L’École des cotes

Rosenborg v Aalesund

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-16 14:00 UTC

Score final : Rosenborg 2–3 Aalesund

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

55 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Rosenborg (Local)

Prévision 58.67%1.70cote équitable
EV -2.02%
Avantage -1.21%
Kelly -3.02%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.67

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
55.61%58.56%58.94%60.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.481.601.601.6767.57%62.59%62.50%59.88%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Aalesund (Visiteur)

Prévision 19.16%5.22cote équitable
EV +4.42%
Avantage +0.811%
Kelly +0.993%
Croissance +0.044%

avec la cote maximale 5.45

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
17.80%19.24%19.02%20.93%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.204.684.605.4523.81%21.37%21.74%18.35%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 22.17%4.51cote équitable
EV -0.236%
Avantage -0.052%
Kelly -0.067%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.47%22.20%22.04%24.60%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.504.044.004.5028.57%24.73%25.00%22.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (55 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Coolbet1.60I 62.50%NM 60.64%EV -6.13%E -3.83%K -10.21%G +0.000%5.45I 18.35%NM 17.80%EV +4.42%E +0.811%K +0.993%G +0.044%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.56%EV -0.236%E -0.052%K -0.067%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-16 13:34
Pinnacle1.61I 62.11%NM 59.96%EV -5.54%E -3.44%K -9.08%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.39%EV +0.589%E +0.112%K +0.139%G +0.001%4.46I 22.42%NM 21.65%EV -1.12%E -0.252%K -0.324%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-16 13:55
FanDuel1.56I 64.10%NM 59.83%EV -8.47%E -5.43%K -15.13%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.95%EV -0.369%E -0.071%K -0.088%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -6.89%E -1.64%K -2.15%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-16 13:29
LowVig.ag1.58I 63.29%NM 59.62%EV -7.30%E -4.62%K -12.59%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.47%EV -2.29%E -0.448%K -0.557%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.91%EV -4.67%E -1.09%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-16 13:30
BetOnline.ag1.58I 63.29%NM 59.62%EV -7.30%E -4.62%K -12.59%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.47%EV -2.29%E -0.448%K -0.557%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.91%EV -4.67%E -1.09%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-16 13:30
BetUS1.58I 63.29%NM 59.62%EV -7.30%E -4.62%K -12.59%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.47%EV -2.29%E -0.448%K -0.557%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.91%EV -4.67%E -1.09%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-16 13:30
BetAnything1.58I 63.29%NM 59.62%EV -7.30%E -4.62%K -12.59%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.47%EV -2.29%E -0.448%K -0.557%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.91%EV -4.67%E -1.09%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-16 13:30
1xBet1.63I 61.35%NM 58.26%EV -4.37%E -2.68%K -6.93%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.80%EV -3.24%E -0.642%K -0.801%G +0.000%4.14I 24.15%NM 22.94%EV -8.22%E -1.98%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-16 13:50
DraftKings1.59I 62.89%NM 59.25%EV -6.71%E -4.22%K -11.38%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.84%EV -4.20%E -0.840%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.91%EV -4.67%E -1.09%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-16 13:40
Marathon Bet1.58I 63.29%NM 59.10%EV -7.30%E -4.62%K -12.59%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.67%EV -4.20%E -0.840%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.23%EV -6.89%E -1.64%K -2.15%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-16 13:54
Fanatics1.57I 63.69%NM 58.93%EV -7.89%E -5.02%K -13.84%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.50%EV -4.20%E -0.840%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.57%EV -9.10%E -2.22%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-16 13:30
Tipico (DE)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.24%EV -9.06%E -5.85%K -16.47%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV -4.20%E -0.840%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -9.10%E -2.22%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-16 13:35
SportsBet1.55I 64.52%NM 58.91%EV -9.06%E -5.85%K -16.47%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -4.20%E -0.840%K -1.05%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -11.32%E -2.83%K -3.77%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-16 13:30
GTbets1.63I 61.35%NM 57.97%EV -4.37%E -2.68%K -6.93%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.09%EV -5.16%E -1.04%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.12I 24.27%NM 22.94%EV -8.66%E -2.10%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-16 13:10
Betsson1.60I 62.50%NM 59.05%EV -6.13%E -3.83%K -10.21%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.48%EV -7.08%E -1.46%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.47%EV -2.45%E -0.557%K -0.721%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-16 13:40
NordicBet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.05%EV -6.13%E -3.83%K -10.21%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.48%EV -7.08%E -1.46%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.47%EV -2.45%E -0.557%K -0.721%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-16 13:40
