Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Kristiansund BK v Aalesund

Kickoff: 2026-10-17 14:00 UTC

Final: Kristiansund BK 1–4 Aalesund

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

53 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Kristiansund BK (Local)

Prediction 37.80%2.65fair odd
EV -2.47%
Edge -0.956%
Kelly -1.56%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.58

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.81%37.72%37.83%39.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.232.422.402.5844.84%41.38%41.67%38.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Aalesund (Visit)

Prediction 37.01%2.70fair odd
EV -1.94%
Edge -0.730%
Kelly -1.17%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.82%37.00%36.95%39.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.522.552.6545.45%39.67%39.22%37.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.19%3.97fair odd
EV -0.243%
Edge -0.061%
Kelly -0.082%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.96

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.09%25.28%25.21%27.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.653.703.9630.30%27.40%27.03%25.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Kristiansund BK (Local): 37.80%; Aalesund (Visit): 37.01%; Draw: 25.19%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.97. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.96, with an expected value of -0.243%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Betsson🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 36.94%EV -2.47%E -0.956%K -1.56%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.94%EV -4.53%E -1.75%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -8.05%E -2.21%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-17 13:39
Pinnacle🎯2.56I 39.06%NM 37.84%EV -3.22%E -1.26%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.69%EV -4.90%E -1.91%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 24.46%EV -0.243%E -0.061%K -0.082%G +0.000%3.2%2026-10-17 13:45
Unibet (UK)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.92%EV -3.60%E -1.41%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.92%EV -5.64%E -2.21%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -9.31%E -2.59%K -3.58%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-17 12:10
NordicBet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.92%EV -3.60%E -1.41%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.92%EV -5.64%E -2.21%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -9.31%E -2.59%K -3.58%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-17 13:40
Tipico (DE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.81%EV -3.60%E -1.41%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.52%EV -7.49%E -2.99%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.67%EV -16.87%E -5.11%K -7.33%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-17 13:40
BetUS🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 37.35%EV -3.98%E -1.57%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.35%EV -6.01%E -2.36%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -5.53%E -1.48%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-17 13:45
LowVig.ag🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 37.31%EV -3.98%E -1.57%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.73%EV -4.53%E -1.75%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -8.05%E -2.21%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-17 13:55
BetOnline.ag🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 37.31%EV -3.98%E -1.57%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.73%EV -4.53%E -1.75%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -8.05%E -2.21%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-17 13:55
BetAnything🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 37.31%EV -3.98%E -1.57%K -2.58%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.73%EV -4.53%E -1.75%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -8.05%E -2.21%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-17 13:54
Coolbet🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 38.50%EV -4.74%E -1.88%K -3.12%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.62%EV -1.94%E -0.730%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.88%EV -1.75%E -0.450%K -0.605%G +0.000%3.1%2026-10-17 06:40
1xBet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.22%EV -5.49%E -2.20%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 36.89%EV -4.16%E -1.60%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.88%EV -3.27%E -0.851%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-17 13:30
Bovada🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -5.49%E -2.20%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.91%EV -5.64%E -2.21%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -6.79%E -1.84%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-17 13:50
GTbets🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.32%EV -6.25%E -2.52%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.55%EV -3.79%E -1.46%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 25.14%EV -4.78%E -1.26%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-11 15:19
Betclic (FR)🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 36.17%EV -6.63%E -2.68%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 38.51%EV -14.15%E -6.10%K -10.72%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 25.31%EV -11.08%E -3.14%K -4.38%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-17 13:34
Codere (IT)🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 36.94%EV -7.00%E -2.85%K -4.80%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.09%EV -9.34%E -3.81%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.97%EV -11.83%E -3.38%K -4.73%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-17 12:15
DraftKings🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.50%EV -7.38%E -3.01%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.99%EV -5.64%E -2.21%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.50%EV -3.01%E -0.783%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-17 13:25
FanDuel🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.34%EV -7.38%E -3.01%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.57%EV -7.49%E -2.99%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09%EV -1.75%E -0.450%K -0.605%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-17 13:24
BetMGM🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.86%EV -7.38%E -3.01%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.37%EV -5.64%E -2.21%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -9.31%E -2.59%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-17 13:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -7.38%E -3.01%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -9.34%E -3.81%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.38%EV -4.27%E -1.12%K -1.53%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-17 13:25
William Hill🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -7.38%E -3.01%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -9.34%E -3.81%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -9.31%E -2.59%K -3.58%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-17 13:45
PlayUp🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.17%EV -7.38%E -3.01%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.17%EV -9.34%E -3.81%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.65%EV -10.57%E -2.98%K -4.15%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-17 13:40
Winamax (DE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -7.38%E -3.01%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.92%EV -11.19%E -4.66%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.93%EV -8.05%E -2.21%K -3.04%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-17 12:10
Marathon Bet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.26%EV -8.14%E -3.35%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.89%EV -6.75%E -2.68%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 24.86%EV -5.79%E -1.55%K -2.11%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-17 13:25
Betway🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.59%EV -9.27%E -3.86%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.04%EV -7.49%E -2.99%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.37%EV -4.27%E -1.12%K -1.53%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-17 13:25
betfred_uk🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -9.27%E -3.86%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.92%EV -7.49%E -2.99%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%EV -5.53%E -1.48%K -2.01%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-17 12:25
