86%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.73%EV -11.74%E -4.05%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -6.55%E -1.77%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-14 16:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.40%EV -6.07%E -2.86%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.73%EV -11.74%E -4.05%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -6.55%E -1.77%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-14 16:49
Grosvenor🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.40%EV -6.07%E -2.86%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.73%EV -11.74%E -4.05%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -6.55%E -1.77%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-14 16:50
Unibet (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.40%EV -6.07%E -2.86%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.73%EV -11.74%E -4.05%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -6.55%E -1.77%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-14 16:50
betPARX🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.40%EV -6.07%E -2.86%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.73%EV -11.74%E -4.05%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -6.55%E -1.77%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-14 16:45
Svenska Spel🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.40%EV -6.07%E -2.86%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.73%EV -11.74%E -4.05%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -6.55%E -1.77%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-14 16:50
ATG (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.40%EV -6.07%E -2.86%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.73%EV -11.74%E -4.05%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -6.55%E -1.77%K -2.43%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-14 16:45
DraftKings🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.91%EV -6.95%E -3.31%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -4.13%E -1.31%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -5.29%E -1.41%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-14 16:50
Betway🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.69%EV -6.95%E -3.31%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -5.65%E -1.82%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -5.29%E -1.41%K -1.92%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-14 16:49
FanDuel🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.54%EV -6.95%E -3.31%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -5.65%E -1.82%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -6.55%E -1.77%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-14 16:49
Bovada🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -6.95%E -3.31%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -7.17%E -2.35%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -6.55%E -1.77%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-14 16:48
Tipico (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -6.95%E -3.31%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -8.69%E -2.90%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -9.08%E -2.52%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-14 16:49
betfred_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.68%EV -6.95%E -3.31%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.85%EV -12.35%E -4.29%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.46%EV -5.29%E -1.41%K -1.92%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-14 16:45
LeoVegas🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -6.95%E -3.31%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -8.69%E -2.90%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -11.61%E -3.32%K -4.64%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-14 16:49
Fanatics🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -6.95%E -3.31%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -8.69%E -2.90%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -11.61%E -3.32%K -4.64%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-14 16:44
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -6.95%E -3.31%K -6.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -8.69%E -2.90%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -11.61%E -3.32%K -4.64%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-14 16:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -6.95%E -3.31%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -12.35%E -4.29%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -14.13%E -4.16%K -5.89%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-14 16:39
Neds🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%EV -6.95%E -3.31%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -12.35%E -4.29%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.32%EV -14.13%E -4.16%K -5.89%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-14 16:40
Coral🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.56%EV -6.95%E -3.31%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.15%EV -12.65%E -4.41%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -14.13%E -4.16%K -5.89%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-14 16:39
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.56%EV -6.95%E -3.31%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.15%EV -12.65%E -4.41%K -6.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -14.13%E -4.16%K -5.89%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-14 16:40
Marathon Bet🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 44.59%EV -7.39%E -3.54%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.87%EV -5.04%E -1.62%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.53%EV -7.82%E -2.14%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-14 16:50
SportsBet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.25%EV -7.84%E -3.77%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.18%EV -7.17%E -2.35%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.57%EV -9.08%E -2.52%K -3.49%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-14 16:49
Codere (IT)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 43.65%EV -7.84%E -3.77%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.78%EV -10.21%E -3.46%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.57%EV -10.34%E -2.91%K -4.06%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-14 16:49
PlayUp🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 43.42%EV -7.84%E -3.77%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.14%EV -11.74%E -4.05%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.44%EV -10.34%E -2.91%K -4.06%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-14 16:55
betano_uk🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.69%EV -9.17%E -4.47%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.54%EV -8.69%E -2.90%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -6.55%E -1.77%K -2.43%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-14 16:44
Bet Victor🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.69%EV -9.17%E -4.47%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.54%EV -8.69%E -2.90%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -6.55%E -1.77%K -2.43%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-14 16:45
Winamax (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.46%EV -9.17%E -4.47%K -8.73%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.90%EV -10.21%E -3.46%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.64%EV -6.55%E -1.77%K -2.43%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-14 16:49
Paddy Power🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -9.17%E -4.47%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -8.69%E -2.90%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -11.61%E -3.32%K -4.64%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-14 16:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -9.17%E -4.47%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -8.69%E -2.90%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -11.61%E -3.32%K -4.64%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-14 16:50
TABtouch🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.45%EV -9.17%E -4.47%K -8.73%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.81%EV -14.78%E -5.28%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -9.08%E -2.52%K -3.49%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-14 16:49
Sky Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.29%EV -9.17%E -4.47%K -8.73%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -11.74%E -4.05%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.10%EV -14.13%E -4.16%K -5.89%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-14 16:50
PMU (FR)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 43.42%EV -9.61%E -4.71%K -9.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.63%EV -14.78%E -5.28%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.95%EV -10.34%E -2.91%K -4.06%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-14 16:45
LiveScore Bet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 43.42%EV -9.61%E -4.71%K -9.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.63%EV -14.78%E -5.28%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.95%EV -10.34%E -2.91%K -4.06%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-14 16:49
Virgin Bet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 43.42%EV -9.61%E -4.71%K -9.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.63%EV -14.78%E -5.28%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.95%EV -10.34%E -2.91%K -4.06%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-14 16:50
Betclic (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.09%EV -11.38%E -5.69%K -11.38%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 29.86%EV -8.08%E -2.68%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.05%EV -9.08%E -2.52%K -3.49%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-14 16:49
Unibet (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.84%EV -11.38%E -5.69%K -11.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -8.69%E -2.90%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.26%EV -10.34%E -2.91%K -4.06%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-14 16:50
Winamax (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.30%EV -11.38%E -5.69%K -11.38%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.09%EV -13.26%E -4.65%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.61%EV -9.08%E -2.52%K -3.49%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-14 16:49
BoyleSports🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 44.94%EV -15.37%E -8.05%K -16.89%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.21%EV -16.30%E -5.93%K -9.32%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.84%EV -9.08%E -2.52%K -3.49%G +0.000%16.5%2026-08-14 16:49
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets◎2.52I 39.68%NM 41.30%3.25I 30.77%NM 32.02%3.90I 25.64%NM 26.68%-3.9%2026-08-14 16:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.22I 45.05%NM 44.75%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.10%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.15%0.7%2026-08-14 16:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.22I 45.05%NM 44.75%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.10%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.15%0.7%2026-08-14 16:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.22I 45.05%NM 44.75%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.10%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.15%0.7%2026-08-14 16:50
Matchbook◎2.22I 45.05%NM 44.75%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.10%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.15%0.7%2026-08-14 16:55