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Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)
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Kristiansund BK v Vålerenga

2026-11-09 18:00 UTC — Eliteserien - Norway

Resultado del partido

40 corredores (9 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Kristiansund BK (Local)

Predicción 40.00%2.50momio equitativo
EV -2.39%
Ventaja -0.980%
Kelly -1.66%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.44

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
38.79%39.99%39.80%40.81%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.052.302.302.4448.78%43.40%43.48%40.98%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Vålerenga (Visitante)

Predicción 36.36%2.75momio equitativo
EV -3.66%
Ventaja -1.38%
Kelly -2.22%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.65

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.29%36.28%36.46%37.15%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.302.512.552.6543.48%39.80%39.22%37.74%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Predicción 23.64%4.23momio equitativo
EV -5.44%
Ventaja -1.36%
Kelly -1.81%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.04%23.72%23.73%24.79%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.503.843.854.0028.57%26.03%25.97%25.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Kristiansund BK (Local): 40.00%; Vålerenga (Visitante): 36.36%; Empate: 23.64%. Para Kristiansund BK (Local), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 2.50. Ningún corredor elegible ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel: los mejores momios disponibles son 2.44, con un valor esperado de -2.39%; no producen valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (40 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
1xBet🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 39.16%EV -2.39%E -0.980%K -1.66%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.47%EV -4.75%E -1.81%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 24.37%EV -7.33%E -1.87%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.7%2026-11-06 15:10
GTbets🎯2.41I 41.49%NM 39.17%EV -3.59%E -1.49%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 36.44%EV -5.84%E -2.25%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.87I 25.84%NM 24.39%EV -8.51%E -2.20%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.9%2026-11-06 15:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.12%EV -3.99%E -1.66%K -2.85%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.81%EV -7.29%E -2.86%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -7.80%E -2.00%K -2.69%G +0.000%6.5%2026-11-06 18:20
Marathon Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.12%EV -4.79%E -2.01%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.51%EV -7.29%E -2.86%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.37%EV -9.70%E -2.54%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.4%2026-11-06 15:04
BetMGM🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.03%EV -4.79%E -2.01%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.15%EV -9.11%E -3.64%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.82%EV -7.80%E -2.00%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.7%2026-11-06 15:37
Unibet (NL)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.86%EV -5.99%E -2.55%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.73%EV -7.29%E -2.86%K -4.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -5.44%E -1.36%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.8%2026-11-06 14:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.86%EV -5.99%E -2.55%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.73%EV -7.29%E -2.86%K -4.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -5.44%E -1.36%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.8%2026-11-06 14:50
Unibet (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.86%EV -5.99%E -2.55%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.73%EV -7.29%E -2.86%K -4.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -5.44%E -1.36%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.8%2026-11-06 14:50
BetRivers🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.86%EV -5.99%E -2.55%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.73%EV -7.29%E -2.86%K -4.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -5.44%E -1.36%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.8%2026-11-06 14:50
Casumo🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.86%EV -5.99%E -2.55%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.73%EV -7.29%E -2.86%K -4.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -5.44%E -1.36%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.8%2026-11-06 14:49
ATG (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.86%EV -5.99%E -2.55%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.73%EV -7.29%E -2.86%K -4.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -5.44%E -1.36%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.8%2026-11-06 14:50
betPARX🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.86%EV -5.99%E -2.55%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.73%EV -7.29%E -2.86%K -4.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -5.44%E -1.36%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.8%2026-11-06 14:50
Svenska Spel🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.86%EV -5.99%E -2.55%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.73%EV -7.29%E -2.86%K -4.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -5.44%E -1.36%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.8%2026-11-06 14:50
Unibet (UK)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.86%EV -5.99%E -2.55%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.73%EV -7.29%E -2.86%K -4.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -5.44%E -1.36%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.8%2026-11-06 18:44
FanDuel🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.62%EV -5.99%E -2.55%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.51%EV -7.29%E -2.86%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.87%EV -7.80%E -2.00%K -2.69%G +0.000%7.4%2026-11-06 18:20
DraftKings🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.81%EV -7.99%E -3.47%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.42%EV -3.66%E -1.38%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.76%EV -6.62%E -1.68%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.5%2026-11-06 18:20
Betway🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.77%EV -7.99%E -3.47%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.79%EV -4.75%E -1.81%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -5.44%E -1.36%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.6%2026-11-06 15:40
