The School of Odds
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Aalesund v Sandefjord

Kickoff: 2026-10-31 17:00 UTC

Final: Aalesund 3–4 Sandefjord

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

55 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Aalesund (Local)

Prediction 45.79%2.18fair odd
EV +3.03%
Edge +1.35%
Kelly +2.42%
Growth +0.073%

assuming max odds 2.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.14%45.79%45.86%48.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.832.012.002.2554.64%49.71%50.00%44.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sandefjord (Visit)

Prediction 30.21%3.31fair odd
EV -0.296%
Edge -0.090%
Kelly -0.128%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.69%30.16%30.16%32.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.623.033.063.3038.17%32.98%32.68%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 24.00%4.17fair odd
EV -3.05%
Edge -0.756%
Kelly -1.00%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.04

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.52%24.04%23.98%25.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.603.813.804.0427.78%26.27%26.32%24.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Aalesund (Local): 45.79%; Sandefjord (Visit): 30.21%; Draw: 24.00%. For Aalesund (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.18. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.25, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.03%.

Sportsbook Odds (55 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 43.14%EV +3.03%E +1.35%K +2.42%G +0.073%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.31%EV -6.34%E -2.04%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.54%EV -8.81%E -2.32%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.0%2026-10-31 14:50
Pinnacle🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 46.62%EV -4.76%E -2.29%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.38%EV -0.296%E -0.090%K -0.128%G +0.000%4.04I 24.75%NM 24.00%EV -3.05%E -0.756%K -1.00%G +0.000%3.1%2026-10-31 16:50
Betsson🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 46.01%EV -4.76%E -2.29%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.45%EV -1.81%E -0.556%K -0.803%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.54%EV -6.41%E -1.64%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.5%2026-10-31 16:36
1xBet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.84%EV -4.76%E -2.29%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 29.71%EV -3.01%E -0.939%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.45%EV -6.41%E -1.64%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-31 16:36
Unibet (UK)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.91%EV -4.76%E -2.29%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.14%EV -9.36%E -3.12%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.95%EV -6.41%E -1.64%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-31 16:10
GTbets🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.39%EV -5.22%E -2.52%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 30.70%EV -7.55%E -2.47%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 23.91%EV -5.69%E -1.45%K -1.94%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-31 14:50
DraftKings🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.23%EV -6.13%E -2.99%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.08%EV -4.83%E -1.53%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.69%EV -4.01%E -1.00%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-31 16:45
NordicBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.87%EV -6.13%E -2.99%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -3.32%E -1.04%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -8.81%E -2.32%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-31 16:36
Bovada🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.73%EV -6.13%E -2.99%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.24%EV -6.34%E -2.04%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.04%EV -6.41%E -1.64%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-31 16:43
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.58%EV -6.13%E -2.99%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.14%EV -6.34%E -2.04%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.27%EV -7.61%E -1.98%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-31 16:01
BetRivers🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.58%EV -6.13%E -2.99%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.14%EV -6.34%E -2.04%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.27%EV -7.61%E -1.98%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-31 16:01
Unibet (NL)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.58%EV -6.13%E -2.99%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.14%EV -6.34%E -2.04%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.27%EV -7.61%E -1.98%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-31 16:05
Unibet (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.58%EV -6.13%E -2.99%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.14%EV -6.34%E -2.04%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.27%EV -7.61%E -1.98%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-31 16:01
Casumo🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.58%EV -6.13%E -2.99%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.14%EV -6.34%E -2.04%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.27%EV -7.61%E -1.98%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-31 16:05
ATG (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.58%EV -6.13%E -2.99%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.14%EV -6.34%E -2.04%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.27%EV -7.61%E -1.98%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-31 16:01
Svenska Spel🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.58%EV -6.13%E -2.99%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.14%EV -6.34%E -2.04%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.27%EV -7.61%E -1.98%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-31 16:01
betPARX🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.58%EV -6.13%E -2.99%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.14%EV -6.34%E -2.04%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.27%EV -7.61%E -1.98%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-31 16:01
BetMGM🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.27%EV -6.13%E -2.99%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.93%EV -9.36%E -3.12%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -6.41%E -1.64%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-31 16:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.27%EV -6.13%E -2.99%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.93%EV -9.36%E -3.12%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -6.41%E -1.64%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-31 16:10
LeoVegas🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.90%EV -6.13%E -2.99%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -10.87%E -3.68%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.91%EV -7.61%E -1.98%K -2.67%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-31 16:15
William Hill🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.69%EV -6.13%E -2.99%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.54%EV -9.36%E -3.12%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -11.21%E -3.03%K -4.15%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-31 16:15
Marathon Bet🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 45.77%EV -7.05%E -3.47%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.78%EV -5.73%E -1.84%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.45%EV -8.81%E -2.32%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-31 16:34
Codere (IT)🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 44.85%EV -7.05%E -3.47%K -6.84%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.87%EV -10.87%E -3.68%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.28%EV -10.01%E -2.67%K -3.64%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-31 16:10
BetOnline.ag🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.37%EV -7.50%E -3.72%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21%EV -6.34%E -2.04%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -4.01%E -1.00%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-31 16:15
LowVig.ag🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.37%EV -7.50%E -3.72%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21%EV -6.34%E -2.04%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -4.01%E -1.00%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-31 16:15
BetUS🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.37%EV -7.50%E -3.72%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21%EV -6.34%E -2.04%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -4.01%E -1.00%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-31 16:15