SportsBet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -9.27%E -3.86%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.52%EV -9.34%E -3.81%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -4.27%E -1.12%K -1.53%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-17 13:25
Fanatics🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.07%EV -9.27%E -3.86%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -7.49%E -2.99%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -9.31%E -2.59%K -3.58%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-17 13:10
Bet Victor🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.05%EV -9.27%E -3.86%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.27%EV -9.34%E -3.81%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.68%EV -6.79%E -1.84%K -2.52%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-17 13:43
betano_uk🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.05%EV -9.27%E -3.86%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.27%EV -9.34%E -3.81%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.68%EV -6.79%E -1.84%K -2.52%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-17 13:43
Winamax (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.37%EV -9.27%E -3.86%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.37%EV -11.19%E -4.66%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.26%EV -10.57%E -2.98%K -4.15%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-17 12:10
Unibet (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 35.89%EV -9.27%E -3.86%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.15%EV -18.59%E -8.45%K -15.49%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 24.96%EV -13.09%E -3.79%K -5.34%G +0.000%16.1%2026-10-17 13:35
Paddy Power🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.08%EV -10.03%E -4.21%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.76%EV -11.19%E -4.66%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.17%EV -5.53%E -1.48%K -2.01%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-17 13:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.08%EV -10.03%E -4.21%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.76%EV -11.19%E -4.66%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.17%EV -5.53%E -1.48%K -2.01%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-17 13:50
Sky Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.58%EV -10.03%E -4.21%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.58%EV -11.93%E -5.01%K -8.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -9.31%E -2.59%K -3.58%G +0.000%11.8%2026-10-17 13:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.43%EV -10.03%E -4.21%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.36%EV -9.34%E -3.81%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.20%EV -14.35%E -4.22%K -5.98%G +0.000%12.2%2026-10-17 13:10
Neds🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.43%EV -10.03%E -4.21%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.36%EV -9.34%E -3.81%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.20%EV -14.35%E -4.22%K -5.98%G +0.000%12.2%2026-10-17 13:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 37.53%EV -10.41%E -4.39%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.31%EV -9.34%E -3.81%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.16%EV -14.35%E -4.22%K -5.98%G +0.000%12.4%2026-10-17 13:10
Coral🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 37.53%EV -10.41%E -4.39%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.31%EV -9.34%E -3.81%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.16%EV -14.35%E -4.22%K -5.98%G +0.000%12.4%2026-10-17 13:10
Unibet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.65%EV -11.16%E -4.75%K -8.27%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.16%EV -1.94%E -0.730%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -6.79%E -1.84%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-11 15:24
Casumo🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.65%EV -11.16%E -4.75%K -8.27%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.16%EV -1.94%E -0.730%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -6.79%E -1.84%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-11 15:25
Grosvenor🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.65%EV -11.16%E -4.75%K -8.27%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.16%EV -1.94%E -0.730%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -6.79%E -1.84%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-11 15:25
BetRivers🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.65%EV -11.16%E -4.75%K -8.27%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.16%EV -1.94%E -0.730%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -6.79%E -1.84%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-11 15:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.65%EV -11.16%E -4.75%K -8.27%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.16%EV -1.94%E -0.730%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -6.79%E -1.84%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-11 15:24
Unibet (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.65%EV -11.16%E -4.75%K -8.27%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.16%EV -1.94%E -0.730%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -6.79%E -1.84%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-11 15:25
Unibet (NL)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.65%EV -11.16%E -4.75%K -8.27%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.16%EV -1.94%E -0.730%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -6.79%E -1.84%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-11 15:25
ATG (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.65%EV -11.16%E -4.75%K -8.27%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.16%EV -1.94%E -0.730%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -6.79%E -1.84%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-11 15:24
Svenska Spel🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.65%EV -11.16%E -4.75%K -8.27%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.16%EV -1.94%E -0.730%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -6.79%E -1.84%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-11 15:24
betPARX🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.65%EV -11.16%E -4.75%K -8.27%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.16%EV -1.94%E -0.730%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -6.79%E -1.84%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-11 15:29
Bet Right🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 37.99%EV -11.16%E -4.75%K -8.27%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.20%EV -11.19%E -4.66%K -7.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.80%EV -9.31%E -2.59%K -3.58%G +0.000%12.0%2026-10-17 13:25
TABtouch🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.60%EV -14.94%E -6.64%K -11.95%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.94%EV -5.64%E -2.21%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.46%EV -11.83%E -3.38%K -4.73%G +0.000%12.2%2026-10-11 15:24
Virgin Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 39.81%EV -15.70%E -7.04%K -12.76%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.82%EV -5.64%E -2.21%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.37%EV -11.83%E -3.38%K -4.73%G +0.000%12.6%2026-10-11 15:25
LiveScore Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 39.81%EV -15.70%E -7.04%K -12.76%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.82%EV -5.64%E -2.21%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.37%EV -11.83%E -3.38%K -4.73%G +0.000%12.6%2026-10-11 15:25
PMU (FR)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 39.81%EV -15.70%E -7.04%K -12.76%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.82%EV -5.64%E -2.21%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.37%EV -11.83%E -3.38%K -4.73%G +0.000%12.6%2026-10-11 15:24
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook◎2.64I 37.88%NM 37.70%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.42%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.88%0.5%2026-10-17 13:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.64I 37.88%NM 37.58%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.30%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.12%0.8%2026-10-17 13:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.64I 37.88%NM 37.58%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.30%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.12%0.8%2026-10-17 13:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.64I 37.88%NM 37.58%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.30%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.12%0.8%2026-10-17 13:40
Smarkets◎2.62I 38.17%NM 37.65%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.37%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.98%1.4%2026-10-17 13:55