LowVig.ag🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.51%EV -7.99%E -3.47%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.29%EV -4.02%E -1.52%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.20%EV -8.99%E -2.33%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.3%2026-11-06 15:39
BetOnline.ag🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.51%EV -7.99%E -3.47%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.29%EV -4.02%E -1.52%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.20%EV -8.99%E -2.33%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.3%2026-11-06 15:39
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.37%EV -7.99%E -3.47%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.41%EV -7.29%E -2.86%K -4.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -5.44%E -1.36%K -1.81%G +0.000%7.7%2026-11-06 17:15
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -7.99%E -3.47%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.41%EV -5.47%E -2.11%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -11.35%E -3.03%K -4.13%G +0.000%8.6%2026-11-06 15:30
LeoVegas🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.84%EV -7.99%E -3.47%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.66%EV -9.11%E -3.64%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -7.80%E -2.00%K -2.69%G +0.000%9.1%2026-11-06 18:45
SportsBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.60%EV -7.99%E -3.47%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.43%EV -9.11%E -3.64%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -10.17%E -2.68%K -3.63%G +0.000%9.8%2026-11-06 18:20
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.60%EV -7.99%E -3.47%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.43%EV -9.11%E -3.64%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -10.17%E -2.68%K -3.63%G +0.000%9.8%2026-11-06 18:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.06%EV -7.99%E -3.47%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.67%EV -10.93%E -4.46%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.28%EV -12.53%E -3.39%K -4.64%G +0.000%11.3%2026-11-06 15:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.06%EV -7.99%E -3.47%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.67%EV -10.93%E -4.46%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.28%EV -12.53%E -3.39%K -4.64%G +0.000%11.3%2026-11-06 15:35
Coral🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.06%EV -7.99%E -3.47%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.67%EV -10.93%E -4.46%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.28%EV -12.53%E -3.39%K -4.64%G +0.000%11.3%2026-11-06 15:40
Neds🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.06%EV -7.99%E -3.47%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.67%EV -10.93%E -4.46%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.28%EV -12.53%E -3.39%K -4.64%G +0.000%11.3%2026-11-06 15:40
Sky Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -7.99%E -3.47%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -10.93%E -4.46%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.79%EV -14.90%E -4.14%K -5.73%G +0.000%12.1%2026-11-06 18:15
Unibet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.69%EV -8.79%E -3.86%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.49%EV -9.84%E -3.97%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.82%EV -10.17%E -2.68%K -3.63%G +0.000%10.5%2026-11-06 14:50
Grosvenor🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.69%EV -8.79%E -3.86%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.49%EV -9.84%E -3.97%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.82%EV -10.17%E -2.68%K -3.63%G +0.000%10.5%2026-11-06 14:50
PlayUp🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.15%EV -9.99%E -4.44%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.43%EV -7.29%E -2.86%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.42%EV -12.53%E -3.39%K -4.64%G +0.000%10.7%2026-11-06 18:55
Winamax (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.08%EV -9.99%E -4.44%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.80%EV -10.93%E -4.46%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.12%EV -7.80%E -2.00%K -2.69%G +0.000%10.9%2026-11-06 18:44
TABtouch🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.71%EV -9.99%E -4.44%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.47%EV -10.93%E -4.46%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.82%EV -11.35%E -3.03%K -4.13%G +0.000%11.9%2026-11-06 14:50
betfred_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.41%EV -9.99%E -4.44%K -7.99%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.95%EV -12.75%E -5.31%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.65%EV -11.35%E -3.03%K -4.13%G +0.000%12.8%2026-11-06 19:10
PMU (FR)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 39.68%EV -10.79%E -4.84%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 36.41%EV -11.65%E -4.80%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.91%EV -12.53%E -3.39%K -4.64%G +0.000%13.0%2026-11-06 14:50
LiveScore Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 39.68%EV -10.79%E -4.84%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 36.41%EV -11.65%E -4.80%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.91%EV -12.53%E -3.39%K -4.64%G +0.000%13.0%2026-11-06 14:49
Virgin Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 39.68%EV -10.79%E -4.84%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 36.41%EV -11.65%E -4.80%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.91%EV -12.53%E -3.39%K -4.64%G +0.000%13.0%2026-11-06 14:50
Winamax (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 40.19%EV -13.99%E -6.51%K -12.17%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 36.77%EV -14.56%E -6.20%K -10.79%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.04%EV -11.35%E -3.03%K -4.13%G +0.000%15.7%2026-11-06 18:45
Unibet (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 40.37%EV -17.99%E -8.78%K -17.14%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 35.98%EV -16.38%E -7.12%K -12.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 23.65%EV -17.26%E -4.93%K -6.90%G +0.000%20.8%2026-11-06 18:45
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.54I 39.37%NM 38.63%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.45%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.93%1.9%2026-11-06 19:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.54I 39.37%NM 38.63%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.45%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.93%1.9%2026-11-06 19:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.54I 39.37%NM 38.51%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.63%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.86%2.2%2026-11-06 19:10
Smarkets◎2.44I 40.98%NM 38.78%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.26%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.96%5.7%2026-11-06 19:10

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