La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Rosenborg v Lillestrom
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Rosenborg (Local)
Predicción 36.62%2.73momio equitativo
EV -1.86%
Ventaja -0.695%
Kelly -1.11%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.68
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.11%36.65%36.58%38.10%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.302.532.552.6843.48%39.48%39.22%37.31%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Lillestrom (Visitante)
Predicción 36.46%2.74momio equitativo
EV -3.74%
Ventaja -1.42%
Kelly -2.28%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.64
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.34%36.44%36.45%38.04%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.332.502.502.6442.92%39.94%40.00%37.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 26.92%3.71momio equitativo
EV -3.09%
Ventaja -0.859%
Kelly -1.19%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.20%26.91%26.98%28.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.403.403.6033.33%29.41%29.41%27.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.24%EV -1.86%E -0.695%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.79%EV -3.74%E -1.42%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.98%EV -3.09%E -0.859%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-10 12:04 |
| Pinnacle | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.33%EV -2.60%E -0.976%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.60%EV -3.74%E -1.42%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.07%EV -3.90%E -1.09%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-10 12:04 |
| GTbets | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.69%EV -2.96%E -1.12%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.53%EV -8.11%E -3.22%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 26.79%EV -4.98%E -1.41%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-10 07:34 |
| Unibet | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.43%EV -3.69%E -1.40%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.57%EV -9.57%E -3.86%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -7.13%E -2.07%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-10 12:04 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.43%EV -3.69%E -1.40%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.57%EV -9.57%E -3.86%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -7.13%E -2.07%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-10 12:05 |
| BetRivers | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.43%EV -3.69%E -1.40%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.57%EV -9.57%E -3.86%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -7.13%E -2.07%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-10 12:04 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.43%EV -3.69%E -1.40%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.57%EV -9.57%E -3.86%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -7.13%E -2.07%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-10 12:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.43%EV -3.69%E -1.40%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.57%EV -9.57%E -3.86%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -7.13%E -2.07%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-10 12:05 |
| Casumo | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.43%EV -3.69%E -1.40%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.57%EV -9.57%E -3.86%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -7.13%E -2.07%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-10 12:04 |
| Grosvenor | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.43%EV -3.69%E -1.40%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.57%EV -9.57%E -3.86%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -7.13%E -2.07%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-10 12:05 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.43%EV -3.69%E -1.40%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.57%EV -9.57%E -3.86%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -7.13%E -2.07%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-10 12:14 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.43%EV -3.69%E -1.40%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.57%EV -9.57%E -3.86%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -7.13%E -2.07%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-10 12:14 |
| betPARX | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.43%EV -3.69%E -1.40%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.57%EV -9.57%E -3.86%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -7.13%E -2.07%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-10 12:15 |
| 1xBet | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.21%EV -4.06%E -1.55%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.21%EV -4.47%E -1.71%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.58%EV -7.40%E -2.15%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-10 12:19 |
| DraftKings | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.46%EV -4.79%E -1.84%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.46%EV -5.20%E -2.00%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -5.78%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-10 12:04 |
| TABtouch | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.28%EV -4.79%E -1.84%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.75%EV -11.40%E -4.69%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -8.48%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-10 12:05 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -4.79%E -1.84%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -12.49%E -5.20%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -8.48%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-10 12:04 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -4.79%E -1.84%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -12.49%E -5.20%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -8.48%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-10 12:05 |
| NordicBet | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.53%EV -5.53%E -2.14%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.53%EV -5.93%E -2.30%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -5.78%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-10 12:23 |
| Betsson | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.53%EV -5.53%E -2.14%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.53%EV -5.93%E -2.30%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -5.78%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-10 12:24 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.57I 38.91%NM 36.29%EV -5.89%E -2.29%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 36.29%EV -6.29%E -2.45%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.43%EV -8.48%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-10 12:24 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.06%EV -6.26%E -2.44%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.21%EV -4.47%E -1.71%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.73%EV -4.44%E -1.25%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-10 11:20 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.06%EV -6.26%E -2.44%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.21%EV -4.47%E -1.71%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.73%EV -4.44%E -1.25%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-10 11:19 |
| BetAnything | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.06%EV -6.26%E -2.44%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.21%EV -4.47%E -1.71%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.73%EV -4.44%E -1.25%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-10 11:19 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.77%EV -6.62%E -2.60%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.06%EV -5.20%E -2.00%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -7.13%E -2.07%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-10 12:04 |
| FanDuel | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -6.62%E -2.60%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -5.20%E -2.00%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -8.48%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-10 12:19 |
