Language:English
IK Start v HamKam
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
IK Start (Local)
Prediction 56.04%1.78fair odd
EV -1.36%
Edge -0.773%
Kelly -1.79%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.76
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.55%55.95%56.18%57.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.511.671.671.7666.23%59.86%59.88%56.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
HamKam (Visit)
Prediction 20.14%4.96fair odd
EV -0.299%
Edge -0.060%
Kelly -0.076%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.95
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.25%20.26%20.08%22.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.854.434.504.9525.97%22.59%22.22%20.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 23.81%4.20fair odd
EV -0.936%
Edge -0.225%
Kelly -0.296%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.16
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.98%23.79%23.74%24.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.603.823.834.1627.78%26.21%26.14%24.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: IK Start (Local): 56.04%; HamKam (Visit): 20.14%; Draw: 23.81%. For HamKam (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.96. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.95, with an expected value of -0.299%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.01%EV -1.36%E -0.773%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -17.42%E -4.25%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.23%EV -8.32%E -2.16%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-11 14:04 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.01%EV -1.36%E -0.773%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -17.42%E -4.25%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.23%EV -8.32%E -2.16%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-11 14:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.01%EV -1.36%E -0.773%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -17.42%E -4.25%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.23%EV -8.32%E -2.16%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-11 14:04 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.01%EV -1.36%E -0.773%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -17.42%E -4.25%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.23%EV -8.32%E -2.16%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-11 14:04 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.01%EV -1.36%E -0.773%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -17.42%E -4.25%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.23%EV -8.32%E -2.16%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-11 14:04 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.01%EV -1.36%E -0.773%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -17.42%E -4.25%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.23%EV -8.32%E -2.16%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-11 14:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.01%EV -1.36%E -0.773%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -17.42%E -4.25%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.23%EV -8.32%E -2.16%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-11 14:04 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.01%EV -1.36%E -0.773%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -17.42%E -4.25%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.23%EV -8.32%E -2.16%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-11 14:04 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.11%EV -3.04%E -1.76%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.22%EV -3.32%E -0.692%K -0.874%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.67%EV -2.36%E -0.577%K -0.763%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-10-11 14:09 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.48%EV -3.60%E -2.09%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.30%EV -5.33%E -1.13%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.94I 25.38%NM 24.22%EV -6.17%E -1.57%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-11 14:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.46%EV -3.60%E -2.09%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 4.51I 22.17%NM 21.15%EV -9.16%E -2.03%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 4.08I 24.51%NM 23.38%EV -2.84%E -0.696%K -0.922%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-10-11 14:14 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 52.77%EV -4.16%E -2.43%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.84%EV -20.44%E -5.17%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.39%EV -11.89%E -3.21%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-10-11 14:04 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 52.77%EV -4.16%E -2.43%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.84%EV -20.44%E -5.17%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.39%EV -11.89%E -3.21%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-10-11 14:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.20%EV -4.72%E -2.78%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 19.30%EV -0.299%E -0.060%K -0.076%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.50%EV -7.13%E -1.83%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-10-11 14:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.59%EV -4.72%E -2.78%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.92%EV -21.45%E -5.50%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.49%EV -13.08%E -3.58%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-10-11 14:04 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.99%EV -5.28%E -3.13%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.86%EV -2.31%E -0.477%K -0.601%G +0.000% | 4.16I 24.04%NM 23.15%EV -0.936%E -0.225%K -0.296%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-10-11 14:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.09%EV -5.84%E -3.48%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.43%EV -2.31%E -0.477%K -0.601%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.48%EV -8.32%E -2.16%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-11 14:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.09%EV -5.84%E -3.48%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.05%EV -5.33%E -1.13%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.86%EV -5.94%E -1.50%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-11 14:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.09%EV -5.84%E -3.48%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.05%EV -5.33%E -1.13%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.86%EV -5.94%E -1.50%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-11 14:45 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.09%EV -5.84%E -3.48%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.05%EV -5.33%E -1.13%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.86%EV -5.94%E -1.50%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-11 14:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.43%EV -5.84%E -3.48%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.17%EV -11.38%E -2.59%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.98I 25.13%NM 23.40%EV -5.22%E -1.31%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-11 14:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 52.55%EV -5.84%E -3.48%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.93%EV -22.45%E -5.83%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.52%EV -14.27%E -3.96%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-10-11 14:04 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 52.55%EV -5.84%E -3.48%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.93%EV -22.45%E -5.83%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.52%EV -14.27%E -3.96%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-10-11 14:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 52.55%EV -5.84%E -3.48%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.93%EV -22.45%E -5.83%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.52%EV -14.27%E -3.96%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-10-11 14:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.41%EV -6.41%E -3.84%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.04%EV -5.33%E -1.13%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.55%EV -4.75%E -1.19%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-11 14:44 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.19%EV -6.41%E -3.84%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.75%EV -4.33%E -0.911%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -7.13%E -1.83%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-11 14:39 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.95%EV -6.41%E -3.84%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.47%EV -3.32%E -0.692%K -0.874%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -9.51%E -2.50%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-11 14:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.58%EV -6.41%E -3.84%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -9.36%E -2.08%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -7.13%E -1.83%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-10-11 14:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.23%EV -6.41%E -3.84%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.50%EV -9.36%E -2.08%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.27%EV -9.51%E -2.50%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-10-11 14:44 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.05%EV -6.41%E -3.84%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.43%EV -9.36%E -2.08%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -10.70%E -2.85%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-11 14:39 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.61%EV -6.41%E -3.84%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.06%EV -12.79%E -2.95%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.32%EV -10.70%E -2.85%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-10-11 14:34 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.39%EV -6.97%E -4.20%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.92%EV -5.33%E -1.13%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.70%EV -5.94%E -1.50%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-11 14:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.22%EV -6.97%E -4.20%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.86%EV -5.33%E -1.13%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.93%EV -7.13%E -1.83%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-11 14:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.78%EV -7.53%E -4.56%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -7.35%E -1.60%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -9.51%E -2.50%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-11 14:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.16%EV -8.09%E -4.93%K -12.64%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.60%EV -5.33%E -1.13%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -9.51%E -2.50%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-11 14:54 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.76%EV -8.09%E -4.93%K -12.64%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.79%EV -11.38%E -2.59%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -7.13%E -1.83%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-11 14:39 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.50%EV -8.09%E -4.93%K -12.64%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.23%EV -9.36%E -2.08%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -10.70%E -2.85%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-10-11 14:39 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 54.53%EV -8.09%E -4.93%K -12.64%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.29%EV -15.41%E -3.67%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.17%EV -11.89%E -3.21%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-10-11 14:34 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 55.53%EV -8.65%E -5.30%K -13.73%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.68%EV -7.35%E -1.60%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.80%EV -13.08%E -3.58%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-10-11 14:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.05%EV -9.21%E -5.68%K -14.85%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.25%EV -3.32%E -0.692%K -0.874%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.70%EV -7.13%E -1.83%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-10-11 14:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.05%EV -9.21%E -5.68%K -14.85%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.74%EV -7.35%E -1.60%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -10.70%E -2.85%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-10-11 14:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.80%EV -9.21%E -5.68%K -14.85%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%EV -9.36%E -2.08%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.11%EV -10.70%E -2.85%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-10-11 14:44 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.46%EV -9.21%E -5.68%K -14.85%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.89%EV -13.39%E -3.11%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.64%EV -9.51%E -2.50%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-10-11 14:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.25%EV -9.21%E -5.68%K -14.85%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.89%EV -9.36%E -2.08%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.86%EV -14.27%E -3.96%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-10-11 14:39 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.25%EV -9.21%E -5.68%K -14.85%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.89%EV -9.36%E -2.08%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.86%EV -14.27%E -3.96%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-10-11 14:40 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 54.82%EV -9.21%E -5.68%K -14.85%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.51%EV -12.79%E -2.95%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.67%EV -14.27%E -3.96%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-10-11 14:49 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.40%EV -9.77%E -6.07%K -16.01%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.82%EV -9.36%E -2.08%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.78%EV -14.27%E -3.96%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-10-11 14:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.40%EV -9.77%E -6.07%K -16.01%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.82%EV -9.36%E -2.08%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.78%EV -14.27%E -3.96%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-10-11 14:39 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.46%EV -10.33%E -6.46%K -17.21%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.56%EV -5.33%E -1.13%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%EV -4.75%E -1.19%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-11 14:29 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 56.53%EV -11.45%E -7.25%K -19.74%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.85%EV -9.36%E -2.08%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.78I 26.46%NM 23.63%EV -9.99%E -2.64%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-10-11 14:38 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 55.96%EV -12.01%E -7.65%K -21.07%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.92%EV -15.41%E -3.67%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.12%EV -9.51%E -2.50%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-10-11 14:34 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 57.53%EV -15.37%E -10.18%K -30.14%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.30%EV -9.36%E -2.08%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.17%EV -10.70%E -2.85%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-10-11 14:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.71% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.08% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21% | 0.8% | 2026-10-11 14:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.71% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.08% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21% | 0.8% | 2026-10-11 14:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.71% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.08% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21% | 0.8% | 2026-10-11 14:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.71% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.08% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21% | 0.8% | 2026-10-11 14:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.71% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.08% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21% | 0.8% | 2026-10-11 14:55 |