La escuela de los momios

IK Start v Bodø/Glimt

Inicio: 2026-05-20 16:00 UTC

Final: IK Start 1–4 Bodø/Glimt

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

53 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

IK Start (Local)

Predicción 11.55%8.66momio equitativo
EV +15.49%
Ventaja +1.55%
Kelly +1.72%
Crecimiento +0.267%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 10.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
9.20%11.53%11.67%13.55%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
6.508.438.2010.0015.38%11.87%12.20%10.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Bodø/Glimt (Visitante)

Predicción 72.67%1.38momio equitativo
EV -4.81%
Ventaja -3.67%
Kelly -15.50%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.31

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
70.24%72.79%72.64%76.18%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.161.251.251.3186.21%79.82%80.00%76.34%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 15.78%6.34momio equitativo
EV +1.49%
Ventaja +0.232%
Kelly +0.275%
Crecimiento +0.004%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.43

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
14.52%15.68%15.69%19.04%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.505.916.006.4322.22%16.91%16.67%15.55%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
BetRivers10.00I 10.00%NM 9.29%EV +15.49%E +1.55%K +1.72%G +0.267%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.18%EV -11.35%E -9.30%K -51.57%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.52%EV +1.02%E +0.159%K +0.189%G +0.002%7.6%2026-05-15 10:09
Grosvenor10.00I 10.00%NM 9.29%EV +15.49%E +1.55%K +1.72%G +0.267%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.18%EV -11.35%E -9.30%K -51.57%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.52%EV +1.02%E +0.159%K +0.189%G +0.002%7.6%2026-05-15 10:09
Unibet10.00I 10.00%NM 9.29%EV +15.49%E +1.55%K +1.72%G +0.267%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.18%EV -11.35%E -9.30%K -51.57%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.52%EV +1.02%E +0.159%K +0.189%G +0.002%7.6%2026-05-15 10:08
Unibet (NL)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.29%EV +15.49%E +1.55%K +1.72%G +0.267%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.18%EV -11.35%E -9.30%K -51.57%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.52%EV +1.02%E +0.159%K +0.189%G +0.002%7.6%2026-05-15 10:09
Unibet (SE)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.29%EV +15.49%E +1.55%K +1.72%G +0.267%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.18%EV -11.35%E -9.30%K -51.57%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.52%EV +1.02%E +0.159%K +0.189%G +0.002%7.6%2026-05-15 10:09
LeoVegas (SE)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.29%EV +15.49%E +1.55%K +1.72%G +0.267%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.18%EV -11.35%E -9.30%K -51.57%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.52%EV +1.02%E +0.159%K +0.189%G +0.002%7.6%2026-05-15 10:09
Casumo10.00I 10.00%NM 9.29%EV +15.49%E +1.55%K +1.72%G +0.267%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.18%EV -11.35%E -9.30%K -51.57%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.52%EV +1.02%E +0.159%K +0.189%G +0.002%7.6%2026-05-15 10:09
ATG (SE)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.29%EV +15.49%E +1.55%K +1.72%G +0.267%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.18%EV -11.35%E -9.30%K -51.57%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.52%EV +1.02%E +0.159%K +0.189%G +0.002%7.6%2026-05-15 10:08
Svenska Spel10.00I 10.00%NM 9.29%EV +15.49%E +1.55%K +1.72%G +0.267%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.18%EV -11.35%E -9.30%K -51.57%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.52%EV +1.02%E +0.159%K +0.189%G +0.002%7.6%2026-05-15 10:09
betPARX10.00I 10.00%NM 9.29%EV +15.49%E +1.55%K +1.72%G +0.267%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.18%EV -11.35%E -9.30%K -51.57%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.52%EV +1.02%E +0.159%K +0.189%G +0.002%7.6%2026-05-15 10:09
TABtouch10.00I 10.00%NM 9.20%EV +15.49%E +1.55%K +1.72%G +0.267%1.21I 82.64%NM 76.07%EV -12.07%E -9.98%K -57.49%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.73%EV -1.35%E -0.216%K -0.257%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-15 10:09
Coolbet9.50I 10.53%NM 10.21%EV +9.72%E +1.02%K +1.14%G +0.111%1.30I 76.92%NM 74.63%EV -5.53%E -4.26%K -18.44%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.16%EV +1.02%E +0.159%K +0.189%G +0.002%3.1%2026-05-20 15:30
LiveScore Bet9.50I 10.53%NM 9.55%EV +9.72%E +1.02%K +1.14%G +0.111%1.20I 83.33%NM 75.58%EV -12.80%E -10.67%K -64.00%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.87%EV -3.72%E -0.609%K -0.729%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-15 10:09
Virgin Bet9.50I 10.53%NM 9.55%EV +9.72%E +1.02%K +1.14%G +0.111%1.20I 83.33%NM 75.58%EV -12.80%E -10.67%K -64.00%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.87%EV -3.72%E -0.609%K -0.729%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-15 10:09
LeoVegas9.50I 10.53%NM 9.46%EV +9.72%E +1.02%K +1.14%G +0.111%1.19I 84.03%NM 75.55%EV -13.53%E -11.37%K -71.19%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.98%EV -5.30%E -0.883%K -1.06%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-15 10:09
PMU (FR)9.50I 10.53%NM 9.24%EV +9.72%E +1.02%K +1.14%G +0.111%1.16I 86.21%NM 75.64%EV -15.71%E -13.54%K -98.17%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.13%EV -8.45%E -1.46%K -1.76%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-15 10:09
