Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Aalesund v Kristiansund BK

Kickoff: 2026-04-26 15:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

54 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Aalesund (Local)

Prediction 47.63%2.10fair odd
EV -4.74%
Edge -2.37%
Kelly -4.74%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.20%47.64%47.67%48.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.821.931.942.0054.95%51.86%51.41%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Kristiansund BK (Visit)

Prediction 27.89%3.58fair odd
EV +0.979%
Edge +0.271%
Kelly +0.374%
Growth +0.004%

assuming max odds 3.62

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.56%27.78%27.86%29.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.303.303.6234.48%30.30%30.30%27.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 24.48%4.09fair odd
EV -3.56%
Edge -0.905%
Kelly -1.21%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.94

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.68%24.58%24.47%26.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.653.603.9430.77%27.40%27.78%25.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Aalesund (Local): 47.63%; Kristiansund BK (Visit): 27.89%; Draw: 24.48%. For Kristiansund BK (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.58. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.62, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.979%.

Sportsbook Odds (54 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.80%EV -6.17%E -3.13%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.56%EV +0.979%E +0.271%K +0.374%G +0.004%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.65%EV -4.54%E -1.17%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-21 11:55
GTbets🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.17%EV -5.69%E -2.88%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.25%EV -2.37%E -0.677%K -0.947%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.58%EV -5.03%E -1.30%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-23 13:40
1xBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.80%EV -4.74%E -2.37%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.63%EV -3.48%E -1.01%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.89I 25.71%NM 24.57%EV -4.79%E -1.23%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-23 16:10
NordicBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.85%EV -5.69%E -2.88%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -5.16%E -1.52%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.29%EV -4.54%E -1.17%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 15:59
Betsson🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.85%EV -5.69%E -2.88%K -5.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -5.16%E -1.52%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.29%EV -4.54%E -1.17%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 15:59
BetMGM🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.44%EV -9.03%E -4.73%K -9.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -5.16%E -1.52%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -6.99%E -1.84%K -2.50%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-21 15:05
Tipico (DE)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.57%EV -9.50%E -5.00%K -10.56%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.14%EV -5.16%E -1.52%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.29%EV -6.99%E -1.84%K -2.50%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-23 16:10
Unibet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.68%EV -6.17%E -3.13%K -6.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -5.16%E -1.52%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -14.33%E -4.10%K -5.73%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-23 19:19
Unibet (SE)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.81%EV -6.65%E -3.39%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -5.16%E -1.52%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.21%EV -14.33%E -4.10%K -5.73%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 19:20
TABtouch🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.81%EV -6.65%E -3.39%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -5.16%E -1.52%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.21%EV -14.33%E -4.10%K -5.73%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 19:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.81%EV -6.65%E -3.39%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -5.16%E -1.52%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.21%EV -14.33%E -4.10%K -5.73%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 19:24
Casumo🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.81%EV -6.65%E -3.39%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -5.16%E -1.52%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.21%EV -14.33%E -4.10%K -5.73%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 19:24
Grosvenor🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.81%EV -6.65%E -3.39%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -5.16%E -1.52%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.21%EV -14.33%E -4.10%K -5.73%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 19:25
BetRivers🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.81%EV -6.65%E -3.39%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -5.16%E -1.52%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.21%EV -14.33%E -4.10%K -5.73%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 19:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.81%EV -6.65%E -3.39%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -5.16%E -1.52%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.21%EV -14.33%E -4.10%K -5.73%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 19:25
betPARX🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.81%EV -6.65%E -3.39%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -5.16%E -1.52%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.21%EV -14.33%E -4.10%K -5.73%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 19:25
ATG (SE)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.81%EV -6.65%E -3.39%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -5.16%E -1.52%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.21%EV -14.33%E -4.10%K -5.73%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 19:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.81%EV -6.65%E -3.39%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.98%EV -5.16%E -1.52%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.21%EV -14.33%E -4.10%K -5.73%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 19:20
Marathon Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.85%EV -7.12%E -3.65%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.60%EV -5.72%E -1.69%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -6.99%E -1.84%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 16:04
Pinnacle🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.55%EV -4.74%E -2.37%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.31%EV -6.27%E -1.87%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 24.14%EV -3.56%E -0.905%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 16:05
Unibet (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.10%EV -4.74%E -2.37%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.12%EV -6.55%E -1.96%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -6.99%E -1.84%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 15:35
DraftKings🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.73%EV -7.12%E -3.65%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -6.55%E -1.96%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.49%EV -6.99%E -1.84%K -2.50%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 15:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 46.70%EV -7.60%E -3.92%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -6.55%E -1.96%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.26%EV -15.56%E -4.51%K -6.35%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-23 19:24
Virgin Bet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 46.70%EV -7.60%E -3.92%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.04%EV -6.55%E -1.96%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.26%EV -15.56%E -4.51%K -6.35%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-23 19:25
LeoVegas🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 46.78%EV -8.55%E -4.45%K -9.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.81%EV -6.55%E -1.96%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -16.78%E -4.94%K -6.99%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-23 19:24
BetOnline.ag🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 47.02%EV -5.22%E -2.62%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -7.95%E -2.41%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -6.99%E -1.84%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-23 16:03
