La escuela de los momios

IK Start v Vålerenga

Inicio: 2026-05-25 12:30 UTC

Final: IK Start 2–0 Vålerenga

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

54 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

IK Start (Local)

Predicción 31.35%3.19momio equitativo
EV -2.51%
Ventaja -0.806%
Kelly -1.19%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.11

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.00%31.38%31.33%32.04%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.702.922.923.1137.04%34.21%34.19%32.15%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Vålerenga (Visitante)

Predicción 43.38%2.31momio equitativo
EV -3.26%
Ventaja -1.46%
Kelly -2.65%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.23

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.73%43.29%43.40%44.13%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.002.152.152.2350.00%46.61%46.51%44.84%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 25.27%3.96momio equitativo
EV -1.45%
Ventaja -0.373%
Kelly -0.501%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.90

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.13%25.33%25.27%28.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.563.553.9033.33%28.08%28.17%25.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (54 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle3.11I 32.15%NM 31.12%EV -2.51%E -0.806%K -1.19%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.60%EV -3.69%E -1.66%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 25.27%EV -3.22%E -0.841%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-25 12:20
Coolbet3.10I 32.26%NM 31.34%EV -2.82%E -0.909%K -1.34%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.76%EV -3.69%E -1.66%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.91%EV -1.45%E -0.373%K -0.501%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-25 12:20
FanDuel3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -2.82%E -0.909%K -1.34%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.96%EV -6.73%E -3.13%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -6.51%E -1.76%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-25 11:59
LowVig.ag3.05I 32.79%NM 31.08%EV -4.39%E -1.44%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.29%EV -4.99%E -2.28%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.62%EV -6.51%E -1.76%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-25 12:00
BetOnline.ag3.05I 32.79%NM 31.08%EV -4.39%E -1.44%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.29%EV -4.99%E -2.28%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.62%EV -6.51%E -1.76%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-25 12:10
BetAnything3.05I 32.79%NM 31.08%EV -4.39%E -1.44%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.29%EV -4.99%E -2.28%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.62%EV -6.51%E -1.76%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-25 12:10
NordicBet3.05I 32.79%NM 31.02%EV -4.39%E -1.44%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.40%EV -5.43%E -2.49%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.57%EV -6.51%E -1.76%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-25 11:49
Betsson3.05I 32.79%NM 31.02%EV -4.39%E -1.44%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.40%EV -5.43%E -2.49%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.57%EV -6.51%E -1.76%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-25 11:50
1xBet3.02I 33.11%NM 31.44%EV -5.33%E -1.76%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.76%EV -5.86%E -2.70%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 24.79%EV -3.22%E -0.841%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-25 12:19
GTbets3.02I 33.11%NM 31.23%EV -5.33%E -1.76%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.49%EV -3.69%E -1.66%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.28%EV -9.29%E -2.59%K -3.59%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-19 00:20
DraftKings3.00I 33.33%NM 31.30%EV -5.95%E -1.98%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.67%EV -6.73%E -3.13%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -5.24%E -1.40%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-25 12:10
SportsBet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -5.95%E -1.98%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -8.90%E -4.24%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -9.03%E -2.51%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-25 12:00
Tipico (DE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -5.95%E -1.98%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -8.90%E -4.24%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -9.03%E -2.51%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-25 11:40
Marathon Bet2.99I 33.44%NM 31.20%EV -6.27%E -2.10%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.59%EV -7.16%E -3.35%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.21%EV -6.51%E -1.76%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-25 11:40
Unibet (UK)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.97%EV -7.52%E -2.55%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.87%EV -4.56%E -2.07%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -5.24%E -1.40%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-25 01:59
BetMGM2.95I 33.90%NM 31.64%EV -7.52%E -2.55%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -4.56%E -2.07%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -9.03%E -2.51%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-25 10:20
BetRivers2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -7.52%E -2.55%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.79%EV -3.26%E -1.46%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -11.56%E -3.30%K -4.62%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-18 12:35
Unibet (NL)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -7.52%E -2.55%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.79%EV -3.26%E -1.46%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -11.56%E -3.30%K -4.62%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-18 12:35
LeoVegas (SE)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -7.52%E -2.55%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.79%EV -3.26%E -1.46%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -11.56%E -3.30%K -4.62%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-18 12:34
Unibet (SE)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -7.52%E -2.55%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.79%EV -3.26%E -1.46%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -11.56%E -3.30%K -4.62%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-18 12:35
Unibet2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -7.52%E -2.55%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.79%EV -3.26%E -1.46%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -11.56%E -3.30%K -4.62%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-18 12:35
Casumo2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -7.52%E -2.55%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.79%EV -3.26%E -1.46%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -11.56%E -3.30%K -4.62%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-18 12:34
Grosvenor2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -7.52%E -2.55%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.79%EV -3.26%E -1.46%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -11.56%E -3.30%K -4.62%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-18 12:35
betPARX2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -7.52%E -2.55%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.79%EV -3.26%E -1.46%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -11.56%E -3.30%K -4.62%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-18 12:35
Svenska Spel2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -7.52%E -2.55%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.79%EV -3.26%E -1.46%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -11.56%E -3.30%K -4.62%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-18 12:35
ATG (SE)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -7.52%E -2.55%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.79%EV -3.26%E -1.46%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -11.56%E -3.30%K -4.62%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-18 12:34
