A Escola das Odds

Molde v Lillestrom

Início: 2026-04-06 15:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

53 casas de apostas (17 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Molde (Local)

Previsão 44.48%2.25odd justa
EV -3.04%
Vantagem -1.39%
Kelly -2.57%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.18

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
42.15%44.50%44.45%45.74%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.912.082.102.1852.36%48.19%47.62%45.87%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Lillestrom (Visitante)

Previsão 30.85%3.24odd justa
EV -1.28%
Vantagem -0.401%
Kelly -0.583%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.20

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
29.83%30.85%30.84%32.23%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.752.993.003.2036.36%33.47%33.33%31.25%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 24.67%4.05odd justa
EV -2.55%
Vantagem -0.644%
Kelly -0.863%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.95

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
23.75%24.65%24.71%27.19%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.103.693.703.9532.26%27.12%27.03%25.32%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (53 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Betsson2.18I 45.87%NM 43.40%EV -3.04%E -1.39%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.02%EV -5.91%E -1.94%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.57%EV -8.71%E -2.35%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-06 14:29
NordicBet2.18I 45.87%NM 43.40%EV -3.04%E -1.39%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.02%EV -5.91%E -1.94%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.57%EV -8.71%E -2.35%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-06 14:29
Coolbet2.17I 46.08%NM 44.76%EV -3.48%E -1.60%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 30.64%EV -2.21%E -0.697%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.59%EV -2.55%E -0.644%K -0.863%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-06 14:40
DraftKings2.15I 46.51%NM 44.18%EV -4.37%E -2.03%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.14%EV -5.91%E -1.94%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.67%EV -5.01%E -1.30%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-06 14:10
Pinnacle2.14I 46.73%NM 45.17%EV -4.81%E -2.25%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 30.30%EV -1.59%E -0.499%K -0.727%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 24.53%EV -2.79%E -0.709%K -0.950%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-06 14:25
1xBet2.14I 46.73%NM 44.62%EV -4.81%E -2.25%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.11I 32.15%NM 30.70%EV -4.06%E -1.31%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.87I 25.84%NM 24.67%EV -4.52%E -1.17%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-06 14:25
LowVig.ag2.12I 47.17%NM 45.04%EV -5.70%E -2.69%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.84%EV -1.28%E -0.401%K -0.583%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.13%EV -6.25%E -1.64%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-06 14:10
BetOnline.ag2.12I 47.17%NM 45.04%EV -5.70%E -2.69%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.84%EV -1.28%E -0.401%K -0.583%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.13%EV -6.25%E -1.64%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-06 14:10
Casumo2.12I 47.17%NM 44.31%EV -5.70%E -2.69%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.30%EV -4.37%E -1.41%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -8.71%E -2.35%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-06 14:40
Unibet (NL)2.12I 47.17%NM 44.31%EV -5.70%E -2.69%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.30%EV -4.37%E -1.41%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -8.71%E -2.35%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-06 14:40
Unibet (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 44.31%EV -5.70%E -2.69%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.30%EV -4.37%E -1.41%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -8.71%E -2.35%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-06 14:40
betPARX2.12I 47.17%NM 44.31%EV -5.70%E -2.69%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.30%EV -4.37%E -1.41%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -8.71%E -2.35%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-06 14:40
ATG (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 44.31%EV -5.70%E -2.69%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.30%EV -4.37%E -1.41%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -8.71%E -2.35%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-06 14:40
Svenska Spel2.12I 47.17%NM 44.31%EV -5.70%E -2.69%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.30%EV -4.37%E -1.41%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -8.71%E -2.35%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-06 14:40
Unibet (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.62%EV -6.59%E -3.14%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.72%EV -5.91%E -1.94%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.66%EV -6.25%E -1.64%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-06 14:25
GTbets2.10I 47.62%NM 44.58%EV -6.59%E -3.14%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 29.91%EV -3.44%E -1.10%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 25.51%EV -9.45%E -2.58%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-05 08:14
LeoVegas (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.39%EV -6.59%E -3.14%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.07%EV -4.37%E -1.41%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.54%EV -9.95%E -2.73%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-06 14:40
Grosvenor2.10I 47.62%NM 44.39%EV -6.59%E -3.14%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.07%EV -4.37%E -1.41%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.54%EV -9.95%E -2.73%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-06 14:40
BetRivers2.10I 47.62%NM 44.39%EV -6.59%E -3.14%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.07%EV -4.37%E -1.41%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.54%EV -9.95%E -2.73%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-06 14:40
Unibet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.39%EV -6.59%E -3.14%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.07%EV -4.37%E -1.41%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.54%EV -9.95%E -2.73%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-06 14:40
Betway2.10I 47.62%NM 44.25%EV -6.59%E -3.14%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -7.45%E -2.48%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -7.48%E -1.99%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-06 14:30
BetMGM2.10I 47.62%NM 44.25%EV -6.59%E -3.14%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -7.45%E -2.48%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -7.48%E -1.99%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-06 14:25
FanDuel2.10I 47.62%NM 44.20%EV -6.59%E -3.14%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.00%EV -10.54%E -3.63%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -3.78%E -0.969%K -1.30%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-06 13:33
PointsBet (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.20%EV -6.59%E -3.14%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.00%EV -10.54%E -3.63%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -3.78%E -0.969%K -1.30%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-06 13:30
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -6.59%E -3.14%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -7.45%E -2.48%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -11.18%E -3.11%K -4.30%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-06 14:08
Bet Right2.10I 47.62%NM 43.68%EV -6.59%E -3.14%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.18%EV -12.08%E -4.24%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.14%EV -6.25%E -1.64%K -2.23%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-06 13:30
