Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.60
assuming max odds 2.75
assuming max odds 3.85
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Willem II (Local): 37.20%; SC Cambuur (Visit): 37.09%; Draw: 25.71%. For SC Cambuur (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.70. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.99%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 38.35%EV -5.13%E -2.01%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.56%EV +1.99%E +0.724%K +1.14%G +0.023% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.08%EV -3.60%E -0.959%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-10-24 16:31 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 38.35%EV -5.13%E -2.01%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.56%EV +1.99%E +0.724%K +1.14%G +0.023% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.08%EV -3.60%E -0.959%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-10-24 16:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 38.35%EV -5.13%E -2.01%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.56%EV +1.99%E +0.724%K +1.14%G +0.023% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.08%EV -3.60%E -0.959%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-10-24 16:31 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.52%EV -4.01%E -1.56%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.53%EV -1.72%E -0.648%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 3.73I 26.81%NM 25.95%EV -4.11%E -1.10%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-10-24 16:31 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.47%EV -4.01%E -1.56%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.76%EV -2.46%E -0.935%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.78%EV -3.60%E -0.959%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-10-24 16:39 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.52%EV -4.76%E -1.86%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.66%EV -2.83%E -1.08%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.82%EV -4.37%E -1.17%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-10-24 16:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.99%EV -8.85%E -3.61%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -3.57%E -1.37%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.22%EV -8.74%E -2.46%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-24 16:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.99%EV -8.85%E -3.61%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -3.57%E -1.37%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.22%EV -8.74%E -2.46%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-24 16:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.99%EV -8.85%E -3.61%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -3.57%E -1.37%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.22%EV -8.74%E -2.46%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-24 16:31 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85%EV -8.85%E -3.61%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.66%EV -3.57%E -1.37%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -10.02%E -2.86%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-24 16:31 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.23%EV -4.76%E -1.86%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.23%EV -5.06%E -1.97%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.73I 26.81%NM 25.55%EV -4.11%E -1.10%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-24 16:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.23%EV -4.76%E -1.86%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.23%EV -5.06%E -1.97%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.73I 26.81%NM 25.55%EV -4.11%E -1.10%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-24 16:20 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.23%EV -4.76%E -1.86%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.23%EV -5.06%E -1.97%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.73I 26.81%NM 25.55%EV -4.11%E -1.10%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-10-24 16:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.57%EV -6.99%E -2.80%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 36.69%EV -5.06%E -1.97%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.73%EV -6.17%E -1.69%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-24 16:36 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.31%EV -5.13%E -2.01%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.31%EV -5.43%E -2.13%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.37%EV -3.60%E -0.959%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-24 16:20 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.31%EV -5.13%E -2.01%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.31%EV -5.43%E -2.13%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.37%EV -3.60%E -0.959%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-24 16:18 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.13%E -2.01%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.43%E -2.13%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.63%EV -4.88%E -1.32%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-24 15:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.13%E -2.01%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.43%E -2.13%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.63%EV -4.88%E -1.32%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-24 07:19 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.06%EV -5.13%E -2.01%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.06%EV -5.43%E -2.13%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.89%EV -6.17%E -1.69%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-24 15:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.06%EV -5.13%E -2.01%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.06%EV -5.43%E -2.13%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.89%EV -6.17%E -1.69%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-24 16:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.92%EV -5.13%E -2.01%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.92%EV -5.43%E -2.13%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -7.45%E -2.07%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-24 16:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -6.99%E -2.80%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -5.43%E -2.13%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -7.45%E -2.07%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-24 16:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -6.99%E -2.80%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -5.43%E -2.13%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -7.45%E -2.07%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-24 16:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.63%EV -9.59%E -3.95%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.86%EV -5.43%E -2.13%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.51%EV -11.31%E -3.28%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-10-24 16:31 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.92%EV -10.71%E -4.46%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.69%EV -5.43%E -2.13%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.38%EV -11.31%E -3.28%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-10-24 16:29 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -10.71%E -4.46%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.56%EV -5.43%E -2.13%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -12.59%E -3.70%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-10-24 16:31 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -10.71%E -4.46%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.56%EV -5.43%E -2.13%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -12.59%E -3.70%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-10-24 16:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.78%EV -10.71%E -4.46%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.56%EV -5.43%E -2.13%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -12.59%E -3.70%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-10-24 16:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.47I 40.49%NM 37.67%EV -8.10%E -3.28%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 36.63%EV -5.80%E -2.28%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 25.70%EV -6.94%E -1.92%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-24 06:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.53I 39.53%NM 36.92%EV -5.87%E -2.32%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 36.92%EV -6.17%E -2.44%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 26.16%EV -8.22%E -2.30%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-24 16:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.28%EV -5.13%E -2.01%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.03%EV -7.28%E -2.91%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.69%EV -1.02%E -0.266%K -0.360%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-24 16:05 |
