The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

IK Start v Lillestrom

Kickoff: 2026-11-01 16:00 UTC

Final: IK Start 0–1 Lillestrom

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

50 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

IK Start (Local)

Prediction 35.05%2.85fair odd
EV +0.950%
Edge +0.330%
Kelly +0.506%
Growth +0.005%

assuming max odds 2.88

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.85%35.05%35.12%38.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.382.632.652.8842.02%38.02%37.81%34.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Lillestrom (Visit)

Prediction 39.59%2.53fair odd
EV +0.950%
Edge +0.372%
Kelly +0.613%
Growth +0.006%

assuming max odds 2.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.43%39.60%39.46%42.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.322.352.5548.78%43.15%42.55%39.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.36%3.94fair odd
EV -2.37%
Edge -0.614%
Kelly -0.830%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.07%25.35%25.42%26.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.593.603.8529.41%27.83%27.78%25.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: IK Start (Local): 35.05%; Lillestrom (Visit): 39.59%; Draw: 25.36%. For IK Start (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.85. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.88, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.950%.

Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Betsson🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.16%EV -7.11%E -2.68%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.58%EV +0.950%E +0.372%K +0.613%G +0.006%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV -7.44%E -2.04%K -2.81%G +0.000%4.3%2026-11-01 15:50
NordicBet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -8.86%E -3.41%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -1.03%E -0.412%K -0.686%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -8.71%E -2.42%K -3.35%G +0.000%6.2%2026-11-01 15:50
FanDuel🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.91%EV -10.62%E -4.16%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -1.03%E -0.412%K -0.686%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -6.17%E -1.67%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.2%2026-11-01 15:50
William Hill🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.27%EV -16.58%E -6.96%K -12.01%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.43%EV -1.03%E -0.412%K -0.686%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.30%EV -8.71%E -2.42%K -3.35%G +0.000%9.8%2026-11-01 15:50
1xBet🎯2.71I 36.90%NM 35.20%EV -5.01%E -1.85%K -2.93%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.94%EV -3.01%E -1.23%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 25.85%EV -6.42%E -1.74%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.8%2026-11-01 15:50
Pinnacle🎯2.77I 36.10%NM 34.97%EV -2.91%E -1.05%K -1.64%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.87%EV -3.80%E -1.56%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.16%EV -2.37%E -0.614%K -0.830%G +0.000%3.2%2026-11-01 15:45
DraftKings🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.58%EV -7.11%E -2.68%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.28%EV -4.99%E -2.08%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -4.90%E -1.31%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.1%2026-11-01 15:48
Unibet (UK)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.46%EV -7.11%E -2.68%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.15%EV -4.99%E -2.08%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -6.17%E -1.67%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.4%2026-11-01 15:45
Bovada🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.33%EV -7.11%E -2.68%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.01%EV -4.99%E -2.08%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.65%EV -7.44%E -2.04%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.8%2026-11-01 15:49
BetUS🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.33%EV -7.11%E -2.68%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.01%EV -4.99%E -2.08%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.65%EV -7.44%E -2.04%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.8%2026-11-01 15:50
PlayUp🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -12.37%E -4.95%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -4.99%E -2.08%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -11.24%E -3.21%K -4.50%G +0.000%10.2%2026-11-01 15:50
SportsBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.02%EV -14.12%E -5.76%K -9.74%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.79%EV -4.99%E -2.08%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -8.71%E -2.42%K -3.35%G +0.000%10.3%2026-11-01 15:50
Paddy Power🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.02%EV -14.12%E -5.76%K -9.74%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.79%EV -4.99%E -2.08%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -8.71%E -2.42%K -3.35%G +0.000%10.3%2026-11-01 15:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.02%EV -14.12%E -5.76%K -9.74%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.79%EV -4.99%E -2.08%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -8.71%E -2.42%K -3.35%G +0.000%10.3%2026-11-01 15:50