Tipico (DE)9.00I 11.11%NM 10.23%EV +3.94%E +0.438%K +0.493%G +0.019%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.63%EV -9.17%E -7.33%K -36.67%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.15%EV -10.03%E -1.76%K -2.13%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-20 14:49
Pinnacle8.87I 11.27%NM 10.80%EV +2.44%E +0.275%K +0.310%G +0.008%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.29%EV -6.26%E -4.85%K -21.59%G +0.000%6.43I 15.55%NM 14.90%EV +1.49%E +0.232%K +0.275%G +0.004%4.3%2026-05-20 15:50
Marathon Bet8.60I 11.63%NM 10.85%EV -0.678%E -0.079%K -0.089%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.47%EV -7.71%E -6.07%K -28.57%G +0.000%5.95I 16.81%NM 15.68%EV -6.08%E -1.02%K -1.23%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-20 15:10
PointsBet (AU)8.50I 11.76%NM 10.97%EV -1.83%E -0.216%K -0.244%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.82%EV -6.99%E -5.46%K -24.95%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.21%EV -9.24%E -1.61%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-20 15:20
FanDuel8.50I 11.76%NM 10.76%EV -1.83%E -0.216%K -0.244%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 73.74%EV -9.89%E -7.98%K -41.22%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.50%EV -6.87%E -1.17%K -1.40%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-20 15:19
betfred_uk8.50I 11.76%NM 10.70%EV -1.83%E -0.216%K -0.244%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 72.76%EV -9.17%E -7.33%K -36.67%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.54%EV -13.19%E -2.40%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-20 15:20
SportsBet8.50I 11.76%NM 10.51%EV -1.83%E -0.216%K -0.244%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 73.24%EV -11.35%E -9.30%K -51.57%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.25%EV -13.19%E -2.40%K -2.93%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-20 15:20
Paddy Power8.50I 11.76%NM 10.51%EV -1.83%E -0.216%K -0.244%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 73.24%EV -11.35%E -9.30%K -51.57%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.25%EV -13.19%E -2.40%K -2.93%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-20 15:20
GTbets8.23I 12.15%NM 11.24%EV -4.95%E -0.602%K -0.685%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.01%EV -9.17%E -7.33%K -36.67%G +0.000%6.27I 15.95%NM 14.75%EV -1.03%E -0.165%K -0.196%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-20 15:18
NordicBet8.20I 12.20%NM 11.48%EV -5.30%E -0.646%K -0.736%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.57%EV -6.99%E -5.46%K -24.95%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 14.95%EV -0.560%E -0.089%K -0.106%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-20 15:20
Betsson8.20I 12.20%NM 11.48%EV -5.30%E -0.646%K -0.736%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.57%EV -6.99%E -5.46%K -24.95%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 14.95%EV -0.560%E -0.089%K -0.106%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-20 15:20
1xBet8.13I 12.30%NM 11.64%EV -6.11%E -0.751%K -0.856%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.81%EV -5.53%E -4.26%K -18.44%G +0.000%6.09I 16.42%NM 15.54%EV -3.87%E -0.636%K -0.761%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-20 15:50
Unibet (UK)8.00I 12.50%NM 11.78%EV -7.61%E -0.951%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.51%EV -5.53%E -4.26%K -18.44%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.71%EV -5.30%E -0.883%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-20 15:20
LowVig.ag8.00I 12.50%NM 11.72%EV -7.61%E -0.951%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.66%EV -6.26%E -4.85%K -21.59%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -5.30%E -0.883%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-20 15:20
BetOnline.ag8.00I 12.50%NM 11.72%EV -7.61%E -0.951%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.66%EV -6.26%E -4.85%K -21.59%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -5.30%E -0.883%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-20 15:20
DraftKings8.00I 12.50%NM 11.72%EV -7.61%E -0.951%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.66%EV -6.26%E -4.85%K -21.59%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -5.30%E -0.883%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-20 15:20
BetAnything8.00I 12.50%NM 11.72%EV -7.61%E -0.951%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.66%EV -6.26%E -4.85%K -21.59%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.62%EV -5.30%E -0.883%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-20 15:20
Betway8.00I 12.50%NM 11.64%EV -7.61%E -0.951%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.17%EV -6.26%E -4.85%K -21.59%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.19%EV -9.24%E -1.61%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-20 15:40
Everygame8.00I 12.50%NM 11.37%EV -7.61%E -0.951%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 72.80%EV -9.17%E -7.33%K -36.67%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.83%EV -9.24%E -1.61%K -1.95%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-20 15:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)8.00I 12.50%NM 10.71%EV -7.61%E -0.951%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 70.24%EV -11.35%E -9.30%K -51.57%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.04%EV -28.97%E -6.44%K -8.28%G +0.000%16.7%2026-05-20 14:19
