Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

IK Start v Lillestrom

2026-11-01 16:00 UTC — Eliteserien - Norway

Head to Head

31 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

IK Start (Local)

Prediction 35.16%2.84fair odd
EV -1.90%
Edge -0.682%
Kelly -1.06%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.79

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.92%35.29%35.09%36.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.532.552.7941.67%39.53%39.22%35.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Lillestrom (Visit)

Prediction 39.06%2.56fair odd
EV -0.385%
Edge -0.151%
Kelly -0.249%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.79%38.99%39.07%40.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.392.402.5547.62%41.84%41.67%39.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.78%3.88fair odd
EV -2.05%
Edge -0.540%
Kelly -0.733%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.55%25.72%25.83%26.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.523.503.8030.30%28.44%28.57%26.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: IK Start (Local): 35.16%; Lillestrom (Visit): 39.06%; Draw: 25.78%. For Lillestrom (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.56. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.55, with an expected value of -0.385%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (31 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.79I 35.84%NM 34.20%EV -1.90%E -0.682%K -1.06%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.09%EV -7.03%E -2.95%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.71I 26.95%NM 25.72%EV -4.37%E -1.18%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-25 18:30
1xBet🎯2.73I 36.63%NM 34.97%EV -4.01%E -1.47%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.44%EV -5.46%E -2.26%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.59%EV -3.86%E -1.03%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-25 18:25
Marathon Bet🎯2.66I 37.59%NM 34.99%EV -6.47%E -2.43%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.44%EV -7.81%E -3.31%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.57%EV -6.18%E -1.70%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-25 18:20
Unibet (UK)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.09%EV -6.83%E -2.58%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.07%EV -7.03%E -2.95%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.83%EV -7.21%E -2.00%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-25 18:20
William Hill🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -7.88%E -3.01%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -6.24%E -2.60%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -12.36%E -3.64%K -5.15%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-25 18:16
Fanatics🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.10%EV -8.58%E -3.30%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.83%EV -8.20%E -3.49%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -9.79%E -2.80%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-25 18:25
LeoVegas🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.96%EV -8.58%E -3.30%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.68%EV -8.20%E -3.49%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.35%EV -11.07%E -3.21%K -4.52%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-25 18:19
Unibet (NL)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.79%EV -10.34%E -4.06%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.79%EV -0.385%E -0.151%K -0.249%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.42%EV -8.50%E -2.39%K -3.33%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-25 16:06
Casumo🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.79%EV -10.34%E -4.06%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.79%EV -0.385%E -0.151%K -0.249%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.42%EV -8.50%E -2.39%K -3.33%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-25 16:06
Svenska Spel🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.79%EV -10.34%E -4.06%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.79%EV -0.385%E -0.151%K -0.249%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.42%EV -8.50%E -2.39%K -3.33%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-25 16:05
betPARX🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.79%EV -10.34%E -4.06%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.79%EV -0.385%E -0.151%K -0.249%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.42%EV -8.50%E -2.39%K -3.33%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-25 16:06
ATG (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.79%EV -10.34%E -4.06%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.79%EV -0.385%E -0.151%K -0.249%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.42%EV -8.50%E -2.39%K -3.33%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-25 16:06
Unibet (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.79%EV -10.34%E -4.06%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.79%EV -0.385%E -0.151%K -0.249%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.42%EV -8.50%E -2.39%K -3.33%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-25 16:13
FanDuel🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.58%EV -10.34%E -4.06%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.87%EV -6.24%E -2.60%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -2.05%E -0.540%K -0.733%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-25 18:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.58%EV -10.34%E -4.06%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.87%EV -6.24%E -2.60%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -2.05%E -0.540%K -0.733%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-25 18:19
Betclic (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 34.45%EV -10.34%E -4.06%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 39.57%EV -13.28%E -5.98%K -10.88%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 25.99%EV -12.88%E -3.81%K -5.41%G +0.000%13.8%2026-10-25 18:19
SportsBet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.50%EV -12.10%E -4.84%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.83%EV -8.20%E -3.49%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.66%EV -4.63%E -1.25%K -1.72%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-25 18:20
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.95%EV -12.10%E -4.84%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.08%EV -10.15%E -4.41%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -7.21%E -2.00%K -2.77%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-25 18:20
Winamax (DE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 34.95%EV -12.10%E -4.84%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.72%EV -14.06%E -6.39%K -11.71%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.33%EV -11.07%E -3.21%K -4.52%G +0.000%14.4%2026-10-25 18:20
Unibet (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 33.92%EV -12.10%E -4.84%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 40.38%EV -17.96%E -8.55%K -16.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 25.70%EV -14.94%E -4.53%K -6.50%G +0.000%17.9%2026-10-25 18:20
Unibet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 36.62%EV -12.80%E -5.16%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.06%EV -4.29%E -1.75%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.32%EV -11.07%E -3.21%K -4.52%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-25 16:05
BetRivers🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 36.62%EV -12.80%E -5.16%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.06%EV -4.29%E -1.75%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.32%EV -11.07%E -3.21%K -4.52%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-25 16:05
Grosvenor🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 36.62%EV -12.80%E -5.16%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.06%EV -4.29%E -1.75%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.32%EV -11.07%E -3.21%K -4.52%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-25 16:06
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 36.62%EV -12.80%E -5.16%K -8.65%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.06%EV -4.29%E -1.75%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.32%EV -11.07%E -3.21%K -4.52%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-25 16:13
TABtouch🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.65%EV -13.86%E -5.66%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 36.95%EV -5.07%E -2.09%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -12.36%E -3.64%K -5.15%G +0.000%11.4%2026-10-25 16:06
Winamax (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 35.28%EV -13.86%E -5.66%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.29%EV -14.06%E -6.39%K -11.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.42%EV -12.36%E -3.64%K -5.15%G +0.000%15.7%2026-10-25 18:19
betfred_uk🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.90%EV -15.62%E -6.51%K -11.15%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.50%EV -10.15%E -4.41%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.60%EV -7.21%E -2.00%K -2.77%G +0.000%12.9%2026-10-25 18:20
LiveScore Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.81%EV -15.62%E -6.51%K -11.15%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.81%EV -6.24%E -2.60%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.37%EV -13.65%E -4.08%K -5.81%G +0.000%13.2%2026-10-25 16:06
Virgin Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.81%EV -15.62%E -6.51%K -11.15%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.81%EV -6.24%E -2.60%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.37%EV -13.65%E -4.08%K -5.81%G +0.000%13.2%2026-10-25 16:06
PMU (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.81%EV -15.62%E -6.51%K -11.15%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.81%EV -6.24%E -2.60%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.37%EV -13.65%E -4.08%K -5.81%G +0.000%13.2%2026-10-25 16:13
Sky Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.07%EV -15.62%E -6.51%K -11.15%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.47%EV -12.10%E -5.38%K -9.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.46%EV -12.36%E -3.64%K -5.15%G +0.000%15.5%2026-10-25 18:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎2.48I 40.32%NM 34.72%2.22I 45.05%NM 38.79%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.49%16.1%2026-10-25 18:20