Marathon Bet🎯2.64I 37.88%NM 35.24%EV -7.46%E -2.83%K -4.55%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 38.92%EV -5.38%E -2.25%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.84%EV -8.71%E -2.42%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.5%2026-11-01 15:50
GTbets🎯2.73I 36.63%NM 34.64%EV -4.31%E -1.58%K -2.49%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.73%EV -5.78%E -2.43%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 25.63%EV -6.42%E -1.74%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.7%2026-11-01 15:50
Unibet (NL)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.67%EV -5.36%E -1.98%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.33%EV -5.78%E -2.43%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -8.71%E -2.42%K -3.35%G +0.000%6.8%2026-11-01 15:50
Casumo🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.67%EV -5.36%E -1.98%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.33%EV -5.78%E -2.43%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -8.71%E -2.42%K -3.35%G +0.000%6.8%2026-11-01 15:50
Svenska Spel🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.67%EV -5.36%E -1.98%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.33%EV -5.78%E -2.43%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -8.71%E -2.42%K -3.35%G +0.000%6.8%2026-11-01 15:50
betPARX🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.67%EV -5.36%E -1.98%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.33%EV -5.78%E -2.43%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -8.71%E -2.42%K -3.35%G +0.000%6.8%2026-11-01 15:50
ATG (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.67%EV -5.36%E -1.98%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.33%EV -5.78%E -2.43%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -8.71%E -2.42%K -3.35%G +0.000%6.8%2026-11-01 15:50
Sky Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.64%EV -14.12%E -5.76%K -9.74%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.72%EV -5.78%E -2.43%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -11.24%E -3.21%K -4.50%G +0.000%11.4%2026-11-01 15:49
Coolbet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.69%EV +0.950%E +0.330%K +0.506%G +0.005%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.11%EV -6.57%E -2.78%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.20%EV -2.37%E -0.614%K -0.830%G +0.000%3.1%2026-11-01 14:15
BetMGM🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.50%EV -5.36%E -1.98%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.63%EV -6.97%E -2.97%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV -8.71%E -2.42%K -3.35%G +0.000%7.4%2026-11-01 15:00
Fanatics🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.35%EV -8.86%E -3.41%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.11%EV -6.97%E -2.97%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -8.71%E -2.42%K -3.35%G +0.000%8.8%2026-11-01 15:50
LeoVegas🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.92%EV -10.62%E -4.16%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.98%EV -6.97%E -2.97%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -7.44%E -2.04%K -2.81%G +0.000%9.2%2026-11-01 15:50
Winamax (DE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.97%EV -14.12%E -5.76%K -9.74%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.55%EV -6.97%E -2.97%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.48%EV -6.17%E -1.67%K -2.28%G +0.000%10.4%2026-11-01 15:50
Codere (IT)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.55%EV -10.62%E -4.16%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 38.91%EV -7.76%E -3.33%K -5.83%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.54%EV -9.97%E -2.81%K -3.91%G +0.000%10.3%2026-11-01 15:50
BetRivers🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -1.85%E -0.662%K -1.03%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.00%EV -9.74%E -4.27%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.61%EV -7.44%E -2.04%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-01 15:44
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -1.85%E -0.662%K -1.03%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.00%EV -9.74%E -4.27%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.61%EV -7.44%E -2.04%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-01 15:45
Unibet (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -1.85%E -0.662%K -1.03%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.00%EV -9.74%E -4.27%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.61%EV -7.44%E -2.04%K -2.81%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-01 15:45
TABtouch🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.55%EV -8.86%E -3.41%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 39.40%EV -9.74%E -4.27%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.04%EV -12.51%E -3.63%K -5.11%G +0.000%11.3%2026-11-01 15:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.36%EV -5.36%E -1.98%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.23%EV -10.93%E -4.86%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -3.63%E -0.956%K -1.30%G +0.000%7.8%2026-11-01 15:05
Tipico (DE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.99%EV -8.86%E -3.41%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.43%EV -10.93%E -4.86%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.58%EV -6.17%E -1.67%K -2.28%G +0.000%9.9%2026-11-01 15:50
