The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Fredrikstad FK v Rosenborg

Kickoff: 2026-10-31 15:00 UTC

Final: Fredrikstad FK 0–3 Rosenborg

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

55 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Fredrikstad FK (Local)

Prediction 24.52%4.08fair odd
EV -1.18%
Edge -0.294%
Kelly -0.391%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.03

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.42%24.53%24.55%26.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.353.753.804.0329.85%26.65%26.32%24.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Rosenborg (Visit)

Prediction 51.63%1.94fair odd
EV -2.94%
Edge -1.57%
Kelly -3.34%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.88

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.71%51.67%51.61%53.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.631.791.801.8861.35%55.93%55.56%53.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 23.85%4.19fair odd
EV -3.63%
Edge -0.898%
Kelly -1.19%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.04

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.84%23.80%23.84%24.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.603.823.804.0427.78%26.18%26.32%24.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Fredrikstad FK (Local): 24.52%; Rosenborg (Visit): 51.63%; Draw: 23.85%. For Fredrikstad FK (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.08. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.03, with an expected value of -1.18%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (55 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯4.03I 24.81%NM 24.09%EV -1.18%E -0.294%K -0.391%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.64%EV -2.94%E -1.57%K -3.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.27%EV -4.58%E -1.15%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.0%2026-10-31 14:40
Betsson🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.88%EV -1.92%E -0.480%K -0.640%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.63%EV -4.49%E -2.43%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.49%EV -6.97%E -1.79%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-31 12:45
GTbets🎯3.97I 25.19%NM 23.70%EV -2.66%E -0.669%K -0.894%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.99%EV -6.56%E -3.62%K -8.10%G +0.000%3.87I 25.84%NM 24.31%EV -7.68%E -1.99%K -2.68%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-30 23:45
1xBet🎯3.96I 25.25%NM 24.12%EV -2.90%E -0.732%K -0.980%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.63%EV -4.49%E -2.43%K -5.28%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 24.24%EV -6.02%E -1.53%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-31 13:40
Pinnacle🎯3.94I 25.38%NM 24.56%EV -3.39%E -0.861%K -1.15%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.48%EV -2.94%E -1.57%K -3.34%G +0.000%4.04I 24.75%NM 23.96%EV -3.63%E -0.898%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.3%2026-10-31 14:50
NordicBet🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -4.37%E -1.12%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.56%EV -6.04%E -3.32%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.38%EV -8.16%E -2.12%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-31 12:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -4.37%E -1.12%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.42%EV -8.62%E -4.87%K -11.20%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.79%EV -6.97%E -1.79%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-31 05:40
Tipico (DE)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -4.37%E -1.12%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.74%EV -12.24%E -7.20%K -17.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -4.58%E -1.15%K -1.53%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-31 13:40
BetOnline.ag🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.65%EV -5.60%E -1.45%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.02%EV -3.98%E -2.14%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.33%EV -6.97%E -1.79%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-31 14:40
LowVig.ag🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.65%EV -5.60%E -1.45%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.02%EV -3.98%E -2.14%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.33%EV -6.97%E -1.79%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-31 14:40
BetUS🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.65%EV -5.60%E -1.45%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.02%EV -3.98%E -2.14%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.33%EV -6.97%E -1.79%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-31 14:40
BetAnything🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.65%EV -5.60%E -1.45%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.02%EV -3.98%E -2.14%K -4.62%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.33%EV -6.97%E -1.79%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-31 14:40
Unibet🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.22%EV -5.60%E -1.45%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.24%EV -6.04%E -3.32%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -9.35%E -2.46%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-31 14:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.22%EV -5.60%E -1.45%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.24%EV -6.04%E -3.32%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -9.35%E -2.46%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-31 14:10
Grosvenor🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.22%EV -5.60%E -1.45%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.24%EV -6.04%E -3.32%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -9.35%E -2.46%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-31 14:10
Casumo🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.22%EV -5.60%E -1.45%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.24%EV -6.04%E -3.32%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -9.35%E -2.46%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-31 14:10
