La escuela de los momios

KFUM v Rosenborg

Inicio: 2026-05-25 15:00 UTC

Final: KFUM 2–0 Rosenborg

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

53 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

KFUM (Local)

Predicción 42.12%2.37momio equitativo
EV -1.85%
Ventaja -0.795%
Kelly -1.39%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.33

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.79%42.08%42.05%43.04%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.052.222.202.3348.78%45.14%45.45%42.92%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Rosenborg (Visitante)

Predicción 31.18%3.21momio equitativo
EV -0.544%
Ventaja -0.171%
Kelly -0.249%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.19

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.01%31.21%31.32%32.59%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.702.912.903.1937.04%34.37%34.48%31.35%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 26.70%3.75momio equitativo
EV -2.55%
Ventaja -0.698%
Kelly -0.961%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.65

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.93%26.71%26.63%27.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.203.413.403.6531.25%29.32%29.41%27.40%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
LeoVegas (SE)2.33I 42.92%NM 39.79%EV -1.85%E -0.795%K -1.39%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.53%EV -11.14%E -3.91%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.68%EV -10.56%E -3.15%K -4.49%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-25 14:40
Unibet (NL)2.33I 42.92%NM 39.79%EV -1.85%E -0.795%K -1.39%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.53%EV -11.14%E -3.91%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.68%EV -10.56%E -3.15%K -4.49%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-25 14:40
Grosvenor2.33I 42.92%NM 39.79%EV -1.85%E -0.795%K -1.39%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.53%EV -11.14%E -3.91%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.68%EV -10.56%E -3.15%K -4.49%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-25 14:40
Unibet2.33I 42.92%NM 39.79%EV -1.85%E -0.795%K -1.39%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.53%EV -11.14%E -3.91%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.68%EV -10.56%E -3.15%K -4.49%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-25 14:40
BetRivers2.33I 42.92%NM 39.79%EV -1.85%E -0.795%K -1.39%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.53%EV -11.14%E -3.91%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.68%EV -10.56%E -3.15%K -4.49%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-25 14:40
Unibet (SE)2.33I 42.92%NM 39.79%EV -1.85%E -0.795%K -1.39%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.53%EV -11.14%E -3.91%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.68%EV -10.56%E -3.15%K -4.49%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-25 14:40
Casumo2.33I 42.92%NM 39.79%EV -1.85%E -0.795%K -1.39%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.53%EV -11.14%E -3.91%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.68%EV -10.56%E -3.15%K -4.49%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-25 14:40
betPARX2.33I 42.92%NM 39.79%EV -1.85%E -0.795%K -1.39%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.53%EV -11.14%E -3.91%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.68%EV -10.56%E -3.15%K -4.49%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-25 14:40
Svenska Spel2.33I 42.92%NM 39.79%EV -1.85%E -0.795%K -1.39%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.53%EV -11.14%E -3.91%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.68%EV -10.56%E -3.15%K -4.49%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-25 14:40
ATG (SE)2.33I 42.92%NM 39.79%EV -1.85%E -0.795%K -1.39%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.53%EV -11.14%E -3.91%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.68%EV -10.56%E -3.15%K -4.49%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-25 14:40
TABtouch2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -3.12%E -1.35%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.36%EV -11.14%E -3.91%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.53%EV -10.56%E -3.15%K -4.49%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-25 14:40
Virgin Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 39.92%EV -3.96%E -1.74%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.50%EV -12.70%E -4.54%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.58%EV -11.89%E -3.60%K -5.17%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-25 14:40
LiveScore Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 39.92%EV -3.96%E -1.74%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.50%EV -12.70%E -4.54%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.58%EV -11.89%E -3.60%K -5.17%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-25 14:40
GTbets2.27I 44.05%NM 41.62%EV -4.38%E -1.93%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.01I 33.22%NM 31.39%EV -6.16%E -2.05%K -3.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.99%EV -6.55%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-25 14:40
Coolbet2.26I 44.25%NM 42.96%EV -4.80%E -2.12%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 30.44%EV -0.544%E -0.171%K -0.249%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.60%EV -2.55%E -0.698%K -0.961%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-25 14:50
Pinnacle2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV -5.22%E -2.32%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 30.36%EV -0.544%E -0.171%K -0.249%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.60%EV -2.81%E -0.773%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-25 14:50
DraftKings2.25I 44.44%NM 41.95%EV -5.22%E -2.32%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.46%EV -6.47%E -2.16%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.59%EV -5.22%E -1.47%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-25 14:10
Unibet (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -5.22%E -2.32%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -6.47%E -2.16%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.55%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-25 14:40
BetMGM2.25I 44.44%NM 41.34%EV -5.22%E -2.32%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -9.59%E -3.31%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -6.55%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-25 14:06
LeoVegas2.25I 44.44%NM 39.83%EV -5.22%E -2.32%K -4.18%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.59%EV -14.26%E -5.19%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.58%EV -13.23%E -4.07%K -5.88%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-25 14:40
LowVig.ag2.22I 45.05%NM 42.55%EV -6.49%E -2.92%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.47%EV -3.35%E -1.08%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.99%EV -6.55%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-25 14:10
BetOnline.ag2.22I 45.05%NM 42.55%EV -6.49%E -2.92%K -5.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.47%EV -3.35%E -1.08%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.99%EV -6.55%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-25 14:10
Betsson2.20I 45.45%NM 42.97%EV -7.33%E -3.33%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.01%EV -1.79%E -0.569%K -0.833%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.01%EV -6.55%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-25 14:40
NordicBet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.97%EV -7.33%E -3.33%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.01%EV -1.79%E -0.569%K -0.833%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.01%EV -6.55%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-25 14:40
FanDuel2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -7.33%E -3.33%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -6.47%E -2.16%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -3.88%E -1.08%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-25 14:39
PointsBet (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.12%EV -7.33%E -3.33%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.41%EV -8.03%E -2.72%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -6.55%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-25 14:40
