L’École des cotes

IK Start v Vålerenga

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-25 12:30 UTC

Score final : IK Start 2–0 Vålerenga

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

54 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

IK Start (Local)

Prévision 31.35%3.19cote équitable
EV -2.51%
Avantage -0.806%
Kelly -1.19%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.11

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.00%31.38%31.33%32.04%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.702.922.923.1137.04%34.21%34.19%32.15%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Vålerenga (Visiteur)

Prévision 43.38%2.31cote équitable
EV -3.26%
Avantage -1.46%
Kelly -2.65%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.23

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
41.73%43.29%43.40%44.13%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.002.152.152.2350.00%46.61%46.51%44.84%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 25.27%3.96cote équitable
EV -1.45%
Avantage -0.373%
Kelly -0.501%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.13%25.33%25.27%28.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.563.553.9033.33%28.08%28.17%25.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (54 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle3.11I 32.15%NM 31.12%EV -2.51%E -0.806%K -1.19%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.60%EV -3.69%E -1.66%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 25.27%EV -3.22%E -0.841%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-25 12:20
Coolbet3.10I 32.26%NM 31.34%EV -2.82%E -0.909%K -1.34%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.76%EV -3.69%E -1.66%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.91%EV -1.45%E -0.373%K -0.501%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-25 12:20
FanDuel3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.82%E -0.909%K -1.34%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.96%EV -6.73%E -3.13%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -6.51%E -1.76%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-25 11:59
LowVig.ag3.05I 32.79%NM 31.08%EV -4.39%E -1.44%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.29%EV -4.99%E -2.28%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.62%EV -6.51%E -1.76%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-25 12:00
BetOnline.ag3.05I 32.79%NM 31.08%EV -4.39%E -1.44%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.29%EV -4.99%E -2.28%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.62%EV -6.51%E -1.76%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-25 12:10
BetAnything3.05I 32.79%NM 31.08%EV -4.39%E -1.44%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.29%EV -4.99%E -2.28%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.62%EV -6.51%E -1.76%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-25 12:10
NordicBet3.05I 32.79%NM 31.02%EV -4.39%E -1.44%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.40%EV -5.43%E -2.49%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.57%EV -6.51%E -1.76%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-25 11:49
Betsson3.05I 32.79%NM 31.02%EV -4.39%E -1.44%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.40%EV -5.43%E -2.49%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.57%EV -6.51%E -1.76%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-25 11:50
1xBet3.02I 33.11%NM 31.44%EV -5.33%E -1.76%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.76%EV -5.86%E -2.70%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 24.79%EV -3.22%E -0.841%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-25 12:19
GTbets3.02I 33.11%NM 31.23%EV -5.33%E -1.76%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.49%EV -3.69%E -1.66%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.28%EV -9.29%E -2.59%K -3.59%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-19 00:20
DraftKings3.00I 33.33%NM 31.30%EV -5.95%E -1.98%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.67%EV -6.73%E -3.13%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -5.24%E -1.40%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-25 12:10
SportsBet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -5.95%E -1.98%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -8.90%E -4.24%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -9.03%E -2.51%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-25 12:00
Tipico (DE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -5.95%E -1.98%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -8.90%E -4.24%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -9.03%E -2.51%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-25 11:40
Marathon Bet2.99I 33.44%NM 31.20%EV -6.27%E -2.10%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.59%EV -7.16%E -3.35%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.21%EV -6.51%E -1.76%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-25 11:40
Unibet (UK)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.97%EV -7.52%E -2.55%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.87%EV -4.56%E -2.07%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -5.24%E -1.40%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-25 01:59
BetMGM2.95I 33.90%NM 31.64%EV -7.52%E -2.55%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -4.56%E -2.07%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -9.03%E -2.51%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-25 10:20
BetRivers2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -7.52%E -2.55%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.79%EV -3.26%E -1.46%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -11.56%E -3.30%K -4.62%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-18 12:35
Unibet (NL)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -7.52%E -2.55%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.79%EV -3.26%E -1.46%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -11.56%E -3.30%K -4.62%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-18 12:35
LeoVegas (SE)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -7.52%E -2.55%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.79%EV -3.26%E -1.46%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -11.56%E -3.30%K -4.62%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-18 12:34
Unibet (SE)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -7.52%E -2.55%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.79%EV -3.26%E -1.46%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -11.56%E -3.30%K -4.62%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-18 12:35
Unibet2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -7.52%E -2.55%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.79%EV -3.26%E -1.46%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -11.56%E -3.30%K -4.62%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-18 12:35
Casumo2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -7.52%E -2.55%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.79%EV -3.26%E -1.46%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -11.56%E -3.30%K -4.62%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-18 12:34
Grosvenor2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -7.52%E -2.55%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.79%EV -3.26%E -1.46%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -11.56%E -3.30%K -4.62%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-18 12:35
betPARX2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -7.52%E -2.55%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.79%EV -3.26%E -1.46%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -11.56%E -3.30%K -4.62%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-18 12:35
Svenska Spel2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -7.52%E -2.55%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.79%EV -3.26%E -1.46%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -11.56%E -3.30%K -4.62%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-18 12:35
ATG (SE)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -7.52%E -2.55%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.79%EV -3.26%E -1.46%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -11.56%E -3.30%K -4.62%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-18 12:34