BetRivers🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.22%EV -5.60%E -1.45%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.24%EV -6.04%E -3.32%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -9.35%E -2.46%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-31 14:10
Unibet (NL)🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.22%EV -5.60%E -1.45%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.24%EV -6.04%E -3.32%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -9.35%E -2.46%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-31 14:10
Unibet (SE)🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.22%EV -5.60%E -1.45%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.24%EV -6.04%E -3.32%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -9.35%E -2.46%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-31 14:10
betPARX🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.22%EV -5.60%E -1.45%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.24%EV -6.04%E -3.32%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -9.35%E -2.46%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-31 14:10
ATG (SE)🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.22%EV -5.60%E -1.45%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.24%EV -6.04%E -3.32%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -9.35%E -2.46%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-31 14:10
Svenska Spel🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.22%EV -5.60%E -1.45%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.24%EV -6.04%E -3.32%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -9.35%E -2.46%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-31 14:10
Marathon Bet🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.15%EV -5.60%E -1.45%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.65%EV -7.07%E -3.93%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.84I 26.04%NM 24.21%EV -8.40%E -2.19%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-31 13:35
DraftKings🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.76%EV -6.82%E -1.80%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.42%EV -5.52%E -3.02%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%EV -5.78%E -1.46%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-31 14:50
Bovada🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -6.82%E -1.80%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.26%EV -5.52%E -3.02%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -6.97%E -1.79%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-31 14:15
FanDuel🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -6.82%E -1.80%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.98%EV -7.07%E -3.93%K -8.84%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -4.58%E -1.15%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-31 14:38
BetMGM🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -6.82%E -1.80%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.67%EV -7.07%E -3.93%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -6.97%E -1.79%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-31 12:45
Fanatics🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -6.82%E -1.80%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -7.07%E -3.93%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.32%EV -9.35%E -2.46%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-31 12:44
Bet Victor🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -6.82%E -1.80%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.05%EV -9.65%E -5.52%K -12.87%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -9.35%E -2.46%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-31 14:30
betano_uk🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -6.82%E -1.80%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.05%EV -9.65%E -5.52%K -12.87%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -9.35%E -2.46%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-31 14:29
Bet Right🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.68%EV -6.82%E -1.80%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.01%EV -10.69%E -6.18%K -14.64%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.32%EV -11.74%E -3.17%K -4.35%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-31 12:45
Unibet (UK)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -8.05%E -2.15%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.40%EV -5.52%E -3.02%K -6.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -4.58%E -1.15%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-31 14:50
Betway🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.08%EV -8.05%E -2.15%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.40%EV -5.52%E -3.02%K -6.66%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -4.58%E -1.15%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-31 14:50
betfred_uk🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 23.76%EV -8.05%E -2.15%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.50%EV -10.69%E -6.18%K -14.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -14.13%E -3.92%K -5.43%G +0.000%12.2%2026-10-31 02:15
SportsBet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -9.28%E -2.51%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 51.47%EV -7.59%E -4.24%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.62%EV -6.97%E -1.79%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-31 14:40
William Hill🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.74%EV -9.28%E -2.51%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.85%EV -7.07%E -3.93%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.41%EV -10.55%E -2.81%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-31 14:49
TABtouch🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.22%EV -9.28%E -2.51%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.22%EV -9.65%E -5.52%K -12.87%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.56%EV -12.93%E -3.54%K -4.88%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-31 14:10