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -7.33%E -3.33%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -6.47%E -2.16%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -9.22%E -2.71%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-25 14:40
Bovada2.20I 45.45%NM 41.96%EV -7.33%E -3.33%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.29%EV -8.03%E -2.72%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -7.89%E -2.29%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-25 14:38
BetUS2.20I 45.45%NM 41.96%EV -7.33%E -3.33%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.29%EV -8.03%E -2.72%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -7.89%E -2.29%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-25 14:50
BetAnything2.20I 45.45%NM 41.96%EV -7.33%E -3.33%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.29%EV -8.03%E -2.72%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -7.89%E -2.29%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-25 14:40
betfred_uk2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -7.33%E -3.33%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.93%EV -10.21%E -3.54%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -6.55%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-25 14:40
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -7.33%E -3.33%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -6.47%E -2.16%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -11.89%E -3.60%K -5.17%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-25 14:39
Fanatics2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -7.33%E -3.33%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -9.59%E -3.31%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -9.22%E -2.71%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-25 14:10
Bet Victor2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -7.33%E -3.33%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.53%EV -9.59%E -3.31%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.90%EV -9.22%E -2.71%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-25 14:49
PMU (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 39.96%EV -7.33%E -3.33%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.56%EV -15.82%E -5.86%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.47%EV -14.56%E -4.55%K -6.62%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-25 14:40
Marathon Bet2.19I 45.66%NM 42.60%EV -7.75%E -3.54%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.59%EV -4.91%E -1.61%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.81%EV -7.09%E -2.04%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-25 14:40
Codere (IT)2.18I 45.87%NM 41.62%EV -8.17%E -3.75%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -9.59%E -3.31%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.09%EV -10.56%E -3.15%K -4.49%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-25 14:40
Tipico (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.68%EV -9.43%E -4.39%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -8.03%E -2.72%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -6.55%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-25 14:40
SportsBet2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -9.43%E -4.39%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -9.59%E -3.31%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -6.55%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-25 14:40
Everygame2.15I 46.51%NM 42.35%EV -9.43%E -4.39%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.87%EV -8.03%E -2.72%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -9.22%E -2.71%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-25 14:40
Winamax (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.22%EV -9.43%E -4.39%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.85%EV -11.14%E -3.91%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.93%EV -6.55%E -1.87%K -2.62%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-25 14:40
PlayUp2.15I 46.51%NM 41.96%EV -9.43%E -4.39%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.11%EV -9.59%E -3.31%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.93%EV -10.56%E -3.15%K -4.49%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-25 14:40
Ladbrokes (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -9.43%E -4.39%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.99%EV -12.70%E -4.54%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -9.22%E -2.71%K -3.84%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-25 14:10
Neds2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -9.43%E -4.39%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.99%EV -12.70%E -4.54%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -9.22%E -2.71%K -3.84%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-25 14:10
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -9.43%E -4.39%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.99%EV -12.70%E -4.54%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -9.22%E -2.71%K -3.84%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-25 14:10
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 41.66%EV -9.43%E -4.39%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.99%EV -12.70%E -4.54%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%EV -9.22%E -2.71%K -3.84%G +0.000%11.6%2026-05-25 14:10
Bet Right2.15I 46.51%NM 41.50%EV -9.43%E -4.39%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.87%EV -12.70%E -4.54%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.63%EV -10.56%E -3.15%K -4.49%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-25 14:40
Betclic (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.99%EV -11.54%E -5.50%K -10.49%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.61%EV -8.03%E -2.72%K -4.12%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 26.40%EV -8.69%E -2.54%K -3.59%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-25 14:38
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 42.70%EV -11.54%E -5.50%K -10.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -9.59%E -3.31%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.38%EV -9.22%E -2.71%K -3.84%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-25 14:40
Sky Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 42.27%EV -11.54%E -5.50%K -10.49%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.82%EV -10.21%E -3.54%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.90%EV -11.89%E -3.60%K -5.17%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-25 14:40
Winamax (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 41.83%EV -11.54%E -5.50%K -10.49%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.94%EV -14.26%E -5.19%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.22%EV -10.56%E -3.15%K -4.49%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-25 14:40
BoyleSports2.10I 47.62%NM 41.42%EV -11.54%E -5.50%K -10.49%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.22%EV -15.82%E -5.86%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.36%EV -11.89%E -3.60%K -5.17%G +0.000%15.0%2026-05-25 14:12
Unibet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 42.73%EV -13.65%E -6.66%K -13.00%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.73%EV -11.14%E -3.91%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.54%EV -11.89%E -3.60%K -5.17%G +0.000%14.2%2026-05-25 14:40
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook2.32I 43.10%NM 42.82%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.04%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.14%0.7%2026-05-25 14:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.03%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.93%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.04%1.0%2026-05-25 14:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.03%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.93%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.04%1.0%2026-05-25 14:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.03%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.93%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.04%1.0%2026-05-25 14:40
Smarkets2.30I 43.48%NM 42.67%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.16%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.17%1.9%2026-05-25 14:40