Unibet (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.03%EV -4.95%E -3.06%K -7.99%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV -8.03%E -1.67%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV -6.89%E -1.64%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-16 13:54
Bovada1.57I 63.69%NM 58.48%EV -7.89%E -5.02%K -13.84%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.13%EV -8.03%E -1.67%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -9.10%E -2.22%K -2.94%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-16 13:30
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 58.15%EV -7.89%E -5.02%K -13.84%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.02%EV -8.03%E -1.67%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -11.32%E -2.83%K -3.77%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-16 13:25
Bet Victor1.57I 63.69%NM 58.15%EV -7.89%E -5.02%K -13.84%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.02%EV -8.03%E -1.67%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.83%EV -11.32%E -2.83%K -3.77%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-16 13:55
PointsBet (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.37%EV -6.13%E -3.83%K -10.21%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.66%EV -8.99%E -1.89%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.97%EV -5.78%E -1.36%K -1.78%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-16 13:50
BetMGM1.62I 61.73%NM 57.60%EV -4.95%E -3.06%K -7.99%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.64%EV -8.99%E -1.89%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -9.10%E -2.22%K -2.94%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-16 13:05
Everygame1.55I 64.52%NM 58.67%EV -9.06%E -5.85%K -16.47%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.15%EV -8.99%E -1.89%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.18%EV -9.10%E -2.22%K -2.94%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-16 13:45
Paddy Power1.53I 65.36%NM 58.66%EV -10.23%E -6.69%K -19.31%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.90%EV -8.99%E -1.89%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.44%EV -11.32%E -2.83%K -3.77%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-16 13:30
Betclic (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 59.39%EV -13.17%E -8.90%K -27.43%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 18.90%EV -10.91%E -2.35%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 21.70%EV -10.21%E -2.52%K -3.35%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-16 13:34
betfred_uk1.60I 62.50%NM 57.21%EV -6.13%E -3.83%K -10.21%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.90%EV -11.86%E -2.58%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%EV -11.32%E -2.83%K -3.77%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-16 13:50
Codere (IT)1.58I 63.29%NM 57.52%EV -7.30%E -4.62%K -12.59%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.76%EV -11.86%E -2.58%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.72%EV -11.32%E -2.83%K -3.77%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-16 13:55
PlayUp1.58I 63.29%NM 57.52%EV -7.30%E -4.62%K -12.59%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.76%EV -11.86%E -2.58%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.72%EV -11.32%E -2.83%K -3.77%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-16 13:55
Sky Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 57.97%EV -10.23%E -6.69%K -19.31%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.28%EV -11.86%E -2.58%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.74%EV -13.54%E -3.47%K -4.67%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-16 13:30
Unibet1.67I 59.88%NM 55.74%EV -2.02%E -1.21%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -13.78%E -3.06%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.57%EV -12.43%E -3.15%K -4.21%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-16 13:10
BetRivers1.67I 59.88%NM 55.74%EV -2.02%E -1.21%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -13.78%E -3.06%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.57%EV -12.43%E -3.15%K -4.21%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-16 13:10
Unibet (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.74%EV -2.02%E -1.21%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -13.78%E -3.06%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.57%EV -12.43%E -3.15%K -4.21%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-16 13:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.74%EV -2.02%E -1.21%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -13.78%E -3.06%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.57%EV -12.43%E -3.15%K -4.21%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-16 13:10
Casumo1.67I 59.88%NM 55.74%EV -2.02%E -1.21%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -13.78%E -3.06%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.57%EV -12.43%E -3.15%K -4.21%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-16 13:10
Grosvenor1.67I 59.88%NM 55.74%EV -2.02%E -1.21%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -13.78%E -3.06%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.57%EV -12.43%E -3.15%K -4.21%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-16 13:10
Unibet (NL)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.74%EV -2.02%E -1.21%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -13.78%E -3.06%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.57%EV -12.43%E -3.15%K -4.21%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-16 13:10
betPARX1.67I 59.88%NM 55.74%EV -2.02%E -1.21%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -13.78%E -3.06%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.57%EV -12.43%E -3.15%K -4.21%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-16 13:10