BetUS7.95I 12.58%NM 11.62%EV -8.18%E -1.03%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 72.73%EV -7.71%E -6.07%K -28.57%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.65%EV -6.87%E -1.17%K -1.40%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-20 15:50
Bovada7.75I 12.90%NM 11.83%EV -10.49%E -1.35%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 72.22%EV -7.71%E -6.07%K -28.57%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.95%EV -9.24%E -1.61%K -1.95%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-20 15:29
PlayUp7.75I 12.90%NM 11.70%EV -10.49%E -1.35%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 72.53%EV -9.17%E -7.33%K -36.67%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.77%EV -9.24%E -1.61%K -1.95%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-20 15:10
BetMGM7.50I 13.33%NM 12.54%EV -13.38%E -1.78%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.79%EV -4.81%E -3.67%K -15.50%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.67%EV -5.30%E -0.883%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-20 15:10
Fanatics7.50I 13.33%NM 12.32%EV -13.38%E -1.78%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.62%EV -6.26%E -4.85%K -21.59%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.07%EV -9.24%E -1.61%K -1.95%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-20 15:20
William Hill7.50I 13.33%NM 12.23%EV -13.38%E -1.78%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.10%EV -6.26%E -4.85%K -21.59%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.68%EV -13.19%E -2.40%K -2.93%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-20 15:20
Sky Bet7.50I 13.33%NM 11.86%EV -13.38%E -1.78%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 71.19%EV -9.17%E -7.33%K -36.67%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.95%EV -17.13%E -3.26%K -4.03%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-20 15:30
Betclic (FR)7.25I 13.79%NM 12.28%EV -16.27%E -2.24%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 71.82%EV -9.89%E -7.98%K -41.22%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 15.90%EV -11.61%E -2.07%K -2.52%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-20 15:34
Codere (IT)7.20I 13.89%NM 12.64%EV -16.85%E -2.34%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 71.11%EV -6.99%E -5.46%K -24.95%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.25%EV -11.61%E -2.07%K -2.52%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-20 15:30
Winamax (DE)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.02%EV -19.16%E -2.74%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 71.78%EV -7.71%E -6.07%K -28.57%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.19%EV -5.30%E -0.883%K -1.06%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-20 15:30
Ladbrokes (AU)7.00I 14.29%NM 12.99%EV -19.16%E -2.74%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 70.48%EV -6.26%E -4.85%K -21.59%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.53%EV -13.19%E -2.40%K -2.93%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-20 15:10
Neds7.00I 14.29%NM 12.99%EV -19.16%E -2.74%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 70.48%EV -6.26%E -4.85%K -21.59%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.53%EV -13.19%E -2.40%K -2.93%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-20 15:10
Ladbrokes (UK)7.00I 14.29%NM 12.92%EV -19.16%E -2.74%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 70.64%EV -6.99%E -5.46%K -24.95%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.44%EV -13.19%E -2.40%K -2.93%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-20 15:10
Coral7.00I 14.29%NM 12.92%EV -19.16%E -2.74%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 70.64%EV -6.99%E -5.46%K -24.95%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.44%EV -13.19%E -2.40%K -2.93%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-20 15:10
BoyleSports7.00I 14.29%NM 12.70%EV -19.16%E -2.74%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 71.13%EV -9.17%E -7.33%K -36.67%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.17%EV -13.19%E -2.40%K -2.93%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-20 15:20
Unibet (FR)7.00I 14.29%NM 12.52%EV -19.16%E -2.74%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 71.25%EV -10.62%E -8.63%K -46.17%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.23%EV -14.77%E -2.73%K -3.36%G +0.000%14.1%2026-05-20 15:40
Winamax (FR)6.50I 15.38%NM 13.55%EV -24.93%E -3.84%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 70.44%EV -9.17%E -7.33%K -36.67%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.01%EV -13.19%E -2.40%K -2.93%G +0.000%13.6%2026-05-20 15:30
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook10.50I 9.52%NM 9.43%1.31I 76.34%NM 75.57%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.00%1.0%2026-05-20 15:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.86%1.32I 75.76%NM 74.72%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.41%1.4%2026-05-20 15:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.86%1.32I 75.76%NM 74.72%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.41%1.4%2026-05-20 15:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.85%1.31I 76.34%NM 75.22%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.93%1.5%2026-05-20 15:50
Smarkets10.00I 10.00%NM 9.81%1.31I 76.34%NM 74.87%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.32%2.0%2026-05-20 15:50