L’École des cotes

Rosenborg v Sarpsborg FK

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-12 12:30 UTC

Score final : Rosenborg 2–1 Sarpsborg FK

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

54 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Rosenborg (Local)

Prévision 41.14%2.43cote équitable
EV -2.91%
Avantage -1.23%
Kelly -2.14%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.36

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
40.35%41.18%41.10%42.61%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.102.232.252.3647.62%44.87%44.44%42.37%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Sarpsborg FK (Visiteur)

Prévision 32.19%3.11cote équitable
EV -3.12%
Avantage -1.04%
Kelly -1.55%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.01

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.23%32.21%32.18%33.14%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.652.842.853.0137.74%35.17%35.09%33.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 26.67%3.75cote équitable
EV -2.64%
Avantage -0.723%
Kelly -0.996%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.65

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.78%26.61%26.71%27.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.433.403.6532.26%29.18%29.41%27.40%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (54 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Coolbet2.36I 42.37%NM 41.14%EV -2.91%E -1.23%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.01I 33.22%NM 32.26%EV -3.12%E -1.04%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.60%EV -2.64%E -0.723%K -0.996%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-12 12:00
Pinnacle2.35I 42.55%NM 41.18%EV -3.32%E -1.41%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.01I 33.22%NM 32.15%EV -3.12%E -1.04%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.66%EV -3.17%E -0.874%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-12 11:30
1xBet2.33I 42.92%NM 41.00%EV -4.14%E -1.78%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 32.17%EV -4.41%E -1.49%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.83%EV -5.04%E -1.42%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-12 12:00
DraftKings2.30I 43.48%NM 41.19%EV -5.38%E -2.34%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.12%EV -5.05%E -1.71%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.69%EV -5.31%E -1.49%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-12 11:00
Betsson2.30I 43.48%NM 41.04%EV -5.38%E -2.34%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.00%EV -5.05%E -1.71%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -6.64%E -1.90%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-12 11:30
NordicBet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.04%EV -5.38%E -2.34%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.00%EV -5.05%E -1.71%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -6.64%E -1.90%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-12 11:30
Unibet (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -5.38%E -2.34%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.37%EV -6.66%E -2.30%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -6.64%E -1.90%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-12 11:30
BetMGM2.30I 43.48%NM 40.35%EV -5.38%E -2.34%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -9.88%E -3.53%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -6.64%E -1.90%K -2.66%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-12 12:00
Marathon Bet2.27I 44.05%NM 41.07%EV -6.61%E -2.91%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.15%EV -6.66%E -2.30%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.79%EV -7.17%E -2.06%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-12 12:00
GTbets2.26I 44.25%NM 41.65%EV -7.02%E -3.11%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -3.44%E -1.15%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 26.97%EV -6.91%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-12 05:24
BetOnline.ag2.26I 44.25%NM 40.75%EV -7.02%E -3.11%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -6.66%E -2.30%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -10.64%E -3.18%K -4.53%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-12 11:00
LowVig.ag2.26I 44.25%NM 40.75%EV -7.02%E -3.11%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -6.66%E -2.30%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -10.64%E -3.18%K -4.53%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-12 11:00
FanDuel2.25I 44.44%NM 41.57%EV -7.43%E -3.30%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -5.05%E -1.71%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.72%EV -6.64%E -1.90%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-12 11:28
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 41.02%EV -7.43%E -3.30%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.83%EV -6.66%E -2.30%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -9.31%E -2.74%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-12 12:00
BetUS2.25I 44.44%NM 40.96%EV -7.43%E -3.30%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.33%EV -8.27%E -2.90%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -7.97%E -2.31%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-12 12:01
BetAnything2.25I 44.44%NM 40.96%EV -7.43%E -3.30%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.33%EV -8.27%E -2.90%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -7.97%E -2.31%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-12 12:00
Fanatics2.25I 44.44%NM 40.80%EV -7.43%E -3.30%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.21%EV -8.27%E -2.90%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -9.31%E -2.74%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-12 12:00
Unibet (NL)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.80%EV -7.43%E -3.30%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.21%EV -8.27%E -2.90%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -9.31%E -2.74%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-12 12:01
TABtouch2.25I 44.44%NM 40.80%EV -7.43%E -3.30%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.21%EV -8.27%E -2.90%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -9.31%E -2.74%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-12 12:00
Casumo2.25I 44.44%NM 40.80%EV -7.43%E -3.30%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.21%EV -8.27%E -2.90%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -9.31%E -2.74%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-12 12:00
Unibet2.25I 44.44%NM 40.80%EV -7.43%E -3.30%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.21%EV -8.27%E -2.90%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -9.31%E -2.74%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-12 12:00
Unibet (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.80%EV -7.43%E -3.30%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.21%EV -8.27%E -2.90%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -9.31%E -2.74%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-12 12:00
BetRivers2.25I 44.44%NM 40.80%EV -7.43%E -3.30%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.21%EV -8.27%E -2.90%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -9.31%E -2.74%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-12 12:00
Grosvenor2.25I 44.44%NM 40.80%EV -7.43%E -3.30%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.21%EV -8.27%E -2.90%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -9.31%E -2.74%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-12 12:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.80%EV -7.43%E -3.30%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.21%EV -8.27%E -2.90%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -9.31%E -2.74%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-12 12:00
betPARX2.25I 44.44%NM 40.80%EV -7.43%E -3.30%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.21%EV -8.27%E -2.90%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -9.31%E -2.74%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-12 12:01
ATG (SE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.80%EV -7.43%E -3.30%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.21%EV -8.27%E -2.90%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -9.31%E -2.74%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-12 12:00
