La scuola delle quoteItaliano
Rosenborg v Aalesund
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Rosenborg (Casa)
Previsione 58.67%1.70quota equa
EV -2.02%
Vantaggio -1.21%
Kelly -3.02%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.67
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
55.61%58.56%58.94%60.64%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.481.601.601.6767.57%62.59%62.50%59.88%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Aalesund (Trasferta)
Previsione 19.16%5.22quota equa
EV +4.42%
Vantaggio +0.811%
Kelly +0.993%
Crescita +0.044%
ipotizzando la quota massima 5.45
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
17.80%19.24%19.02%20.93%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.204.684.605.4523.81%21.37%21.74%18.35%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Pareggio
Previsione 22.17%4.51quota equa
EV -0.236%
Vantaggio -0.052%
Kelly -0.067%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 4.50
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
21.47%22.20%22.04%24.60%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.504.044.004.5028.57%24.73%25.00%22.22%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (55 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Pareggio | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.64%EV -6.13%E -3.83%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 5.45I 18.35%NM 17.80%EV +4.42%E +0.811%K +0.993%G +0.044% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.56%EV -0.236%E -0.052%K -0.067%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-16 13:34 |
| Pinnacle | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.96%EV -5.54%E -3.44%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.39%EV +0.589%E +0.112%K +0.139%G +0.001% | 4.46I 22.42%NM 21.65%EV -1.12%E -0.252%K -0.324%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-16 13:55 |
| FanDuel | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.83%EV -8.47%E -5.43%K -15.13%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.95%EV -0.369%E -0.071%K -0.088%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -6.89%E -1.64%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-16 13:29 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.62%EV -7.30%E -4.62%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.47%EV -2.29%E -0.448%K -0.557%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.91%EV -4.67%E -1.09%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-16 13:30 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.62%EV -7.30%E -4.62%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.47%EV -2.29%E -0.448%K -0.557%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.91%EV -4.67%E -1.09%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-16 13:30 |
| BetUS | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.62%EV -7.30%E -4.62%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.47%EV -2.29%E -0.448%K -0.557%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.91%EV -4.67%E -1.09%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-16 13:30 |
| BetAnything | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.62%EV -7.30%E -4.62%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.47%EV -2.29%E -0.448%K -0.557%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.91%EV -4.67%E -1.09%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-16 13:30 |
| 1xBet | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.26%EV -4.37%E -2.68%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.80%EV -3.24%E -0.642%K -0.801%G +0.000% | 4.14I 24.15%NM 22.94%EV -8.22%E -1.98%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-16 13:50 |
| DraftKings | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.25%EV -6.71%E -4.22%K -11.38%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.84%EV -4.20%E -0.840%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.91%EV -4.67%E -1.09%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-16 13:40 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.10%EV -7.30%E -4.62%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -4.20%E -0.840%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.23%EV -6.89%E -1.64%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-16 13:54 |
| Fanatics | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.93%EV -7.89%E -5.02%K -13.84%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -4.20%E -0.840%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.57%EV -9.10%E -2.22%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-16 13:30 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.24%EV -9.06%E -5.85%K -16.47%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -4.20%E -0.840%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -9.10%E -2.22%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-16 13:35 |
| SportsBet | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.91%EV -9.06%E -5.85%K -16.47%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -4.20%E -0.840%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -11.32%E -2.83%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-16 13:30 |
| GTbets | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.97%EV -4.37%E -2.68%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 19.09%EV -5.16%E -1.04%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 4.12I 24.27%NM 22.94%EV -8.66%E -2.10%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-16 13:10 |
| Betsson | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.05%EV -6.13%E -3.83%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.48%EV -7.08%E -1.46%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.47%EV -2.45%E -0.557%K -0.721%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-16 13:40 |
| NordicBet | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.05%EV -6.13%E -3.83%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.48%EV -7.08%E -1.46%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.47%EV -2.45%E -0.557%K -0.721%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-16 13:40 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.03%EV -4.95%E -3.06%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV -8.03%E -1.67%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV -6.89%E -1.64%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-16 13:54 |
| Bovada | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.48%EV -7.89%E -5.02%K -13.84%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -8.03%E -1.67%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -9.10%E -2.22%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-16 13:30 |
| William Hill | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.15%EV -7.89%E -5.02%K -13.84%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.02%EV -8.03%E -1.67%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -11.32%E -2.83%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-16 13:25 |
| Bet Victor | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.15%EV -7.89%E -5.02%K -13.84%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.02%EV -8.03%E -1.67%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -11.32%E -2.83%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-16 13:55 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.37%EV -6.13%E -3.83%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.66%EV -8.99%E -1.89%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.97%EV -5.78%E -1.36%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-16 13:50 |
| BetMGM | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.60%EV -4.95%E -3.06%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.64%EV -8.99%E -1.89%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -9.10%E -2.22%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-16 13:05 |
| Everygame | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.67%EV -9.06%E -5.85%K -16.47%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.15%EV -8.99%E -1.89%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.18%EV -9.10%E -2.22%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-16 13:45 |
| Paddy Power | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.66%EV -10.23%E -6.69%K -19.31%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.90%EV -8.99%E -1.89%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.44%EV -11.32%E -2.83%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-16 13:30 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 59.39%EV -13.17%E -8.90%K -27.43%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 18.90%EV -10.91%E -2.35%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 21.70%EV -10.21%E -2.52%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-05-16 13:34 |
| betfred_uk | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.21%EV -6.13%E -3.83%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -11.86%E -2.58%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -11.32%E -2.83%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-16 13:50 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.52%EV -7.30%E -4.62%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.76%EV -11.86%E -2.58%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.72%EV -11.32%E -2.83%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-16 13:55 |
