Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Kristiansund BK v Tromso

Kickoff: 2026-09-06 17:15 UTC

Final: Kristiansund BK 2–0 Tromso

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

55 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Kristiansund BK (Local)

Prediction 26.52%3.77fair odd
EV -0.569%
Edge -0.152%
Kelly -0.207%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.26%26.56%26.54%27.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.493.503.7531.25%28.68%28.57%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Tromso (Visit)

Prediction 47.09%2.12fair odd
EV -2.52%
Edge -1.22%
Kelly -2.36%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.07

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.57%47.17%47.06%48.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.831.951.952.0754.64%51.35%51.28%48.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.39%3.79fair odd
EV +0.295%
Edge +0.078%
Kelly +0.105%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.16%26.26%26.40%27.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.473.503.8030.30%28.79%28.57%26.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Kristiansund BK (Local): 26.52%; Tromso (Visit): 47.09%; Draw: 26.39%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.79. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.80, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.295%.

Sportsbook Odds (55 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯3.68I 27.17%NM 26.38%EV -2.42%E -0.659%K -0.905%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07%EV -4.88%E -2.41%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.55%EV +0.295%E +0.078%K +0.105%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-06 17:10
1xBet🎯3.62I 27.62%NM 26.28%EV -4.02%E -1.11%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -7.23%E -3.67%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.43%EV -1.29%E -0.344%K -0.470%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-06 17:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.86%EV -4.55%E -1.26%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.99%EV -10.53%E -5.54%K -11.70%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -2.34%E -0.634%K -0.868%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-06 17:14
Pinnacle🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.88%EV -4.55%E -1.26%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.75%EV -2.52%E -1.22%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 26.37%EV -3.14%E -0.854%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-06 17:10
Unibet (UK)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -9.85%E -2.90%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -5.82%E -2.91%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -4.98%E -1.38%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-06 17:10
betfred_uk🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.68%EV -4.55%E -1.26%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -10.53%E -5.54%K -11.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.68%EV -4.98%E -1.38%K -1.92%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-06 17:14
GTbets🎯3.53I 28.33%NM 26.21%EV -6.40%E -1.81%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.94%EV -9.11%E -4.72%K -9.80%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 25.85%EV -5.51%E -1.54%K -2.14%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-06 17:00
DraftKings🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -7.20%E -2.06%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.23%EV -3.46%E -1.69%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.70%EV -6.30%E -1.78%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-06 17:10
Unibet (SE)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.64%EV -3.22%E -0.882%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.17%E -4.19%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.36%EV -6.30%E -1.78%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-06 16:30
Casumo🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.64%EV -3.22%E -0.882%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.17%E -4.19%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.36%EV -6.30%E -1.78%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-06 16:26
Unibet (NL)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.64%EV -3.22%E -0.882%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.17%E -4.19%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.36%EV -6.30%E -1.78%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-06 16:30
ATG (SE)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.64%EV -3.22%E -0.882%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.17%E -4.19%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.36%EV -6.30%E -1.78%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-06 16:26
betPARX🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.64%EV -3.22%E -0.882%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.17%E -4.19%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.36%EV -6.30%E -1.78%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-06 16:25
Svenska Spel🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.64%EV -3.22%E -0.882%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.17%E -4.19%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.36%EV -6.30%E -1.78%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-06 16:30
LeoVegas🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.51%EV -11.17%E -3.34%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.54%EV -6.76%E -3.41%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.96%EV -6.30%E -1.78%K -2.47%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-06 17:10
Winamax (DE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -13.83%E -4.25%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 46.40%EV -7.70%E -3.93%K -8.02%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.62%EV -6.30%E -1.78%K -2.47%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-06 17:10
BetOnline.ag🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.36%EV -4.55%E -1.26%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.52%EV -3.93%E -1.93%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.12%EV -7.62%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-06 17:09
LowVig.ag🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.36%EV -4.55%E -1.26%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.52%EV -3.93%E -1.93%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.12%EV -7.62%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-06 17:09
Betsson🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.51%EV -5.87%E -1.65%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.59%EV -4.88%E -2.41%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -7.62%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-06 17:10
NordicBet🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.51%EV -5.87%E -1.65%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.59%EV -4.88%E -2.41%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -7.62%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-06 17:10
FanDuel🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -4.55%E -1.26%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -5.82%E -2.91%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -7.62%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-06 17:05
BetMGM🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -4.55%E -1.26%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.27%EV -6.76%E -3.41%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -7.62%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-06 16:50
Betway🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.20%E -2.06%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -5.82%E -2.91%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.62%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-06 17:10
Bovada🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.20%E -2.06%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -5.82%E -2.91%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -7.62%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-06 17:13
Marathon Bet🎯3.62I 27.62%NM 25.77%EV -4.02%E -1.11%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.59%EV -7.70%E -3.93%K -8.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -7.62%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-06 17:14
Tipico (DE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -4.55%E -1.26%K -1.75%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.29%EV -10.53%E -5.54%K -11.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -7.62%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-06 17:05
Bet Victor🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -12.50%E -3.79%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -8.17%E -4.19%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -7.62%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-06 17:10
