The School of Odds
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Willem II v SC Cambuur

2026-10-24 16:45 UTC — Dutch Eredivisie

Head to Head

18 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Willem II (Local)

Prediction 39.43%2.54fair odd
EV -1.42%
Edge -0.568%
Kelly -0.947%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.34%39.45%39.22%40.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.312.332.5046.51%43.26%43.01%40.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

SC Cambuur (Visit)

Prediction 35.05%2.85fair odd
EV -3.27%
Edge -1.18%
Kelly -1.86%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.76

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.79%34.97%35.07%35.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.612.622.7641.67%38.39%38.17%36.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.52%3.92fair odd
EV -1.75%
Edge -0.454%
Kelly -0.614%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.47%25.58%25.71%26.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.553.543.8529.41%28.17%28.25%25.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Willem II (Local): 39.43%; SC Cambuur (Visit): 35.05%; Draw: 25.52%. For Willem II (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.54. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.50, with an expected value of -1.42%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (18 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.40%EV -1.42%E -0.568%K -0.947%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.78%EV -3.27%E -1.18%K -1.86%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.82%EV -8.64%E -2.41%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-11 13:35
Coolbet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.80%EV -5.36%E -2.24%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.38%EV -5.37%E -1.99%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.81%EV -1.75%E -0.454%K -0.614%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-11 12:14
Marathon Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.15%E -2.59%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.14%EV -7.12%E -2.69%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.73%EV -7.62%E -2.10%K -2.91%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-11 13:54
Unibet (UK)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.81%EV -6.15%E -2.59%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.53%EV -8.87%E -3.41%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.66%EV -8.13%E -2.26%K -3.13%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-11 12:10
William Hill🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.34%EV -6.15%E -2.59%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -8.17%E -3.12%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -13.23%E -3.89%K -5.51%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-11 13:29
888sport🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.34%EV -6.15%E -2.59%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -8.17%E -3.12%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -13.23%E -3.89%K -5.51%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-11 13:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.34%EV -6.15%E -2.59%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -8.17%E -3.12%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -13.23%E -3.89%K -5.51%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-11 13:29
888sport (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.34%EV -6.15%E -2.59%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -8.17%E -3.12%K -5.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -13.23%E -3.89%K -5.51%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-11 13:30
Betr (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.34%E -3.12%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.86%EV -5.37%E -1.99%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.10%EV -4.30%E -1.15%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-11 12:14
SportsBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.43%EV -9.31%E -4.05%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.09%EV -7.12%E -2.69%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.47%EV -3.02%E -0.796%K -1.08%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-11 12:08
FanDuel🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.43%EV -9.31%E -4.05%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.09%EV -7.12%E -2.69%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.47%EV -3.02%E -0.796%K -1.08%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-11 12:14
Fanatics🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.40%EV -9.31%E -4.05%K -7.16%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.79%EV -3.62%E -1.32%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -8.13%E -2.26%K -3.13%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-11 12:39
Winamax (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.04%EV -11.28%E -5.01%K -9.02%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.86%EV -14.13%E -5.77%K -9.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.10%EV -10.68%E -3.05%K -4.27%G +0.000%13.8%2026-10-11 12:10
Betclic (FR)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 39.25%EV -12.07%E -5.41%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.01%EV -12.38%E -4.95%K -8.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.74%EV -13.23%E -3.89%K -5.51%G +0.000%14.3%2026-10-11 12:08
Paddy Power🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.70%EV -13.25%E -6.02%K -11.04%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.43%EV -8.87%E -3.41%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.87%EV -8.13%E -2.26%K -3.13%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-11 12:10
Winamax (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 39.01%EV -13.25%E -6.02%K -11.04%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 35.76%EV -15.88%E -6.62%K -11.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.24%EV -13.23%E -3.89%K -5.51%G +0.000%16.5%2026-10-11 12:10
Unibet (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 40.12%EV -15.22%E -7.08%K -13.24%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.51%EV -12.38%E -4.95%K -8.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.37%EV -13.23%E -3.89%K -5.51%G +0.000%15.9%2026-10-11 12:10
Sky Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 40.12%EV -15.22%E -7.08%K -13.24%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.51%EV -12.38%E -4.95%K -8.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.37%EV -13.23%E -3.89%K -5.51%G +0.000%15.9%2026-10-11 12:34
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.