L’École des cotes

IK Start v Bodø/Glimt

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-20 16:00 UTC

Score final : IK Start 1–4 Bodø/Glimt

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

53 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

IK Start (Local)

Prévision 11.55%8.66cote équitable
EV +15.49%
Avantage +1.55%
Kelly +1.72%
Croissance +0.267%

avec la cote maximale 10.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
9.20%11.53%11.67%13.55%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
6.508.438.2010.0015.38%11.87%12.20%10.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Bodø/Glimt (Visiteur)

Prévision 72.67%1.38cote équitable
EV -4.81%
Avantage -3.67%
Kelly -15.50%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.31

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
70.24%72.79%72.64%76.18%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.161.251.251.3186.21%79.82%80.00%76.34%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 15.78%6.34cote équitable
EV +1.49%
Avantage +0.232%
Kelly +0.275%
Croissance +0.004%

avec la cote maximale 6.43

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
14.52%15.68%15.69%19.04%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.505.916.006.4322.22%16.91%16.67%15.55%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
BetRivers10.00I 10.00%NM 9.29%EV +15.49%E +1.55%K +1.72%G +0.267%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.18%EV -11.35%E -9.30%K -51.57%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.52%EV +1.02%E +0.159%K +0.189%G +0.002%7.6%2026-05-15 10:09
Grosvenor10.00I 10.00%NM 9.29%EV +15.49%E +1.55%K +1.72%G +0.267%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.18%EV -11.35%E -9.30%K -51.57%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.52%EV +1.02%E +0.159%K +0.189%G +0.002%7.6%2026-05-15 10:09
Unibet10.00I 10.00%NM 9.29%EV +15.49%E +1.55%K +1.72%G +0.267%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.18%EV -11.35%E -9.30%K -51.57%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.52%EV +1.02%E +0.159%K +0.189%G +0.002%7.6%2026-05-15 10:08
Unibet (NL)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.29%EV +15.49%E +1.55%K +1.72%G +0.267%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.18%EV -11.35%E -9.30%K -51.57%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.52%EV +1.02%E +0.159%K +0.189%G +0.002%7.6%2026-05-15 10:09
Unibet (SE)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.29%EV +15.49%E +1.55%K +1.72%G +0.267%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.18%EV -11.35%E -9.30%K -51.57%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.52%EV +1.02%E +0.159%K +0.189%G +0.002%7.6%2026-05-15 10:09
LeoVegas (SE)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.29%EV +15.49%E +1.55%K +1.72%G +0.267%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.18%EV -11.35%E -9.30%K -51.57%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.52%EV +1.02%E +0.159%K +0.189%G +0.002%7.6%2026-05-15 10:09
Casumo10.00I 10.00%NM 9.29%EV +15.49%E +1.55%K +1.72%G +0.267%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.18%EV -11.35%E -9.30%K -51.57%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.52%EV +1.02%E +0.159%K +0.189%G +0.002%7.6%2026-05-15 10:09
ATG (SE)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.29%EV +15.49%E +1.55%K +1.72%G +0.267%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.18%EV -11.35%E -9.30%K -51.57%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.52%EV +1.02%E +0.159%K +0.189%G +0.002%7.6%2026-05-15 10:08
Svenska Spel10.00I 10.00%NM 9.29%EV +15.49%E +1.55%K +1.72%G +0.267%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.18%EV -11.35%E -9.30%K -51.57%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.52%EV +1.02%E +0.159%K +0.189%G +0.002%7.6%2026-05-15 10:09
betPARX10.00I 10.00%NM 9.29%EV +15.49%E +1.55%K +1.72%G +0.267%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.18%EV -11.35%E -9.30%K -51.57%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.52%EV +1.02%E +0.159%K +0.189%G +0.002%7.6%2026-05-15 10:09
TABtouch10.00I 10.00%NM 9.20%EV +15.49%E +1.55%K +1.72%G +0.267%1.21I 82.64%NM 76.07%EV -12.07%E -9.98%K -57.49%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.73%EV -1.35%E -0.216%K -0.257%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-15 10:09
Coolbet9.50I 10.53%NM 10.21%EV +9.72%E +1.02%K +1.14%G +0.111%1.30I 76.92%NM 74.63%EV -5.53%E -4.26%K -18.44%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.16%EV +1.02%E +0.159%K +0.189%G +0.002%3.1%2026-05-20 15:30
LiveScore Bet9.50I 10.53%NM 9.55%EV +9.72%E +1.02%K +1.14%G +0.111%1.20I 83.33%NM 75.58%EV -12.80%E -10.67%K -64.00%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.87%EV -3.72%E -0.609%K -0.729%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-15 10:09
Virgin Bet9.50I 10.53%NM 9.55%EV +9.72%E +1.02%K +1.14%G +0.111%1.20I 83.33%NM 75.58%EV -12.80%E -10.67%K -64.00%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.87%EV -3.72%E -0.609%K -0.729%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-15 10:09
LeoVegas9.50I 10.53%NM 9.46%EV +9.72%E +1.02%K +1.14%G +0.111%1.19I 84.03%NM 75.55%EV -13.53%E -11.37%K -71.19%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.98%EV -5.30%E -0.883%K -1.06%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-15 10:09
PMU (FR)9.50I 10.53%NM 9.24%EV +9.72%E +1.02%K +1.14%G +0.111%1.16I 86.21%NM 75.64%EV -15.71%E -13.54%K -98.17%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.13%EV -8.45%E -1.46%K -1.76%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-15 10:09