BetAnything🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.37%EV -7.50%E -3.72%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21%EV -6.34%E -2.04%K -3.02%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -4.01%E -1.00%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-31 16:15
FanDuel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.78%EV -8.42%E -4.21%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -3.32%E -1.04%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -6.41%E -1.64%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-31 16:24
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.05%EV -8.42%E -4.21%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -6.34%E -2.04%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -8.81%E -2.32%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-31 16:35
Fanatics🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.05%EV -8.42%E -4.21%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -6.34%E -2.04%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -8.81%E -2.32%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-31 16:35
betano_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.60%EV -8.42%E -4.21%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.40%EV -9.36%E -3.12%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -8.81%E -2.32%K -3.15%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-31 16:38
Bet Victor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.60%EV -8.42%E -4.21%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.40%EV -9.36%E -3.12%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -8.81%E -2.32%K -3.15%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-31 16:39
Winamax (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.40%EV -8.42%E -4.21%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.31%EV -12.38%E -4.27%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.28%EV -6.41%E -1.64%K -2.21%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-31 16:10
Unibet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.31%EV -8.42%E -4.21%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -9.36%E -3.12%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -11.21%E -3.03%K -4.15%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-31 16:01
Grosvenor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.31%EV -8.42%E -4.21%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -9.36%E -3.12%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -11.21%E -3.03%K -4.15%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-31 16:01
PlayUp🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.31%EV -8.42%E -4.21%K -8.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -9.36%E -3.12%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -11.21%E -3.03%K -4.15%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-31 16:36
Bet Right🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.98%EV -8.42%E -4.21%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.02%EV -12.38%E -4.27%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.99%EV -10.01%E -2.67%K -3.64%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-31 16:10
Neds🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.84%EV -8.42%E -4.21%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -12.38%E -4.27%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.24%EV -11.21%E -3.03%K -4.15%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-31 16:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.84%EV -8.42%E -4.21%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -12.38%E -4.27%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.24%EV -11.21%E -3.03%K -4.15%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-31 16:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.84%EV -8.42%E -4.21%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -12.38%E -4.27%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.24%EV -11.21%E -3.03%K -4.15%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-31 16:10
Coral🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.84%EV -8.42%E -4.21%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -12.38%E -4.27%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.24%EV -11.21%E -3.03%K -4.15%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-31 16:10
betfred_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.49%EV -8.42%E -4.21%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.78%EV -15.40%E -5.50%K -8.56%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -10.01%E -2.67%K -3.64%G +0.000%12.4%2026-10-31 16:10
SportsBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.52%EV -9.34%E -4.72%K -9.53%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -4.83%E -1.53%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.24%EV -8.81%E -2.32%K -3.15%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-31 16:40
TABtouch🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 45.43%EV -10.25%E -5.23%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.18%EV -10.87%E -3.68%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.39%EV -12.41%E -3.40%K -4.68%G +0.000%12.3%2026-10-31 16:01
Paddy Power🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.53%EV -10.71%E -5.49%K -11.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -6.34%E -2.04%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.20%EV -10.01%E -2.67%K -3.64%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-31 16:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.53%EV -10.71%E -5.49%K -11.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -6.34%E -2.04%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.20%EV -10.01%E -2.67%K -3.64%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-31 16:45
Sky Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.63%EV -10.71%E -5.49%K -11.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -9.36%E -3.12%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.71%EV -13.61%E -3.78%K -5.24%G +0.000%12.4%2026-10-31 16:45
LiveScore Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.40%EV -10.71%E -5.49%K -11.27%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.01%EV -10.87%E -3.68%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.59%EV -13.61%E -3.78%K -5.24%G +0.000%13.0%2026-10-31 16:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.40%EV -10.71%E -5.49%K -11.27%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.01%EV -10.87%E -3.68%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.59%EV -13.61%E -3.78%K -5.24%G +0.000%13.0%2026-10-31 16:05
Betclic (FR)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 46.06%EV -11.17%E -5.76%K -11.88%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.29%EV -10.87%E -3.68%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 23.64%EV -9.29%E -2.46%K -3.34%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-31 16:35
PMU (FR)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 45.53%EV -11.17%E -5.76%K -11.88%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.94%EV -10.87%E -3.68%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.53%EV -13.61%E -3.78%K -5.24%G +0.000%13.2%2026-10-31 16:05
Winamax (FR)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 44.85%EV -11.17%E -5.76%K -11.88%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.64%EV -16.91%E -6.15%K -9.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.51%EV -11.21%E -3.03%K -4.15%G +0.000%14.9%2026-10-31 16:10
BoyleSports🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 44.81%EV -12.54%E -6.57%K -13.78%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 32.67%EV -20.84%E -7.95%K -12.86%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.52%EV -8.81%E -2.32%K -3.15%G +0.000%16.8%2026-10-31 16:30
Tipico (DE)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.87%EV -14.37%E -7.69%K -16.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.69%EV -0.296%E -0.090%K -0.128%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.43%EV -6.41%E -1.64%K -2.21%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-31 16:50
Unibet (FR)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 46.26%EV -16.20%E -8.86%K -19.52%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.23%EV -15.40%E -5.50%K -8.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.51%EV -13.61%E -3.78%K -5.24%G +0.000%18.1%2026-10-31 16:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.12I 47.17%NM 46.91%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.83%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.26%0.5%2026-10-31 16:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.12I 47.17%NM 46.91%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.83%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.26%0.5%2026-10-31 16:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.12I 47.17%NM 46.91%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.83%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.26%0.5%2026-10-31 16:40
Matchbook◎2.12I 47.17%NM 46.91%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.83%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.26%0.5%2026-10-31 16:40
Smarkets◎2.10I 47.62%NM 47.15%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.70%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.15%1.0%2026-10-31 16:40

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