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Molde v IK Start
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Molde (Local)
Prediction 69.34%1.44fair odd
EV -2.93%
Edge -2.09%
Kelly -7.32%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
66.45%69.41%69.34%71.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.261.331.331.4079.37%75.30%75.19%71.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
IK Start (Visit)
Prediction 13.35%7.49fair odd
EV +6.80%
Edge +0.849%
Kelly +0.971%
Growth +0.066%
assuming max odds 8.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
11.94%13.37%13.43%15.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.506.877.008.0018.18%14.56%14.29%12.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 17.31%5.78fair odd
EV +0.425%
Edge +0.073%
Kelly +0.088%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 5.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.96%17.21%17.23%18.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.955.295.285.8020.20%18.90%18.96%17.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Molde (Local): 69.34%; IK Start (Visit): 13.35%; Draw: 17.31%. For IK Start (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.49. 12 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 8.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.80%.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betsson🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.21%EV -5.70%E -4.19%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.94%EV +6.80%E +0.849%K +0.971%G +0.066% | 5.35I 18.69%NM 17.85%EV -7.37%E -1.38%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-18 14:34 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.08%EV -7.09%E -5.29%K -20.85%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.04%EV +4.13%E +0.529%K +0.607%G +0.025% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.89%EV -9.10%E -1.73%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-18 14:34 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.85%EV -5.70%E -4.19%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 7.69I 13.00%NM 12.53%EV +2.66%E +0.345%K +0.397%G +0.011% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.61%EV +0.425%E +0.073%K +0.088%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-18 14:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.46%EV -7.78%E -5.85%K -23.59%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.50%EV +0.120%E +0.016%K +0.019%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -4.77%E -0.867%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-18 11:39 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.46%EV -7.78%E -5.85%K -23.59%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.50%EV +0.120%E +0.016%K +0.019%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -4.77%E -0.867%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-18 11:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.46%EV -7.78%E -5.85%K -23.59%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.50%EV +0.120%E +0.016%K +0.019%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -4.77%E -0.867%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-18 11:39 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.46%EV -7.78%E -5.85%K -23.59%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.50%EV +0.120%E +0.016%K +0.019%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -4.77%E -0.867%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-18 11:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.46%EV -7.78%E -5.85%K -23.59%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.50%EV +0.120%E +0.016%K +0.019%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -4.77%E -0.867%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-18 11:39 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.46%EV -7.78%E -5.85%K -23.59%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.50%EV +0.120%E +0.016%K +0.019%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -4.77%E -0.867%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-18 11:39 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.46%EV -7.78%E -5.85%K -23.59%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.50%EV +0.120%E +0.016%K +0.019%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -4.77%E -0.867%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-18 11:39 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.46%EV -7.78%E -5.85%K -23.59%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.50%EV +0.120%E +0.016%K +0.019%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -4.77%E -0.867%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-18 11:39 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.90%EV -7.78%E -5.85%K -23.59%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.40%EV +0.120%E +0.016%K +0.019%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV -9.10%E -1.73%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-18 14:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.83%EV -5.01%E -3.66%K -13.54%G +0.000% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.93%EV -1.21%E -0.164%K -0.190%G +0.000% | 5.55I 18.02%NM 17.24%EV -3.90%E -0.703%K -0.858%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-10-18 14:14 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -6.40%E -4.74%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 7.26I 13.77%NM 12.95%EV -3.08%E -0.425%K -0.493%G +0.000% | 5.41I 18.48%NM 17.38%EV -6.33%E -1.17%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-18 05:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.34%EV -2.93%E -2.09%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.48%EV -3.88%E -0.540%K -0.627%G +0.000% | 5.65I 17.70%NM 17.18%EV -2.17%E -0.385%K -0.467%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-10-18 13:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.88%EV -7.78%E -5.85%K -23.59%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 12.91%EV -3.88%E -0.540%K -0.627%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.21%EV -6.50%E -1.20%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-18 14:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.21%EV -5.01%E -3.66%K -13.54%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.55%EV -6.55%E -0.936%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.24%EV -4.77%E -0.867%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-18 14:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.37%EV -5.70%E -4.19%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV -6.55%E -0.936%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.15%EV -4.77%E -0.867%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-18 14:09 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.92%EV -5.70%E -4.19%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.39%EV -6.55%E -0.936%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.69%EV -8.23%E -1.55%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-18 14:54 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.92%EV -5.70%E -4.19%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.39%EV -6.55%E -0.936%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.69%EV -8.23%E -1.55%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-18 14:54 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.92%EV -5.70%E -4.19%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.39%EV -6.55%E -0.936%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.69%EV -8.23%E -1.55%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-18 14:54 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.92%EV -5.70%E -4.19%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.39%EV -6.55%E -0.936%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.69%EV -8.23%E -1.55%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-18 14:54 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 70.57%EV -9.17%E -7.00%K -29.58%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.21%EV -6.55%E -0.936%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.22%EV -1.31%E -0.229%K -0.278%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-10-18 14:53 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 69.94%EV -9.17%E -7.00%K -29.58%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.09%EV -6.55%E -0.936%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.97%EV -6.50%E -1.20%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-18 14:54 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.32%EV -9.86%E -7.59%K -32.88%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.06%EV -6.55%E -0.936%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -4.77%E -0.867%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-10-18 14:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -7.78%E -5.85%K -23.59%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -6.55%E -0.936%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -13.43%E -2.69%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-10-18 14:54 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.05%EV -11.25%E -8.79%K -40.18%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.99%EV -6.55%E -0.936%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 15.96%EV -1.31%E -0.229%K -0.278%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-10-18 14:54 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -9.86%E -7.59%K -32.88%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.96%EV -6.55%E -0.936%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.28%EV -9.10%E -1.73%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-10-18 14:34 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.65%EV -9.86%E -7.59%K -32.88%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.94%EV -6.55%E -0.936%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.41%EV -9.96%E -1.92%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-10-18 11:39 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.65%EV -9.86%E -7.59%K -32.88%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.94%EV -6.55%E -0.936%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.41%EV -9.96%E -1.92%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-10-18 11:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 69.58%EV -10.56%E -8.18%K -36.40%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.82%EV -6.55%E -0.936%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.60%EV -11.70%E -2.29%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-10-18 11:39 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 69.33%EV -10.56%E -8.18%K -36.40%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.78%EV -6.55%E -0.936%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.89%EV -13.43%E -2.69%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-10-18 14:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.35%EV -5.70%E -4.19%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.77%EV -9.89%E -1.47%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.88%EV -9.96%E -1.92%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-18 14:33 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 69.42%EV -11.25%E -8.79%K -40.18%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.16%EV -9.89%E -1.47%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.42%EV -11.70%E -2.29%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-10-18 11:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 69.42%EV -11.25%E -8.79%K -40.18%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.16%EV -9.89%E -1.47%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.42%EV -11.70%E -2.29%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-10-18 11:39 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 69.42%EV -11.25%E -8.79%K -40.18%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.16%EV -9.89%E -1.47%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.42%EV -11.70%E -2.29%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-10-18 11:39 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.11%EV -5.70%E -4.19%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -13.23%E -2.04%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.64%EV -9.10%E -1.73%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-10-18 14:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.11%EV -5.70%E -4.19%K -15.84%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -13.23%E -2.04%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.64%EV -9.10%E -1.73%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-10-18 14:29 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.92%EV -7.78%E -5.85%K -23.59%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.10%EV -13.23%E -2.04%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.98%EV -6.50%E -1.20%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-18 14:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.49%EV -9.86%E -7.59%K -32.88%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.70%EV -13.23%E -2.04%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -13.43%E -2.69%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-10-18 14:53 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.49%EV -9.86%E -7.59%K -32.88%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.70%EV -13.23%E -2.04%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -13.43%E -2.69%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-10-18 14:54 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.16%EV -7.09%E -5.29%K -20.85%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.27%EV -14.56%E -2.28%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.57%EV -9.96%E -1.92%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-10-18 14:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.59%EV -9.86%E -7.59%K -32.88%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 13.93%EV -14.56%E -2.28%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.48%EV -11.70%E -2.29%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-10-18 14:33 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 68.12%EV -9.86%E -7.59%K -32.88%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.17%EV -16.57%E -2.65%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.71%EV -13.43%E -2.69%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-10-18 14:29 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 68.44%EV -12.64%E -10.03%K -48.60%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.14%EV -18.57%E -3.04%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 17.42%EV -14.29%E -2.89%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 16.0% | 2026-10-18 14:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 68.12%EV -7.78%E -5.85%K -23.59%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.10%EV -19.90%E -3.32%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.78%EV -6.50%E -1.20%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-10-18 14:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 67.85%EV -8.48%E -6.42%K -26.49%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.93%EV -19.90%E -3.32%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.22%EV -9.96%E -1.92%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-10-18 14:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 66.45%EV -6.40%E -4.74%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.60%EV -23.24%E -4.04%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.94%EV -13.43%E -2.69%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-10-18 14:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 66.45%EV -6.40%E -4.74%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.60%EV -23.24%E -4.04%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.94%EV -13.43%E -2.69%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-10-18 14:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 66.45%EV -6.40%E -4.74%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.60%EV -23.24%E -4.04%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.94%EV -13.43%E -2.69%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-10-18 14:29 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 66.45%EV -6.40%E -4.74%K -18.28%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.60%EV -23.24%E -4.04%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.94%EV -13.43%E -2.69%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-10-18 14:29 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 66.83%EV -9.86%E -7.59%K -32.88%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.80%EV -26.58%E -4.83%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.38%EV -13.43%E -2.69%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-10-18 14:29 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.37% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.10% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.53% | 0.8% | 2026-10-18 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.15% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.36% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.48% | 1.1% | 2026-10-18 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.15% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.36% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.48% | 1.1% | 2026-10-18 14:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.15% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.36% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.48% | 1.1% | 2026-10-18 14:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.10% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.27% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.63% | 1.9% | 2026-10-18 14:55 |