L’École des cotes

KFUM v Rosenborg

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-25 15:00 UTC

Score final : KFUM 2–0 Rosenborg

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

53 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

KFUM (Local)

Prévision 42.12%2.37cote équitable
EV -1.85%
Avantage -0.795%
Kelly -1.39%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.33

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
39.79%42.08%42.05%43.04%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.052.222.202.3348.78%45.14%45.45%42.92%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Rosenborg (Visiteur)

Prévision 31.18%3.21cote équitable
EV -0.544%
Avantage -0.171%
Kelly -0.249%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.19

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.01%31.21%31.32%32.59%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.702.912.903.1937.04%34.37%34.48%31.35%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 26.70%3.75cote équitable
EV -2.55%
Avantage -0.698%
Kelly -0.961%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.65

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.93%26.71%26.63%27.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.203.413.403.6531.25%29.32%29.41%27.40%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
LeoVegas (SE)2.33I 42.92%NM 39.79%EV -1.85%E -0.795%K -1.39%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.53%EV -11.14%E -3.91%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.68%EV -10.56%E -3.15%K -4.49%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-25 14:40
Unibet (NL)2.33I 42.92%NM 39.79%EV -1.85%E -0.795%K -1.39%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.53%EV -11.14%E -3.91%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.68%EV -10.56%E -3.15%K -4.49%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-25 14:40
Grosvenor2.33I 42.92%NM 39.79%EV -1.85%E -0.795%K -1.39%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.53%EV -11.14%E -3.91%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.68%EV -10.56%E -3.15%K -4.49%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-25 14:40
Unibet2.33I 42.92%NM 39.79%EV -1.85%E -0.795%K -1.39%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.53%EV -11.14%E -3.91%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.68%EV -10.56%E -3.15%K -4.49%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-25 14:40
BetRivers2.33I 42.92%NM 39.79%EV -1.85%E -0.795%K -1.39%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.53%EV -11.14%E -3.91%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.68%EV -10.56%E -3.15%K -4.49%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-25 14:40
Unibet (SE)2.33I 42.92%NM 39.79%EV -1.85%E -0.795%K -1.39%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.53%EV -11.14%E -3.91%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.68%EV -10.56%E -3.15%K -4.49%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-25 14:40
Casumo2.33I 42.92%NM 39.79%EV -1.85%E -0.795%K -1.39%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.53%EV -11.14%E -3.91%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.68%EV -10.56%E -3.15%K -4.49%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-25 14:40
betPARX2.33I 42.92%NM 39.79%EV -1.85%E -0.795%K -1.39%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.53%EV -11.14%E -3.91%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.68%EV -10.56%E -3.15%K -4.49%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-25 14:40
Svenska Spel2.33I 42.92%NM 39.79%EV -1.85%E -0.795%K -1.39%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.53%EV -11.14%E -3.91%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.68%EV -10.56%E -3.15%K -4.49%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-25 14:40
ATG (SE)2.33I 42.92%NM 39.79%EV -1.85%E -0.795%K -1.39%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.53%EV -11.14%E -3.91%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.68%EV -10.56%E -3.15%K -4.49%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-25 14:40
TABtouch2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -3.12%E -1.35%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.36%EV -11.14%E -3.91%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.53%EV -10.56%E -3.15%K -4.49%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-25 14:40
Virgin Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 39.92%EV -3.96%E -1.74%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.50%EV -12.70%E -4.54%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.58%EV -11.89%E -3.60%K -5.17%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-25 14:40
LiveScore Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 39.92%EV -3.96%E -1.74%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.50%EV -12.70%E -4.54%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.58%EV -11.89%E -3.60%K -5.17%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-25 14:40
GTbets2.27I 44.05%NM 41.62%EV -4.38%E -1.93%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.01I 33.22%NM 31.39%EV -6.16%E -2.05%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.99%EV -6.55%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-25 14:40
Coolbet2.26I 44.25%NM 42.96%EV -4.80%E -2.12%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 30.44%EV -0.544%E -0.171%K -0.249%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.60%EV -2.55%E -0.698%K -0.961%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-25 14:50
Pinnacle2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV -5.22%E -2.32%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 30.36%EV -0.544%E -0.171%K -0.249%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.60%EV -2.81%E -0.773%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-25 14:50
DraftKings2.25I 44.44%NM 41.95%EV -5.22%E -2.32%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.46%EV -6.47%E -2.16%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.59%EV -5.22%E -1.47%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-25 14:10
Unibet (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -5.22%E -2.32%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -6.47%E -2.16%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.55%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-25 14:40
BetMGM2.25I 44.44%NM 41.34%EV -5.22%E -2.32%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -9.59%E -3.31%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -6.55%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-25 14:06
LeoVegas2.25I 44.44%NM 39.83%EV -5.22%E -2.32%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.59%EV -14.26%E -5.19%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.58%EV -13.23%E -4.07%K -5.88%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-25 14:40
LowVig.ag2.22I 45.05%NM 42.55%EV -6.49%E -2.92%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.47%EV -3.35%E -1.08%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.99%EV -6.55%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-25 14:10
BetOnline.ag2.22I 45.05%NM 42.55%EV -6.49%E -2.92%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.47%EV -3.35%E -1.08%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.99%EV -6.55%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-25 14:10
Betsson2.20I 45.45%NM 42.97%EV -7.33%E -3.33%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.01%EV -1.79%E -0.569%K -0.833%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.01%EV -6.55%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-25 14:40
NordicBet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.97%EV -7.33%E -3.33%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.01%EV -1.79%E -0.569%K -0.833%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.01%EV -6.55%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-25 14:40
FanDuel2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -7.33%E -3.33%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -6.47%E -2.16%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -3.88%E -1.08%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-25 14:39
PointsBet (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.12%EV -7.33%E -3.33%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.41%EV -8.03%E -2.72%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -6.55%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-25 14:40