PlayUp🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 24.78%EV -10.50%E -2.88%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.10%EV -8.62%E -4.87%K -11.20%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.12%EV -10.55%E -2.81%K -3.84%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-31 14:10
Virgin Bet🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 24.25%EV -10.50%E -2.88%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.16%EV -10.69%E -6.18%K -14.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.59%EV -14.13%E -3.92%K -5.43%G +0.000%13.0%2026-10-31 14:10
PMU (FR)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 24.25%EV -10.50%E -2.88%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.16%EV -10.69%E -6.18%K -14.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.59%EV -14.13%E -3.92%K -5.43%G +0.000%13.0%2026-10-31 14:10
LiveScore Bet🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 24.25%EV -10.50%E -2.88%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.16%EV -10.69%E -6.18%K -14.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.59%EV -14.13%E -3.92%K -5.43%G +0.000%13.0%2026-10-31 14:10
LeoVegas🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.41%EV -11.73%E -3.26%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.83%EV -7.07%E -3.93%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.76%EV -8.16%E -2.12%K -2.86%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-31 14:50
Codere (IT)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.26%EV -11.73%E -3.26%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 50.81%EV -7.59%E -4.24%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.93%EV -9.35%E -2.46%K -3.34%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-31 14:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -11.73%E -3.26%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.68%EV -9.65%E -5.52%K -12.87%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.19%EV -6.97%E -1.79%K -2.40%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-31 14:50
Paddy Power🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -11.73%E -3.26%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.37%EV -9.65%E -5.52%K -12.87%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.66%EV -9.35%E -2.46%K -3.34%G +0.000%11.2%2026-10-31 14:40
Neds🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 24.81%EV -11.73%E -3.26%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.04%EV -9.65%E -5.52%K -12.87%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.14%EV -11.74%E -3.17%K -4.35%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-31 12:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 24.81%EV -11.73%E -3.26%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.04%EV -9.65%E -5.52%K -12.87%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.14%EV -11.74%E -3.17%K -4.35%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-31 12:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 24.81%EV -11.73%E -3.26%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.04%EV -9.65%E -5.52%K -12.87%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.14%EV -11.74%E -3.17%K -4.35%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-31 12:45
Coral🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 24.81%EV -11.73%E -3.26%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.04%EV -9.65%E -5.52%K -12.87%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.14%EV -11.74%E -3.17%K -4.35%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-31 12:45
Betclic (FR)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 24.80%EV -11.73%E -3.26%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 51.90%EV -11.20%E -6.51%K -15.56%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 23.31%EV -8.64%E -2.26%K -3.05%G +0.000%12.0%2026-10-31 14:50
Winamax (DE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.96%EV -14.18%E -4.05%K -5.67%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.04%EV -8.11%E -4.55%K -10.39%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.00%EV -5.78%E -1.46%K -1.96%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-31 14:50
Sky Bet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -14.18%E -4.05%K -5.67%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 50.85%EV -9.65%E -5.52%K -12.87%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -10.55%E -2.81%K -3.84%G +0.000%12.4%2026-10-31 14:50
BoyleSports🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 24.90%EV -14.18%E -4.05%K -5.67%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 52.18%EV -13.78%E -8.25%K -20.57%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.93%EV -9.35%E -2.46%K -3.34%G +0.000%14.8%2026-10-31 12:55
Unibet (FR)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 24.89%EV -16.63%E -4.89%K -6.93%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 51.92%EV -15.85%E -9.72%K -25.16%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.19%EV -12.93%E -3.54%K -4.88%G +0.000%18.2%2026-10-31 14:50
Winamax (FR)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 26.03%EV -17.86%E -5.33%K -7.60%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 50.71%EV -11.20%E -6.51%K -15.56%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.26%EV -10.55%E -2.81%K -3.84%G +0.000%14.7%2026-10-31 14:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎4.10I 24.39%NM 24.32%1.90I 52.63%NM 52.49%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.19%0.3%2026-10-31 14:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎4.10I 24.39%NM 24.32%1.90I 52.63%NM 52.49%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.19%0.3%2026-10-31 14:50
Matchbook◎4.10I 24.39%NM 24.32%1.90I 52.63%NM 52.49%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.19%0.3%2026-10-31 14:40
Smarkets◎4.10I 24.39%NM 24.26%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.62%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.13%0.6%2026-10-31 14:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎4.00I 25.00%NM 24.78%1.90I 52.63%NM 52.17%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.05%0.9%2026-10-31 14:40

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