LowVig.ag🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 47.02%EV -5.22%E -2.62%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -7.95%E -2.41%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -6.99%E -1.84%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-23 16:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.83%EV -7.12%E -3.65%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -7.95%E -2.41%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -4.54%E -1.17%K -1.57%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-22 16:09
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -4.74%E -2.37%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -7.95%E -2.41%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -11.89%E -3.30%K -4.57%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-23 13:34
BetUS🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.37%EV -7.12%E -3.65%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -7.95%E -2.41%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.63%EV -8.22%E -2.19%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-23 15:55
FanDuel🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.34%EV -9.03%E -4.73%K -9.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.98%EV -7.95%E -2.41%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -4.54%E -1.17%K -1.57%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-22 16:08
Paddy Power🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.04%EV -9.03%E -4.73%K -9.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -7.95%E -2.41%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -6.99%E -1.84%K -2.50%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-22 16:08
Fanatics🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.04%EV -9.03%E -4.73%K -9.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -7.95%E -2.41%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -6.99%E -1.84%K -2.50%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-22 16:14
SportsBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.18%EV -9.50%E -5.00%K -10.56%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -7.95%E -2.41%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.09%EV -6.99%E -1.84%K -2.50%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-22 16:09
Bovada🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.89%EV -9.03%E -4.73%K -9.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.72%EV -7.95%E -2.41%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.39%EV -8.22%E -2.19%K -2.99%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-23 13:45
William Hill🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -7.12%E -3.65%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -7.95%E -2.41%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -11.89%E -3.30%K -4.57%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-23 14:44
betfred_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.17%EV -7.12%E -3.65%K -7.50%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -9.34%E -2.87%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -8.22%E -2.19%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-22 16:08
Bet Victor🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.27%EV -8.08%E -4.18%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.07%EV -9.34%E -2.87%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.66%EV -9.44%E -2.55%K -3.50%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-23 16:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.00%EV -11.89%E -6.42%K -13.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -9.34%E -2.87%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.67%EV -11.89%E -3.30%K -4.57%G +0.000%12.6%2026-04-21 15:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.00%EV -11.89%E -6.42%K -13.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -9.34%E -2.87%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.67%EV -11.89%E -3.30%K -4.57%G +0.000%12.6%2026-04-21 15:00
Neds🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.00%EV -11.89%E -6.42%K -13.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -9.34%E -2.87%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.67%EV -11.89%E -3.30%K -4.57%G +0.000%12.6%2026-04-21 15:04
Coral🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.00%EV -11.89%E -6.42%K -13.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -9.34%E -2.87%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.67%EV -11.89%E -3.30%K -4.57%G +0.000%12.6%2026-04-21 15:05
PMU (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 46.74%EV -10.46%E -5.56%K -11.88%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.04%EV -9.34%E -2.87%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.23%EV -18.01%E -5.37%K -7.66%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-23 19:19
Codere (IT)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 46.78%EV -7.60%E -3.92%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -10.74%E -3.36%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.86%EV -10.66%E -2.92%K -4.02%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-23 15:39
PlayUp🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.75%EV -8.08%E -4.18%K -8.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.19%EV -10.74%E -3.36%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.06%EV -11.89%E -3.30%K -4.57%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-23 16:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 46.84%EV -12.84%E -7.02%K -15.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.79%EV -10.74%E -3.36%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.37%EV -20.45%E -6.29%K -9.09%G +0.000%16.7%2026-04-23 15:04
Bet Right🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 47.09%EV -9.50%E -5.00%K -10.56%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.40%EV -12.13%E -3.85%K -5.64%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.51%EV -10.66%E -2.92%K -4.02%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-24 02:00
Winamax (DE)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 47.03%EV -9.50%E -5.00%K -10.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.82%EV -13.53%E -4.36%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.15%EV -9.44%E -2.55%K -3.50%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-23 15:35
Everygame🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 46.71%EV -9.50%E -5.00%K -10.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.63%EV -13.53%E -4.36%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.65%EV -11.89%E -3.30%K -4.57%G +0.000%12.7%2026-04-23 16:03
Sky Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 47.38%EV -11.89%E -6.42%K -13.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.27%EV -13.53%E -4.36%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.35%EV -11.89%E -3.30%K -4.57%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-23 15:04
Unibet (FR)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 47.46%EV -13.31%E -7.32%K -16.24%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.86%EV -13.53%E -4.36%K -6.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.68%EV -14.33%E -4.10%K -5.73%G +0.000%15.8%2026-04-23 15:35
Betclic (FR)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 47.09%EV -12.84%E -7.02%K -15.47%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 28.07%EV -14.36%E -4.68%K -6.94%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 24.84%EV -15.07%E -4.34%K -6.10%G +0.000%16.0%2026-04-23 15:39
Winamax (FR)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 46.91%EV -12.36%E -6.72%K -14.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.77%EV -16.32%E -5.44%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.32%EV -13.11%E -3.69%K -5.14%G +0.000%15.9%2026-04-23 15:35
BoyleSports🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 46.20%EV -10.93%E -5.85%K -12.57%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.79%EV -19.11%E -6.59%K -10.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.00%EV -11.89%E -3.30%K -4.57%G +0.000%15.7%2026-04-23 13:34
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.02I 49.50%NM 45.28%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.99%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.72%9.3%2026-04-23 22:04
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 45.28%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.99%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.72%9.3%2026-04-23 22:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.02I 49.50%NM 45.28%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.99%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.72%9.3%2026-04-23 22:10
Smarkets1.94I 51.55%NM 46.41%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.58%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.01%11.1%2026-04-23 15:39