Coral🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.24%EV -8.86%E -3.41%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.57%EV -10.93%E -4.86%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -13.78%E -4.05%K -5.74%G +0.000%12.3%2026-11-01 15:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.24%EV -8.86%E -3.41%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.57%EV -10.93%E -4.86%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -13.78%E -4.05%K -5.74%G +0.000%12.3%2026-11-01 15:00
Neds🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.24%EV -8.86%E -3.41%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.57%EV -10.93%E -4.86%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -13.78%E -4.05%K -5.74%G +0.000%12.3%2026-11-01 15:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.24%EV -8.86%E -3.41%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.57%EV -10.93%E -4.86%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -13.78%E -4.05%K -5.74%G +0.000%12.3%2026-11-01 15:00
Unibet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.94%EV -3.61%E -1.31%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -12.91%E -5.87%K -10.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -11.24%E -3.21%K -4.50%G +0.000%10.4%2026-11-01 15:45
Grosvenor🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.94%EV -3.61%E -1.31%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.18%EV -12.91%E -5.87%K -10.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -11.24%E -3.21%K -4.50%G +0.000%10.4%2026-11-01 15:45
Bet Right🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.55%EV -8.86%E -3.41%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.83%EV -12.91%E -5.87%K -10.76%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.61%EV -7.44%E -2.04%K -2.81%G +0.000%11.3%2026-11-01 15:05
betfred_uk🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.43%EV -8.86%E -3.41%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.70%EV -12.91%E -5.87%K -10.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.87%EV -8.71%E -2.42%K -3.35%G +0.000%11.7%2026-11-01 15:05
Betclic (FR)🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 34.56%EV -9.57%E -3.71%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.53%EV -12.91%E -5.87%K -10.76%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 24.91%EV -9.21%E -2.57%K -3.57%G +0.000%12.1%2026-11-01 15:45
Winamax (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.01%EV -15.87%E -6.61%K -11.34%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.29%EV -12.91%E -5.87%K -10.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.70%EV -11.24%E -3.21%K -4.50%G +0.000%15.7%2026-11-01 15:50
LiveScore Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.97%EV -5.36%E -1.98%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 41.22%EV -14.49%E -6.71%K -12.49%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.81%EV -12.51%E -3.63%K -5.11%G +0.000%12.3%2026-11-01 15:45
Virgin Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.97%EV -5.36%E -1.98%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 41.22%EV -14.49%E -6.71%K -12.49%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.81%EV -12.51%E -3.63%K -5.11%G +0.000%12.3%2026-11-01 15:45
PMU (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.97%EV -5.36%E -1.98%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 41.22%EV -14.49%E -6.71%K -12.49%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.81%EV -12.51%E -3.63%K -5.11%G +0.000%12.3%2026-11-01 15:45
BetAnything🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.85%EV +0.950%E +0.330%K +0.506%G +0.005%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -14.89%E -6.92%K -12.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -8.71%E -2.42%K -3.35%G +0.000%9.0%2026-11-01 09:45
BoyleSports🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 34.66%EV -12.37%E -4.95%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.27%EV -16.86%E -8.03%K -15.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.07%EV -8.71%E -2.42%K -3.35%G +0.000%15.4%2026-11-01 15:04
Unibet (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 33.84%EV -12.37%E -4.95%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 41.27%EV -18.84%E -9.19%K -17.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.88%EV -13.78%E -4.05%K -5.74%G +0.000%18.2%2026-11-01 15:44
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.60I 38.46%NM 38.18%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.60%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21%0.7%2026-11-01 15:50
Matchbook◎2.56I 39.06%NM 38.64%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.63%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.73%1.1%2026-11-01 15:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.66I 37.59%NM 37.09%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.94%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.97%1.4%2026-11-01 15:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.56I 39.06%NM 38.53%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.81%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.66%1.4%2026-11-01 15:50
Smarkets◎2.58I 38.76%NM 38.02%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.15%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.83%2.0%2026-11-01 15:50

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