| picklebet_au🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.46%EV -3.27%E -1.26%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.92%EV -7.28%E -2.91%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.62%EV -4.88%E -1.32%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-24 15:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.62%EV -6.99%E -2.80%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.62%EV -7.28%E -2.91%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -2.31%E -0.608%K -0.825%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-24 16:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -5.13%E -2.01%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -7.28%E -2.91%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -7.45%E -2.07%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-24 16:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -6.99%E -2.80%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -7.28%E -2.91%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -4.88%E -1.32%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-24 07:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -6.99%E -2.80%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -7.28%E -2.91%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -7.45%E -2.07%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-24 15:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -6.99%E -2.80%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -7.28%E -2.91%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -7.45%E -2.07%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-24 07:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.98%EV -6.99%E -2.80%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.98%EV -7.28%E -2.91%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.04%EV -8.74%E -2.46%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-10-24 16:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.07%EV -10.71%E -4.46%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -7.28%E -2.91%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -7.45%E -2.07%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-10-24 16:31 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -8.85%E -3.61%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -7.28%E -2.91%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -12.59%E -3.70%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-10-24 16:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -8.85%E -3.61%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -7.28%E -2.91%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -12.59%E -3.70%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-10-24 16:31 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -8.85%E -3.61%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -7.28%E -2.91%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -12.59%E -3.70%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-10-24 16:31 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -8.85%E -3.61%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -7.28%E -2.91%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -12.59%E -3.70%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-10-24 16:31 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -10.71%E -4.46%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -7.28%E -2.91%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -10.02%E -2.86%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-10-24 16:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -10.71%E -4.46%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -7.28%E -2.91%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -10.02%E -2.86%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-10-24 16:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.56%EV -11.45%E -4.81%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.76%EV -7.28%E -2.91%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.68%EV -13.88%E -4.14%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-10-24 16:30 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.75%EV -12.57%E -5.35%K -9.31%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 35.77%EV -8.02%E -3.23%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.48%EV -13.88%E -4.14%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 12.7% | 2026-10-24 16:31 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.09%EV -6.99%E -2.80%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85%EV -9.14%E -3.73%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -4.88%E -1.32%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-10-24 16:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.44%EV -8.85%E -3.61%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.44%EV -9.14%E -3.73%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.13%EV -6.17%E -1.69%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-24 16:05 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -6.99%E -2.80%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.07%EV -10.99%E -4.58%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.38%EV -7.45%E -2.07%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-10-24 16:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -8.85%E -3.61%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.92%EV -10.99%E -4.58%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.93%EV -6.17%E -1.69%K -2.33%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-10-24 15:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.48%EV -8.85%E -3.61%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.24%EV -10.99%E -4.58%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.29%EV -12.59%E -3.70%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-10-24 16:29 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 37.25%EV -11.83%E -4.99%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 36.78%EV -10.99%E -4.58%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.97%EV -12.59%E -3.70%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-10-24 16:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.89%EV -14.43%E -6.27%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.58%EV -11.73%E -4.93%K -8.50%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.54%EV -2.31%E -0.608%K -0.825%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-10-24 06:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.07%EV -10.71%E -4.46%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.86%EV -12.84%E -5.47%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.06%EV -8.74%E -2.46%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-10-24 15:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.08%EV -7.73%E -3.12%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 38.57%EV -13.96%E -6.02%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 25.35%EV -9.25%E -2.62%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-10-24 16:16 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 35.59%EV -8.85%E -3.61%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.76%EV -16.55%E -7.36%K -13.24%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.65%EV -12.59%E -3.70%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-10-24 16:20 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 2.70I 37.04%NM 37.02% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 37.02% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.96% | 0.0% | 2026-10-24 15:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82% | 0.6% | 2026-10-24 16:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82% | 0.6% | 2026-10-24 16:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.37% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.81% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82% | 0.6% | 2026-10-24 16:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.37% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.81% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82% | 0.6% | 2026-10-24 16:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.27% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.99% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.75% | 0.9% | 2026-10-24 16:40 |