| PlayUp | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.52%EV -7.30%E -4.62%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.76%EV -11.86%E -2.58%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.72%EV -11.32%E -2.83%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-16 13:55 |
| Sky Bet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.97%EV -10.23%E -6.69%K -19.31%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.28%EV -11.86%E -2.58%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.74%EV -13.54%E -3.47%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-05-16 13:30 |
| Unibet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.74%EV -2.02%E -1.21%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -13.78%E -3.06%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.57%EV -12.43%E -3.15%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-16 13:10 |
| BetRivers | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.74%EV -2.02%E -1.21%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -13.78%E -3.06%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.57%EV -12.43%E -3.15%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-16 13:10 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.74%EV -2.02%E -1.21%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -13.78%E -3.06%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.57%EV -12.43%E -3.15%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-16 13:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.74%EV -2.02%E -1.21%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -13.78%E -3.06%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.57%EV -12.43%E -3.15%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-16 13:10 |
| Casumo | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.74%EV -2.02%E -1.21%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -13.78%E -3.06%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.57%EV -12.43%E -3.15%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-16 13:10 |
| Grosvenor | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.74%EV -2.02%E -1.21%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -13.78%E -3.06%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.57%EV -12.43%E -3.15%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-16 13:10 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.74%EV -2.02%E -1.21%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -13.78%E -3.06%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.57%EV -12.43%E -3.15%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-16 13:10 |
| betPARX | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.74%EV -2.02%E -1.21%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -13.78%E -3.06%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.57%EV -12.43%E -3.15%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-16 13:10 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.74%EV -2.02%E -1.21%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -13.78%E -3.06%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.57%EV -12.43%E -3.15%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-16 13:10 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.74%EV -2.02%E -1.21%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -13.78%E -3.06%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.57%EV -12.43%E -3.15%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-16 13:10 |
| Betway | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.43%EV -5.54%E -3.44%K -9.08%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -13.78%E -3.06%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.02%EV -6.89%E -1.64%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-16 13:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 56.27%EV -10.23%E -6.69%K -19.31%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.13%EV -13.78%E -3.06%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.60%EV -22.41%E -6.40%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-05-16 13:30 |
| TABtouch | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.61%EV -3.19%E -1.94%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -15.70%E -3.57%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -13.54%E -3.47%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-16 13:10 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.63%EV -7.30%E -4.62%K -12.59%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.69%EV -15.70%E -3.57%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.68%EV -6.89%E -1.64%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-16 13:55 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.63I 61.35%NM 55.75%EV -4.37%E -2.68%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.65%EV -15.70%E -3.57%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.60%EV -14.65%E -3.80%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-16 13:10 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.63I 61.35%NM 55.75%EV -4.37%E -2.68%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.65%EV -15.70%E -3.57%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.60%EV -14.65%E -3.80%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-16 13:10 |
| Neds | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.03%EV -6.13%E -3.83%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.38%EV -15.70%E -3.57%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.59%EV -15.75%E -4.15%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-16 13:05 |
| Coral | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.03%EV -6.13%E -3.83%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.38%EV -15.70%E -3.57%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.59%EV -15.75%E -4.15%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-16 13:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.03%EV -6.13%E -3.83%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.38%EV -15.70%E -3.57%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.59%EV -15.75%E -4.15%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-16 13:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.03%EV -6.13%E -3.83%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.38%EV -15.70%E -3.57%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.59%EV -15.75%E -4.15%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-05-16 13:05 |
| Bet Right | 1.57I 63.69%NM 56.84%EV -7.89%E -5.02%K -13.84%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.28%EV -15.70%E -3.57%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.88%EV -13.54%E -3.47%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-16 13:50 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 57.63%EV -10.82%E -7.12%K -20.81%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 19.91%EV -15.70%E -3.57%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.46%EV -13.54%E -3.47%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-05-16 13:54 |
| LeoVegas | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.77%EV -4.95%E -3.06%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 20.77%EV -16.65%E -3.83%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.47%EV -14.65%E -3.80%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-16 13:10 |
| BoyleSports | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.61%EV -10.23%E -6.69%K -19.31%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.36%EV -17.04%E -3.93%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.04%EV -11.32%E -2.83%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-05-16 13:29 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 55.93%EV -7.89%E -5.02%K -13.84%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 20.66%EV -18.57%E -4.37%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.41%EV -16.86%E -4.50%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-05-16 13:10 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 57.09%EV -9.65%E -6.26%K -17.87%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.93%EV -19.53%E -4.65%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.98%EV -11.32%E -2.83%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-05-16 13:55 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (5)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.85% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.07% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.08% | 0.6% | 2026-05-16 13:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.00% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.00% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.00% | 1.0% | 2026-05-16 13:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.00% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.00% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.00% | 1.0% | 2026-05-16 13:55 |
| Matchbook | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.00% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 18.00% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.00% | 1.0% | 2026-05-16 13:45 |
| Smarkets | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.80% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.27% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.93% | 1.3% | 2026-05-16 13:50 |