ATG (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.74%EV -2.02%E -1.21%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -13.78%E -3.06%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.57%EV -12.43%E -3.15%K -4.21%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-16 13:10
Svenska Spel1.67I 59.88%NM 55.74%EV -2.02%E -1.21%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV -13.78%E -3.06%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.57%EV -12.43%E -3.15%K -4.21%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-16 13:10
Betway1.61I 62.11%NM 57.43%EV -5.54%E -3.44%K -9.08%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -13.78%E -3.06%K -3.94%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.02%EV -6.89%E -1.64%K -2.15%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-16 13:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 56.27%EV -10.23%E -6.69%K -19.31%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.13%EV -13.78%E -3.06%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.60%EV -22.41%E -6.40%K -8.96%G +0.000%16.2%2026-05-16 13:30
TABtouch1.65I 60.61%NM 55.61%EV -3.19%E -1.94%K -4.91%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -15.70%E -3.57%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -13.54%E -3.47%K -4.67%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-16 13:10
Winamax (DE)1.58I 63.29%NM 57.63%EV -7.30%E -4.62%K -12.59%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.69%EV -15.70%E -3.57%K -4.62%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.68%EV -6.89%E -1.64%K -2.15%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-16 13:55
Virgin Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 55.75%EV -4.37%E -2.68%K -6.93%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.65%EV -15.70%E -3.57%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.60%EV -14.65%E -3.80%K -5.14%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-16 13:10
LiveScore Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 55.75%EV -4.37%E -2.68%K -6.93%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.65%EV -15.70%E -3.57%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.60%EV -14.65%E -3.80%K -5.14%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-16 13:10
Neds1.60I 62.50%NM 56.03%EV -6.13%E -3.83%K -10.21%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.38%EV -15.70%E -3.57%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.59%EV -15.75%E -4.15%K -5.63%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-16 13:05
Coral1.60I 62.50%NM 56.03%EV -6.13%E -3.83%K -10.21%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.38%EV -15.70%E -3.57%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.59%EV -15.75%E -4.15%K -5.63%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-16 13:05
Ladbrokes (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 56.03%EV -6.13%E -3.83%K -10.21%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.38%EV -15.70%E -3.57%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.59%EV -15.75%E -4.15%K -5.63%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-16 13:05
Ladbrokes (UK)1.60I 62.50%NM 56.03%EV -6.13%E -3.83%K -10.21%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.38%EV -15.70%E -3.57%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.59%EV -15.75%E -4.15%K -5.63%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-16 13:05
Bet Right1.57I 63.69%NM 56.84%EV -7.89%E -5.02%K -13.84%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.28%EV -15.70%E -3.57%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.88%EV -13.54%E -3.47%K -4.67%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-16 13:50
Unibet (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 57.63%EV -10.82%E -7.12%K -20.81%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.91%EV -15.70%E -3.57%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.46%EV -13.54%E -3.47%K -4.67%G +0.000%14.2%2026-05-16 13:54
LeoVegas1.62I 61.73%NM 55.77%EV -4.95%E -3.06%K -7.99%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.77%EV -16.65%E -3.83%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.47%EV -14.65%E -3.80%K -5.14%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-16 13:10
BoyleSports1.53I 65.36%NM 57.61%EV -10.23%E -6.69%K -19.31%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.36%EV -17.04%E -3.93%K -5.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.04%EV -11.32%E -2.83%K -3.77%G +0.000%13.5%2026-05-16 13:29
PMU (FR)1.57I 63.69%NM 55.93%EV -7.89%E -5.02%K -13.84%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.66%EV -18.57%E -4.37%K -5.71%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.41%EV -16.86%E -4.50%K -6.13%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-16 13:10
Winamax (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 57.09%EV -9.65%E -6.26%K -17.87%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.93%EV -19.53%E -4.65%K -6.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.98%EV -11.32%E -2.83%K -3.77%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-16 13:55
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.66I 60.24%NM 59.85%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.07%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.08%0.6%2026-05-16 13:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.65I 60.61%NM 60.00%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.00%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.00%1.0%2026-05-16 13:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 60.00%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.00%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.00%1.0%2026-05-16 13:55
Matchbook1.65I 60.61%NM 60.00%5.50I 18.18%NM 18.00%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.00%1.0%2026-05-16 13:45
Smarkets1.65I 60.61%NM 59.80%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.27%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.93%1.3%2026-05-16 13:50