L’École des cotes

Fredrikstad FK v IK Start

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-29 17:02 UTC

Score final : Fredrikstad FK 2–1 IK Start

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

51 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Fredrikstad FK (Local)

Prévision 50.04%2.00cote équitable
EV -2.43%
Avantage -1.25%
Kelly -2.56%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.95

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
48.34%50.02%50.03%52.21%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.711.821.811.9558.48%54.82%55.25%51.28%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

IK Start (Visiteur)

Prévision 24.83%4.03cote équitable
EV -0.688%
Avantage -0.172%
Kelly -0.229%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.94%24.81%24.89%26.09%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.403.783.804.0029.41%26.43%26.32%25.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 25.14%3.98cote équitable
EV -1.97%
Avantage -0.505%
Kelly -0.679%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.89%25.18%25.08%27.37%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.623.653.9032.26%27.61%27.40%25.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (51 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Betsson1.95I 51.28%NM 48.34%EV -2.43%E -1.25%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.83%EV -9.38%E -2.57%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.83%EV -8.25%E -2.26%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-29 16:59
NordicBet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.34%EV -2.43%E -1.25%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.83%EV -9.38%E -2.57%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.83%EV -8.25%E -2.26%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-29 16:59
Coolbet1.94I 51.55%NM 50.06%EV -2.93%E -1.51%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 25.03%EV -3.67%E -0.945%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.90%EV -1.97%E -0.505%K -0.679%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-29 16:58
Pinnacle1.93I 51.81%NM 50.16%EV -3.43%E -1.78%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.95%EV -3.67%E -0.945%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.89I 25.71%NM 24.89%EV -2.22%E -0.571%K -0.768%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-29 16:59
BetOnline.ag1.91I 52.36%NM 49.69%EV -4.43%E -2.32%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.65%EV -4.41%E -1.15%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.65%EV -7.00%E -1.89%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-29 16:59
DraftKings1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -4.43%E -2.32%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -8.14%E -2.20%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -7.00%E -1.89%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-29 17:00
1xBet1.88I 53.19%NM 50.49%EV -5.93%E -3.16%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.81I 26.25%NM 24.92%EV -5.41%E -1.42%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 24.59%EV -2.97%E -0.771%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-29 16:59
Unibet (UK)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.10%EV -5.93%E -3.16%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -5.65%E -1.49%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.12%EV -5.74%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-29 16:59
LowVig.ag1.87I 53.48%NM 50.55%EV -6.43%E -3.44%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.24%EV -3.17%E -0.813%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.21%EV -5.74%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-29 16:59
BetAnything1.87I 53.48%NM 50.55%EV -6.43%E -3.44%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.24%EV -3.17%E -0.813%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.21%EV -5.74%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-29 16:59
Fanatics1.87I 53.48%NM 49.71%EV -6.43%E -3.44%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -5.65%E -1.49%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -9.51%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-29 16:59
BetMGM1.87I 53.48%NM 49.71%EV -6.43%E -3.44%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -5.65%E -1.49%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -9.51%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-29 16:58
PlayUp1.87I 53.48%NM 48.34%EV -6.43%E -3.44%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -13.10%E -3.74%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -12.02%E -3.44%K -4.81%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-29 16:59
Marathon Bet1.86I 53.76%NM 50.13%EV -6.93%E -3.73%K -8.06%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 24.93%EV -7.14%E -1.91%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 24.93%EV -5.99%E -1.60%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-29 16:59
William Hill1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -7.43%E -4.02%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -10.62%E -2.95%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -12.02%E -3.44%K -4.81%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-29 16:59
PointsBet (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.92%EV -8.43%E -4.61%K -10.16%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.89%EV -3.17%E -0.813%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -7.00%E -1.89%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-29 16:59
Bovada1.83I 54.64%NM 50.10%EV -8.43%E -4.61%K -10.16%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -8.14%E -2.20%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.12%EV -8.25%E -2.26%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-29 16:58
BetUS1.83I 54.64%NM 50.10%EV -8.43%E -4.61%K -10.16%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -8.14%E -2.20%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.12%EV -8.25%E -2.26%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-29 17:00
Codere (IT)1.83I 54.64%NM 49.76%EV -8.43%E -4.61%K -10.16%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.95%EV -9.38%E -2.57%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -9.51%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-29 16:59
Everygame1.83I 54.64%NM 49.59%EV -8.43%E -4.61%K -10.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.21%EV -10.62%E -2.95%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.21%EV -9.51%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-29 16:59
Ladbrokes (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 48.86%EV -8.43%E -4.61%K -10.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -10.62%E -2.95%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.30%EV -14.54%E -4.28%K -6.06%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-29 16:59
Ladbrokes (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 48.86%EV -8.43%E -4.61%K -10.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -10.62%E -2.95%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.30%EV -14.54%E -4.28%K -6.06%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-29 16:59
Neds1.83I 54.64%NM 48.86%EV -8.43%E -4.61%K -10.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -10.62%E -2.95%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.30%EV -14.54%E -4.28%K -6.06%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-29 16:59
Coral1.83I 54.64%NM 48.86%EV -8.43%E -4.61%K -10.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -10.62%E -2.95%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.30%EV -14.54%E -4.28%K -6.06%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-29 17:00
Winamax (DE)1.82I 54.95%NM 50.06%EV -8.93%E -4.91%K -10.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.31%EV -10.62%E -2.95%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.63%EV -7.00%E -1.89%K -2.59%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-29 16:59