Svenska Spel2.25I 44.44%NM 40.80%EV -7.43%E -3.30%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.21%EV -8.27%E -2.90%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -9.31%E -2.74%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-12 12:01
William Hill2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -7.43%E -3.30%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -6.66%E -2.30%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -11.97%E -3.63%K -5.21%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-12 12:00
Virgin Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 40.78%EV -8.26%E -3.70%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -9.88%E -3.53%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -9.31%E -2.74%K -3.88%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-12 12:01
LiveScore Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 40.78%EV -8.26%E -3.70%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.48%EV -9.88%E -3.53%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -9.31%E -2.74%K -3.88%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-12 12:00
Codere (IT)2.22I 45.05%NM 40.89%EV -8.67%E -3.90%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.42%EV -9.88%E -3.53%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.70%EV -9.31%E -2.74%K -3.88%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-12 11:30
PointsBet (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.20%EV -9.49%E -4.31%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.01%EV -6.66%E -2.30%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -3.97%E -1.10%K -1.53%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-12 10:00
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.89%EV -9.49%E -4.31%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.78%EV -6.66%E -2.30%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV -6.64%E -1.90%K -2.66%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-12 11:29
Bovada2.20I 45.45%NM 41.66%EV -9.49%E -4.31%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.16%EV -8.27%E -2.90%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -6.64%E -1.90%K -2.66%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-12 10:58
SportsBet2.20I 45.45%NM 41.43%EV -9.49%E -4.31%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.76%EV -7.63%E -2.66%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -9.31%E -2.74%K -3.88%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-12 11:30
Bet Victor2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -9.49%E -4.31%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -9.88%E -3.53%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -6.64%E -1.90%K -2.66%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-12 10:59
Everygame2.20I 45.45%NM 41.34%EV -9.49%E -4.31%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.91%EV -8.27%E -2.90%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -9.31%E -2.74%K -3.88%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-12 10:59
Winamax (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -9.49%E -4.31%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.94%EV -11.49%E -4.18%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -6.64%E -1.90%K -2.66%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-12 11:30
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -9.49%E -4.31%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -9.88%E -3.53%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -9.31%E -2.74%K -3.88%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-12 11:29
LeoVegas2.20I 45.45%NM 40.94%EV -9.49%E -4.31%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.17%EV -9.88%E -3.53%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.89%EV -10.64%E -3.18%K -4.53%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-12 12:00
Neds2.20I 45.45%NM 40.62%EV -9.49%E -4.31%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.10%EV -13.10%E -4.85%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -9.31%E -2.74%K -3.88%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-12 12:00
Ladbrokes (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.62%EV -9.49%E -4.31%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.10%EV -13.10%E -4.85%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -9.31%E -2.74%K -3.88%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-12 12:01
Coral2.20I 45.45%NM 40.62%EV -9.49%E -4.31%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.10%EV -13.10%E -4.85%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -9.31%E -2.74%K -3.88%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-12 12:00
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.62%EV -9.49%E -4.31%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.10%EV -13.10%E -4.85%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.28%EV -9.31%E -2.74%K -3.88%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-12 12:00
Sky Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -9.49%E -4.31%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.43%EV -11.49%E -4.18%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.03%EV -11.97%E -3.63%K -5.21%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-12 11:30
Bet Right2.15I 46.51%NM 42.61%EV -11.55%E -5.37%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.59%EV -6.66%E -2.30%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.80%EV -5.31%E -1.49%K -2.08%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-12 10:00
PlayUp2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -11.55%E -5.37%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -6.66%E -2.30%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -9.31%E -2.74%K -3.88%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-12 12:00
PMU (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.10%EV -11.55%E -5.37%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.13%EV -11.49%E -4.18%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.77%EV -11.97%E -3.63%K -5.21%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-12 12:00
Winamax (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 40.76%EV -11.55%E -5.37%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.07%EV -14.71%E -5.55%K -8.91%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.16%EV -10.64%E -3.18%K -4.53%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-12 11:30
Betclic (FR)2.13I 46.95%NM 41.83%EV -12.37%E -5.81%K -10.95%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.82%EV -9.88%E -3.53%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 26.36%EV -9.84%E -2.91%K -4.13%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-12 11:29
Unibet (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.07%EV -13.60%E -6.48%K -12.37%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.55%EV -9.88%E -3.53%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.37%EV -10.64%E -3.18%K -4.53%G +0.000%13.2%2026-04-12 11:30
BoyleSports2.10I 47.62%NM 41.75%EV -13.60%E -6.48%K -12.37%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.47%EV -13.10%E -4.85%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.78%EV -9.31%E -2.74%K -3.88%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-12 10:58
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 40.73%EV -13.60%E -6.48%K -12.37%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.68%EV -13.10%E -4.85%K -7.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.59%EV -17.31%E -5.58%K -8.24%G +0.000%16.9%2026-04-12 11:30
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook2.36I 42.37%NM 41.83%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.84%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.33%1.3%2026-04-12 12:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.48%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.84%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.68%1.3%2026-04-12 12:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.48%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.84%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.68%1.3%2026-04-12 12:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.48%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.84%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.68%1.3%2026-04-12 12:01
Smarkets2.32I 43.10%NM 41.88%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.86%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.26%2.9%2026-04-12 12:00