L’École des cotesodds.school
Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)
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Kristiansund BK v Vålerenga

2026-11-09 18:00 UTC — Eliteserien - Norway

Résultat du match

40 opérateurs (9 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Kristiansund BK (Local)

Prévision 40.00%2.50cote équitable
EV -2.39%
Avantage -0.980%
Kelly -1.66%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.44

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
38.79%39.99%39.80%40.81%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.052.302.302.4448.78%43.40%43.48%40.98%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Vålerenga (Visiteur)

Prévision 36.36%2.75cote équitable
EV -3.66%
Avantage -1.38%
Kelly -2.22%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.65

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
35.29%36.28%36.46%37.15%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.302.512.552.6543.48%39.80%39.22%37.74%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 23.64%4.23cote équitable
EV -5.44%
Avantage -1.36%
Kelly -1.81%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.04%23.72%23.73%24.79%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.503.843.854.0028.57%26.03%25.97%25.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Kristiansund BK (Local) : 40.00% ; Vålerenga (Visiteur) : 36.36% ; Match nul : 23.64%. Pour Kristiansund BK (Local), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 2.50. Aucun opérateur admissible ne propose de cote supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure cote disponible est 2.44, pour une espérance de -2.39% ; elle ne produit pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (40 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 39.16%EV -2.39%E -0.980%K -1.66%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.47%EV -4.75%E -1.81%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.37%EV -7.33%E -1.87%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.7%2026-11-06 15:10
GTbets🎯2.41I 41.49%NM 39.17%EV -3.59%E -1.49%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 36.44%EV -5.84%E -2.25%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.87I 25.84%NM 24.39%EV -8.51%E -2.20%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.9%2026-11-06 15:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.12%EV -3.99%E -1.66%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.81%EV -7.29%E -2.86%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -7.80%E -2.00%K -2.69%G +0.000%6.5%2026-11-06 18:20
Marathon Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.12%EV -4.79%E -2.01%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.51%EV -7.29%E -2.86%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.37%EV -9.70%E -2.54%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.4%2026-11-06 15:04
BetMGM🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.03%EV -4.79%E -2.01%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.15%EV -9.11%E -3.64%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.82%EV -7.80%E -2.00%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.7%2026-11-06 15:37
Unibet (NL)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.86%EV -5.99%E -2.55%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.73%EV -7.29%E -2.86%K -4.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -5.44%E -1.36%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.8%2026-11-06 14:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.86%EV -5.99%E -2.55%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.73%EV -7.29%E -2.86%K -4.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -5.44%E -1.36%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.8%2026-11-06 14:50
Unibet (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.86%EV -5.99%E -2.55%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.73%EV -7.29%E -2.86%K -4.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -5.44%E -1.36%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.8%2026-11-06 14:50
BetRivers🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.86%EV -5.99%E -2.55%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.73%EV -7.29%E -2.86%K -4.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -5.44%E -1.36%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.8%2026-11-06 14:50
Casumo🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.86%EV -5.99%E -2.55%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.73%EV -7.29%E -2.86%K -4.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -5.44%E -1.36%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.8%2026-11-06 14:49
ATG (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.86%EV -5.99%E -2.55%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.73%EV -7.29%E -2.86%K -4.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -5.44%E -1.36%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.8%2026-11-06 14:50
betPARX🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.86%EV -5.99%E -2.55%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.73%EV -7.29%E -2.86%K -4.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -5.44%E -1.36%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.8%2026-11-06 14:50
Svenska Spel🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.86%EV -5.99%E -2.55%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.73%EV -7.29%E -2.86%K -4.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -5.44%E -1.36%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.8%2026-11-06 14:50
Unibet (UK)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.86%EV -5.99%E -2.55%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.73%EV -7.29%E -2.86%K -4.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -5.44%E -1.36%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.8%2026-11-06 18:44
FanDuel🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.62%EV -5.99%E -2.55%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.51%EV -7.29%E -2.86%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -7.80%E -2.00%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.4%2026-11-06 18:20
DraftKings🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -7.99%E -3.47%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.42%EV -3.66%E -1.38%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.76%EV -6.62%E -1.68%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.5%2026-11-06 18:20
Betway🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.77%EV -7.99%E -3.47%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.79%EV -4.75%E -1.81%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -5.44%E -1.36%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.6%2026-11-06 15:40
LowVig.ag🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.51%EV -7.99%E -3.47%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.29%EV -4.02%E -1.52%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.20%EV -8.99%E -2.33%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.3%2026-11-06 15:39