| BetMGM | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.38%EV -6.62%E -2.60%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -8.84%E -3.54%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -5.78%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-10 12:05 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.38%EV -6.62%E -2.60%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -8.84%E -3.54%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -5.78%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-10 12:05 |
| LeoVegas | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.30%EV -6.62%E -2.60%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.82%EV -13.22%E -5.55%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.87%EV -9.82%E -2.93%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-10 12:04 |
| Betway | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%EV -8.45%E -3.38%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.65%EV -5.20%E -2.00%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -8.48%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-10 07:34 |
| betfred_uk | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%EV -8.45%E -3.38%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%EV -8.84%E -3.54%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -5.78%E -1.65%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-10 07:34 |
| Bovada | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.82%EV -8.45%E -3.38%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.10%EV -7.02%E -2.75%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -8.48%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-10 12:20 |
| BetUS | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.82%EV -8.45%E -3.38%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.10%EV -7.02%E -2.75%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -8.48%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-10 12:24 |
| Bet Victor | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -8.45%E -3.38%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -8.84%E -3.54%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -8.48%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-10 11:33 |
| SportsBet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.52%EV -8.45%E -3.38%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.81%EV -7.02%E -2.75%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.67%EV -11.17%E -3.38%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-10 12:20 |
| Everygame | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.41%EV -8.45%E -3.38%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.41%EV -8.84%E -3.54%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -9.82%E -2.93%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-10 11:35 |
| William Hill | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -8.45%E -3.38%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.26%EV -8.84%E -3.54%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.47%EV -11.17%E -3.38%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-10 11:35 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.18%EV -8.45%E -3.38%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 37.75%EV -15.04%E -6.46%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.06%EV -12.51%E -3.85%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-05-10 12:05 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.49I 40.16%NM 36.51%EV -8.82%E -3.54%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.36%EV -8.84%E -3.54%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.13%EV -9.82%E -2.93%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-10 12:04 |
| Fanatics | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -10.29%E -4.20%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -8.84%E -3.54%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -8.48%E -2.49%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-10 09:48 |
| PlayUp | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.99%EV -10.29%E -4.20%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.54%EV -7.02%E -2.75%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -11.17%E -3.38%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-10 12:24 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.90%EV -10.29%E -4.20%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.90%EV -10.67%E -4.35%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.20%EV -7.13%E -2.07%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-10 12:05 |
| Paddy Power | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.73%EV -10.29%E -4.20%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.00%EV -8.84%E -3.54%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -11.17%E -3.38%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-10 11:35 |
| Neds | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -10.29%E -4.20%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -10.67%E -4.35%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -11.17%E -3.38%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-10 12:04 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -10.29%E -4.20%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -10.67%E -4.35%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -11.17%E -3.38%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-10 12:04 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -10.29%E -4.20%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -10.67%E -4.35%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -11.17%E -3.38%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-10 12:05 |
| Coral | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -10.29%E -4.20%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.46%EV -10.67%E -4.35%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.07%EV -11.17%E -3.38%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-10 12:05 |
| Sky Bet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -10.29%E -4.20%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -8.84%E -3.54%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -13.86%E -4.33%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-10 12:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 35.71%EV -12.12%E -5.05%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 35.71%EV -12.49%E -5.20%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.57%EV -19.24%E -6.41%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-05-10 12:24 |
| BoyleSports | 2.38I 42.02%NM 36.75%EV -12.85%E -5.40%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 36.75%EV -13.22%E -5.55%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.50%EV -11.17%E -3.38%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-05-10 12:19 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.16%EV -13.95%E -5.94%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.38%EV -12.49%E -5.20%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.46%EV -11.17%E -3.38%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-05-10 12:04 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.10%EV -15.78%E -6.86%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 35.34%EV -9.57%E -3.86%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.56%EV -11.17%E -3.38%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-05-10 12:04 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.79%EV -15.78%E -6.86%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 35.47%EV -10.67%E -4.35%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.74%EV -12.51%E -3.85%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-05-10 12:04 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.65% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.86% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.49% | 1.0% | 2026-05-10 12:19 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.65% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.86% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.49% | 1.0% | 2026-05-10 12:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.65% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.86% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.49% | 1.0% | 2026-05-10 12:19 |
| Matchbook | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.56% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.02% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.42% | 1.3% | 2026-05-10 12:20 |
| Smarkets | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.90% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.83% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.27% | 1.9% | 2026-05-10 12:19 |