Winamax (FR)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 27.93%EV -15.15%E -4.73%K -6.89%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 46.54%EV -9.58%E -4.99%K -10.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -7.62%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-06 17:10
BoyleSports🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 26.69%EV -12.50%E -3.79%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.14%EV -13.82%E -7.55%K -16.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.17%EV -7.62%E -2.18%K -3.05%G +0.000%13.5%2026-09-06 17:00
Betclic (FR)🎯3.37I 29.67%NM 26.72%EV -10.64%E -3.16%K -4.49%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.40%EV -10.53%E -5.54%K -11.70%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 25.88%EV -8.15%E -2.34%K -3.29%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-06 17:09
SportsBet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -7.20%E -2.06%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 46.99%EV -7.70%E -3.93%K -8.02%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.70%EV -8.94%E -2.59%K -3.65%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-06 17:05
Codere (IT)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.54%EV -12.50%E -3.79%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.13%EV -7.23%E -3.67%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%EV -8.94%E -2.59%K -3.65%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-06 17:10
Bet Right🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 25.87%EV -8.52%E -2.47%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -12.88%E -6.96%K -15.15%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.87%EV -8.94%E -2.59%K -3.65%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-06 17:14
BetUS🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.26%EV -0.569%E -0.152%K -0.207%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.89%EV -4.88%E -2.41%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -10.26%E -3.02%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-06 17:10
BetAnything🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.26%EV -0.569%E -0.152%K -0.207%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.89%EV -4.88%E -2.41%K -4.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -10.26%E -3.02%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-06 17:14
William Hill🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -7.20%E -2.06%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -8.17%E -4.19%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.26%E -3.02%K -4.28%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-06 17:00
betano_uk🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -12.50%E -3.79%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -5.82%E -2.91%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -10.26%E -3.02%K -4.28%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-06 17:14
BetRivers🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -7.20%E -2.06%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.45%EV -10.06%E -5.26%K -11.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -10.26%E -3.02%K -4.28%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-06 16:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -7.20%E -2.06%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.45%EV -10.06%E -5.26%K -11.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -10.26%E -3.02%K -4.28%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-06 16:26
Fanatics🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -7.20%E -2.06%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.45%EV -10.06%E -5.26%K -11.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -10.26%E -3.02%K -4.28%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-06 16:15
Unibet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -7.20%E -2.06%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.58%EV -10.53%E -5.54%K -11.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -10.26%E -3.02%K -4.28%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-06 16:30
Grosvenor🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -7.20%E -2.06%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 47.71%EV -11.00%E -5.82%K -12.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%EV -10.26%E -3.02%K -4.28%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-06 16:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -9.85%E -2.90%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.09%EV -10.06%E -5.26%K -11.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -10.26%E -3.02%K -4.28%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-06 17:05
Paddy Power🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -9.85%E -2.90%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.09%EV -10.06%E -5.26%K -11.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -10.26%E -3.02%K -4.28%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-06 17:05
Unibet (FR)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 26.97%EV -12.50%E -3.79%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 46.85%EV -10.53%E -5.54%K -11.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.18%EV -10.26%E -3.02%K -4.28%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-06 17:10
PlayUp🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.09%EV -11.17%E -3.34%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 45.83%EV -6.76%E -3.41%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.09%EV -11.58%E -3.46%K -4.93%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-06 17:10
TABtouch🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 25.87%EV -8.52%E -2.47%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 47.48%EV -11.47%E -6.10%K -13.03%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.65%EV -11.58%E -3.46%K -4.93%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-06 16:40
LiveScore Bet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.02%EV -9.85%E -2.90%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 47.57%EV -12.41%E -6.67%K -14.43%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.41%EV -11.58%E -3.46%K -4.93%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-06 16:25
Virgin Bet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.02%EV -9.85%E -2.90%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 47.57%EV -12.41%E -6.67%K -14.43%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.41%EV -11.58%E -3.46%K -4.93%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-06 16:30
PMU (FR)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 25.96%EV -9.85%E -2.90%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 47.70%EV -12.88%E -6.96%K -15.15%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.34%EV -11.58%E -3.46%K -4.93%G +0.000%13.3%2026-09-06 16:25
Neds🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -12.50%E -3.79%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.83%EV -8.17%E -4.19%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -12.90%E -3.91%K -5.61%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-06 17:14
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -12.50%E -3.79%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.83%EV -8.17%E -4.19%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -12.90%E -3.91%K -5.61%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-06 17:14
Coral🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -9.85%E -2.90%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -10.06%E -5.26%K -11.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -12.90%E -3.91%K -5.61%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-06 16:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -9.85%E -2.90%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -10.06%E -5.26%K -11.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -12.90%E -3.91%K -5.61%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-06 16:15
Sky Bet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -12.50%E -3.79%K -5.43%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.35%EV -10.06%E -5.26%K -11.05%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -12.90%E -3.91%K -5.61%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-06 17:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.82%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.82%0.8%2026-09-06 17:10
Matchbook3.75I 26.67%NM 26.44%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.77%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.80%0.9%2026-09-06 17:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.75I 26.67%NM 26.32%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.00%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.68%1.3%2026-09-06 17:05
Smarkets3.70I 27.03%NM 26.58%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.84%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.58%1.7%2026-09-06 17:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.58%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.84%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.58%1.7%2026-09-06 17:10