La escuela de los momios

Fredrikstad FK v IK Start

Inicio: 2026-05-29 17:02 UTC

Final: Fredrikstad FK 2–1 IK Start

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

51 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Fredrikstad FK (Local)

Predicción 50.04%2.00momio equitativo
EV -2.43%
Ventaja -1.25%
Kelly -2.56%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.95

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
48.34%50.02%50.03%52.21%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.711.821.811.9558.48%54.82%55.25%51.28%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

IK Start (Visitante)

Predicción 24.83%4.03momio equitativo
EV -0.688%
Ventaja -0.172%
Kelly -0.229%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.94%24.81%24.89%26.09%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.403.783.804.0029.41%26.43%26.32%25.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 25.14%3.98momio equitativo
EV -1.97%
Ventaja -0.505%
Kelly -0.679%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.90

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.89%25.18%25.08%27.37%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.623.653.9032.26%27.61%27.40%25.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Betsson1.95I 51.28%NM 48.34%EV -2.43%E -1.25%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.83%EV -9.38%E -2.57%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.83%EV -8.25%E -2.26%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-29 16:59
NordicBet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.34%EV -2.43%E -1.25%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.83%EV -9.38%E -2.57%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.83%EV -8.25%E -2.26%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-29 16:59
Coolbet1.94I 51.55%NM 50.06%EV -2.93%E -1.51%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 25.03%EV -3.67%E -0.945%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.90%EV -1.97%E -0.505%K -0.679%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-29 16:58
Pinnacle1.93I 51.81%NM 50.16%EV -3.43%E -1.78%K -3.69%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.95%EV -3.67%E -0.945%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.89I 25.71%NM 24.89%EV -2.22%E -0.571%K -0.768%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-29 16:59
BetOnline.ag1.91I 52.36%NM 49.69%EV -4.43%E -2.32%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.65%EV -4.41%E -1.15%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.65%EV -7.00%E -1.89%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-29 16:59
DraftKings1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -4.43%E -2.32%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -8.14%E -2.20%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -7.00%E -1.89%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-29 17:00
1xBet1.88I 53.19%NM 50.49%EV -5.93%E -3.16%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.81I 26.25%NM 24.92%EV -5.41%E -1.42%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 24.59%EV -2.97%E -0.771%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-29 16:59
Unibet (UK)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.10%EV -5.93%E -3.16%K -6.74%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -5.65%E -1.49%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.12%EV -5.74%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-29 16:59
LowVig.ag1.87I 53.48%NM 50.55%EV -6.43%E -3.44%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.24%EV -3.17%E -0.813%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.21%EV -5.74%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-29 16:59
BetAnything1.87I 53.48%NM 50.55%EV -6.43%E -3.44%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.24%EV -3.17%E -0.813%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.21%EV -5.74%E -1.53%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-29 16:59
Fanatics1.87I 53.48%NM 49.71%EV -6.43%E -3.44%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -5.65%E -1.49%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -9.51%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-29 16:59
BetMGM1.87I 53.48%NM 49.71%EV -6.43%E -3.44%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -5.65%E -1.49%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.82%EV -9.51%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-29 16:58
PlayUp1.87I 53.48%NM 48.34%EV -6.43%E -3.44%K -7.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -13.10%E -3.74%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -12.02%E -3.44%K -4.81%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-29 16:59
Marathon Bet1.86I 53.76%NM 50.13%EV -6.93%E -3.73%K -8.06%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 24.93%EV -7.14%E -1.91%K -2.61%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 24.93%EV -5.99%E -1.60%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-29 16:59
William Hill1.85I 54.05%NM 48.96%EV -7.43%E -4.02%K -8.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.16%EV -10.62%E -2.95%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.88%EV -12.02%E -3.44%K -4.81%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-29 16:59
PointsBet (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.92%EV -8.43%E -4.61%K -10.16%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.89%EV -3.17%E -0.813%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -7.00%E -1.89%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-29 16:59
Bovada1.83I 54.64%NM 50.10%EV -8.43%E -4.61%K -10.16%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -8.14%E -2.20%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.12%EV -8.25%E -2.26%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-29 16:58
BetUS1.83I 54.64%NM 50.10%EV -8.43%E -4.61%K -10.16%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.78%EV -8.14%E -2.20%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.12%EV -8.25%E -2.26%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-29 17:00
Codere (IT)1.83I 54.64%NM 49.76%EV -8.43%E -4.61%K -10.16%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.95%EV -9.38%E -2.57%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -9.51%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-29 16:59
Everygame1.83I 54.64%NM 49.59%EV -8.43%E -4.61%K -10.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.21%EV -10.62%E -2.95%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.21%EV -9.51%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-29 16:59
Ladbrokes (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 48.86%EV -8.43%E -4.61%K -10.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -10.62%E -2.95%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.30%EV -14.54%E -4.28%K -6.06%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-29 16:59
Ladbrokes (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 48.86%EV -8.43%E -4.61%K -10.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -10.62%E -2.95%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.30%EV -14.54%E -4.28%K -6.06%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-29 16:59
Neds1.83I 54.64%NM 48.86%EV -8.43%E -4.61%K -10.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -10.62%E -2.95%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.30%EV -14.54%E -4.28%K -6.06%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-29 16:59
Coral1.83I 54.64%NM 48.86%EV -8.43%E -4.61%K -10.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -10.62%E -2.95%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.30%EV -14.54%E -4.28%K -6.06%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-29 17:00
Winamax (DE)1.82I 54.95%NM 50.06%EV -8.93%E -4.91%K -10.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.31%EV -10.62%E -2.95%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.63%EV -7.00%E -1.89%K -2.59%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-29 16:59