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -7.33%E -3.33%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -6.47%E -2.16%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -9.22%E -2.71%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-25 14:40
Bovada2.20I 45.45%NM 41.96%EV -7.33%E -3.33%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.29%EV -8.03%E -2.72%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -7.89%E -2.29%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-25 14:38
BetUS2.20I 45.45%NM 41.96%EV -7.33%E -3.33%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.29%EV -8.03%E -2.72%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -7.89%E -2.29%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-25 14:50
BetAnything2.20I 45.45%NM 41.96%EV -7.33%E -3.33%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.29%EV -8.03%E -2.72%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -7.89%E -2.29%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-25 14:40
betfred_uk2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -7.33%E -3.33%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.93%EV -10.21%E -3.54%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -6.55%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-25 14:40
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -7.33%E -3.33%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -6.47%E -2.16%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -11.89%E -3.60%K -5.17%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-25 14:39
Fanatics2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -7.33%E -3.33%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -9.59%E -3.31%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -9.22%E -2.71%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-25 14:10
Bet Victor2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -7.33%E -3.33%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -9.59%E -3.31%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -9.22%E -2.71%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-25 14:49
PMU (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 39.96%EV -7.33%E -3.33%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.56%EV -15.82%E -5.86%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.47%EV -14.56%E -4.55%K -6.62%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-25 14:40
Marathon Bet2.19I 45.66%NM 42.60%EV -7.75%E -3.54%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.59%EV -4.91%E -1.61%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.81%EV -7.09%E -2.04%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-25 14:40
Codere (IT)2.18I 45.87%NM 41.62%EV -8.17%E -3.75%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -9.59%E -3.31%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.09%EV -10.56%E -3.15%K -4.49%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-25 14:40
Tipico (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.68%EV -9.43%E -4.39%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -8.03%E -2.72%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -6.55%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-25 14:40
SportsBet2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -9.43%E -4.39%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -9.59%E -3.31%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -6.55%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-25 14:40
Everygame2.15I 46.51%NM 42.35%EV -9.43%E -4.39%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.87%EV -8.03%E -2.72%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -9.22%E -2.71%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-25 14:40
Winamax (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.22%EV -9.43%E -4.39%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.85%EV -11.14%E -3.91%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -6.55%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-25 14:40
PlayUp2.15I 46.51%NM 41.96%EV -9.43%E -4.39%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.11%EV -9.59%E -3.31%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.93%EV -10.56%E -3.15%K -4.49%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-25 14:40
Ladbrokes (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -9.43%E -4.39%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.99%EV -12.70%E -4.54%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -9.22%E -2.71%K -3.84%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-25 14:10
Neds2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -9.43%E -4.39%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.99%EV -12.70%E -4.54%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -9.22%E -2.71%K -3.84%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-25 14:10
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -9.43%E -4.39%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.99%EV -12.70%E -4.54%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -9.22%E -2.71%K -3.84%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-25 14:10
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -9.43%E -4.39%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.99%EV -12.70%E -4.54%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -9.22%E -2.71%K -3.84%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-25 14:10
Bet Right2.15I 46.51%NM 41.50%EV -9.43%E -4.39%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.87%EV -12.70%E -4.54%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.63%EV -10.56%E -3.15%K -4.49%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-25 14:40
Betclic (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.99%EV -11.54%E -5.50%K -10.49%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.61%EV -8.03%E -2.72%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 26.40%EV -8.69%E -2.54%K -3.59%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-25 14:38
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 42.70%EV -11.54%E -5.50%K -10.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -9.59%E -3.31%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.38%EV -9.22%E -2.71%K -3.84%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-25 14:40
Sky Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 42.27%EV -11.54%E -5.50%K -10.49%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.82%EV -10.21%E -3.54%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.90%EV -11.89%E -3.60%K -5.17%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-25 14:40
Winamax (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 41.83%EV -11.54%E -5.50%K -10.49%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.94%EV -14.26%E -5.19%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.22%EV -10.56%E -3.15%K -4.49%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-25 14:40
BoyleSports2.10I 47.62%NM 41.42%EV -11.54%E -5.50%K -10.49%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.22%EV -15.82%E -5.86%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.36%EV -11.89%E -3.60%K -5.17%G +0.000%15.0%2026-05-25 14:12
Unibet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 42.73%EV -13.65%E -6.66%K -13.00%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.73%EV -11.14%E -3.91%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.54%EV -11.89%E -3.60%K -5.17%G +0.000%14.2%2026-05-25 14:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook2.32I 43.10%NM 42.82%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.04%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.14%0.7%2026-05-25 14:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.03%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.93%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.04%1.0%2026-05-25 14:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.03%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.93%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.04%1.0%2026-05-25 14:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.03%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.93%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.04%1.0%2026-05-25 14:40
Smarkets2.30I 43.48%NM 42.67%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.16%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.17%1.9%2026-05-25 14:40