L’École des cotes

Rosenborg v Lillestrom

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-10 12:30 UTC

Score final : Rosenborg 2–0 Lillestrom

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

53 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Rosenborg (Local)

Prévision 36.62%2.73cote équitable
EV -1.86%
Avantage -0.695%
Kelly -1.11%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.68

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
35.11%36.65%36.58%38.10%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.302.532.552.6843.48%39.48%39.22%37.31%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Lillestrom (Visiteur)

Prévision 36.46%2.74cote équitable
EV -3.74%
Avantage -1.42%
Kelly -2.28%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.64

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
35.34%36.44%36.45%38.04%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.332.502.502.6442.92%39.94%40.00%37.88%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 26.92%3.71cote équitable
EV -3.09%
Avantage -0.859%
Kelly -1.19%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.20%26.91%26.98%28.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.403.403.6033.33%29.41%29.41%27.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Coolbet2.68I 37.31%NM 36.24%EV -1.86%E -0.695%K -1.11%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.79%EV -3.74%E -1.42%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.98%EV -3.09%E -0.859%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-10 12:04
Pinnacle2.66I 37.59%NM 36.33%EV -2.60%E -0.976%K -1.56%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.60%EV -3.74%E -1.42%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.07%EV -3.90%E -1.09%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-10 12:04
GTbets2.65I 37.74%NM 35.69%EV -2.96%E -1.12%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.53%EV -8.11%E -3.22%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 26.79%EV -4.98%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-10 07:34
Unibet2.63I 38.02%NM 35.43%EV -3.69%E -1.40%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.57%EV -9.57%E -3.86%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -7.13%E -2.07%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-10 12:04
Unibet (NL)2.63I 38.02%NM 35.43%EV -3.69%E -1.40%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.57%EV -9.57%E -3.86%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -7.13%E -2.07%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-10 12:05
BetRivers2.63I 38.02%NM 35.43%EV -3.69%E -1.40%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.57%EV -9.57%E -3.86%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -7.13%E -2.07%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-10 12:04
Unibet (SE)2.63I 38.02%NM 35.43%EV -3.69%E -1.40%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.57%EV -9.57%E -3.86%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -7.13%E -2.07%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-10 12:04
LeoVegas (SE)2.63I 38.02%NM 35.43%EV -3.69%E -1.40%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.57%EV -9.57%E -3.86%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -7.13%E -2.07%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-10 12:05
Casumo2.63I 38.02%NM 35.43%EV -3.69%E -1.40%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.57%EV -9.57%E -3.86%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -7.13%E -2.07%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-10 12:04
Grosvenor2.63I 38.02%NM 35.43%EV -3.69%E -1.40%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.57%EV -9.57%E -3.86%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -7.13%E -2.07%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-10 12:05
Svenska Spel2.63I 38.02%NM 35.43%EV -3.69%E -1.40%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.57%EV -9.57%E -3.86%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -7.13%E -2.07%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-10 12:14
ATG (SE)2.63I 38.02%NM 35.43%EV -3.69%E -1.40%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.57%EV -9.57%E -3.86%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -7.13%E -2.07%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-10 12:14
betPARX2.63I 38.02%NM 35.43%EV -3.69%E -1.40%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.57%EV -9.57%E -3.86%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -7.13%E -2.07%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-10 12:15
1xBet2.62I 38.17%NM 36.21%EV -4.06%E -1.55%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.21%EV -4.47%E -1.71%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.58%EV -7.40%E -2.15%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-10 12:19
DraftKings2.60I 38.46%NM 36.46%EV -4.79%E -1.84%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.46%EV -5.20%E -2.00%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.78%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-10 12:04
TABtouch2.60I 38.46%NM 35.28%EV -4.79%E -1.84%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.75%EV -11.40%E -4.69%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -8.48%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-10 12:05
Virgin Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -4.79%E -1.84%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -12.49%E -5.20%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -8.48%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-10 12:04
LiveScore Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -4.79%E -1.84%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -12.49%E -5.20%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -8.48%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-10 12:05
NordicBet2.58I 38.76%NM 36.53%EV -5.53%E -2.14%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.53%EV -5.93%E -2.30%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -5.78%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-10 12:23
Betsson2.58I 38.76%NM 36.53%EV -5.53%E -2.14%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.53%EV -5.93%E -2.30%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -5.78%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-10 12:24
Marathon Bet2.57I 38.91%NM 36.29%EV -5.89%E -2.29%K -3.75%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 36.29%EV -6.29%E -2.45%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.43%EV -8.48%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-10 12:24
BetOnline.ag2.56I 39.06%NM 37.06%EV -6.26%E -2.44%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.21%EV -4.47%E -1.71%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.73%EV -4.44%E -1.25%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-10 11:20
LowVig.ag2.56I 39.06%NM 37.06%EV -6.26%E -2.44%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.21%EV -4.47%E -1.71%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.73%EV -4.44%E -1.25%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-10 11:19
BetAnything2.56I 39.06%NM 37.06%EV -6.26%E -2.44%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.21%EV -4.47%E -1.71%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.73%EV -4.44%E -1.25%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-10 11:19
Unibet (UK)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.77%EV -6.62%E -2.60%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.06%EV -5.20%E -2.00%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -7.13%E -2.07%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-10 12:04
FanDuel2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -6.62%E -2.60%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -5.20%E -2.00%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -8.48%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-10 12:19
BetMGM2.55I 39.22%NM 36.38%EV -6.62%E -2.60%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -8.84%E -3.54%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -5.78%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-10 12:05