Casumo1.81I 55.25%NM 51.50%EV -9.44%E -5.21%K -11.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%EV -0.688%E -0.172%K -0.229%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -7.00%E -1.89%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-29 17:00
Unibet (SE)1.81I 55.25%NM 51.50%EV -9.44%E -5.21%K -11.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%EV -0.688%E -0.172%K -0.229%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -7.00%E -1.89%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-29 17:00
Unibet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.46%EV -9.94%E -5.52%K -12.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -0.688%E -0.172%K -0.229%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.38%EV -8.25%E -2.26%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-29 16:59
LeoVegas (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.46%EV -9.94%E -5.52%K -12.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -0.688%E -0.172%K -0.229%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.38%EV -8.25%E -2.26%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-29 16:59
betPARX1.80I 55.56%NM 51.46%EV -9.94%E -5.52%K -12.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -0.688%E -0.172%K -0.229%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.38%EV -8.25%E -2.26%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-29 16:59
ATG (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.46%EV -9.94%E -5.52%K -12.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -0.688%E -0.172%K -0.229%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.38%EV -8.25%E -2.26%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-29 16:59
Svenska Spel1.80I 55.56%NM 51.46%EV -9.94%E -5.52%K -12.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -0.688%E -0.172%K -0.229%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.38%EV -8.25%E -2.26%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-29 16:59
FanDuel1.80I 55.56%NM 51.33%EV -9.94%E -5.52%K -12.42%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.69%EV -3.17%E -0.813%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -7.00%E -1.89%K -2.59%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-29 16:58
betfred_uk1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -9.94%E -5.52%K -12.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -0.688%E -0.172%K -0.229%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -9.51%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-29 16:59
Tipico (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -9.94%E -5.52%K -12.42%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -5.65%E -1.49%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -7.00%E -1.89%K -2.59%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-29 16:59
SportsBet1.80I 55.56%NM 50.67%EV -9.94%E -5.52%K -12.42%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -5.65%E -1.49%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -9.51%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-29 16:59
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 50.51%EV -9.94%E -5.52%K -12.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -6.90%E -1.84%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -9.51%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-29 16:59
Sky Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 49.65%EV -9.94%E -5.52%K -12.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -10.62%E -2.95%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -12.02%E -3.44%K -4.81%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-29 16:59
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56%NM 49.28%EV -9.94%E -5.52%K -12.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -15.58%E -4.58%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.64%EV -9.51%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-29 16:59
Unibet (NL)1.79I 55.87%NM 51.45%EV -10.44%E -5.83%K -13.21%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.32%EV -1.93%E -0.488%K -0.654%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.23%EV -8.25%E -2.26%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-29 17:00
GTbets1.78I 56.18%NM 52.21%EV -10.94%E -6.14%K -14.02%G +0.000%3.89I 25.71%NM 23.89%EV -3.42%E -0.879%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.89I 25.71%NM 23.89%EV -2.22%E -0.571%K -0.768%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-29 16:59
Grosvenor1.78I 56.18%NM 51.59%EV -10.94%E -6.14%K -14.02%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.25%EV -1.93%E -0.488%K -0.654%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.16%EV -8.25%E -2.26%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-29 17:00
TABtouch1.78I 56.18%NM 51.56%EV -10.94%E -6.14%K -14.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -0.688%E -0.172%K -0.229%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -9.51%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-29 16:59
Betclic (FR)1.77I 56.50%NM 50.96%EV -11.44%E -6.46%K -14.85%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 24.18%EV -7.39%E -1.98%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 24.85%EV -8.76%E -2.41%K -3.33%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-29 16:58
LiveScore Bet1.76I 56.82%NM 51.69%EV -11.94%E -6.78%K -15.71%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.03%EV -1.93%E -0.488%K -0.654%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -9.51%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-29 16:59
Virgin Bet1.76I 56.82%NM 51.69%EV -11.94%E -6.78%K -15.71%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.03%EV -1.93%E -0.488%K -0.654%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -9.51%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-29 16:59
Unibet (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 49.85%EV -11.94%E -6.78%K -15.71%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.72%EV -11.86%E -3.34%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.43%EV -13.28%E -3.85%K -5.42%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-29 16:59
Winamax (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 49.85%EV -11.94%E -6.78%K -15.71%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.43%EV -14.34%E -4.16%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.72%EV -10.77%E -3.03%K -4.22%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-29 16:59
LeoVegas1.74I 57.47%NM 51.65%EV -12.94%E -7.44%K -17.48%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.04%EV -3.17%E -0.813%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.31%EV -10.77%E -3.03%K -4.22%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-29 16:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 49.05%EV -13.44%E -7.77%K -18.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.57%EV -10.62%E -2.95%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.37%EV -22.08%E -7.12%K -10.51%G +0.000%17.8%2026-05-29 16:59
PMU (FR)1.71I 58.48%NM 51.40%EV -14.44%E -8.44%K -20.34%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.13%EV -5.65%E -1.49%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.47%EV -13.28%E -3.85%K -5.42%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-29 16:59
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.97I 50.76%NM 50.52%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.28%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.20%0.5%2026-05-29 16:59
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.97I 50.76%NM 50.52%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.28%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.20%0.5%2026-05-29 16:59
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.97I 50.76%NM 50.52%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.28%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.20%0.5%2026-05-29 16:59
Matchbook1.97I 50.76%NM 50.52%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.28%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.20%0.5%2026-05-29 16:59
Smarkets1.94I 51.55%NM 50.44%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.46%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.09%2.2%2026-05-29 17:00