BetUS2.95I 33.90%NM 31.02%EV -7.52%E -2.55%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -8.90%E -4.24%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.42%EV -9.03%E -2.51%K -3.47%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-25 12:10
Betway2.90I 34.48%NM 32.03%EV -9.09%E -3.13%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.20%EV -6.73%E -3.13%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.77%EV -5.24%E -1.40%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-25 12:20
PointsBet (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -9.09%E -3.13%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.06%EV -6.73%E -3.13%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.02%EV -6.51%E -1.76%K -2.41%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-25 12:19
William Hill2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -9.09%E -3.13%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.76%EV -6.73%E -3.13%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -9.03%E -2.51%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-24 23:20
TABtouch2.90I 34.48%NM 31.66%EV -9.09%E -3.13%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.73%EV -4.56%E -2.07%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -12.82%E -3.72%K -5.23%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-18 12:35
Bovada2.90I 34.48%NM 31.49%EV -9.09%E -3.13%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.49%EV -8.90%E -4.24%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.02%EV -7.77%E -2.13%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-25 12:19
LiveScore Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -9.09%E -3.13%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.79%EV -5.43%E -2.49%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -14.09%E -4.14%K -5.87%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-18 12:35
Virgin Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 31.41%EV -9.09%E -3.13%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.79%EV -5.43%E -2.49%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -14.09%E -4.14%K -5.87%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-18 12:35
Fanatics2.90I 34.48%NM 31.38%EV -9.09%E -3.13%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.34%EV -8.90%E -4.24%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -9.03%E -2.51%K -3.47%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-25 03:00
Everygame2.90I 34.48%NM 31.38%EV -9.09%E -3.13%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.34%EV -8.90%E -4.24%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -9.03%E -2.51%K -3.47%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-25 12:19
Betclic (FR)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.05%EV -9.09%E -3.13%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.93%EV -11.07%E -5.40%K -10.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.02%EV -9.03%E -2.51%K -3.47%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-25 12:10
Paddy Power2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -9.09%E -3.13%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.62%EV -11.07%E -5.40%K -10.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.55%EV -11.56%E -3.30%K -4.62%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-25 12:00
Sky Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -9.09%E -3.13%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.29%EV -11.07%E -5.40%K -10.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.10%EV -14.09%E -4.14%K -5.87%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-25 12:00
betfred_uk2.88I 34.72%NM 31.85%EV -9.72%E -3.37%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -6.73%E -3.13%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -9.03%E -2.51%K -3.47%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-25 07:50
Codere (IT)2.85I 35.09%NM 31.84%EV -10.66%E -3.74%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 42.60%EV -7.59%E -3.57%K -6.72%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.56%EV -10.30%E -2.90%K -4.04%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-25 01:59
PlayUp2.85I 35.09%NM 31.77%EV -10.66%E -3.74%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.72%EV -8.03%E -3.79%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.51%EV -10.30%E -2.90%K -4.04%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-25 11:50
Winamax (DE)2.85I 35.09%NM 31.74%EV -10.66%E -3.74%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.13%EV -11.07%E -5.40%K -10.54%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.13%EV -5.24%E -1.40%K -1.91%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-25 09:40
LeoVegas2.85I 35.09%NM 31.48%EV -10.66%E -3.74%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.73%EV -6.73%E -3.13%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.78%EV -15.35%E -4.58%K -6.53%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-18 12:35
Bet Right2.80I 35.71%NM 31.91%EV -12.22%E -4.37%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.55%EV -8.90%E -4.24%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -11.56%E -3.30%K -4.62%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-25 12:19
Ladbrokes (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -12.22%E -4.37%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.24%EV -8.90%E -4.24%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -14.09%E -4.14%K -5.87%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-25 10:20
Coral2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -12.22%E -4.37%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.24%EV -8.90%E -4.24%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -14.09%E -4.14%K -5.87%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-25 10:20
Ladbrokes (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -12.22%E -4.37%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.24%EV -8.90%E -4.24%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -14.09%E -4.14%K -5.87%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-25 10:20
Neds2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -12.22%E -4.37%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.24%EV -8.90%E -4.24%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -14.09%E -4.14%K -5.87%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-25 10:20
PMU (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 31.43%EV -12.22%E -4.37%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.90%EV -8.90%E -4.24%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.67%EV -16.61%E -5.03%K -7.22%G +0.000%13.6%2026-05-18 12:35
Unibet (FR)2.80I 35.71%NM 31.14%EV -12.22%E -4.37%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.59%EV -13.23%E -6.62%K -13.23%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.27%EV -12.82%E -3.72%K -5.23%G +0.000%14.7%2026-05-25 12:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 30.00%EV -12.22%E -4.37%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 42.00%EV -13.23%E -6.62%K -13.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.00%EV -24.19%E -8.06%K -12.10%G +0.000%19.0%2026-05-25 12:00
Winamax (FR)2.75I 36.36%NM 31.75%EV -13.79%E -5.01%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.66%EV -13.23%E -6.62%K -13.23%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.59%EV -10.30%E -2.90%K -4.04%G +0.000%14.5%2026-05-25 09:40
BoyleSports2.70I 37.04%NM 32.04%EV -15.36%E -5.69%K -9.03%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.25%EV -13.23%E -6.62%K -13.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.71%EV -11.56%E -3.30%K -4.62%G +0.000%15.6%2026-05-25 00:39
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook3.20I 31.25%NM 31.00%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.89%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.11%0.8%2026-05-25 12:20
Smarkets3.20I 31.25%NM 30.88%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.11%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.01%1.2%2026-05-25 12:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 30.88%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.11%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.01%1.2%2026-05-25 12:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.20I 31.25%NM 30.88%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.11%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.01%1.2%2026-05-25 12:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 30.88%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.11%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.01%1.2%2026-05-25 12:10