La escuela de los momiosMolde v Lillestrom
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Molde (Local)
Predicción 44.48%2.25momio equitativo
EV -3.04%
Ventaja -1.39%
Kelly -2.57%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.18
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.15%44.50%44.45%45.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.912.082.102.1852.36%48.19%47.62%45.87%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Lillestrom (Visitante)
Predicción 30.85%3.24momio equitativo
EV -1.28%
Ventaja -0.401%
Kelly -0.583%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.20
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.83%30.85%30.84%32.23%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.752.993.003.2036.36%33.47%33.33%31.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 24.67%4.05momio equitativo
EV -2.55%
Ventaja -0.644%
Kelly -0.863%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.95
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.75%24.65%24.71%27.19%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.693.703.9532.26%27.12%27.03%25.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betsson | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.40%EV -3.04%E -1.39%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.02%EV -5.91%E -1.94%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.57%EV -8.71%E -2.35%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-06 14:29 |
| NordicBet | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.40%EV -3.04%E -1.39%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.02%EV -5.91%E -1.94%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.57%EV -8.71%E -2.35%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-06 14:29 |
| Coolbet | 2.17I 46.08%NM 44.76%EV -3.48%E -1.60%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 30.64%EV -2.21%E -0.697%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.59%EV -2.55%E -0.644%K -0.863%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-04-06 14:40 |
| DraftKings | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.18%EV -4.37%E -2.03%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.14%EV -5.91%E -1.94%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.67%EV -5.01%E -1.30%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-06 14:10 |
| Pinnacle | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.17%EV -4.81%E -2.25%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.19I 31.35%NM 30.30%EV -1.59%E -0.499%K -0.727%G +0.000% | 3.94I 25.38%NM 24.53%EV -2.79%E -0.709%K -0.950%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-06 14:25 |
| 1xBet | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.62%EV -4.81%E -2.25%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 3.11I 32.15%NM 30.70%EV -4.06%E -1.31%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 3.87I 25.84%NM 24.67%EV -4.52%E -1.17%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-06 14:25 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.04%EV -5.70%E -2.69%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.84%EV -1.28%E -0.401%K -0.583%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.13%EV -6.25%E -1.64%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-06 14:10 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.04%EV -5.70%E -2.69%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.84%EV -1.28%E -0.401%K -0.583%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.13%EV -6.25%E -1.64%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-06 14:10 |
| Casumo | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.31%EV -5.70%E -2.69%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.30%EV -4.37%E -1.41%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -8.71%E -2.35%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-06 14:40 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.31%EV -5.70%E -2.69%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.30%EV -4.37%E -1.41%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -8.71%E -2.35%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-06 14:40 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.31%EV -5.70%E -2.69%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.30%EV -4.37%E -1.41%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -8.71%E -2.35%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-06 14:40 |
| betPARX | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.31%EV -5.70%E -2.69%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.30%EV -4.37%E -1.41%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -8.71%E -2.35%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-06 14:40 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.31%EV -5.70%E -2.69%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.30%EV -4.37%E -1.41%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -8.71%E -2.35%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-06 14:40 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.31%EV -5.70%E -2.69%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.30%EV -4.37%E -1.41%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -8.71%E -2.35%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-06 14:40 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.62%EV -6.59%E -3.14%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.72%EV -5.91%E -1.94%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.66%EV -6.25%E -1.64%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-06 14:25 |
| GTbets | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.58%EV -6.59%E -3.14%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 29.91%EV -3.44%E -1.10%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 25.51%EV -9.45%E -2.58%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-05 08:14 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.39%EV -6.59%E -3.14%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.07%EV -4.37%E -1.41%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.54%EV -9.95%E -2.73%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-06 14:40 |
| Grosvenor | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.39%EV -6.59%E -3.14%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.07%EV -4.37%E -1.41%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.54%EV -9.95%E -2.73%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-06 14:40 |
| BetRivers | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.39%EV -6.59%E -3.14%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.07%EV -4.37%E -1.41%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.54%EV -9.95%E -2.73%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-06 14:40 |
| Unibet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.39%EV -6.59%E -3.14%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.07%EV -4.37%E -1.41%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.54%EV -9.95%E -2.73%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-06 14:40 |
| Betway | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.25%EV -6.59%E -3.14%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -7.45%E -2.48%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -7.48%E -1.99%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-06 14:30 |
| BetMGM | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.25%EV -6.59%E -3.14%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -7.45%E -2.48%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -7.48%E -1.99%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-06 14:25 |
| FanDuel | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.20%EV -6.59%E -3.14%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.00%EV -10.54%E -3.63%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -3.78%E -0.969%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-06 13:33 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.20%EV -6.59%E -3.14%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.00%EV -10.54%E -3.63%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -3.78%E -0.969%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-06 13:30 |
| William Hill | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -6.59%E -3.14%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -7.45%E -2.48%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -11.18%E -3.11%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-06 14:08 |
| Bet Right | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.68%EV -6.59%E -3.14%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.18%EV -12.08%E -4.24%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.14%EV -6.25%E -1.64%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-06 13:30 |