Casumo1.81I 55.25%NM 51.50%EV -9.44%E -5.21%K -11.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%EV -0.688%E -0.172%K -0.229%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -7.00%E -1.89%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-29 17:00
Unibet (SE)1.81I 55.25%NM 51.50%EV -9.44%E -5.21%K -11.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%EV -0.688%E -0.172%K -0.229%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -7.00%E -1.89%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-29 17:00
Unibet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.46%EV -9.94%E -5.52%K -12.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -0.688%E -0.172%K -0.229%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.38%EV -8.25%E -2.26%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-29 16:59
LeoVegas (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.46%EV -9.94%E -5.52%K -12.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -0.688%E -0.172%K -0.229%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.38%EV -8.25%E -2.26%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-29 16:59
betPARX1.80I 55.56%NM 51.46%EV -9.94%E -5.52%K -12.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -0.688%E -0.172%K -0.229%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.38%EV -8.25%E -2.26%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-29 16:59
ATG (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.46%EV -9.94%E -5.52%K -12.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -0.688%E -0.172%K -0.229%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.38%EV -8.25%E -2.26%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-29 16:59
Svenska Spel1.80I 55.56%NM 51.46%EV -9.94%E -5.52%K -12.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -0.688%E -0.172%K -0.229%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.38%EV -8.25%E -2.26%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-29 16:59
FanDuel1.80I 55.56%NM 51.33%EV -9.94%E -5.52%K -12.42%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.69%EV -3.17%E -0.813%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -7.00%E -1.89%K -2.59%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-29 16:58
betfred_uk1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -9.94%E -5.52%K -12.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -0.688%E -0.172%K -0.229%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -9.51%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-29 16:59
Tipico (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -9.94%E -5.52%K -12.42%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -5.65%E -1.49%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -7.00%E -1.89%K -2.59%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-29 16:59
SportsBet1.80I 55.56%NM 50.67%EV -9.94%E -5.52%K -12.42%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -5.65%E -1.49%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -9.51%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-29 16:59
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 50.51%EV -9.94%E -5.52%K -12.42%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -6.90%E -1.84%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -9.51%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-29 16:59
Sky Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 49.65%EV -9.94%E -5.52%K -12.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -10.62%E -2.95%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -12.02%E -3.44%K -4.81%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-29 16:59
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56%NM 49.28%EV -9.94%E -5.52%K -12.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.09%EV -15.58%E -4.58%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.64%EV -9.51%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-29 16:59
Unibet (NL)1.79I 55.87%NM 51.45%EV -10.44%E -5.83%K -13.21%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.32%EV -1.93%E -0.488%K -0.654%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.23%EV -8.25%E -2.26%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-29 17:00
GTbets1.78I 56.18%NM 52.21%EV -10.94%E -6.14%K -14.02%G +0.000%3.89I 25.71%NM 23.89%EV -3.42%E -0.879%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.89I 25.71%NM 23.89%EV -2.22%E -0.571%K -0.768%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-29 16:59
Grosvenor1.78I 56.18%NM 51.59%EV -10.94%E -6.14%K -14.02%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.25%EV -1.93%E -0.488%K -0.654%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.16%EV -8.25%E -2.26%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-29 17:00
TABtouch1.78I 56.18%NM 51.56%EV -10.94%E -6.14%K -14.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -0.688%E -0.172%K -0.229%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -9.51%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-29 16:59
Betclic (FR)1.77I 56.50%NM 50.96%EV -11.44%E -6.46%K -14.85%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 24.18%EV -7.39%E -1.98%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 24.85%EV -8.76%E -2.41%K -3.33%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-29 16:58
LiveScore Bet1.76I 56.82%NM 51.69%EV -11.94%E -6.78%K -15.71%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.03%EV -1.93%E -0.488%K -0.654%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -9.51%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-29 16:59
Virgin Bet1.76I 56.82%NM 51.69%EV -11.94%E -6.78%K -15.71%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.03%EV -1.93%E -0.488%K -0.654%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.27%EV -9.51%E -2.64%K -3.66%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-29 16:59
Unibet (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 49.85%EV -11.94%E -6.78%K -15.71%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.72%EV -11.86%E -3.34%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.43%EV -13.28%E -3.85%K -5.42%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-29 16:59
Winamax (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 49.85%EV -11.94%E -6.78%K -15.71%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.43%EV -14.34%E -4.16%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.72%EV -10.77%E -3.03%K -4.22%G +0.000%14.0%2026-05-29 16:59
LeoVegas1.74I 57.47%NM 51.65%EV -12.94%E -7.44%K -17.48%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.04%EV -3.17%E -0.813%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.31%EV -10.77%E -3.03%K -4.22%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-29 16:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 49.05%EV -13.44%E -7.77%K -18.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.57%EV -10.62%E -2.95%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.37%EV -22.08%E -7.12%K -10.51%G +0.000%17.8%2026-05-29 16:59
PMU (FR)1.71I 58.48%NM 51.40%EV -14.44%E -8.44%K -20.34%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.13%EV -5.65%E -1.49%K -2.02%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.47%EV -13.28%E -3.85%K -5.42%G +0.000%13.8%2026-05-29 16:59
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.97I 50.76%NM 50.52%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.28%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.20%0.5%2026-05-29 16:59
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.97I 50.76%NM 50.52%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.28%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.20%0.5%2026-05-29 16:59
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.97I 50.76%NM 50.52%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.28%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.20%0.5%2026-05-29 16:59
Matchbook1.97I 50.76%NM 50.52%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.28%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.20%0.5%2026-05-29 16:59
Smarkets1.94I 51.55%NM 50.44%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.46%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.09%2.2%2026-05-29 17:00