PointsBet (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.38%EV -6.62%E -2.60%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -8.84%E -3.54%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -5.78%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-10 12:05
LeoVegas2.55I 39.22%NM 35.30%EV -6.62%E -2.60%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.82%EV -13.22%E -5.55%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.87%EV -9.82%E -2.93%K -4.18%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-10 12:04
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%EV -8.45%E -3.38%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.65%EV -5.20%E -2.00%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -8.48%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-10 07:34
betfred_uk2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%EV -8.45%E -3.38%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%EV -8.84%E -3.54%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -5.78%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-10 07:34
Bovada2.50I 40.00%NM 36.82%EV -8.45%E -3.38%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.10%EV -7.02%E -2.75%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -8.48%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-10 12:20
BetUS2.50I 40.00%NM 36.82%EV -8.45%E -3.38%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.10%EV -7.02%E -2.75%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -8.48%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-10 12:24
Bet Victor2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -8.45%E -3.38%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -8.84%E -3.54%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -8.48%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-10 11:33
SportsBet2.50I 40.00%NM 36.52%EV -8.45%E -3.38%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.81%EV -7.02%E -2.75%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.67%EV -11.17%E -3.38%K -4.86%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-10 12:20
Everygame2.50I 40.00%NM 36.41%EV -8.45%E -3.38%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.41%EV -8.84%E -3.54%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -9.82%E -2.93%K -4.18%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-10 11:35
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -8.45%E -3.38%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -8.84%E -3.54%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -11.17%E -3.38%K -4.86%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-10 11:35
PMU (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.18%EV -8.45%E -3.38%K -5.64%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 37.75%EV -15.04%E -6.46%K -11.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.06%EV -12.51%E -3.85%K -5.56%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-10 12:05
Codere (IT)2.49I 40.16%NM 36.51%EV -8.82%E -3.54%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.36%EV -8.84%E -3.54%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.13%EV -9.82%E -2.93%K -4.18%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-10 12:04
Fanatics2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -10.29%E -4.20%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -8.84%E -3.54%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -8.48%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-10 09:48
PlayUp2.45I 40.82%NM 36.99%EV -10.29%E -4.20%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.54%EV -7.02%E -2.75%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -11.17%E -3.38%K -4.86%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-10 12:24
Winamax (DE)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.90%EV -10.29%E -4.20%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.90%EV -10.67%E -4.35%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.20%EV -7.13%E -2.07%K -2.91%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-10 12:05
Paddy Power2.45I 40.82%NM 36.73%EV -10.29%E -4.20%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.00%EV -8.84%E -3.54%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -11.17%E -3.38%K -4.86%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-10 11:35
Neds2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -10.29%E -4.20%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -10.67%E -4.35%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -11.17%E -3.38%K -4.86%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-10 12:04
Ladbrokes (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -10.29%E -4.20%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -10.67%E -4.35%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -11.17%E -3.38%K -4.86%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-10 12:04
Ladbrokes (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -10.29%E -4.20%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -10.67%E -4.35%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -11.17%E -3.38%K -4.86%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-10 12:05
Coral2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -10.29%E -4.20%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -10.67%E -4.35%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -11.17%E -3.38%K -4.86%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-10 12:05
Sky Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -10.29%E -4.20%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -8.84%E -3.54%K -5.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -13.86%E -4.33%K -6.30%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-10 12:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 35.71%EV -12.12%E -5.05%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.71%EV -12.49%E -5.20%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.57%EV -19.24%E -6.41%K -9.62%G +0.000%16.7%2026-05-10 12:24
BoyleSports2.38I 42.02%NM 36.75%EV -12.85%E -5.40%K -9.31%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 36.75%EV -13.22%E -5.55%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.50%EV -11.17%E -3.38%K -4.86%G +0.000%14.3%2026-05-10 12:19
Winamax (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 37.16%EV -13.95%E -5.94%K -10.33%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.38%EV -12.49%E -5.20%K -8.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.46%EV -11.17%E -3.38%K -4.86%G +0.000%14.5%2026-05-10 12:04
Betclic (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.10%EV -15.78%E -6.86%K -12.14%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 35.34%EV -9.57%E -3.86%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.56%EV -11.17%E -3.38%K -4.86%G +0.000%14.1%2026-05-10 12:04
Unibet (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 37.79%EV -15.78%E -6.86%K -12.14%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.47%EV -10.67%E -4.35%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.74%EV -12.51%E -3.85%K -5.56%G +0.000%15.1%2026-05-10 12:04
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 36.65%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.86%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.49%1.0%2026-05-10 12:19
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.70I 37.04%NM 36.65%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.86%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.49%1.0%2026-05-10 12:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 36.65%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.86%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.49%1.0%2026-05-10 12:19
Matchbook2.70I 37.04%NM 36.56%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.02%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.42%1.3%2026-05-10 12:20
Smarkets2.66I 37.59%NM 36.90%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.83%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.27%1.9%2026-05-10 12:19