BetUS2.95I 33.90%NM 31.02%EV -7.52%E -2.55%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -8.90%E -4.24%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -9.03%E -2.51%K -3.47%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-25 12:10
Betway2.90I 34.48%NM 32.03%EV -9.09%E -3.13%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.20%EV -6.73%E -3.13%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.77%EV -5.24%E -1.40%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-25 12:20
PointsBet (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -9.09%E -3.13%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.06%EV -6.73%E -3.13%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.02%EV -6.51%E -1.76%K -2.41%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-25 12:19
William Hill2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -9.09%E -3.13%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.76%EV -6.73%E -3.13%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -9.03%E -2.51%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-24 23:20
TABtouch2.90I 34.48%NM 31.66%EV -9.09%E -3.13%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.73%EV -4.56%E -2.07%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -12.82%E -3.72%K -5.23%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-18 12:35
Bovada2.90I 34.48%NM 31.49%EV -9.09%E -3.13%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.49%EV -8.90%E -4.24%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.02%EV -7.77%E -2.13%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-25 12:19
LiveScore Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -9.09%E -3.13%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.79%EV -5.43%E -2.49%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -14.09%E -4.14%K -5.87%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-18 12:35
Virgin Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -9.09%E -3.13%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.79%EV -5.43%E -2.49%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -14.09%E -4.14%K -5.87%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-18 12:35
Fanatics2.90I 34.48%NM 31.38%EV -9.09%E -3.13%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.34%EV -8.90%E -4.24%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -9.03%E -2.51%K -3.47%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-25 03:00
Everygame2.90I 34.48%NM 31.38%EV -9.09%E -3.13%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.34%EV -8.90%E -4.24%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -9.03%E -2.51%K -3.47%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-25 12:19
Betclic (FR)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.05%EV -9.09%E -3.13%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.93%EV -11.07%E -5.40%K -10.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.02%EV -9.03%E -2.51%K -3.47%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-25 12:10
Paddy Power2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -9.09%E -3.13%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.62%EV -11.07%E -5.40%K -10.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.55%EV -11.56%E -3.30%K -4.62%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-25 12:00
Sky Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -9.09%E -3.13%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.29%EV -11.07%E -5.40%K -10.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.10%EV -14.09%E -4.14%K -5.87%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-25 12:00
betfred_uk2.88I 34.72%NM 31.85%EV -9.72%E -3.37%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -6.73%E -3.13%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -9.03%E -2.51%K -3.47%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-25 07:50
Codere (IT)2.85I 35.09%NM 31.84%EV -10.66%E -3.74%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 42.60%EV -7.59%E -3.57%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.56%EV -10.30%E -2.90%K -4.04%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-25 01:59
PlayUp2.85I 35.09%NM 31.77%EV -10.66%E -3.74%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.72%EV -8.03%E -3.79%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.51%EV -10.30%E -2.90%K -4.04%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-25 11:50
Winamax (DE)2.85I 35.09%NM 31.74%EV -10.66%E -3.74%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.13%EV -11.07%E -5.40%K -10.54%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.13%EV -5.24%E -1.40%K -1.91%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-25 09:40
LeoVegas2.85I 35.09%NM 31.48%EV -10.66%E -3.74%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.73%EV -6.73%E -3.13%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.78%EV -15.35%E -4.58%K -6.53%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-18 12:35
Bet Right2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -12.22%E -4.37%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -8.90%E -4.24%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -11.56%E -3.30%K -4.62%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-25 12:19
Ladbrokes (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -12.22%E -4.37%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.24%EV -8.90%E -4.24%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -14.09%E -4.14%K -5.87%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-25 10:20
Coral2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -12.22%E -4.37%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.24%EV -8.90%E -4.24%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -14.09%E -4.14%K -5.87%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-25 10:20
Ladbrokes (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -12.22%E -4.37%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.24%EV -8.90%E -4.24%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -14.09%E -4.14%K -5.87%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-25 10:20
Neds2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -12.22%E -4.37%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.24%EV -8.90%E -4.24%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -14.09%E -4.14%K -5.87%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-25 10:20
PMU (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 31.43%EV -12.22%E -4.37%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.90%EV -8.90%E -4.24%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -16.61%E -5.03%K -7.22%G +0.000%13.6%2026-05-18 12:35
Unibet (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 31.14%EV -12.22%E -4.37%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.59%EV -13.23%E -6.62%K -13.23%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.27%EV -12.82%E -3.72%K -5.23%G +0.000%14.7%2026-05-25 12:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 30.00%EV -12.22%E -4.37%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 42.00%EV -13.23%E -6.62%K -13.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.00%EV -24.19%E -8.06%K -12.10%G +0.000%19.0%2026-05-25 12:00
Winamax (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 31.75%EV -13.79%E -5.01%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.66%EV -13.23%E -6.62%K -13.23%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.59%EV -10.30%E -2.90%K -4.04%G +0.000%14.5%2026-05-25 09:40
BoyleSports2.70I 37.04%NM 32.04%EV -15.36%E -5.69%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.25%EV -13.23%E -6.62%K -13.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.71%EV -11.56%E -3.30%K -4.62%G +0.000%15.6%2026-05-25 00:39
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook3.20I 31.25%NM 31.00%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.89%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.11%0.8%2026-05-25 12:20
Smarkets3.20I 31.25%NM 30.88%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.11%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.01%1.2%2026-05-25 12:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 30.88%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.11%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.01%1.2%2026-05-25 12:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.20I 31.25%NM 30.88%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.11%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.01%1.2%2026-05-25 12:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 30.88%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.11%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.01%1.2%2026-05-25 12:10