PlayUp2.10I 47.62%NM 43.03%EV -6.59%E -3.14%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -10.54%E -3.63%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -13.65%E -3.90%K -5.46%G +0.000%10.7%2026-04-06 14:30
Marathon Bet2.09I 47.85%NM 44.63%EV -7.04%E -3.37%K -6.46%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 30.69%EV -6.22%E -2.05%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 24.68%EV -6.74%E -1.78%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-06 14:10
TABtouch2.07I 48.31%NM 44.37%EV -7.93%E -3.83%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.11%EV -5.91%E -1.94%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.51%EV -11.18%E -3.11%K -4.30%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-06 14:40
Bovada2.05I 48.78%NM 44.61%EV -8.82%E -4.30%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.00%EV -9.00%E -3.05%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.39%EV -7.48%E -1.99%K -2.72%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-06 14:32
BetUS2.05I 48.78%NM 44.61%EV -8.82%E -4.30%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.00%EV -9.00%E -3.05%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.39%EV -7.48%E -1.99%K -2.72%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-06 14:24
BetAnything2.05I 48.78%NM 44.61%EV -8.82%E -4.30%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.00%EV -9.00%E -3.05%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.39%EV -7.48%E -1.99%K -2.72%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-06 14:25
Everygame2.05I 48.78%NM 44.54%EV -8.82%E -4.30%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.44%EV -7.45%E -2.48%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.02%EV -9.95%E -2.73%K -3.75%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-06 14:25
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.52%EV -8.82%E -4.30%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -10.54%E -3.63%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.02%EV -6.25%E -1.64%K -2.23%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-06 14:25
Bet Victor2.05I 48.78%NM 44.52%EV -8.82%E -4.30%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -10.54%E -3.63%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.02%EV -6.25%E -1.64%K -2.23%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-06 14:29
Fanatics2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -8.82%E -4.30%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -7.45%E -2.48%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -11.18%E -3.11%K -4.30%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-06 14:25
Codere (IT)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.32%EV -8.82%E -4.30%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.80%EV -9.00%E -3.05%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.89%EV -9.95%E -2.73%K -3.75%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-06 14:25
Virgin Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 44.23%EV -8.82%E -4.30%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.23%EV -7.45%E -2.48%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.54%EV -12.41%E -3.50%K -4.87%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-06 14:40
LiveScore Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 44.23%EV -8.82%E -4.30%K -8.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.23%EV -7.45%E -2.48%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.54%EV -12.41%E -3.50%K -4.87%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-06 14:40
SportsBet2.05I 48.78%NM 44.02%EV -8.82%E -4.30%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -13.62%E -4.87%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.75%EV -6.25%E -1.64%K -2.23%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-06 13:30
Paddy Power2.05I 48.78%NM 44.02%EV -8.82%E -4.30%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -13.62%E -4.87%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.75%EV -6.25%E -1.64%K -2.23%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-06 13:30
Ladbrokes (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.84%EV -8.82%E -4.30%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.20%EV -11.16%E -3.87%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.96%EV -11.18%E -3.11%K -4.30%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-06 14:10
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 43.84%EV -8.82%E -4.30%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.20%EV -11.16%E -3.87%K -5.93%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.96%EV -11.18%E -3.11%K -4.30%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-06 14:10
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 43.79%EV -8.82%E -4.30%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.28%EV -11.46%E -3.99%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.93%EV -11.18%E -3.11%K -4.30%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-06 14:10
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.79%EV -8.82%E -4.30%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.28%EV -11.46%E -3.99%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.93%EV -11.18%E -3.11%K -4.30%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-06 14:10
Sky Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 43.20%EV -8.82%E -4.30%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.20%EV -15.17%E -5.51%K -8.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.60%EV -11.18%E -3.11%K -4.30%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-06 13:30
LeoVegas2.02I 49.50%NM 44.60%EV -10.15%E -5.03%K -9.95%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.03%EV -7.45%E -2.48%K -3.73%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.38%EV -12.41%E -3.50%K -4.87%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-06 14:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 42.15%EV -11.04%E -5.52%K -11.04%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 30.66%EV -15.17%E -5.51%K -8.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.19%EV -23.52%E -7.59%K -11.20%G +0.000%18.6%2026-04-06 13:35
Winamax (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 44.45%EV -11.93%E -6.03%K -12.18%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.43%EV -13.62%E -4.87%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.11%EV -9.95%E -2.73%K -3.75%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-06 14:25
PMU (FR)1.97I 50.76%NM 44.67%EV -12.38%E -6.28%K -12.76%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.83%EV -9.00%E -3.05%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.51%EV -14.88%E -4.31%K -6.07%G +0.000%13.6%2026-04-06 14:40
Unibet (FR)1.95I 51.28%NM 45.01%EV -13.27%E -6.80%K -13.96%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.27%EV -10.54%E -3.63%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.72%EV -12.41%E -3.50%K -4.87%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-06 14:35
Betclic (FR)1.92I 52.08%NM 45.74%EV -14.60%E -7.60%K -15.87%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 30.07%EV -9.92%E -3.40%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 24.19%EV -10.44%E -2.88%K -3.97%G +0.000%13.9%2026-04-06 14:35
BoyleSports1.91I 52.36%NM 44.94%EV -15.05%E -7.88%K -16.53%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.21%EV -15.17%E -5.51%K -8.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.84%EV -11.18%E -3.11%K -4.30%G +0.000%16.5%2026-04-06 14:10
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.30%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.50%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.20%0.8%2026-04-06 14:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.30%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.50%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.20%0.8%2026-04-06 14:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.30%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.50%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.20%0.8%2026-04-06 14:40
Matchbook2.24I 44.64%NM 44.30%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.50%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.20%0.8%2026-04-06 14:35
Smarkets2.22I 45.05%NM 44.52%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.38%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.11%1.2%2026-04-06 14:40