Tipico (DE)9.00I 11.11%NM 10.23%EV +3.94%E +0.438%K +0.493%G +0.019%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.63%EV -9.17%E -7.33%K -36.67%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.15%EV -10.03%E -1.76%K -2.13%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-20 14:49
Pinnacle8.87I 11.27%NM 10.80%EV +2.44%E +0.275%K +0.310%G +0.008%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.29%EV -6.26%E -4.85%K -21.59%G +0.000%6.43I 15.55%NM 14.90%EV +1.49%E +0.232%K +0.275%G +0.004%4.3%2026-05-20 15:50
Marathon Bet8.60I 11.63%NM 10.85%EV -0.678%E -0.079%K -0.089%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.47%EV -7.71%E -6.07%K -28.57%G +0.000%5.95I 16.81%NM 15.68%EV -6.08%E -1.02%K -1.23%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-20 15:10
PointsBet (AU)8.50I 11.76%NM 10.97%EV -1.83%E -0.216%K -0.244%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.82%EV -6.99%E -5.46%K -24.95%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.21%EV -9.24%E -1.61%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-20 15:20
FanDuel8.50I 11.76%NM 10.76%EV -1.83%E -0.216%K -0.244%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 73.74%EV -9.89%E -7.98%K -41.22%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.50%EV -6.87%E -1.17%K -1.40%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-20 15:19
betfred_uk8.50I 11.76%NM 10.70%EV -1.83%E -0.216%K -0.244%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 72.76%EV -9.17%E -7.33%K -36.67%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.54%EV -13.19%E -2.40%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-20 15:20
SportsBet8.50I 11.76%NM 10.51%EV -1.83%E -0.216%K -0.244%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 73.24%EV -11.35%E -9.30%K -51.57%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.25%EV -13.19%E -2.40%K -2.93%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-20 15:20
Paddy Power8.50I 11.76%NM 10.51%EV -1.83%E -0.216%K -0.244%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 73.24%EV -11.35%E -9.30%K -51.57%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.25%EV -13.19%E -2.40%K -2.93%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-20 15:20
GTbets8.23I 12.15%NM 11.24%EV -4.95%E -0.602%K -0.685%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.01%EV -9.17%E -7.33%K -36.67%G +0.000%6.27I 15.95%NM 14.75%EV -1.03%E -0.165%K -0.196%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-20 15:18
NordicBet8.20I 12.20%NM 11.48%EV -5.30%E -0.646%K -0.736%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.57%EV -6.99%E -5.46%K -24.95%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 14.95%EV -0.560%E -0.089%K -0.106%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-20 15:20
Betsson8.20I 12.20%NM 11.48%EV -5.30%E -0.646%K -0.736%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.57%EV -6.99%E -5.46%K -24.95%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 14.95%EV -0.560%E -0.089%K -0.106%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-20 15:20
1xBet8.13I 12.30%NM 11.64%EV -6.11%E -0.751%K -0.856%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.81%EV -5.53%E -4.26%K -18.44%G +0.000%6.09I 16.42%NM 15.54%EV -3.87%E -0.636%K -0.761%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-20 15:50
Unibet (UK)8.00I 12.50%NM 11.78%EV -7.61%E -0.951%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.51%EV -5.53%E -4.26%K -18.44%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.71%EV -5.30%E -0.883%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-20 15:20
LowVig.ag8.00I 12.50%NM 11.72%EV -7.61%E -0.951%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.66%EV -6.26%E -4.85%K -21.59%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -5.30%E -0.883%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-20 15:20
BetOnline.ag8.00I 12.50%NM 11.72%EV -7.61%E -0.951%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.66%EV -6.26%E -4.85%K -21.59%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -5.30%E -0.883%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-20 15:20
DraftKings8.00I 12.50%NM 11.72%EV -7.61%E -0.951%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.66%EV -6.26%E -4.85%K -21.59%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -5.30%E -0.883%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-20 15:20
BetAnything8.00I 12.50%NM 11.72%EV -7.61%E -0.951%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.66%EV -6.26%E -4.85%K -21.59%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -5.30%E -0.883%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-20 15:20
Betway8.00I 12.50%NM 11.64%EV -7.61%E -0.951%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.17%EV -6.26%E -4.85%K -21.59%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.19%EV -9.24%E -1.61%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-20 15:40
Everygame8.00I 12.50%NM 11.37%EV -7.61%E -0.951%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 72.80%EV -9.17%E -7.33%K -36.67%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.83%EV -9.24%E -1.61%K -1.95%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-20 15:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)8.00I 12.50%NM 10.71%EV -7.61%E -0.951%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 70.24%EV -11.35%E -9.30%K -51.57%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.04%EV -28.97%E -6.44%K -8.28%G +0.000%16.7%2026-05-20 14:19