BetOnline.ag🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.51%EV -7.99%E -3.47%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.29%EV -4.02%E -1.52%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.20%EV -8.99%E -2.33%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.3%2026-11-06 15:39
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.37%EV -7.99%E -3.47%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.41%EV -7.29%E -2.86%K -4.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -5.44%E -1.36%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.7%2026-11-06 17:15
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -7.99%E -3.47%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.41%EV -5.47%E -2.11%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -11.35%E -3.03%K -4.13%G +0.000%8.6%2026-11-06 15:30
LeoVegas🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.84%EV -7.99%E -3.47%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.66%EV -9.11%E -3.64%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -7.80%E -2.00%K -2.69%G +0.000%9.1%2026-11-06 18:45
SportsBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.60%EV -7.99%E -3.47%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.43%EV -9.11%E -3.64%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -10.17%E -2.68%K -3.63%G +0.000%9.8%2026-11-06 18:20
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.60%EV -7.99%E -3.47%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.43%EV -9.11%E -3.64%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -10.17%E -2.68%K -3.63%G +0.000%9.8%2026-11-06 18:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.06%EV -7.99%E -3.47%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.67%EV -10.93%E -4.46%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.28%EV -12.53%E -3.39%K -4.64%G +0.000%11.3%2026-11-06 15:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.06%EV -7.99%E -3.47%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.67%EV -10.93%E -4.46%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.28%EV -12.53%E -3.39%K -4.64%G +0.000%11.3%2026-11-06 15:35
Coral🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.06%EV -7.99%E -3.47%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.67%EV -10.93%E -4.46%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.28%EV -12.53%E -3.39%K -4.64%G +0.000%11.3%2026-11-06 15:40
Neds🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.06%EV -7.99%E -3.47%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.67%EV -10.93%E -4.46%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.28%EV -12.53%E -3.39%K -4.64%G +0.000%11.3%2026-11-06 15:40
Sky Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -7.99%E -3.47%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -10.93%E -4.46%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.79%EV -14.90%E -4.14%K -5.73%G +0.000%12.1%2026-11-06 18:15
Unibet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.69%EV -8.79%E -3.86%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.49%EV -9.84%E -3.97%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.82%EV -10.17%E -2.68%K -3.63%G +0.000%10.5%2026-11-06 14:50
Grosvenor🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.69%EV -8.79%E -3.86%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.49%EV -9.84%E -3.97%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.82%EV -10.17%E -2.68%K -3.63%G +0.000%10.5%2026-11-06 14:50
PlayUp🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.15%EV -9.99%E -4.44%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.43%EV -7.29%E -2.86%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.42%EV -12.53%E -3.39%K -4.64%G +0.000%10.7%2026-11-06 18:55
Winamax (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.08%EV -9.99%E -4.44%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.80%EV -10.93%E -4.46%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.12%EV -7.80%E -2.00%K -2.69%G +0.000%10.9%2026-11-06 18:44
TABtouch🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.71%EV -9.99%E -4.44%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.47%EV -10.93%E -4.46%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.82%EV -11.35%E -3.03%K -4.13%G +0.000%11.9%2026-11-06 14:50
betfred_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.41%EV -9.99%E -4.44%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.95%EV -12.75%E -5.31%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.65%EV -11.35%E -3.03%K -4.13%G +0.000%12.8%2026-11-06 19:10
PMU (FR)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 39.68%EV -10.79%E -4.84%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 36.41%EV -11.65%E -4.80%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.91%EV -12.53%E -3.39%K -4.64%G +0.000%13.0%2026-11-06 14:50
LiveScore Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 39.68%EV -10.79%E -4.84%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 36.41%EV -11.65%E -4.80%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.91%EV -12.53%E -3.39%K -4.64%G +0.000%13.0%2026-11-06 14:49
Virgin Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 39.68%EV -10.79%E -4.84%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 36.41%EV -11.65%E -4.80%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.91%EV -12.53%E -3.39%K -4.64%G +0.000%13.0%2026-11-06 14:50
Winamax (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 40.19%EV -13.99%E -6.51%K -12.17%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 36.77%EV -14.56%E -6.20%K -10.79%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.04%EV -11.35%E -3.03%K -4.13%G +0.000%15.7%2026-11-06 18:45
Unibet (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 40.37%EV -17.99%E -8.78%K -17.14%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 35.98%EV -16.38%E -7.12%K -12.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 23.65%EV -17.26%E -4.93%K -6.90%G +0.000%20.8%2026-11-06 18:45
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.54I 39.37%NM 38.63%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.45%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.93%1.9%2026-11-06 19:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.54I 39.37%NM 38.63%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.45%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.93%1.9%2026-11-06 19:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.54I 39.37%NM 38.51%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.63%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.86%2.2%2026-11-06 19:10
Smarkets◎2.44I 40.98%NM 38.78%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.26%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.96%5.7%2026-11-06 19:10

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