| PlayUp | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.03%EV -6.59%E -3.14%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.16%EV -10.54%E -3.63%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.82%EV -13.65%E -3.90%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-06 14:30 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.09I 47.85%NM 44.63%EV -7.04%E -3.37%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 30.69%EV -6.22%E -2.05%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 24.68%EV -6.74%E -1.78%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-06 14:10 |
| TABtouch | 2.07I 48.31%NM 44.37%EV -7.93%E -3.83%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.11%EV -5.91%E -1.94%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.51%EV -11.18%E -3.11%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-06 14:40 |
| Bovada | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.61%EV -8.82%E -4.30%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.00%EV -9.00%E -3.05%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.39%EV -7.48%E -1.99%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-06 14:32 |
| BetUS | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.61%EV -8.82%E -4.30%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.00%EV -9.00%E -3.05%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.39%EV -7.48%E -1.99%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-06 14:24 |
| BetAnything | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.61%EV -8.82%E -4.30%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.00%EV -9.00%E -3.05%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.39%EV -7.48%E -1.99%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-06 14:25 |
| Everygame | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.54%EV -8.82%E -4.30%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.44%EV -7.45%E -2.48%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.02%EV -9.95%E -2.73%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-06 14:25 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.52%EV -8.82%E -4.30%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -10.54%E -3.63%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.02%EV -6.25%E -1.64%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-06 14:25 |
| Bet Victor | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.52%EV -8.82%E -4.30%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -10.54%E -3.63%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.02%EV -6.25%E -1.64%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-06 14:29 |
| Fanatics | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -8.82%E -4.30%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -7.45%E -2.48%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -11.18%E -3.11%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-06 14:25 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.32%EV -8.82%E -4.30%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.80%EV -9.00%E -3.05%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.89%EV -9.95%E -2.73%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-06 14:25 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.23%EV -8.82%E -4.30%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.23%EV -7.45%E -2.48%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.54%EV -12.41%E -3.50%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-06 14:40 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.23%EV -8.82%E -4.30%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.23%EV -7.45%E -2.48%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.54%EV -12.41%E -3.50%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-06 14:40 |
| SportsBet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.02%EV -8.82%E -4.30%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -13.62%E -4.87%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.75%EV -6.25%E -1.64%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-06 13:30 |
| Paddy Power | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.02%EV -8.82%E -4.30%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -13.62%E -4.87%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.75%EV -6.25%E -1.64%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-06 13:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.84%EV -8.82%E -4.30%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.20%EV -11.16%E -3.87%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.96%EV -11.18%E -3.11%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-06 14:10 |
| Neds | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.84%EV -8.82%E -4.30%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.20%EV -11.16%E -3.87%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.96%EV -11.18%E -3.11%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-06 14:10 |
| Coral | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.79%EV -8.82%E -4.30%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.28%EV -11.46%E -3.99%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.93%EV -11.18%E -3.11%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-06 14:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.79%EV -8.82%E -4.30%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.28%EV -11.46%E -3.99%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.93%EV -11.18%E -3.11%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-06 14:10 |
| Sky Bet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.20%EV -8.82%E -4.30%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.20%EV -15.17%E -5.51%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.60%EV -11.18%E -3.11%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-04-06 13:30 |
| LeoVegas | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.60%EV -10.15%E -5.03%K -9.95%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.03%EV -7.45%E -2.48%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.38%EV -12.41%E -3.50%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-06 14:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 42.15%EV -11.04%E -5.52%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 30.66%EV -15.17%E -5.51%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.19%EV -23.52%E -7.59%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 18.6% | 2026-04-06 13:35 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.98I 50.51%NM 44.45%EV -11.93%E -6.03%K -12.18%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.43%EV -13.62%E -4.87%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.11%EV -9.95%E -2.73%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-04-06 14:25 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 44.67%EV -12.38%E -6.28%K -12.76%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.83%EV -9.00%E -3.05%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.51%EV -14.88%E -4.31%K -6.07%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-04-06 14:40 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.01%EV -13.27%E -6.80%K -13.96%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.27%EV -10.54%E -3.63%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.72%EV -12.41%E -3.50%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-04-06 14:35 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 45.74%EV -14.60%E -7.60%K -15.87%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 30.07%EV -9.92%E -3.40%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 24.19%EV -10.44%E -2.88%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-04-06 14:35 |
| BoyleSports | 1.91I 52.36%NM 44.94%EV -15.05%E -7.88%K -16.53%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.21%EV -15.17%E -5.51%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.84%EV -11.18%E -3.11%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 16.5% | 2026-04-06 14:10 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.30% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.50% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.20% | 0.8% | 2026-04-06 14:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.30% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.50% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.20% | 0.8% | 2026-04-06 14:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.30% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.50% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.20% | 0.8% | 2026-04-06 14:40 |
| Matchbook | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.30% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.50% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.20% | 0.8% | 2026-04-06 14:35 |
| Smarkets | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.52% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.38% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.11% | 1.2% | 2026-04-06 14:40 |