BetUS7.95I 12.58%NM 11.62%EV -8.18%E -1.03%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 72.73%EV -7.71%E -6.07%K -28.57%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.65%EV -6.87%E -1.17%K -1.40%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-20 15:50
Bovada7.75I 12.90%NM 11.83%EV -10.49%E -1.35%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 72.22%EV -7.71%E -6.07%K -28.57%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -9.24%E -1.61%K -1.95%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-20 15:29
PlayUp7.75I 12.90%NM 11.70%EV -10.49%E -1.35%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 72.53%EV -9.17%E -7.33%K -36.67%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.77%EV -9.24%E -1.61%K -1.95%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-20 15:10
BetMGM7.50I 13.33%NM 12.54%EV -13.38%E -1.78%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.79%EV -4.81%E -3.67%K -15.50%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.67%EV -5.30%E -0.883%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-20 15:10
Fanatics7.50I 13.33%NM 12.32%EV -13.38%E -1.78%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.62%EV -6.26%E -4.85%K -21.59%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.07%EV -9.24%E -1.61%K -1.95%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-20 15:20
William Hill7.50I 13.33%NM 12.23%EV -13.38%E -1.78%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.10%EV -6.26%E -4.85%K -21.59%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV -13.19%E -2.40%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-20 15:20
Sky Bet7.50I 13.33%NM 11.86%EV -13.38%E -1.78%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 71.19%EV -9.17%E -7.33%K -36.67%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.95%EV -17.13%E -3.26%K -4.03%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-20 15:30
Betclic (FR)7.25I 13.79%NM 12.28%EV -16.27%E -2.24%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 71.82%EV -9.89%E -7.98%K -41.22%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.90%EV -11.61%E -2.07%K -2.52%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-20 15:34
Codere (IT)7.20I 13.89%NM 12.64%EV -16.85%E -2.34%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 71.11%EV -6.99%E -5.46%K -24.95%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.25%EV -11.61%E -2.07%K -2.52%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-20 15:30
Winamax (DE)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.02%EV -19.16%E -2.74%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 71.78%EV -7.71%E -6.07%K -28.57%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.19%EV -5.30%E -0.883%K -1.06%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-20 15:30
Ladbrokes (AU)7.00I 14.29%NM 12.99%EV -19.16%E -2.74%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 70.48%EV -6.26%E -4.85%K -21.59%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.53%EV -13.19%E -2.40%K -2.93%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-20 15:10
Neds7.00I 14.29%NM 12.99%EV -19.16%E -2.74%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 70.48%EV -6.26%E -4.85%K -21.59%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.53%EV -13.19%E -2.40%K -2.93%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-20 15:10
Ladbrokes (UK)7.00I 14.29%NM 12.92%EV -19.16%E -2.74%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 70.64%EV -6.99%E -5.46%K -24.95%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.44%EV -13.19%E -2.40%K -2.93%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-20 15:10
Coral7.00I 14.29%NM 12.92%EV -19.16%E -2.74%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 70.64%EV -6.99%E -5.46%K -24.95%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.44%EV -13.19%E -2.40%K -2.93%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-20 15:10
BoyleSports7.00I 14.29%NM 12.70%EV -19.16%E -2.74%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 71.13%EV -9.17%E -7.33%K -36.67%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.17%EV -13.19%E -2.40%K -2.93%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-20 15:20
Unibet (FR)7.00I 14.29%NM 12.52%EV -19.16%E -2.74%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 71.25%EV -10.62%E -8.63%K -46.17%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.23%EV -14.77%E -2.73%K -3.36%G +0.000%14.1%2026-05-20 15:40
Winamax (FR)6.50I 15.38%NM 13.55%EV -24.93%E -3.84%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 70.44%EV -9.17%E -7.33%K -36.67%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.01%EV -13.19%E -2.40%K -2.93%G +0.000%13.6%2026-05-20 15:30
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook10.50I 9.52%NM 9.43%1.31I 76.34%NM 75.57%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.00%1.0%2026-05-20 15:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.86%1.32I 75.76%NM 74.72%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.41%1.4%2026-05-20 15:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.86%1.32I 75.76%NM 74.72%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.41%1.4%2026-05-20 15:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.85%1.31I 76.34%NM 75.22%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.93%1.5%2026-05-20 15:50
Smarkets10.00I 10.00%NM 9.81%1.31I 76.34%NM 74.87%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.32%2.0%2026-05-20 15:50