Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.17
assuming max odds 14.30
assuming max odds 8.35
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Bodø/Glimt (Local): 80.81%; IK Start (Visit): 7.09%; Draw: 12.10%. For IK Start (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 14.10. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 14.30, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.42%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.84%EV -5.45%E -4.66%K -32.06%G +0.000% | 14.30I 6.99%NM 6.70%EV +1.42%E +0.100%K +0.107%G +0.002% | 8.35I 11.98%NM 11.47%EV +1.00%E +0.120%K +0.136%G +0.001% | 4.4% | 2026-04-23 17:44 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.93%EV -7.07%E -6.15%K -47.11%G +0.000% | 14.14I 7.07%NM 6.66%EV +0.288%E +0.020%K +0.022%G +0.000% | 8.26I 12.11%NM 11.41%EV -0.086%E -0.010%K -0.012%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-24 00:14 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.84%EV -8.68%E -7.68%K -66.79%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.61%EV -0.704%E -0.050%K -0.054%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.56%EV -3.23%E -0.404%K -0.462%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-23 17:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.84%EV -8.68%E -7.68%K -66.79%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.61%EV -0.704%E -0.050%K -0.054%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.56%EV -3.23%E -0.404%K -0.462%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-23 17:09 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.84%EV -8.68%E -7.68%K -66.79%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.61%EV -0.704%E -0.050%K -0.054%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.56%EV -3.23%E -0.404%K -0.462%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-23 17:09 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.84%EV -8.68%E -7.68%K -66.79%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.61%EV -0.704%E -0.050%K -0.054%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.56%EV -3.23%E -0.404%K -0.462%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-23 17:09 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.84%EV -8.68%E -7.68%K -66.79%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.61%EV -0.704%E -0.050%K -0.054%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.56%EV -3.23%E -0.404%K -0.462%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-23 17:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.84%EV -8.68%E -7.68%K -66.79%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.61%EV -0.704%E -0.050%K -0.054%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.56%EV -3.23%E -0.404%K -0.462%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-23 17:09 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.84%EV -8.68%E -7.68%K -66.79%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.61%EV -0.704%E -0.050%K -0.054%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.56%EV -3.23%E -0.404%K -0.462%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-23 17:09 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.84%EV -8.68%E -7.68%K -66.79%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.61%EV -0.704%E -0.050%K -0.054%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.56%EV -3.23%E -0.404%K -0.462%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-23 17:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.84%EV -8.68%E -7.68%K -66.79%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.61%EV -0.704%E -0.050%K -0.054%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.56%EV -3.23%E -0.404%K -0.462%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-23 17:09 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.84%EV -8.68%E -7.68%K -66.79%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.61%EV -0.704%E -0.050%K -0.054%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.56%EV -3.23%E -0.404%K -0.462%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-23 17:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 81.97%EV -9.49%E -8.47%K -79.09%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.56%EV -0.704%E -0.050%K -0.054%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.48%EV -3.23%E -0.404%K -0.462%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-23 17:09 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 82.10%EV -10.30%E -9.28%K -93.63%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.51%EV -0.704%E -0.050%K -0.054%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.39%EV -3.23%E -0.404%K -0.462%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-23 17:09 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 82.10%EV -10.30%E -9.28%K -93.63%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.51%EV -0.704%E -0.050%K -0.054%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.39%EV -3.23%E -0.404%K -0.462%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-23 17:09 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 81.22%EV -11.11%E -10.10%K -111.08%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.87%EV -7.80%E -0.600%K -0.650%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.91%EV -9.28%E -1.24%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-23 17:09 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 81.49%EV -12.72%E -11.78%K -159.05%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 6.77%EV -7.80%E -0.600%K -0.650%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.74%EV -9.28%E -1.24%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-04-23 17:10 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 79.79%EV -7.88%E -6.91%K -56.25%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.58%EV -14.89%E -1.24%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 12.63%EV -12.91%E -1.79%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-23 17:09 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 78.08%EV -11.11%E -10.10%K -111.08%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.18%EV -25.53%E -2.43%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 13.74%EV -24.40%E -3.90%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 16.4% | 2026-04-23 17:11 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 78.40%EV -10.30%E -9.28%K -93.63%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.70%EV -29.07%E -2.91%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 12.89%EV -18.35%E -2.72%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-04-23 18:24 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 76.60%EV -11.11%E -10.10%K -111.08%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.36%EV -36.17%E -4.02%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.04%EV -27.42%E -4.57%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 18.7% | 2026-04-23 18:25 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.